Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-23 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-22 18:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $158.34
Margin Used: $34.20 (21.6%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-23 00:00:09 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-22 18:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-20 22:00 → 2025-12-23 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $88,759.00
50h Change: +0.36%
50h Range: $87,867.00 - $90,818.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 16: $86,357.00→$87,542.00 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $87,542.00→$85,874.00 (-1.9%)
Dec 18: $86,000.00→$85,063.00 (-1.1%)
Dec 19: $85,064.00→$88,372.00 (+3.9%)
Dec 20: $88,372.00→$88,661.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 21: $88,664.00→$88,853.00 (+0.2%)
Dec 22: $88,853.00→$88,759.00 (-0.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-22 16:00: O=$89,928.00 H=$90,238.00 L=$89,751.00 C=$89,751.00 (-0.2%)
12-22 17:00: O=$89,685.00 H=$89,726.00 L=$89,260.00 C=$89,485.00 (-0.2%)
12-22 18:00: O=$89,447.00 H=$89,675.00 L=$89,392.00 C=$89,419.00 (-0.0%)
12-22 19:00: O=$89,401.00 H=$89,401.00 L=$88,229.00 C=$88,269.00 (-1.3%)
12-22 20:00: O=$88,229.00 H=$88,673.00 L=$88,083.00 C=$88,574.00 (+0.4%)
12-22 21:00: O=$88,562.00 H=$88,829.00 L=$88,469.00 C=$88,469.00 (-0.1%)
12-22 22:00: O=$88,488.00 H=$89,028.00 L=$88,388.00 C=$88,912.00 (+0.5%)
12-22 23:00: O=$88,911.00 H=$88,922.00 L=$88,670.00 C=$88,759.00 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 39.9
RSI(14): 44.7
EMA(20): $89,172.16
EMA(50): $88,918.00
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $546.14
ETH:
Current Price: $3,005.70
50h Change: +0.88%
50h Range: $2,944.30 - $3,076.50
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 16: $2,955.40→$2,952.70 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $2,952.70→$2,725.90 (-7.7%)
Dec 18: $2,725.60→$2,812.50 (+3.2%)
Dec 19: $2,812.90→$2,982.80 (+6.0%)
Dec 20: $3,010.20→$2,978.50 (-1.1%)
Dec 21: $2,978.80→$3,001.30 (+0.8%)
Dec 22: $3,002.30→$3,005.70 (+0.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-22 16:00: O=$3,051.90 H=$3,059.30 L=$3,039.70 C=$3,039.70 (-0.4%)
12-22 17:00: O=$3,043.50 H=$3,043.50 L=$3,024.40 C=$3,032.20 (-0.4%)
12-22 18:00: O=$3,032.30 H=$3,038.80 L=$3,009.70 C=$3,014.10 (-0.6%)
12-22 19:00: O=$3,014.80 H=$3,015.50 L=$2,976.20 C=$2,976.70 (-1.3%)
12-22 20:00: O=$2,978.40 H=$2,985.40 L=$2,964.50 C=$2,977.00 (-0.0%)
12-22 21:00: O=$2,977.60 H=$2,997.20 L=$2,977.00 C=$2,987.20 (+0.3%)
12-22 22:00: O=$2,987.80 H=$3,011.40 L=$2,983.80 C=$3,011.40 (+0.8%)
12-22 23:00: O=$3,009.40 H=$3,011.10 L=$3,001.70 C=$3,005.70 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 44.9
RSI(14): 46.9
EMA(20): $3,015.27
EMA(50): $3,002.78
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $22.87
SOL:
Current Price: $125.58
50h Change: -0.71%
50h Range: $117.35 - $128.45
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 16: $127.68→$129.42 (+1.4%)
Dec 17: $129.17→$123.21 (-4.6%)
Dec 18: $123.20→$119.74 (-2.8%)
Dec 19: $119.63→$126.41 (+5.7%)
Dec 20: $126.34→$125.96 (-0.3%)
Dec 21: $125.91→$125.90 (-0.0%)
Dec 22: $125.93→$125.58 (-0.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-22 16:00: O=$128.12 H=$128.23 L=$126.96 C=$127.11 (-0.8%)
12-22 17:00: O=$127.15 H=$127.15 L=$126.40 C=$126.67 (-0.4%)
12-22 18:00: O=$126.84 H=$127.35 L=$126.28 C=$126.28 (-0.4%)
12-22 19:00: O=$126.38 H=$126.39 L=$124.63 C=$124.69 (-1.3%)
12-22 20:00: O=$124.54 H=$125.04 L=$124.07 C=$124.20 (-0.3%)
12-22 21:00: O=$124.31 H=$125.30 L=$124.24 C=$124.88 (+0.5%)
12-22 22:00: O=$124.95 H=$125.74 L=$124.91 C=$125.51 (+0.4%)
12-22 23:00: O=$125.58 H=$125.68 L=$125.23 C=$125.58 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 46.5
RSI(14): 46.3
EMA(20): $125.90
EMA(50): $125.81
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.13
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.37
50h Change: +1.44%
50h Range: $11.97 - $12.42
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 16: $12.35→$12.34 (-0.1%)
Dec 17: $12.34→$11.84 (-4.0%)
Dec 18: $11.87→$11.41 (-3.8%)
Dec 19: $11.45→$12.24 (+6.8%)
Dec 20: $12.25→$12.20 (-0.5%)
Dec 21: $12.14→$12.09 (-0.4%)
Dec 22: $12.19→$12.37 (+1.5%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-22 16:00: O=$12.36 H=$12.38 L=$12.35 C=$12.35 (-0.0%)
12-22 17:00: O=$12.36 H=$12.37 L=$12.33 C=$12.37 (+0.1%)
12-22 18:00: O=$12.37 H=$12.39 L=$12.34 C=$12.34 (-0.3%)
12-22 19:00: O=$12.34 H=$12.34 L=$12.17 C=$12.17 (-1.4%)
