Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-11 08:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-10 20:00:12
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $466.15
Margin Used: $222.75 (47.8%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-11 08:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-10 20:00:12 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-09 06:00 → 2025-11-11 08:00
BTC:
Current Price: $106,238.00
Period Change: +3.13%
Range: $101,858.00 - $109,315.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-11 00:00: O=$107,923.00 H=$108,100.00 L=$105,924.00 C=$106,356.00 (-1.5%)
11-11 01:00: O=$106,416.00 H=$108,851.00 L=$106,416.00 C=$108,279.00 (+1.8%)
11-11 02:00: O=$107,846.00 H=$109,190.00 L=$106,337.00 C=$108,228.00 (+0.4%)
11-11 03:00: O=$108,335.00 H=$109,315.00 L=$106,958.00 C=$108,887.00 (+0.5%)
11-11 04:00: O=$108,315.00 H=$108,843.00 L=$106,130.00 C=$106,156.00 (-2.0%)
11-11 05:00: O=$106,518.00 H=$107,854.00 L=$105,764.00 C=$106,498.00 (-0.0%)
11-11 06:00: O=$106,179.00 H=$107,847.00 L=$105,429.00 C=$106,790.00 (+0.6%)
11-11 07:00: O=$106,890.00 H=$107,609.00 L=$105,329.00 C=$106,238.00 (-0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 42.2
RSI(14): 46.9
EMA(20): $107,040.88
EMA(50): $106,278.54
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $2252.84
ETH:
Current Price: $3,600.70
Period Change: +4.78%
Range: $3,397.00 - $3,746.90
Recent 8h candles:
11-11 00:00: O=$3,612.70 H=$3,621.70 L=$3,577.90 C=$3,595.40 (-0.5%)
11-11 01:00: O=$3,598.50 H=$3,695.40 L=$3,591.20 C=$3,593.80 (-0.1%)
11-11 02:00: O=$3,636.50 H=$3,678.20 L=$3,598.10 C=$3,672.10 (+1.0%)
11-11 03:00: O=$3,672.70 H=$3,693.80 L=$3,631.90 C=$3,659.80 (-0.4%)
11-11 04:00: O=$3,634.00 H=$3,647.20 L=$3,590.40 C=$3,590.40 (-1.2%)
11-11 05:00: O=$3,626.80 H=$3,628.40 L=$3,561.60 C=$3,564.20 (-1.7%)
11-11 06:00: O=$3,566.50 H=$3,595.20 L=$3,561.20 C=$3,579.80 (+0.4%)
11-11 07:00: O=$3,594.40 H=$3,622.30 L=$3,561.00 C=$3,600.70 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 48.8
RSI(14): 49.7
EMA(20): $3,605.25
EMA(50): $3,587.98
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $69.86
SOL:
Current Price: $164.57
Period Change: +3.71%
Range: $157.70 - $173.84
Recent 8h candles:
11-11 00:00: O=$167.94 H=$168.30 L=$166.61 C=$167.97 (+0.0%)
11-11 01:00: O=$168.11 H=$173.84 L=$167.56 C=$167.88 (-0.1%)
11-11 02:00: O=$167.99 H=$171.40 L=$166.81 C=$170.79 (+1.7%)
11-11 03:00: O=$170.76 H=$172.37 L=$170.09 C=$170.48 (-0.2%)
11-11 04:00: O=$170.42 H=$170.49 L=$167.07 C=$167.28 (-1.8%)
11-11 05:00: O=$167.15 H=$167.19 L=$165.59 C=$165.78 (-0.8%)
11-11 06:00: O=$165.57 H=$165.84 L=$164.35 C=$165.31 (-0.2%)
11-11 07:00: O=$165.56 H=$165.86 L=$164.57 C=$164.57 (-0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 32.7
RSI(14): 42.9
EMA(20): $167.21
EMA(50): $165.82
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $2.26
AVAX:
Current Price: $17.56
Period Change: +3.45%
Range: $16.91 - $18.48
Recent 8h candles:
11-11 00:00: O=$18.24 H=$18.24 L=$18.01 C=$18.01 (-1.3%)
11-11 01:00: O=$18.36 H=$18.36 L=$18.14 C=$18.24 (-0.7%)
11-11 02:00: O=$18.03 H=$18.48 L=$18.03 C=$18.39 (+2.0%)
11-11 03:00: O=$18.40 H=$18.40 L=$18.40 C=$18.40 (+0.0%)
11-11 04:00: O=$18.21 H=$18.25 L=$18.03 C=$18.05 (-0.9%)
11-11 05:00: O=$17.96 H=$17.96 L=$17.84 C=$17.84 (-0.7%)
11-11 06:00: O=$17.78 H=$17.85 L=$17.71 C=$17.75 (-0.2%)
11-11 07:00: O=$17.71 H=$17.71 L=$17.56 C=$17.56 (-0.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 28.1
RSI(14): 40.1
EMA(20): $17.98
EMA(50): $17.81
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.17
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
ETH (LONG): 0.1271 @ $3,607.10 (Current: $3,600.70, P&L: -0.18%)
TP: $3,780.00 (+4.8%)
SL: $3,520.00 (-2.4%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,780 targets period high of $3,746.90 plus buffer, representing +4.9% gain from entry (2.13x R:R). SL at $3,520 sits below recent consolidation support at $3,549 and provides -2.3% risk buffer. This protects against failed recovery. Close manually if BTC breaks below $105k support or if ETH fails to reclaim $3,620 with conviction on next retest.
