Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-21 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-20 18:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $156.75
Margin Used: $32.61 (20.8%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-21 00:00:08 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-20 18:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-18 22:00 → 2025-12-21 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $88,507.00
50h Change: +3.83%
50h Range: $84,317.00 - $90,500.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 14: $90,306.00→$88,334.00 (-2.2%)
Dec 15: $88,386.00→$86,345.00 (-2.3%)
Dec 16: $86,357.00→$87,542.00 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $87,542.00→$85,874.00 (-1.9%)
Dec 18: $86,000.00→$85,063.00 (-1.1%)
Dec 19: $85,064.00→$88,372.00 (+3.9%)
Dec 20: $88,372.00→$88,661.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 21: $88,664.00→$88,507.00 (-0.2%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-20 17:00: O=$88,346.00 H=$88,548.00 L=$88,317.00 C=$88,364.00 (+0.0%)
12-20 18:00: O=$88,394.00 H=$88,956.00 L=$88,072.00 C=$88,495.00 (+0.1%)
12-20 19:00: O=$88,477.00 H=$88,628.00 L=$88,374.00 C=$88,493.00 (+0.0%)
12-20 20:00: O=$88,416.00 H=$88,587.00 L=$88,398.00 C=$88,587.00 (+0.2%)
12-20 21:00: O=$88,461.00 H=$88,673.00 L=$88,393.00 C=$88,426.00 (-0.0%)
12-20 22:00: O=$88,444.00 H=$88,787.00 L=$88,378.00 C=$88,542.00 (+0.1%)
12-20 23:00: O=$88,572.00 H=$90,167.00 L=$88,538.00 C=$88,661.00 (+0.1%)
12-21 00:00: O=$88,664.00 H=$88,664.00 L=$88,507.00 C=$88,507.00 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 52.0
RSI(14): 57.0
EMA(20): $88,399.33
EMA(50): $87,854.01
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $605.10
ETH:
Current Price: $2,978.50
50h Change: +5.85%
50h Range: $2,705.70 - $3,105.40
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 14: $3,097.20→$3,048.20 (-1.6%)
Dec 15: $3,054.30→$2,952.40 (-3.3%)
Dec 16: $2,955.40→$2,952.70 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $2,952.70→$2,725.90 (-7.7%)
Dec 18: $2,725.60→$2,812.50 (+3.2%)
Dec 19: $2,812.90→$2,982.80 (+6.0%)
Dec 20: $3,010.20→$2,978.50 (-1.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-20 16:00: O=$2,977.70 H=$2,980.70 L=$2,973.70 C=$2,977.80 (+0.0%)
12-20 17:00: O=$2,979.60 H=$2,980.90 L=$2,975.80 C=$2,979.60 (+0.0%)
12-20 18:00: O=$2,978.70 H=$2,984.90 L=$2,974.40 C=$2,977.80 (-0.0%)
12-20 19:00: O=$2,976.50 H=$2,981.20 L=$2,970.40 C=$2,977.90 (+0.0%)
12-20 20:00: O=$2,977.70 H=$2,990.30 L=$2,977.60 C=$2,984.00 (+0.2%)
12-20 21:00: O=$2,985.30 H=$2,985.90 L=$2,978.60 C=$2,979.10 (-0.2%)
12-20 22:00: O=$2,979.60 H=$2,980.80 L=$2,973.90 C=$2,978.60 (-0.0%)
12-20 23:00: O=$2,976.90 H=$2,979.70 L=$2,972.80 C=$2,978.50 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 44.1
RSI(14): 52.7
EMA(20): $2,979.75
EMA(50): $2,948.73
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $27.59
SOL:
Current Price: $125.96
50h Change: +4.92%
50h Range: $117.73 - $133.85
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 14: $133.01→$129.58 (-2.6%)
Dec 15: $129.56→$127.79 (-1.4%)
Dec 16: $127.68→$129.42 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $129.17→$123.21 (-4.6%)
Dec 18: $123.20→$119.74 (-2.8%)
Dec 19: $119.63→$126.41 (+5.7%)
Dec 20: $126.34→$125.96 (-0.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-20 16:00: O=$126.71 H=$126.74 L=$126.25 C=$126.49 (-0.2%)
12-20 17:00: O=$126.49 H=$126.53 L=$126.15 C=$126.16 (-0.3%)
12-20 18:00: O=$126.19 H=$126.32 L=$125.86 C=$126.19 (+0.0%)
12-20 19:00: O=$126.12 H=$126.34 L=$125.97 C=$126.24 (+0.1%)
12-20 20:00: O=$126.17 H=$126.69 L=$126.05 C=$126.63 (+0.4%)
12-20 21:00: O=$126.61 H=$126.71 L=$126.38 C=$126.48 (-0.1%)
12-20 22:00: O=$126.48 H=$126.66 L=$125.96 C=$126.32 (-0.1%)
12-20 23:00: O=$126.22 H=$126.24 L=$125.82 C=$125.96 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 41.1
RSI(14): 48.3
EMA(20): $126.33
EMA(50): $125.22
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.13
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.20
50h Change: +5.58%
50h Range: $11.27 - $12.39
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 14: $13.37→$12.86 (-3.8%)
Dec 15: $12.95→$12.37 (-4.5%)
Dec 16: $12.35→$12.34 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $12.34→$11.84 (-4.0%)
Dec 18: $11.87→$11.41 (-3.8%)
Dec 19: $11.45→$12.24 (+6.8%)
Dec 20: $12.25→$12.20 (-0.5%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-20 16:00: O=$12.28 H=$12.28 L=$12.28 C=$12.28 (+0.0%)
12-20 17:00: O=$12.28 H=$12.28 L=$12.28 C=$12.28 (+0.0%)
12-20 18:00: O=$12.25 H=$12.25 L=$12.24 C=$12.24 (-0.1%)
