Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-22 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-21 18:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $156.30
Margin Used: $32.16 (20.6%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-22 00:00:08 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-21 18:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-19 22:00 → 2025-12-22 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $88,853.00
50h Change: +1.01%
50h Range: $87,740.00 - $90,818.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 15: $88,386.00→$86,345.00 (-2.3%)
Dec 16: $86,357.00→$87,542.00 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $87,542.00→$85,874.00 (-1.9%)
Dec 18: $86,000.00→$85,063.00 (-1.1%)
Dec 19: $85,064.00→$88,372.00 (+3.9%)
Dec 20: $88,372.00→$88,661.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 21: $88,664.00→$88,853.00 (+0.2%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-21 16:00: O=$88,133.00 H=$88,528.00 L=$88,124.00 C=$88,528.00 (+0.4%)
12-21 17:00: O=$88,500.00 H=$88,603.00 L=$88,423.00 C=$88,483.00 (-0.0%)
12-21 18:00: O=$88,375.00 H=$88,614.00 L=$88,094.00 C=$88,580.00 (+0.2%)
12-21 19:00: O=$88,611.00 H=$88,777.00 L=$88,400.00 C=$88,716.00 (+0.1%)
12-21 20:00: O=$88,662.00 H=$88,674.00 L=$88,446.00 C=$88,479.00 (-0.2%)
12-21 21:00: O=$88,479.00 H=$88,605.00 L=$88,314.00 C=$88,374.00 (-0.1%)
12-21 22:00: O=$88,366.00 H=$88,763.00 L=$88,291.00 C=$88,678.00 (+0.4%)
12-21 23:00: O=$88,704.00 H=$88,933.00 L=$88,595.00 C=$88,853.00 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 62.1
RSI(14): 55.7
EMA(20): $88,548.11
EMA(50): $88,475.72
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $473.09
ETH:
Current Price: $3,001.30
50h Change: +0.14%
50h Range: $2,944.30 - $3,054.90
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 15: $3,054.30→$2,952.40 (-3.3%)
Dec 16: $2,955.40→$2,952.70 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $2,952.70→$2,725.90 (-7.7%)
Dec 18: $2,725.60→$2,812.50 (+3.2%)
Dec 19: $2,812.90→$2,982.80 (+6.0%)
Dec 20: $3,010.20→$2,978.50 (-1.1%)
Dec 21: $2,978.80→$3,001.30 (+0.8%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-21 16:00: O=$2,974.30 H=$2,985.30 L=$2,969.60 C=$2,985.30 (+0.4%)
12-21 17:00: O=$2,986.80 H=$2,988.00 L=$2,977.90 C=$2,982.00 (-0.2%)
12-21 18:00: O=$2,983.70 H=$2,986.60 L=$2,970.00 C=$2,986.60 (+0.1%)
12-21 19:00: O=$2,991.90 H=$2,996.30 L=$2,982.20 C=$2,991.00 (-0.0%)
12-21 20:00: O=$2,992.20 H=$2,993.70 L=$2,985.70 C=$2,986.40 (-0.2%)
12-21 21:00: O=$2,986.40 H=$2,989.80 L=$2,970.90 C=$2,971.90 (-0.5%)
12-21 22:00: O=$2,971.20 H=$2,995.80 L=$2,971.20 C=$2,995.80 (+0.8%)
12-21 23:00: O=$2,995.80 H=$3,011.70 L=$2,993.10 C=$3,001.30 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 62.4
RSI(14): 56.1
EMA(20): $2,985.08
EMA(50): $2,987.10
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $18.04
SOL:
Current Price: $125.90
50h Change: -0.84%
50h Range: $117.35 - $133.85
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 15: $129.56→$127.79 (-1.4%)
Dec 16: $127.68→$129.42 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $129.17→$123.21 (-4.6%)
Dec 18: $123.20→$119.74 (-2.8%)
Dec 19: $119.63→$126.41 (+5.7%)
Dec 20: $126.34→$125.96 (-0.3%)
Dec 21: $125.91→$125.90 (-0.0%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-21 16:00: O=$125.09 H=$125.68 L=$124.94 C=$125.61 (+0.4%)
12-21 17:00: O=$125.63 H=$126.45 L=$125.51 C=$125.63 (+0.0%)
12-21 18:00: O=$125.56 H=$125.56 L=$124.51 C=$125.29 (-0.2%)
12-21 19:00: O=$125.28 H=$126.00 L=$125.24 C=$125.80 (+0.4%)
12-21 20:00: O=$125.80 H=$125.94 L=$125.49 C=$125.53 (-0.2%)
12-21 21:00: O=$125.50 H=$125.52 L=$124.85 C=$124.97 (-0.4%)
12-21 22:00: O=$125.00 H=$126.02 L=$124.97 C=$125.90 (+0.7%)
12-21 23:00: O=$126.07 H=$126.48 L=$117.35 C=$125.90 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 56.8
RSI(14): 50.2
EMA(20): $125.58
EMA(50): $126.06
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.49
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.09
50h Change: -1.73%
50h Range: $11.97 - $12.35
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 15: $12.95→$12.37 (-4.5%)
Dec 16: $12.35→$12.34 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $12.34→$11.84 (-4.0%)
Dec 18: $11.87→$11.41 (-3.8%)
Dec 19: $11.45→$12.24 (+6.8%)
Dec 20: $12.25→$12.20 (-0.5%)
Dec 21: $12.14→$12.09 (-0.4%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-21 16:00: O=$12.11 H=$12.15 L=$12.11 C=$12.12 (+0.0%)
12-21 17:00: O=$12.16 H=$12.16 L=$12.08 C=$12.08 (-0.7%)