12-22 20:00: O=$12.15 H=$12.18 L=$12.08 C=$12.10 (-0.4%)
12-22 21:00: O=$12.10 H=$12.10 L=$12.10 C=$12.10 (+0.0%)
12-22 22:00: O=$12.10 H=$12.10 L=$12.10 C=$12.10 (+0.0%)
12-22 23:00: O=$12.41 H=$12.41 L=$12.37 C=$12.37 (-0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 63.8
RSI(14): 58.2
EMA(20): $12.24
EMA(50): $12.18
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.09
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (LONG): 7.77 @ $11.99 (Current: $12.37, P&L: +3.14%)
TP: $12.80 (+6.7%)
SL: $11.50 (-4.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.80 (Dec 14 resistance, +6.8% gain). SL at $11.50 (below recent support cluster, -4.1% loss). Exit early if: 1) Price fails to hold above $11.85 on next pullback (EMA support break), 2) BTC/ETH show sharp reversal dragging alts down, 3) Volume dries up indicating weak follow-through. R/R: 1.65:1. Position size conservative at 20% margin with 3x leverage (60% notional) given recent string of losses.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH SHORT: 12-15 18:00 → 12-17 15:20 (45.3h)
Entry: $2,926.40, Exit: $2,990.00 P&L: -2.17% ($-3.49) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-17 18:00 → 12-17 23:50 (5.8h)
Entry: $2,843.00, Exit: $2,779.54 P&L: +2.23% ($+3.34) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-18 00:00 → 12-18 00:05 (0.1h)
Entry: $2,725.60, Exit: $2,828.10 P&L: -3.76% ($-8.16) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-17 18:00 → 12-18 13:50 (19.8h)
Entry: $123.21, Exit: $126.13 P&L: -2.37% ($-3.15) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-18 00:00 → 12-18 13:50 (13.8h)
Entry: $11.87, Exit: $12.10 P&L: -1.96% ($-2.66) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-18 19:50 (1.8h)
Entry: $122.89, Exit: $118.21 P&L: +3.81% ($+7.58) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-19 00:00 → 12-19 05:05 (5.1h)
Entry: $119.59, Exit: $122.80 P&L: -2.68% ($-2.82) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 06:00 (12.0h)
Entry: $2,789.30, Exit: $2,906.90 P&L: -4.22% ($-5.20) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 07:20 (13.3h)
Entry: $11.63, Exit: $12.08 P&L: -3.86% ($-6.43) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-19 06:00 → 12-19 09:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $122.63, Exit: $125.61 P&L: -2.43% ($-3.01) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing consolidation near $89k with neutral RSI (44.7). Price below EMA(20) at $89,172 but above EMA(50) at $88,918, indicating indecision. Recent 8h candles show volatility with a sharp drop to $88,229 followed by recovery. No clear directional bias - waiting for breakout above $90,818 (50h high) or breakdown below $87,867 (50h low) for confirmation. Current market structure doesn't meet 2-indicator entry requirement.
Confidence: 50%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing slight weakness, trading below EMA(20) at $3,015 but above EMA(50) at $3,003. RSI neutral at 46.9. Recent price action shows rejection from $3,060 area and drop to $2,976 before recovery. Pattern suggests range-bound trading between $2,975-$3,060. Given recent string of failed short positions (3 SL hits in ETH), and lack of clear trend confirmation, waiting for clearer setup. Need either strong breakout above $3,076 or breakdown below $2,944 with volume confirmation.
Confidence: 45%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL consolidating tightly around $125.58, just below EMA(20) at $125.90. RSI neutral at 46.3. Price has been range-bound $124-$128 for past 24h with low volatility (ATR $1.13). Recent history shows 4 failed short attempts with SL hits, indicating strong support in this zone. However, no clear long setup either - price needs to break above $128.45 (50h high) with volume to confirm bullish continuation. Current sideways action doesn't justify entry risk.
Confidence: 50%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX long position currently +3.14% profit, approaching but not yet near TP at $12.80. Price at $12.37 above both EMAs (bullish structure). RSI(14) at 58.2 shows momentum without overbought conditions. Recent candles show consolidation after recovery from $12.17 dip. CRITICAL: Trust the TP/SL orders already in place - they execute 24/7. Position is working as planned with proper risk management. No reason to manually close and pay unnecessary fees when thesis remains intact. Let the trade play out to TP at $12.80 or SL at $11.50 as originally planned.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=181
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