Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-25 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-24 18:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $157.08
Margin Used: $94.24 (60.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-25 00:00:08 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-24 18:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-22 22:00 → 2025-12-25 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $88,000.00
50h Change: -0.55%
50h Range: $86,618.00 - $89,354.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 18: $86,000.00→$85,063.00 (-1.1%)
Dec 19: $85,064.00→$88,372.00 (+3.9%)
Dec 20: $88,372.00→$88,661.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 21: $88,664.00→$88,853.00 (+0.2%)
Dec 22: $88,853.00→$88,759.00 (-0.1%)
Dec 23: $88,690.00→$87,633.00 (-1.2%)
Dec 24: $87,699.00→$88,000.00 (+0.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-24 16:00: O=$87,109.00 H=$88,073.00 L=$87,072.00 C=$87,434.00 (+0.4%)
12-24 17:00: O=$87,428.00 H=$87,712.00 L=$87,412.00 C=$87,412.00 (-0.0%)
12-24 18:00: O=$87,475.00 H=$87,666.00 L=$87,369.00 C=$87,628.00 (+0.2%)
12-24 19:00: O=$87,635.00 H=$87,763.00 L=$87,492.00 C=$87,763.00 (+0.1%)
12-24 20:00: O=$87,707.00 H=$87,843.00 L=$87,707.00 C=$87,707.00 (+0.0%)
12-24 21:00: O=$87,708.00 H=$87,990.00 L=$87,708.00 C=$87,862.00 (+0.2%)
12-24 22:00: O=$87,857.00 H=$88,216.00 L=$87,852.00 C=$88,206.00 (+0.4%)
12-24 23:00: O=$88,166.00 H=$89,354.00 L=$87,772.00 C=$88,000.00 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 64.1
RSI(14): 56.1
EMA(20): $87,631.40
EMA(50): $87,750.38
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $526.93
ETH:
Current Price: $2,995.50
50h Change: +0.26%
50h Range: $2,905.00 - $3,068.50
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 18: $2,725.60→$2,812.50 (+3.2%)
Dec 19: $2,812.90→$2,982.80 (+6.0%)
Dec 20: $3,010.20→$2,978.50 (-1.1%)
Dec 21: $2,978.80→$3,001.30 (+0.8%)
Dec 22: $3,002.30→$3,005.70 (+0.1%)
Dec 23: $3,007.10→$2,966.10 (-1.4%)
Dec 24: $2,964.50→$2,988.20 (+0.8%)
Dec 25: $2,995.50→$2,995.50 (+0.0%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-24 17:00: O=$3,000.00 H=$3,050.50 L=$2,955.50 C=$3,008.50 (+0.3%)
12-24 18:00: O=$3,012.00 H=$3,047.80 L=$2,965.30 C=$3,021.00 (+0.3%)
12-24 19:00: O=$3,026.90 H=$3,033.90 L=$2,970.00 C=$3,004.20 (-0.7%)
12-24 20:00: O=$3,003.70 H=$3,061.30 L=$2,952.10 C=$2,994.00 (-0.3%)
12-24 21:00: O=$3,004.40 H=$3,066.00 L=$2,953.60 C=$3,025.40 (+0.7%)
12-24 22:00: O=$3,054.20 H=$3,066.90 L=$2,958.40 C=$2,979.30 (-2.5%)
12-24 23:00: O=$2,979.70 H=$3,068.50 L=$2,961.50 C=$2,988.20 (+0.3%)
12-25 00:00: O=$2,995.50 H=$2,995.50 L=$2,995.50 C=$2,995.50 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 51.4
RSI(14): 51.9
EMA(20): $2,987.32
EMA(50): $2,972.97
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $67.42
SOL:
Current Price: $122.42
50h Change: -2.02%
50h Range: $120.43 - $126.67
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 18: $123.20→$119.74 (-2.8%)
Dec 19: $119.63→$126.41 (+5.7%)
Dec 20: $126.34→$125.96 (-0.3%)
Dec 21: $125.91→$125.90 (-0.0%)
Dec 22: $125.93→$125.58 (-0.3%)
Dec 23: $125.65→$123.72 (-1.5%)
Dec 24: $123.89→$122.24 (-1.3%)
Dec 25: $122.33→$122.42 (+0.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-24 17:00: O=$122.66 H=$122.73 L=$121.90 C=$121.96 (-0.6%)
12-24 18:00: O=$121.93 H=$122.38 L=$121.66 C=$122.34 (+0.3%)
12-24 19:00: O=$122.27 H=$122.69 L=$121.96 C=$122.67 (+0.3%)
12-24 20:00: O=$122.74 H=$122.95 L=$122.37 C=$122.53 (-0.2%)
12-24 21:00: O=$122.60 H=$122.88 L=$122.43 C=$122.78 (+0.1%)
12-24 22:00: O=$122.74 H=$123.11 L=$122.71 C=$123.09 (+0.3%)
12-24 23:00: O=$123.04 H=$123.07 L=$122.24 C=$122.24 (-0.7%)
12-25 00:00: O=$122.33 H=$122.42 L=$122.33 C=$122.42 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 50.5
RSI(14): 49.1
EMA(20): $122.43
EMA(50): $123.24
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.80
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.10
50h Change: -0.06%
50h Range: $11.90 - $12.54
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 18: $11.87→$11.41 (-3.8%)
Dec 19: $11.45→$12.24 (+6.8%)
Dec 20: $12.25→$12.20 (-0.5%)
Dec 21: $12.14→$12.09 (-0.4%)
Dec 22: $12.19→$12.37 (+1.5%)
Dec 23: $12.42→$12.27 (-1.2%)
Dec 24: $12.17→$12.10 (-0.6%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-24 16:00: O=$11.94 H=$11.94 L=$11.94 C=$11.94 (+0.0%)
12-24 17:00: O=$11.98 H=$11.99 L=$11.98 C=$11.98 (+0.0%)
12-24 18:00: O=$11.91 H=$11.99 L=$11.91 C=$11.98 (+0.5%)
12-24 19:00: O=$11.98 H=$12.04 L=$11.98 C=$12.03 (+0.4%)
12-24 20:00: O=$12.03 H=$12.03 L=$12.03 C=$12.03 (+0.0%)
12-24 21:00: O=$12.06 H=$12.06 L=$12.06 C=$12.06 (-0.0%)
12-24 22:00: O=$12.06 H=$12.12 L=$12.06 C=$12.12 (+0.5%)
12-24 23:00: O=$12.10 H=$12.14 L=$12.10 C=$12.10 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 64.2
RSI(14): 62.7
EMA(20): $12.05
EMA(50): $12.12
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.05
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 0.78 @ $122.90 (Current: $122.42, P&L: +0.39%)
TP: $119.50 (+2.8%)
SL: $125.50 (-2.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $119.50 (~2.7% move, near Dec 18 low of $119.74). SL at $125.50 (~2.2% risk, above EMA50 and recent consolidation). Exit early if: 1) Strong reversal above EMA20 with volume, 2) BTC breaks above $89,000 decisively, 3) RSI divergence forms. R:R = 1.23:1. Conservative sizing due to recent whipsaw history.
