Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-11 20:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-11 12:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $453.94
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-11 20:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-11 12:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-09 18:00 → 2025-11-11 20:00
BTC:
Current Price: $103,786.00
Period Change: -0.76%
Range: $103,333.00 - $109,315.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-11 12:00: O=$106,159.00 H=$106,707.00 L=$105,474.00 C=$105,818.00 (-0.3%)
11-11 13:00: O=$106,027.00 H=$106,837.00 L=$104,854.00 C=$104,854.00 (-1.1%)
11-11 14:00: O=$105,169.00 H=$106,885.00 L=$104,560.00 C=$105,780.00 (+0.6%)
11-11 15:00: O=$106,097.00 H=$106,192.00 L=$103,950.00 C=$104,799.00 (-1.2%)
11-11 16:00: O=$105,179.00 H=$105,210.00 L=$103,501.00 C=$103,729.00 (-1.4%)
11-11 17:00: O=$104,154.00 H=$105,036.00 L=$103,333.00 C=$103,835.00 (-0.3%)
11-11 18:00: O=$103,718.00 H=$105,198.00 L=$103,643.00 C=$105,148.00 (+1.4%)
11-11 19:00: O=$105,148.00 H=$105,681.00 L=$103,577.00 C=$103,786.00 (-1.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 36.4
RSI(14): 42.5
EMA(20): $105,663.38
EMA(50): $106,726.30
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2071.07
ETH:
Current Price: $3,468.60
Period Change: -1.79%
Range: $3,467.50 - $3,746.90
Recent 8h candles:
11-11 12:00: O=$3,622.20 H=$3,644.90 L=$3,561.00 C=$3,561.00 (-1.7%)
11-11 13:00: O=$3,575.60 H=$3,619.60 L=$3,545.70 C=$3,581.50 (+0.2%)
11-11 14:00: O=$3,546.20 H=$3,583.60 L=$3,510.70 C=$3,566.60 (+0.6%)
11-11 15:00: O=$3,534.60 H=$3,563.20 L=$3,486.50 C=$3,530.80 (-0.1%)
11-11 16:00: O=$3,521.30 H=$3,531.80 L=$3,483.30 C=$3,529.00 (+0.2%)
11-11 17:00: O=$3,496.40 H=$3,528.90 L=$3,474.00 C=$3,512.90 (+0.5%)
11-11 18:00: O=$3,486.30 H=$3,519.50 L=$3,480.10 C=$3,481.50 (-0.1%)
11-11 19:00: O=$3,496.00 H=$3,595.00 L=$3,467.50 C=$3,468.60 (-0.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 21.0
RSI(14): 35.9
EMA(20): $3,560.72
EMA(50): $3,605.97
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $69.00
SOL:
Current Price: $158.08
Period Change: -2.50%
Range: $158.08 - $173.84
Recent 8h candles:
11-11 12:00: O=$164.54 H=$164.89 L=$163.72 C=$163.74 (-0.5%)
11-11 13:00: O=$163.71 H=$164.36 L=$163.59 C=$164.18 (+0.3%)
11-11 14:00: O=$163.25 H=$163.83 L=$162.09 C=$163.11 (-0.1%)
11-11 15:00: O=$163.46 H=$163.49 L=$161.85 C=$161.85 (-1.0%)
11-11 16:00: O=$161.86 H=$162.16 L=$160.53 C=$161.16 (-0.4%)
11-11 17:00: O=$161.23 H=$161.32 L=$159.09 C=$159.83 (-0.9%)
11-11 18:00: O=$160.00 H=$160.01 L=$158.86 C=$159.50 (-0.3%)
11-11 19:00: O=$158.86 H=$159.16 L=$158.08 C=$158.08 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 11.6
RSI(14): 29.4
EMA(20): $163.39
EMA(50): $166.31
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.79
AVAX:
Current Price: $17.32
Period Change: -1.38%
Range: $17.31 - $18.48
Recent 8h candles:
11-11 12:00: O=$17.77 H=$17.84 L=$17.68 C=$17.68 (-0.5%)
11-11 13:00: O=$17.80 H=$17.84 L=$17.69 C=$17.72 (-0.4%)
11-11 14:00: O=$17.68 H=$17.79 L=$17.64 C=$17.79 (+0.6%)
11-11 15:00: O=$17.72 H=$17.72 L=$17.65 C=$17.66 (-0.3%)
11-11 16:00: O=$17.60 H=$17.60 L=$17.58 C=$17.58 (-0.1%)
11-11 17:00: O=$17.63 H=$17.63 L=$17.53 C=$17.53 (-0.6%)
11-11 18:00: O=$17.54 H=$17.54 L=$17.38 C=$17.38 (-0.9%)
11-11 19:00: O=$17.34 H=$17.38 L=$17.31 C=$17.32 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 24.4
RSI(14): 36.9
EMA(20): $17.68
EMA(50): $17.87
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.14
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS ===
SOL LONG: 11-11 08:00 → 11-11 15:45 (7.7h)
Entry: $164.58, Exit: $161.88 P&L: -1.64% ($-11.48) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-10 20:00 → 11-11 15:00 (19.0h)
Entry: $3,607.10, Exit: $3,511.10 P&L: -2.66% ($-12.20) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-09 20:00 → 11-11 12:00 (40.0h)
Entry: $17.89, Exit: $17.77 P&L: -0.72% ($-6.65) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-10 12:00 → 11-11 06:15 (18.2h)
Entry: $168.89, Exit: $165.44 P&L: -2.04% ($-15.04) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-10 12:00 → 11-10 15:15 (3.2h)
Entry: $3,677.53, Exit: $3,559.60 P&L: -3.21% ($-35.08) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-08 20:00 → 11-09 15:45 (19.7h)
Entry: $157.84, Exit: $164.33 P&L: +4.11% ($+15.32) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-07 12:00 → 11-09 15:30 (51.5h)
