Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-21 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-21 00:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $156.23
Margin Used: $32.09 (20.5%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-21 06:00:08 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-21 00:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-19 04:00 → 2025-12-21 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $88,432.00
50h Change: +1.97%
50h Range: $86,491.00 - $90,500.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 14: $90,306.00→$88,334.00 (-2.2%)
Dec 15: $88,386.00→$86,345.00 (-2.3%)
Dec 16: $86,357.00→$87,542.00 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $87,542.00→$85,874.00 (-1.9%)
Dec 18: $86,000.00→$85,063.00 (-1.1%)
Dec 19: $85,064.00→$88,372.00 (+3.9%)
Dec 20: $88,372.00→$88,661.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 21: $88,664.00→$88,432.00 (-0.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-20 22:00: O=$88,444.00 H=$88,787.00 L=$88,378.00 C=$88,542.00 (+0.1%)
12-20 23:00: O=$88,572.00 H=$90,167.00 L=$88,538.00 C=$88,661.00 (+0.1%)
12-21 00:00: O=$88,664.00 H=$88,745.00 L=$88,454.00 C=$88,635.00 (-0.0%)
12-21 01:00: O=$88,555.00 H=$88,614.00 L=$88,230.00 C=$88,247.00 (-0.3%)
12-21 02:00: O=$88,201.00 H=$88,342.00 L=$88,073.00 C=$88,155.00 (-0.1%)
12-21 03:00: O=$88,130.00 H=$88,520.00 L=$88,130.00 C=$88,331.00 (+0.2%)
12-21 04:00: O=$88,297.00 H=$88,601.00 L=$88,297.00 C=$88,320.00 (+0.0%)
12-21 05:00: O=$88,348.00 H=$88,618.00 L=$88,297.00 C=$88,432.00 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 52.3
RSI(14): 53.6
EMA(20): $88,386.82
EMA(50): $88,185.08
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $523.52
ETH:
Current Price: $2,974.00
50h Change: +3.66%
50h Range: $2,815.00 - $3,105.40
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 14: $3,097.20→$3,048.20 (-1.6%)
Dec 15: $3,054.30→$2,952.40 (-3.3%)
Dec 16: $2,955.40→$2,952.70 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $2,952.70→$2,725.90 (-7.7%)
Dec 18: $2,725.60→$2,812.50 (+3.2%)
Dec 19: $2,812.90→$2,982.80 (+6.0%)
Dec 20: $3,010.20→$2,978.50 (-1.1%)
Dec 21: $2,978.80→$2,974.00 (-0.2%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-20 22:00: O=$2,979.60 H=$2,980.80 L=$2,973.90 C=$2,978.60 (-0.0%)
12-20 23:00: O=$2,976.90 H=$2,979.70 L=$2,972.80 C=$2,978.50 (+0.1%)
12-21 00:00: O=$2,978.80 H=$2,981.60 L=$2,976.40 C=$2,979.90 (+0.0%)
12-21 01:00: O=$2,979.50 H=$2,979.50 L=$2,962.70 C=$2,967.50 (-0.4%)
12-21 02:00: O=$2,967.40 H=$2,974.40 L=$2,962.30 C=$2,965.10 (-0.1%)
12-21 03:00: O=$2,965.80 H=$2,982.20 L=$2,965.80 C=$2,973.50 (+0.3%)
12-21 04:00: O=$2,973.60 H=$2,980.10 L=$2,972.40 C=$2,976.90 (+0.1%)
12-21 05:00: O=$2,975.10 H=$2,978.70 L=$2,973.20 C=$2,974.00 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 46.2
RSI(14): 61.2
EMA(20): $2,976.80
EMA(50): $2,966.27
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $22.25
SOL:
Current Price: $125.51
50h Change: +3.23%
50h Range: $121.47 - $133.85
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 14: $133.01→$129.58 (-2.6%)
Dec 15: $129.56→$127.79 (-1.4%)
Dec 16: $127.68→$129.42 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $129.17→$123.21 (-4.6%)
Dec 18: $123.20→$119.74 (-2.8%)
Dec 19: $119.63→$126.41 (+5.7%)
Dec 20: $126.34→$125.96 (-0.3%)
Dec 21: $125.91→$125.51 (-0.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-20 22:00: O=$126.48 H=$126.66 L=$125.96 C=$126.32 (-0.1%)
12-20 23:00: O=$126.22 H=$126.24 L=$125.82 C=$125.96 (-0.2%)
12-21 00:00: O=$125.91 H=$126.23 L=$125.74 C=$126.13 (+0.2%)
12-21 01:00: O=$126.10 H=$126.10 L=$125.27 C=$125.27 (-0.7%)
12-21 02:00: O=$125.21 H=$125.47 L=$124.82 C=$125.07 (-0.1%)
12-21 03:00: O=$124.97 H=$125.67 L=$124.97 C=$125.46 (+0.4%)
12-21 04:00: O=$125.33 H=$125.58 L=$125.30 C=$125.38 (+0.0%)
12-21 05:00: O=$125.30 H=$125.69 L=$125.26 C=$125.51 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 42.0
RSI(14): 45.5
EMA(20): $125.96
EMA(50): $125.93
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.92
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.10
50h Change: +2.98%
50h Range: $11.75 - $12.39
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 14: $13.37→$12.86 (-3.8%)
Dec 15: $12.95→$12.37 (-4.5%)
Dec 16: $12.35→$12.34 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $12.34→$11.84 (-4.0%)
Dec 18: $11.87→$11.41 (-3.8%)
Dec 19: $11.45→$12.24 (+6.8%)
Dec 20: $12.25→$12.20 (-0.5%)
Dec 21: $12.14→$12.10 (-0.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-20 19:00: O=$12.26 H=$12.26 L=$12.24 C=$12.26 (-0.0%)
12-20 20:00: O=$12.25 H=$12.26 L=$12.25 C=$12.25 (+0.0%)
12-20 21:00: O=$12.26 H=$12.26 L=$12.19 C=$12.19 (-0.5%)
12-20 22:00: O=$12.19 H=$12.19 L=$12.19 C=$12.19 (+0.0%)
12-20 23:00: O=$12.18 H=$12.20 L=$12.18 C=$12.20 (+0.1%)
