Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-20 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-20 06:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $157.55
Margin Used: $33.42 (21.2%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-20 12:00:07 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-20 06:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-18 10:00 → 2025-12-20 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $88,462.00
50h Change: +2.01%
50h Range: $84,071.00 - $90,500.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 13: $90,101.00→$90,353.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 14: $90,306.00→$88,334.00 (-2.2%)
Dec 15: $88,386.00→$86,345.00 (-2.3%)
Dec 16: $86,357.00→$87,542.00 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $87,542.00→$85,874.00 (-1.9%)
Dec 18: $86,000.00→$85,063.00 (-1.1%)
Dec 19: $85,064.00→$88,372.00 (+3.9%)
Dec 20: $88,372.00→$88,462.00 (+0.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-20 04:00: O=$88,384.00 H=$88,696.00 L=$88,270.00 C=$88,482.00 (+0.1%)
12-20 05:00: O=$88,491.00 H=$88,805.00 L=$88,344.00 C=$88,344.00 (-0.2%)
12-20 06:00: O=$88,498.00 H=$90,500.00 L=$88,161.00 C=$88,515.00 (+0.0%)
12-20 07:00: O=$88,555.00 H=$90,260.00 L=$88,162.00 C=$88,464.00 (-0.1%)
12-20 08:00: O=$88,414.00 H=$90,500.00 L=$87,740.00 C=$88,427.00 (+0.0%)
12-20 09:00: O=$88,390.00 H=$88,677.00 L=$88,358.00 C=$88,390.00 (+0.0%)
12-20 10:00: O=$88,394.00 H=$88,430.00 L=$88,303.00 C=$88,337.00 (-0.1%)
12-20 11:00: O=$88,309.00 H=$88,527.00 L=$88,191.00 C=$88,462.00 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 59.2
RSI(14): 51.1
EMA(20): $88,186.22
EMA(50): $87,334.74
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $891.19
ETH:
Current Price: $2,986.80
50h Change: +9.05%
50h Range: $2,693.20 - $3,105.40
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 13: $3,053.80→$3,097.30 (+1.4%)
Dec 14: $3,097.20→$3,048.20 (-1.6%)
Dec 15: $3,054.30→$2,952.40 (-3.3%)
Dec 16: $2,955.40→$2,952.70 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $2,952.70→$2,725.90 (-7.7%)
Dec 18: $2,725.60→$2,812.50 (+3.2%)
Dec 19: $2,812.90→$2,982.80 (+6.0%)
Dec 20: $3,010.20→$2,986.80 (-0.8%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-20 04:00: O=$2,994.50 H=$3,030.90 L=$2,986.20 C=$3,024.70 (+1.0%)
12-20 05:00: O=$2,989.50 H=$3,031.30 L=$2,988.60 C=$3,026.70 (+1.2%)
12-20 06:00: O=$3,026.70 H=$3,031.90 L=$2,988.90 C=$3,026.30 (-0.0%)
12-20 07:00: O=$3,010.70 H=$3,029.30 L=$2,985.30 C=$3,029.30 (+0.6%)
12-20 08:00: O=$3,021.30 H=$3,032.80 L=$2,980.50 C=$2,982.60 (-1.3%)
12-20 09:00: O=$2,984.30 H=$2,987.10 L=$2,980.60 C=$2,982.70 (-0.1%)
12-20 10:00: O=$2,983.60 H=$2,985.90 L=$2,974.90 C=$2,978.30 (-0.2%)
12-20 11:00: O=$2,978.80 H=$2,989.00 L=$2,976.10 C=$2,986.80 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 46.5
RSI(14): 49.7
EMA(20): $2,980.70
EMA(50): $2,907.80
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $56.82
SOL:
Current Price: $126.60
50h Change: +2.38%
50h Range: $117.10 - $133.85
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 13: $132.26→$133.19 (+0.7%)
Dec 14: $133.01→$129.58 (-2.6%)
Dec 15: $129.56→$127.79 (-1.4%)
Dec 16: $127.68→$129.42 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $129.17→$123.21 (-4.6%)
Dec 18: $123.20→$119.74 (-2.8%)
Dec 19: $119.63→$126.41 (+5.7%)
Dec 20: $126.34→$126.60 (+0.2%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-20 04:00: O=$126.34 H=$126.59 L=$126.03 C=$126.38 (+0.0%)
12-20 05:00: O=$126.39 H=$126.82 L=$126.23 C=$126.56 (+0.1%)
12-20 06:00: O=$126.49 H=$127.00 L=$126.39 C=$126.41 (-0.1%)
12-20 07:00: O=$126.43 H=$126.50 L=$126.13 C=$126.37 (-0.0%)
12-20 08:00: O=$126.29 H=$132.75 L=$126.21 C=$132.75 (+5.1%)
12-20 09:00: O=$126.62 H=$133.85 L=$121.71 C=$126.44 (-0.1%)
12-20 10:00: O=$126.43 H=$126.53 L=$126.14 C=$126.19 (-0.2%)
12-20 11:00: O=$126.11 H=$126.66 L=$126.01 C=$126.60 (+0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 48.7
RSI(14): 52.0
EMA(20): $126.46
EMA(50): $124.46
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $2.04
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.29
50h Change: +4.84%
50h Range: $11.27 - $12.39
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 13: $13.10→$13.37 (+2.1%)
Dec 14: $13.37→$12.86 (-3.8%)
Dec 15: $12.95→$12.37 (-4.5%)
Dec 16: $12.35→$12.34 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $12.34→$11.84 (-4.0%)
Dec 18: $11.87→$11.41 (-3.8%)
Dec 19: $11.45→$12.24 (+6.8%)
Dec 20: $12.25→$12.29 (+0.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-20 03:00: O=$12.22 H=$12.27 L=$12.22 C=$12.27 (+0.4%)
12-20 04:00: O=$12.25 H=$12.25 L=$12.20 C=$12.21 (-0.4%)
12-20 05:00: O=$12.24 H=$12.27 L=$12.24 C=$12.24 (+0.0%)
12-20 06:00: O=$12.25 H=$12.27 L=$12.25 C=$12.26 (+0.1%)