AVAX (LONG): 51.56 @ $17.89 (Current: $17.56, P&L: -1.89%)
TP: $19.25 (+7.6%)
SL: $17.15 (-4.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $19.25 targets the next resistance level (+7.8% from entry, 1.96x R:R). SL at $17.15 is below recent consolidation support and EMA(20) at $17.43 (-4.0% from entry). This protects against a failed breakout. Will monitor if BTC/ETH weakness drags AVAX down, but its relative strength suggests it can move independently. Close manually if RSI(14) exceeds 80 without price follow-through.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS ===
SOL LONG: 11-10 12:00 → 11-11 06:15 (18.2h)
Entry: $168.89, Exit: $165.44 P&L: -2.04% ($-15.04) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-10 12:00 → 11-10 15:15 (3.2h)
Entry: $3,677.53, Exit: $3,559.60 P&L: -3.21% ($-35.08) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-08 20:00 → 11-09 15:45 (19.7h)
Entry: $157.84, Exit: $164.33 P&L: +4.11% ($+15.32) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-07 12:00 → 11-09 15:30 (51.5h)
Entry: $100,269.00, Exit: $104,467.00 P&L: +4.19% ($+27.54) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-09 08:00 → 11-09 14:30 (6.5h)
Entry: $3,454.00, Exit: $3,618.30 P&L: +4.76% ($+17.66) [TP_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-08 20:00 → 11-09 08:00 (12.0h)
Entry: $17.29, Exit: $17.12 P&L: -0.99% ($-5.12) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-07 20:00 → 11-08 20:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,473.59, Exit: $3,399.95 P&L: -2.12% ($-9.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-08 12:00 → 11-08 14:30 (2.5h)
Entry: $159.85, Exit: $157.40 P&L: -1.53% ($-3.72) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-07 20:00 → 11-08 14:00 (18.0h)
Entry: $17.81, Exit: $17.39 P&L: -2.36% ($-17.84) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-07 20:00 → 11-08 11:45 (15.7h)
Entry: $164.43, Exit: $159.88 P&L: -2.77% ($-14.24) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: SOL showing oversold conditions with RSI(7) at 32.7 and RSI(14) at 42.9 after pullback from $173.84 to $164.57. Price pulled back to test EMA(50) support at $165.82, holding above it. Recent consolidation at $164-$166 forming potential base. EMA trend remains bullish with EMA(20) at $167.21 > EMA(50). Strong bounce setup with 2.5% upside to retest $169 resistance and 5%+ to $173 highs. Recent SL hit at $165.44 cleared weak hands. Entry here offers good R:R with tight stop below $162 support.
Confidence: 70%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 6x
Exit Plan: TP at $173.50 targets recent high at $173.84 (+5.4% gain, 2.0x R:R). SL at $161.80 sits below psychological $162 support and recent consolidation lows (-1.7% risk). This protects against continuation of downtrend. Close manually if BTC breaks below $105k decisively or if SOL fails to reclaim $167 EMA(20) within 12 hours, indicating failed bounce attempt.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $466.15
Allocation: 25.0% ($116.54 margin)
Leverage: 6x
Current price: $164.57
Size: 4.2500 coins
Notional value: $699.42
📝 Executing LONG 4.25 SOL @ 6x with TP: $174, SL: $162
✅ Market order filled @ $164.58
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing choppy consolidation between $105k-$109k with declining momentum. RSI(7) at 42.2 suggests near-term weakness. Price below EMA(20) at $107,040 after recent rejection at $109,315. With 47.8% margin already deployed and recent volatility (ATR $2,252), waiting for clearer directional signal. Need to see either break above $109k with volume or support confirmation at $105k before committing additional capital.
Confidence: 50%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing ETH long at $3,607.10 currently down -0.18% but within acceptable range. Price consolidating near entry with TP at $3,780 (+4.8%) and SL at $3,520 (-2.4%) providing 2:1 R:R. Recent candles show support holding at $3,560-$3,600 zone. RSI(14) at 49.7 is neutral. Price slightly below EMA(20) at $3,605 but maintaining structure. Trust the TP/SL orders - no reason to manually close as thesis remains intact. ETH showing relative strength vs BTC.
Confidence: 65%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing AVAX long at $17.89 currently down -1.89% but still within acceptable drawdown. RSI(7) at 28.1 shows extreme oversold conditions suggesting bounce potential. Price testing $17.56 support with TP at $19.25 (+7.6%) and SL at $17.15 (-4.2%) providing solid 1.96x R:R. Recent pullback appears to be healthy consolidation after spike to $18.48. EMA trend bullish. With margin at 47.8% and SOL position being added, maintaining this position but no additional allocation. Trust existing TP/SL orders.
Confidence: 60%
💾 Database saved: run_id=17
1 order(s) executed
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