Entry: $100,269.00, Exit: $104,467.00 P&L: +4.19% ($+27.54) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-09 08:00 → 11-09 14:30 (6.5h)
Entry: $3,454.00, Exit: $3,618.30 P&L: +4.76% ($+17.66) [TP_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-08 20:00 → 11-09 08:00 (12.0h)
Entry: $17.29, Exit: $17.12 P&L: -0.99% ($-5.12) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-07 20:00 → 11-08 20:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $3,473.59, Exit: $3,399.95 P&L: -2.12% ($-9.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ LONG
Reasoning: BTC showing oversold conditions with RSI(7) at 36.4 and RSI(14) at 42.5. Price has pulled back 5% from recent highs to $103,786, testing support around $103,300. Below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), but this creates a mean reversion opportunity. Recent candles show volatility with wicks suggesting buying interest at lower levels. ATR of $2,071 indicates normal volatility for position sizing.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 5x
Exit Plan: TP at $110,500 targets 6.5% move to recent highs with 3:1 R:R. SL at $101,500 (2.2% below entry) protects against breakdown below recent support zone. Will hold through volatility as TP/SL manage risk automatically.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $453.94
Allocation: 25.0% ($113.48 margin)
Leverage: 5x
Current price: $103,786.00
Size: 0.0055 coins
Notional value: $567.71
📝 Executing LONG 0.00547 BTC @ 5x with TP: $110,500, SL: $101,500
✅ Market order filled @ $104,466.40
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
ETH:
→ LONG
Reasoning: ETH extremely oversold with RSI(7) at 21.0 - deeply oversold territory. RSI(14) at 35.9 also oversold. Price at $3,468 near period lows after -1.79% decline. Recent SL hits show market has been choppy, but current oversold readings suggest bounce potential. Below both EMAs but support holding around $3,467-$3,480 area.
Confidence: 70%
Allocation: 28.0%
Leverage: 6x
Exit Plan: TP at $3,680 targets 6.1% move back toward EMA(20) with strong 2.4:1 R:R. SL at $3,380 (2.5% below entry) below recent support. Extreme RSI oversold readings justify higher conviction despite recent losses.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $453.94
Allocation: 28.0% ($127.10 margin)
Leverage: 6x
Current price: $3,468.60
Size: 0.2199 coins
Notional value: $762.75
📝 Executing LONG 0.2199 ETH @ 6x with TP: $3,680, SL: $3,380
✅ Market order filled @ $3,487.55
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: SOL showing most extreme oversold conditions with RSI(7) at 11.6 - exceptionally oversold. RSI(14) at 29.4 also deeply oversold. Price at $158.08 at period lows after -2.5% decline. Despite recent SL hits, current technical setup suggests strong mean reversion opportunity. Support established at $158 level.
Confidence: 75%
Allocation: 30.0%
Leverage: 7x
Exit Plan: TP at $168 targets 6.3% bounce toward EMA(20) with 2.8:1 R:R. SL at $154.50 (2.3% below entry) below psychological $155 support. Extreme RSI(7) of 11.6 rarely seen - indicates capitulation and high probability bounce. Highest conviction trade.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $453.94
Allocation: 30.0% ($136.18 margin)
Leverage: 7x
Current price: $158.08
Size: 6.0300 coins
Notional value: $953.22
📝 Executing LONG 6.03 SOL @ 7x with TP: $168, SL: $154
✅ Market order filled @ $158.11
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
AVAX:
→ LONG
Reasoning: AVAX oversold with RSI(7) at 24.4 and RSI(14) at 36.9. Price at $17.32 near period lows after steady decline. Below both EMAs but showing support at $17.31. Lower volatility (ATR $0.14) allows tighter risk management. Correlates with broader alt weakness but oversold bounce likely.
Confidence: 60%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $18.20 targets 5.1% move back toward EMA(20) with 2.4:1 R:R. SL at $16.95 (2.1% below entry) below recent support. Lower allocation due to recent manual close and lower confidence, but oversold technicals warrant position.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $453.94
Allocation: 20.0% ($90.79 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $17.32
Size: 20.9700 coins
Notional value: $363.16
📝 Executing LONG 20.97 AVAX @ 4x with TP: $18, SL: $17
✅ Market order filled @ $17.27
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
💾 Database saved: run_id=19
4 order(s) executed
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