Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-17 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-17 12:00:07
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $177.83
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-17 18:00:08 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-17 12:00:07 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-15 16:00 → 2025-12-17 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $86,196.00
50h Change: -1.14%
50h Range: $85,011.00 - $89,971.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 10: $92,317.00→$91,522.00 (-0.9%)
Dec 11: $91,490.00→$92,413.00 (+1.0%)
Dec 12: $92,489.00→$90,040.00 (-2.6%)
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,353.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 14: $90,306.00→$88,334.00 (-2.2%)
Dec 15: $88,386.00→$86,345.00 (-2.3%)
Dec 16: $86,357.00→$87,542.00 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $87,542.00→$86,196.00 (-1.5%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-17 10:00: O=$86,212.00 H=$86,607.00 L=$86,065.00 C=$86,397.00 (+0.2%)
12-17 11:00: O=$86,394.00 H=$86,874.00 L=$86,301.00 C=$86,730.00 (+0.4%)
12-17 12:00: O=$86,795.00 H=$86,981.00 L=$86,574.00 C=$86,708.00 (-0.1%)
12-17 13:00: O=$86,793.00 H=$87,500.00 L=$86,565.00 C=$87,400.00 (+0.7%)
12-17 14:00: O=$87,362.00 H=$89,304.00 L=$86,842.00 C=$89,119.00 (+2.0%)
12-17 15:00: O=$89,405.00 H=$89,971.00 L=$86,764.00 C=$86,865.00 (-2.8%)
12-17 16:00: O=$86,987.00 H=$87,525.00 L=$85,988.00 C=$86,684.00 (-0.3%)
12-17 17:00: O=$86,770.00 H=$86,893.00 L=$86,036.00 C=$86,196.00 (-0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 40.7
RSI(14): 43.0
EMA(20): $86,886.83
EMA(50): $86,658.56
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $968.16
ETH:
Current Price: $2,840.70
50h Change: -5.21%
50h Range: $2,826.80 - $3,016.10
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 10: $3,320.10→$3,333.90 (+0.4%)
Dec 11: $3,334.10→$3,246.70 (-2.6%)
Dec 12: $3,245.00→$3,054.30 (-5.9%)
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,097.30 (+1.4%)
Dec 14: $3,097.20→$3,048.20 (-1.6%)
Dec 15: $3,054.30→$2,952.40 (-3.3%)
Dec 16: $2,955.40→$2,952.70 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $2,952.70→$2,840.70 (-3.8%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-17 10:00: O=$2,916.00 H=$2,918.10 L=$2,900.00 C=$2,909.40 (-0.2%)
12-17 11:00: O=$2,912.60 H=$2,923.20 L=$2,909.80 C=$2,916.50 (+0.1%)
12-17 12:00: O=$2,918.00 H=$2,925.40 L=$2,911.70 C=$2,913.70 (-0.1%)
12-17 13:00: O=$2,914.20 H=$2,943.30 L=$2,910.60 C=$2,935.40 (+0.7%)
12-17 14:00: O=$2,932.60 H=$2,980.50 L=$2,871.50 C=$2,979.20 (+1.6%)
12-17 15:00: O=$2,979.10 H=$3,016.10 L=$2,877.40 C=$2,900.40 (-2.6%)
12-17 16:00: O=$2,893.80 H=$2,917.40 L=$2,826.80 C=$2,853.20 (-1.4%)
12-17 17:00: O=$2,854.00 H=$2,870.40 L=$2,835.40 C=$2,840.70 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 28.0
RSI(14): 31.8
EMA(20): $2,914.44
EMA(50): $2,928.92
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $41.14
SOL:
Current Price: $123.08
50h Change: -2.86%
50h Range: $122.72 - $133.68
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 10: $137.86→$136.28 (-1.1%)
Dec 11: $136.27→$136.20 (-0.1%)
Dec 12: $136.47→$132.24 (-3.1%)
Dec 13: $132.26→$133.19 (+0.7%)
Dec 14: $133.01→$129.58 (-2.6%)
Dec 15: $129.56→$127.79 (-1.4%)
Dec 16: $127.68→$129.42 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $129.17→$123.08 (-4.7%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-17 10:00: O=$126.73 H=$126.93 L=$126.35 C=$126.65 (-0.1%)
12-17 11:00: O=$126.61 H=$127.96 L=$126.55 C=$127.72 (+0.9%)
