Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-22 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-22 00:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $156.53
Margin Used: $32.39 (20.7%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-22 06:00:07 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-22 00:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-20 04:00 → 2025-12-22 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $89,058.00
50h Change: +0.76%
50h Range: $87,740.00 - $90,818.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 15: $88,386.00→$86,345.00 (-2.3%)
Dec 16: $86,357.00→$87,542.00 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $87,542.00→$85,874.00 (-1.9%)
Dec 18: $86,000.00→$85,063.00 (-1.1%)
Dec 19: $85,064.00→$88,372.00 (+3.9%)
Dec 20: $88,372.00→$88,661.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 21: $88,664.00→$88,853.00 (+0.2%)
Dec 22: $88,853.00→$89,058.00 (+0.2%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-21 22:00: O=$88,366.00 H=$88,763.00 L=$88,291.00 C=$88,678.00 (+0.4%)
12-21 23:00: O=$88,704.00 H=$88,933.00 L=$88,595.00 C=$88,853.00 (+0.2%)
12-22 00:00: O=$88,853.00 H=$89,758.00 L=$88,809.00 C=$88,950.00 (+0.1%)
12-22 01:00: O=$88,950.00 H=$89,382.00 L=$88,707.00 C=$88,838.00 (-0.1%)
12-22 02:00: O=$88,753.00 H=$88,753.00 L=$88,241.00 C=$88,660.00 (-0.1%)
12-22 03:00: O=$88,623.00 H=$89,003.00 L=$88,447.00 C=$88,870.00 (+0.3%)
12-22 04:00: O=$88,974.00 H=$89,236.00 L=$88,933.00 C=$89,064.00 (+0.1%)
12-22 05:00: O=$89,123.00 H=$89,183.00 L=$88,991.00 C=$89,058.00 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 64.6
RSI(14): 58.0
EMA(20): $88,715.50
EMA(50): $88,542.76
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $499.97
ETH:
Current Price: $3,028.40
50h Change: +1.13%
50h Range: $2,944.30 - $3,052.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 15: $3,054.30→$2,952.40 (-3.3%)
Dec 16: $2,955.40→$2,952.70 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $2,952.70→$2,725.90 (-7.7%)
Dec 18: $2,725.60→$2,812.50 (+3.2%)
Dec 19: $2,812.90→$2,982.80 (+6.0%)
Dec 20: $3,010.20→$2,978.50 (-1.1%)
Dec 21: $2,978.80→$3,001.30 (+0.8%)
Dec 22: $3,002.30→$3,028.40 (+0.9%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-21 22:00: O=$2,971.20 H=$2,995.80 L=$2,971.20 C=$2,995.80 (+0.8%)
12-21 23:00: O=$2,995.80 H=$3,011.70 L=$2,993.10 C=$3,001.30 (+0.2%)
12-22 00:00: O=$3,002.30 H=$3,052.00 L=$3,000.20 C=$3,028.00 (+0.9%)
12-22 01:00: O=$3,027.10 H=$3,046.20 L=$3,019.40 C=$3,019.90 (-0.2%)
12-22 02:00: O=$3,017.50 H=$3,017.50 L=$2,976.60 C=$3,008.80 (-0.3%)
12-22 03:00: O=$3,010.70 H=$3,027.20 L=$3,001.00 C=$3,019.60 (+0.3%)
12-22 04:00: O=$3,020.90 H=$3,039.80 L=$3,020.00 C=$3,035.80 (+0.5%)
12-22 05:00: O=$3,039.20 H=$3,040.10 L=$3,026.00 C=$3,028.40 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 63.8
RSI(14): 61.2
EMA(20): $3,002.71
EMA(50): $2,990.02
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $21.54
SOL:
Current Price: $126.26
50h Change: -0.06%
50h Range: $117.35 - $133.85
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 15: $129.56→$127.79 (-1.4%)
Dec 16: $127.68→$129.42 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $129.17→$123.21 (-4.6%)
Dec 18: $123.20→$119.74 (-2.8%)
Dec 19: $119.63→$126.41 (+5.7%)
Dec 20: $126.34→$125.96 (-0.3%)
Dec 21: $125.91→$125.90 (-0.0%)
Dec 22: $125.93→$126.25 (+0.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-21 22:00: O=$125.00 H=$126.02 L=$124.97 C=$125.90 (+0.7%)
12-21 23:00: O=$126.07 H=$126.48 L=$117.35 C=$125.90 (-0.1%)
12-22 00:00: O=$125.93 H=$128.31 L=$125.92 C=$126.14 (+0.2%)
12-22 01:00: O=$126.34 H=$127.21 L=$125.86 C=$125.91 (-0.3%)
12-22 02:00: O=$125.90 H=$125.90 L=$124.55 C=$125.19 (-0.6%)
12-22 03:00: O=$125.22 H=$126.33 L=$124.90 C=$125.93 (+0.6%)
12-22 04:00: O=$125.98 H=$126.60 L=$125.77 C=$126.43 (+0.4%)
12-22 05:00: O=$126.52 H=$126.59 L=$125.97 C=$126.26 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 58.3
RSI(14): 54.7
EMA(20): $125.78
EMA(50): $126.03
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.44
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.19
50h Change: -0.48%
50h Range: $11.97 - $12.38
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 15: $12.95→$12.37 (-4.5%)
Dec 16: $12.35→$12.34 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $12.34→$11.84 (-4.0%)
Dec 18: $11.87→$11.41 (-3.8%)
Dec 19: $11.45→$12.24 (+6.8%)
Dec 20: $12.25→$12.20 (-0.5%)
Dec 21: $12.14→$12.09 (-0.4%)
Dec 22: $12.19→$12.19 (+0.0%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-21 22:00: O=$12.03 H=$12.11 L=$12.03 C=$12.11 (+0.7%)