BTC (SHORT): 0.00134 @ $87,877.00 (Current: $88,000.00, P&L: -0.14%)
TP: $86,500.00 (+1.6%)
SL: $89,300.00 (-1.6%)
Exit Plan: TP at $86,500 (below Dec 17 low of $85,874, ~1.7% move). SL at $89,300 (above recent rejection high of $89,158 + buffer, ~1.5% risk). Exit early if: 1) Price reclaims and holds above EMA20 with volume, 2) RSI divergence forms showing momentum shift, 3) Strong bounce above $89,000 with conviction. R:R = 1.13:1 but high probability in bear structure.
AVAX (SHORT): 6.0 @ $11.91 (Current: $12.10, P&L: -1.55%)
TP: $11.70 (+1.8%)
SL: $12.25 (-2.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $11.70 targets breakdown below 50h low of $11.90 (~2.3% move). SL at $12.25 (~2.3% risk) above EMA20 and recent resistance. Exit early if: 1) Price reclaims $12.15 (EMA50) with volume, 2) BTC reverses strongly above $89,000, 3) RSI forms bullish divergence above 50. Using conservative 15% allocation (3x = 45% notional) to keep total margin under 75% given existing positions.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-18 19:50 (1.8h)
Entry: $122.89, Exit: $118.21 P&L: +3.81% ($+7.58) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-19 00:00 → 12-19 05:05 (5.1h)
Entry: $119.59, Exit: $122.80 P&L: -2.68% ($-2.82) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 06:00 (12.0h)
Entry: $2,789.30, Exit: $2,906.90 P&L: -4.22% ($-5.20) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 07:20 (13.3h)
Entry: $11.63, Exit: $12.08 P&L: -3.86% ($-6.43) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-19 06:00 → 12-19 09:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $122.63, Exit: $125.61 P&L: -2.43% ($-3.01) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 12-19 12:00 → 12-23 12:00 (96.0h)
Entry: $11.99, Exit: $12.27 P&L: +2.33% ($+2.17) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-23 06:00 → 12-23 15:05 (9.1h)
Entry: $124.67, Exit: $122.52 P&L: +1.72% ($+1.63) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-23 18:00 → 12-23 20:50 (2.8h)
Entry: $2,912.10, Exit: $2,977.80 P&L: -2.26% ($-2.69) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-24 00:00 → 12-24 14:50 (14.8h)
Entry: $12.17, Exit: $11.91 P&L: +2.13% ($+1.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-24 12:00 → 12-24 18:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $3,031.80, Exit: $3,021.10 P&L: +0.35% ($+0.30) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: Position moving against us (-1.55% P&L). Entry $11.91, current $12.10, dangerously close to SL $12.25. Price has reclaimed EMA20 ($12.05) and showing relative strength with RSI at 62.7 (overbought in downtrend = reversal risk). Recent candles grinding higher ($11.94→$12.10 steady climb). Thesis invalidated: expected breakdown below $11.90 failed, instead seeing accumulation. Exit now to preserve capital before SL hit. With BTC stabilizing and AVAX showing strength, risk/reward no longer favorable.
Confidence: 75%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for AVAX (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position is working as expected. Price at $88,000 vs entry $87,877 (-0.14% P&L). Recent spike to $89,354 tested our thesis but was rejected, confirming resistance. EMA trend remains bearish (price below both EMAs), RSI at 56.1 (neutral territory), and market structure intact. Christmas low-volume environment - trust the TP/SL orders to execute. No invalidation signals present.
Confidence: 65%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: No position currently. ETH showing relative strength vs BTC (bullish EMA trend, price above both EMAs at $2,995 vs EMA20 $2,987). However, extremely choppy price action in recent 8h candles with wide wicks ($2,905-$3,068 range). RSI neutral at 51.9. With 60% margin already deployed and Christmas volatility, avoid new positions. Market lacks clear directional conviction - wait for cleaner setup.
Confidence: 55%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position performing well (+0.39% P&L). Entry $122.90, current $122.42, moving toward TP $119.50. Bearish EMA structure intact (price below EMA50 at $123.24), downtrend from $126.41 high continuing. RSI at 49.1 shows no oversold bounce yet. Recent candles show grinding lower with rejection at $123.11. Trust the TP order - only 2.7% move needed to target. No invalidation signals (would need break above $123.50 with volume).
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=189
1 order(s) executed
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