12-17 12:00: O=$127.72 H=$128.13 L=$127.50 C=$128.01 (+0.2%)
12-17 13:00: O=$127.99 H=$129.50 L=$127.63 C=$129.17 (+0.9%)
12-17 14:00: O=$129.38 H=$132.57 L=$127.25 C=$132.57 (+2.5%)
12-17 15:00: O=$131.87 H=$133.68 L=$126.80 C=$126.85 (-3.8%)
12-17 16:00: O=$126.80 H=$127.80 L=$123.86 C=$124.66 (-1.7%)
12-17 17:00: O=$124.76 H=$125.21 L=$122.72 C=$123.08 (-1.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 30.3
RSI(14): 35.1
EMA(20): $127.45
EMA(50): $127.38
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $2.07
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.03
50h Change: -3.83%
50h Range: $11.85 - $12.54
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 10: $14.62→$14.18 (-3.0%)
Dec 11: $14.08→$13.54 (-3.8%)
Dec 12: $13.41→$13.11 (-2.2%)
Dec 13: $13.10→$13.37 (+2.1%)
Dec 14: $13.37→$12.86 (-3.8%)
Dec 15: $12.95→$12.37 (-4.5%)
Dec 16: $12.35→$12.34 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $12.34→$12.03 (-2.5%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-17 10:00: O=$12.08 H=$12.10 L=$12.06 C=$12.10 (+0.1%)
12-17 11:00: O=$12.10 H=$12.10 L=$12.10 C=$12.10 (+0.0%)
12-17 12:00: O=$12.10 H=$12.10 L=$12.10 C=$12.10 (+0.0%)
12-17 13:00: O=$12.19 H=$12.24 L=$12.19 C=$12.24 (+0.4%)
12-17 14:00: O=$12.29 H=$12.45 L=$12.20 C=$12.45 (+1.3%)
12-17 15:00: O=$12.52 H=$12.54 L=$12.31 C=$12.31 (-1.7%)
12-17 16:00: O=$12.20 H=$12.20 L=$11.85 C=$11.96 (-2.0%)
12-17 17:00: O=$12.03 H=$12.03 L=$11.97 C=$12.03 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 39.3
RSI(14): 39.7
EMA(20): $12.19
EMA(50): $12.25
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.11
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
BTC SHORT: 12-14 12:00 → 12-15 12:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $89,322.00, Exit: $89,830.00 P&L: -0.57% ($-0.49) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-14 12:00 → 12-15 12:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $13.03, Exit: $13.21 P&L: -1.39% ($-0.54) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 12-15 12:00 → 12-15 14:20 (2.3h)
Entry: $132.37, Exit: $134.87 P&L: +1.89% ($+1.10) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 12-15 06:00 → 12-15 15:05 (9.1h)
Entry: $3,109.00, Exit: $3,052.50 P&L: -1.82% ($-2.63) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-15 18:00 → 12-16 04:50 (10.8h)
Entry: $12.30, Exit: $12.11 P&L: +1.55% ($+1.19) [TP_HIT]
BTC SHORT: 12-15 18:00 → 12-16 12:50 (18.8h)
Entry: $85,790.00, Exit: $87,186.64 P&L: -1.63% ($-2.33) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-16 06:00 → 12-16 13:35 (7.6h)
Entry: $126.37, Exit: $129.35 P&L: -2.36% ($-2.03) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-16 06:00 → 12-17 15:05 (33.1h)
Entry: $12.20, Exit: $12.51 P&L: -2.60% ($-1.80) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-16 18:00 → 12-17 15:05 (21.1h)
Entry: $127.27, Exit: $130.32 P&L: -2.40% ($-2.41) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-15 18:00 → 12-17 15:20 (45.3h)
Entry: $2,926.40, Exit: $2,990.00 P&L: -2.17% ($-3.49) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
ETH:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: ETH showing strongest bearish setup. Clear downtrend: -12.6% over 7 days, -5.2% in 50h. Price at $2,840 well below both EMA(20) $2,914 and EMA(50) $2,929 with bearish EMA crossover confirmed. RSI(7) at 28 and RSI(14) at 31.8 deeply oversold, BUT in strong downtrends oversold = continuation opportunity. Recent rejection from $3,016 high at 15:00 candle with -2.6% reversal confirms resistance. ATR $41 suggests stops at ~$2,900 (1.5x ATR = $62 above entry). Target $2,750 support level for 3.2% gain, giving 2.4:1 R:R.