12-20 19:00: O=$12.26 H=$12.26 L=$12.24 C=$12.26 (-0.0%)
12-20 20:00: O=$12.25 H=$12.26 L=$12.25 C=$12.25 (+0.0%)
12-20 21:00: O=$12.26 H=$12.26 L=$12.19 C=$12.19 (-0.5%)
12-20 22:00: O=$12.19 H=$12.19 L=$12.19 C=$12.19 (+0.0%)
12-20 23:00: O=$12.18 H=$12.20 L=$12.18 C=$12.20 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 37.5
RSI(14): 47.4
EMA(20): $12.22
EMA(50): $12.09
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.05
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (LONG): 7.77 @ $11.99 (Current: $12.20, P&L: +1.68%)
TP: $12.80 (+6.7%)
SL: $11.50 (-4.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.80 (Dec 14 resistance, +6.8% gain). SL at $11.50 (below recent support cluster, -4.1% loss). Exit early if: 1) Price fails to hold above $11.85 on next pullback (EMA support break), 2) BTC/ETH show sharp reversal dragging alts down, 3) Volume dries up indicating weak follow-through. R/R: 1.65:1. Position size conservative at 20% margin with 3x leverage (60% notional) given recent string of losses.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH SHORT: 12-15 18:00 → 12-17 15:20 (45.3h)
Entry: $2,926.40, Exit: $2,990.00 P&L: -2.17% ($-3.49) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-17 18:00 → 12-17 23:50 (5.8h)
Entry: $2,843.00, Exit: $2,779.54 P&L: +2.23% ($+3.34) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-18 00:00 → 12-18 00:05 (0.1h)
Entry: $2,725.60, Exit: $2,828.10 P&L: -3.76% ($-8.16) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-17 18:00 → 12-18 13:50 (19.8h)
Entry: $123.21, Exit: $126.13 P&L: -2.37% ($-3.15) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-18 00:00 → 12-18 13:50 (13.8h)
Entry: $11.87, Exit: $12.10 P&L: -1.96% ($-2.66) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-18 19:50 (1.8h)
Entry: $122.89, Exit: $118.21 P&L: +3.81% ($+7.58) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-19 00:00 → 12-19 05:05 (5.1h)
Entry: $119.59, Exit: $122.80 P&L: -2.68% ($-2.82) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 06:00 (12.0h)
Entry: $2,789.30, Exit: $2,906.90 P&L: -4.22% ($-5.20) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 07:20 (13.3h)
Entry: $11.63, Exit: $12.08 P&L: -3.86% ($-6.43) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-19 06:00 → 12-19 09:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $122.63, Exit: $125.61 P&L: -2.43% ($-3.01) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing consolidation around $88.5k after recovery from $84.3k low. Price above both 20/50 EMA (bullish structure), neutral RSI(14) at 57. Recent spike to $90.1k rejected quickly. No clear setup - waiting for either breakout above $90k resistance or pullback to $87k support for better entry. Current margin usage at 20.8% allows room for new positions when clearer signals emerge.
Confidence: 50%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH recovered strongly from $2,705 to $3,105 but now consolidating tightly around $2,978. Price right at 20 EMA ($2,979), above 50 EMA (bullish). RSI neutral at 52.7. Recent 8h candles show extremely tight range ($2,970-$2,990) indicating compression before next move. Pattern suggests waiting for breakout direction rather than guessing. Given recent string of failed SHORT positions on ETH (3 consecutive SL hits), need clearer confirmation before re-entering.
Confidence: 45%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL showing weakness with declining price action in recent 8h candles ($126.7 → $125.96). RSI(7) at 41.1 suggests near-term weakness, but price still above 50 EMA ($125.22) maintaining bullish structure. However, price now below 20 EMA ($126.33) - minor bearish signal. Recent history shows 4 failed SHORT attempts with quick reversals. Current tight consolidation needs to resolve before entry. Waiting for either: 1) Clear break above $127 for LONG, or 2) Break below $125 with volume for SHORT.
Confidence: 40%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX LONG position currently +1.68% profit at $12.20 (entry $11.99). Position is performing as planned - price consolidated above entry and holding support. TP at $12.80 is appropriate target (+6.7%), SL at $11.50 provides protection. CRITICAL: Trust the TP/SL orders already in place - they execute 24/7. Current price action shows slight weakness (RSI 37.5, below 20 EMA at $12.22) but this is normal consolidation after the +6.8% rally on Dec 19. No thesis invalidation: bullish structure intact (above 50 EMA), just digesting gains. Avoid churning - let position run to TP or SL.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=173
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