12-20 07:00: O=$12.29 H=$12.29 L=$12.25 C=$12.25 (-0.3%)
12-20 08:00: O=$12.33 H=$12.35 L=$12.33 C=$12.35 (+0.2%)
12-20 09:00: O=$12.34 H=$12.35 L=$12.34 C=$12.35 (+0.1%)
12-20 10:00: O=$12.33 H=$12.33 L=$12.29 C=$12.29 (-0.3%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 2.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 55.7
RSI(14): 57.0
EMA(20): $12.22
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (LONG): 7.77 @ $11.99 (Current: $12.29, P&L: +2.50%)
TP: $12.80 (+6.7%)
SL: $11.50 (-4.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.80 (Dec 14 resistance, +6.8% gain). SL at $11.50 (below recent support cluster, -4.1% loss). Exit early if: 1) Price fails to hold above $11.85 on next pullback (EMA support break), 2) BTC/ETH show sharp reversal dragging alts down, 3) Volume dries up indicating weak follow-through. R/R: 1.65:1. Position size conservative at 20% margin with 3x leverage (60% notional) given recent string of losses.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH SHORT: 12-15 18:00 → 12-17 15:20 (45.3h)
Entry: $2,926.40, Exit: $2,990.00 P&L: -2.17% ($-3.49) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-17 18:00 → 12-17 23:50 (5.8h)
Entry: $2,843.00, Exit: $2,779.54 P&L: +2.23% ($+3.34) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-18 00:00 → 12-18 00:05 (0.1h)
Entry: $2,725.60, Exit: $2,828.10 P&L: -3.76% ($-8.16) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-17 18:00 → 12-18 13:50 (19.8h)
Entry: $123.21, Exit: $126.13 P&L: -2.37% ($-3.15) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-18 00:00 → 12-18 13:50 (13.8h)
Entry: $11.87, Exit: $12.10 P&L: -1.96% ($-2.66) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-18 19:50 (1.8h)
Entry: $122.89, Exit: $118.21 P&L: +3.81% ($+7.58) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-19 00:00 → 12-19 05:05 (5.1h)
Entry: $119.59, Exit: $122.80 P&L: -2.68% ($-2.82) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 06:00 (12.0h)
Entry: $2,789.30, Exit: $2,906.90 P&L: -4.22% ($-5.20) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 07:20 (13.3h)
Entry: $11.63, Exit: $12.08 P&L: -3.86% ($-6.43) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-19 06:00 → 12-19 09:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $122.63, Exit: $125.61 P&L: -2.43% ($-3.01) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing consolidation around $88,462 after yesterday's +3.9% bounce from $85k. Price above both EMA20 ($88,186) and EMA50 ($87,334) confirming bullish structure, but RSI(14) at 51.1 is neutral. Recent 8h candles show wicks to $90,500 with rejection, indicating resistance. No clear entry setup - need either breakout above $90,500 or pullback to $87k support for better risk/reward. Current margin usage at 21.2% allows flexibility for better opportunities.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH at $2,986 after strong +9% recovery from $2,693 lows. Price consolidated near EMA20 ($2,981) with bullish structure intact (above EMA50 at $2,908). However, recent 8h candles show loss of momentum - declining from $3,030 highs with RSI(7) at 46.5 and RSI(14) at 49.7 (both neutral/slightly bearish). No clear directional bias. Given recent string of failed SHORT positions on ETH (3 SL hits), better to wait for clearer setup rather than force a trade. Need breakout above $3,030 or breakdown below $2,975 for conviction.
Confidence: 55%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL at $126.60 showing tight consolidation after yesterday's +5.7% bounce. Price hugging EMA20 ($126.46) with bullish structure above EMA50 ($124.46). RSI neutral at 48.7/52.0. Notable volatility spike at 08:00-09:00 UTC with wicks to $133.85 and $121.71 (likely liquidation cascade), now settled. ATR at $2.04 suggests compressed range. Without clear directional conviction and given 4 recent failed SHORT positions (3 SL hits), prefer to wait for breakout above $128 or breakdown below $125 before entering. Current AVAX position already provides alt exposure.
Confidence: 50%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX LONG position performing well (+2.50% P&L, entry $11.99, current $12.29). Position thesis remains valid: price holding above EMA20 ($12.22) with bullish structure, RSI healthy at 55.7/57.0, and +4.84% recovery from $11.27 lows intact. TP at $12.80 is reasonable target (Dec 14 resistance), SL at $11.50 provides adequate protection. Recent 8h candles show stable consolidation around $12.25-$12.35 range. WARNING: Data is 2h stale, but no reason to close prematurely - trust the TP/SL orders to execute automatically. Position uses 21.2% margin (conservative sizing), leaving room for additional opportunities.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=171
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