12-21 00:00: O=$12.20 H=$12.20 L=$12.20 C=$12.20 (+0.0%)
12-21 01:00: O=$12.14 H=$12.14 L=$12.14 C=$12.14 (+0.0%)
12-21 02:00: O=$12.10 H=$12.10 L=$12.10 C=$12.10 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 4.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 21.4
RSI(14): 38.6
EMA(20): $12.21
ATR(14): $0.04
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (LONG): 7.77 @ $11.99 (Current: $12.10, P&L: +0.92%)
TP: $12.80 (+6.7%)
SL: $11.50 (-4.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.80 (Dec 14 resistance, +6.8% gain). SL at $11.50 (below recent support cluster, -4.1% loss). Exit early if: 1) Price fails to hold above $11.85 on next pullback (EMA support break), 2) BTC/ETH show sharp reversal dragging alts down, 3) Volume dries up indicating weak follow-through. R/R: 1.65:1. Position size conservative at 20% margin with 3x leverage (60% notional) given recent string of losses.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH SHORT: 12-15 18:00 → 12-17 15:20 (45.3h)
Entry: $2,926.40, Exit: $2,990.00 P&L: -2.17% ($-3.49) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-17 18:00 → 12-17 23:50 (5.8h)
Entry: $2,843.00, Exit: $2,779.54 P&L: +2.23% ($+3.34) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-18 00:00 → 12-18 00:05 (0.1h)
Entry: $2,725.60, Exit: $2,828.10 P&L: -3.76% ($-8.16) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-17 18:00 → 12-18 13:50 (19.8h)
Entry: $123.21, Exit: $126.13 P&L: -2.37% ($-3.15) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-18 00:00 → 12-18 13:50 (13.8h)
Entry: $11.87, Exit: $12.10 P&L: -1.96% ($-2.66) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-18 19:50 (1.8h)
Entry: $122.89, Exit: $118.21 P&L: +3.81% ($+7.58) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-19 00:00 → 12-19 05:05 (5.1h)
Entry: $119.59, Exit: $122.80 P&L: -2.68% ($-2.82) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 06:00 (12.0h)
Entry: $2,789.30, Exit: $2,906.90 P&L: -4.22% ($-5.20) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 07:20 (13.3h)
Entry: $11.63, Exit: $12.08 P&L: -3.86% ($-6.43) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-19 06:00 → 12-19 09:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $122.63, Exit: $125.61 P&L: -2.43% ($-3.01) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing consolidation near $88.4k after recovering from $85k lows. Price is above both EMA20 ($88,387) and EMA50 ($88,185) indicating bullish structure, but RSI neutral at 52-54 shows no strong directional bias. Recent 8h candles show tight range with no clear breakout. With 20.5% margin already deployed on AVAX, and BTC lacking clear entry setup, preserving capital is prudent. Would need break above $90k resistance or pullback to $87k support for high-conviction entry.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH consolidated tightly around $2,975 for past 8 hours after strong recovery from $2,725 lows. Price slightly below EMA20 ($2,977) but above EMA50 ($2,966). RSI(14) at 61.2 shows strength but RSI(7) at 46.2 indicates recent cooling. Recent trading history shows 4 failed SHORT attempts with -2.17%, -3.76%, -4.22%, -3.86% losses, suggesting this asset is difficult to trade in current conditions. Tight consolidation offers no edge - need clear breakout above $3,000 or breakdown below $2,960 for conviction entry. Avoiding after recent losses.
Confidence: 55%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL at $125.51, slightly below EMA20 ($125.96) after brief recovery from $119 lows. RSI(7) at 42 and RSI(14) at 45.5 both below 50, indicating weakening momentum despite bullish EMA trend. Recent 8h candles show indecision with small ranges. Trading history shows 4 failed SHORT attempts recently (-2.37%, -2.68%, -2.43%) indicating whipsaw conditions. Current position is right at the knife's edge between EMAs. No clear setup - would need RSI oversold + support test around $124 for LONG, or break below $124.50 with volume for SHORT. Waiting for clarity.
Confidence: 50%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing LONG position at $11.99, currently +0.92% at $12.10. Position thesis remains valid: price holding above entry and recent support at $11.85-$12.00 zone. TP at $12.80 targets Dec 14 resistance level (+6.7% from entry, +5.7% from current). SL at $11.50 protects against breakdown. WARNING: Data is 4h stale, but last candles showed tight consolidation at $12.10-$12.20 range. RSI(14) at 38.6 shows room to run higher without being overbought. Price slightly below EMA20 ($12.21) but this is acceptable consolidation after +6.8% rally from $11.45. Trust the TP/SL orders - no reason to close manually. Position sizing is conservative at 20% margin.
Confidence: 65%
💾 Database saved: run_id=174
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