12-21 18:00: O=$12.05 H=$12.06 L=$12.01 C=$12.06 (+0.1%)
12-21 19:00: O=$12.11 H=$12.11 L=$12.05 C=$12.06 (-0.4%)
12-21 20:00: O=$12.08 H=$12.08 L=$12.08 C=$12.08 (-0.0%)
12-21 21:00: O=$12.04 H=$12.05 L=$11.98 C=$11.98 (-0.5%)
12-21 22:00: O=$12.03 H=$12.11 L=$12.03 C=$12.11 (+0.7%)
12-21 23:00: O=$12.09 H=$12.09 L=$12.09 C=$12.09 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 50.4
RSI(14): 45.7
EMA(20): $12.11
EMA(50): $12.19
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.06
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (LONG): 7.77 @ $11.99 (Current: $12.09, P&L: +0.83%)
TP: $12.80 (+6.7%)
SL: $11.50 (-4.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.80 (Dec 14 resistance, +6.8% gain). SL at $11.50 (below recent support cluster, -4.1% loss). Exit early if: 1) Price fails to hold above $11.85 on next pullback (EMA support break), 2) BTC/ETH show sharp reversal dragging alts down, 3) Volume dries up indicating weak follow-through. R/R: 1.65:1. Position size conservative at 20% margin with 3x leverage (60% notional) given recent string of losses.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH SHORT: 12-15 18:00 → 12-17 15:20 (45.3h)
Entry: $2,926.40, Exit: $2,990.00 P&L: -2.17% ($-3.49) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-17 18:00 → 12-17 23:50 (5.8h)
Entry: $2,843.00, Exit: $2,779.54 P&L: +2.23% ($+3.34) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-18 00:00 → 12-18 00:05 (0.1h)
Entry: $2,725.60, Exit: $2,828.10 P&L: -3.76% ($-8.16) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-17 18:00 → 12-18 13:50 (19.8h)
Entry: $123.21, Exit: $126.13 P&L: -2.37% ($-3.15) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-18 00:00 → 12-18 13:50 (13.8h)
Entry: $11.87, Exit: $12.10 P&L: -1.96% ($-2.66) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-18 19:50 (1.8h)
Entry: $122.89, Exit: $118.21 P&L: +3.81% ($+7.58) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-19 00:00 → 12-19 05:05 (5.1h)
Entry: $119.59, Exit: $122.80 P&L: -2.68% ($-2.82) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 06:00 (12.0h)
Entry: $2,789.30, Exit: $2,906.90 P&L: -4.22% ($-5.20) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 07:20 (13.3h)
Entry: $11.63, Exit: $12.08 P&L: -3.86% ($-6.43) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-19 06:00 → 12-19 09:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $122.63, Exit: $125.61 P&L: -2.43% ($-3.01) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing consolidation at $88.8k with neutral structure. Price above both EMAs (bullish alignment) but RSI(14) at 55.7 shows no extreme. Recent recovery from $85k looks constructive but lacks volume confirmation for new longs. Range-bound between $87.7k-$90.8k. With 20.6% margin already deployed, prudent to wait for clearer directional break above $90k resistance or pullback to $87.5k support for better R/R entry.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH at $3,001 showing bearish EMA structure (price below EMA50) despite recent bounce. RSI(14) 56.1 neutral. Price struggling at $3k psychological resistance after violent -7.7% drop on Dec 17. Recent trade history shows 4 stopped-out shorts in this choppy environment - clear signal this asset is whipsawing. Without clear trend and given poor recent performance, avoid new positions. Need break above $3,050 for bullish confirmation or rejection back to $2,950 for short setup.
Confidence: 55%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL at $125.90 showing bearish EMA trend (price below EMA50 at $126.06) but recent candle shows extreme wick to $117.35 - likely stop hunt or flash crash that recovered. RSI(14) 50.2 perfectly neutral. Recent trade history catastrophic: 5 stopped shorts in row. This asset punishing both directions. Price consolidating in tight $125-126 range. Wait for clear break: above $127 for long or below $124 for short. Current setup offers no edge.
Confidence: 50%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing LONG position at $11.99, current $12.09 (+0.83%). Position working as planned with price holding above entry. TP at $12.80 (+6.7%) and SL at $11.50 (-4.1%) are properly placed. Price consolidating just above EMA20 ($12.11) in tight range. Trust the TP/SL orders - they execute 24/7. No reason to close manually as thesis intact: price holding support, no trend invalidation. Recent 8h candles show stability around $12.05-12.11. Let position run to targets per original plan.
Confidence: 65%
💾 Database saved: run_id=177
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