12-21 23:00: O=$12.09 H=$12.09 L=$12.09 C=$12.09 (+0.0%)
12-22 00:00: O=$12.19 H=$12.38 L=$12.19 C=$12.25 (+0.5%)
12-22 01:00: O=$12.24 H=$12.28 L=$12.24 C=$12.27 (+0.3%)
12-22 02:00: O=$12.18 H=$12.18 L=$12.03 C=$12.03 (-1.2%)
12-22 03:00: O=$12.17 H=$12.20 L=$12.15 C=$12.16 (-0.0%)
12-22 04:00: O=$12.19 H=$12.25 L=$12.19 C=$12.24 (+0.4%)
12-22 05:00: O=$12.23 H=$12.23 L=$12.16 C=$12.19 (-0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 54.0
RSI(14): 53.1
EMA(20): $12.14
EMA(50): $12.18
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.09
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (LONG): 7.77 @ $11.99 (Current: $12.19, P&L: +1.65%)
TP: $12.80 (+6.7%)
SL: $11.50 (-4.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.80 (Dec 14 resistance, +6.8% gain). SL at $11.50 (below recent support cluster, -4.1% loss). Exit early if: 1) Price fails to hold above $11.85 on next pullback (EMA support break), 2) BTC/ETH show sharp reversal dragging alts down, 3) Volume dries up indicating weak follow-through. R/R: 1.65:1. Position size conservative at 20% margin with 3x leverage (60% notional) given recent string of losses.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH SHORT: 12-15 18:00 → 12-17 15:20 (45.3h)
Entry: $2,926.40, Exit: $2,990.00 P&L: -2.17% ($-3.49) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-17 18:00 → 12-17 23:50 (5.8h)
Entry: $2,843.00, Exit: $2,779.54 P&L: +2.23% ($+3.34) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-18 00:00 → 12-18 00:05 (0.1h)
Entry: $2,725.60, Exit: $2,828.10 P&L: -3.76% ($-8.16) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-17 18:00 → 12-18 13:50 (19.8h)
Entry: $123.21, Exit: $126.13 P&L: -2.37% ($-3.15) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-18 00:00 → 12-18 13:50 (13.8h)
Entry: $11.87, Exit: $12.10 P&L: -1.96% ($-2.66) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-18 19:50 (1.8h)
Entry: $122.89, Exit: $118.21 P&L: +3.81% ($+7.58) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-19 00:00 → 12-19 05:05 (5.1h)
Entry: $119.59, Exit: $122.80 P&L: -2.68% ($-2.82) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 06:00 (12.0h)
Entry: $2,789.30, Exit: $2,906.90 P&L: -4.22% ($-5.20) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 07:20 (13.3h)
Entry: $11.63, Exit: $12.08 P&L: -3.86% ($-6.43) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-19 06:00 → 12-19 09:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $122.63, Exit: $125.61 P&L: -2.43% ($-3.01) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing consolidation near $89k with bullish EMA structure (price above 20/50 EMA). RSI(14) at 58 is neutral. Recent price action shows tight range ($88k-$90k) with no clear breakout. With 20.7% margin already deployed on AVAX, prudent to wait for clearer directional move above $90.8k resistance or below $87.7k support before adding exposure.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH recovering nicely from Dec 17 crash (-7.7%), now +1.13% over 50h period. Bullish EMA alignment (price $3,028 > EMA20 $3,003 > EMA50 $2,990). RSI(14) at 61 shows strength but not overbought. However, recent trading history shows 5 failed SHORT attempts with SL hits, indicating choppy/reversing market. Current position at resistance near $3,050. Better to wait for either clean breakout above $3,050 or pullback to $2,980 support for clearer entry.
Confidence: 55%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL showing weak structure: price $126.26 slightly above EMA20 $125.78 but BELOW EMA50 $126.03 (bearish EMA trend). Essentially flat over 50h (-0.06%). RSI(14) at 54.7 is neutral. Flash crash to $117.35 on Dec 21 23:00 candle shows extreme volatility/instability. Recent trading shows multiple whipsaws. With AVAX position already open and SOL's unclear direction, avoiding additional alt exposure. Would need clear break above $128 or below $124 for conviction.
Confidence: 50%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing LONG position at $11.99, currently +1.65% profit at $12.19. Position is performing as planned - price holding above entry and EMA20 support at $12.14. TP at $12.80 (+6.7%) and SL at $11.50 (-4.1%) are appropriately placed. Recent 8h candles show consolidation in $12.03-$12.28 range, which is healthy digestion before potential move to TP. CRITICAL: Trust the TP/SL orders - they will execute automatically. No reason to manually close just because position is slightly profitable. Thesis remains valid: recovery from Dec lows, holding support structure.
Confidence: 65%
💾 Database saved: run_id=178
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