Confidence: 72%
Allocation: 28.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $2,750 (prior support zone, 3.2% move). SL at $2,905 (above recent rejection + 1.5x ATR buffer). Exit early if RSI(14) breaks above 45 with price reclaiming EMA(20), signaling trend reversal. Strong downtrend favors continuation.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $177.83
Allocation: 28.0% ($49.79 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $2,840.70
Size: 0.0526 coins
Notional value: $149.42
📝 Executing SHORT 0.0526 ETH @ 3x with TP: $2,750, SL: $2,905
✅ Market order filled @ $2,843.00
✅ TP order placed (oid: 45172308994)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 45172310859)
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: SOL in clear breakdown mode: -10.8% from Dec 10 peak, -4.7% today alone. Recent price action shows failed rally attempt - spiked to $133.68 at 15:00 then collapsed -7.9% to $123.08 current. Price now below both EMAs ($127.45/$127.38) despite 'bullish' EMA label. RSI(7) 30.3, RSI(14) 35.1 oversold in downtrend = short continuation setup. Recent 3 consecutive stop-outs on SOL indicate volatility, but current setup clearer with fresh breakdown below $124 support. ATR $2.07 suggests SL at $126 (1.4x ATR). Target $119 for 3.3% gain (2.4:1 R:R).
Confidence: 68%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $119 (next support level, ~3.3% move). SL at $126 (above recent consolidation + 1.4x ATR). Close early if price reclaims $127.50 with volume, indicating failed breakdown. Breakdown from consolidation typically continues to next support.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $177.83
Allocation: 25.0% ($44.46 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $123.08
Size: 1.0800 coins
Notional value: $132.93
📝 Executing SHORT 1.08 SOL @ 3x with TP: $119, SL: $126
✅ Market order filled @ $123.21
✅ TP order placed (oid: 45172314293)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 45172314981)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing mixed signals in consolidation. Recent 8h candles show extreme volatility (14:00 +2.0%, 15:00 -2.8%) with a spike to $89,971 then sharp rejection back to $86,196. Price below EMA(20) at $86,886 but above EMA(50) at $86,658. RSI(14) at 43 is neutral. Weekly trend clearly bearish (-7.5% from Dec 10), but immediate structure is unclear. Recent trading history shows 5 consecutive stop-outs, indicating choppy conditions. Wait for clearer directional confirmation rather than forcing trades in this volatility.
Confidence: 0%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX in strong downtrend (-17.7% from Dec 10) but showing signs of exhaustion. Price at $12.03 near 50h low of $11.85, RSI(14) at 39.7 approaching oversold. However, recent trading shows 3 stop-outs on AVAX shorts, all hitting SL during brief bounces. Current price action extremely tight (17:00 candle range $11.97-$12.03). This compression after sharp decline could precede either continuation or reversal. Given account's poor recent performance on AVAX (3 losses) and unclear immediate direction, prudent to wait for breakout confirmation above $12.30 or breakdown below $11.80 before entering.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=160
2 order(s) executed
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