Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-25 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-25 12:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $156.73
Margin Used: $71.19 (45.4%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-25 18:00:08 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-25 12:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-23 16:00 → 2025-12-25 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $88,456.00
50h Change: +0.91%
50h Range: $86,618.00 - $89,881.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 18: $86,000.00→$85,063.00 (-1.1%)
Dec 19: $85,064.00→$88,372.00 (+3.9%)
Dec 20: $88,372.00→$88,661.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 21: $88,664.00→$88,853.00 (+0.2%)
Dec 22: $88,853.00→$88,759.00 (-0.1%)
Dec 23: $88,690.00→$87,633.00 (-1.2%)
Dec 24: $87,699.00→$88,000.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 25: $88,159.00→$88,456.00 (+0.3%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-25 10:00: O=$88,391.00 H=$88,621.00 L=$87,654.00 C=$88,481.00 (+0.1%)
12-25 11:00: O=$88,484.00 H=$88,651.00 L=$87,701.00 C=$88,217.00 (-0.3%)
12-25 12:00: O=$88,365.00 H=$88,660.00 L=$88,183.00 C=$88,193.00 (-0.2%)
12-25 13:00: O=$88,439.00 H=$88,648.00 L=$87,837.00 C=$88,571.00 (+0.1%)
12-25 14:00: O=$88,571.00 H=$88,835.00 L=$87,967.00 C=$88,694.00 (+0.1%)
12-25 15:00: O=$88,217.00 H=$89,195.00 L=$88,119.00 C=$88,776.00 (+0.6%)
12-25 16:00: O=$88,776.00 H=$88,776.00 L=$88,376.00 C=$88,400.00 (-0.4%)
12-25 17:00: O=$88,405.00 H=$88,536.00 L=$88,300.00 C=$88,456.00 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 51.9
RSI(14): 49.4
EMA(20): $88,301.71
EMA(50): $87,870.74
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $811.01
ETH:
Current Price: $3,008.30
50h Change: +2.93%
50h Range: $2,911.10 - $3,082.70
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 18: $2,725.60→$2,812.50 (+3.2%)
Dec 19: $2,812.90→$2,982.80 (+6.0%)
Dec 20: $3,010.20→$2,978.50 (-1.1%)
Dec 21: $2,978.80→$3,001.30 (+0.8%)
Dec 22: $3,002.30→$3,005.70 (+0.1%)
Dec 23: $3,007.10→$2,966.10 (-1.4%)
Dec 24: $2,964.50→$2,988.20 (+0.8%)
Dec 25: $2,995.50→$3,008.30 (+0.4%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-25 10:00: O=$3,001.00 H=$3,040.80 L=$2,937.40 C=$3,004.60 (+0.1%)
12-25 11:00: O=$3,004.50 H=$3,025.70 L=$2,950.70 C=$2,991.50 (-0.4%)
12-25 12:00: O=$2,975.40 H=$3,041.30 L=$2,933.20 C=$3,016.80 (+1.4%)
12-25 13:00: O=$3,016.80 H=$3,043.80 L=$2,946.70 C=$3,001.70 (-0.5%)
12-25 14:00: O=$3,010.70 H=$3,043.40 L=$2,976.20 C=$3,030.30 (+0.7%)
12-25 15:00: O=$3,035.00 H=$3,038.50 L=$2,962.30 C=$2,979.40 (-1.8%)
12-25 16:00: O=$2,993.10 H=$3,082.70 L=$2,952.00 C=$2,983.00 (-0.3%)
12-25 17:00: O=$2,983.10 H=$3,063.50 L=$2,953.10 C=$3,008.30 (+0.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 53.1
RSI(14): 50.0
EMA(20): $2,997.60
EMA(50): $2,981.93
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $92.17
SOL:
Current Price: $122.92
50h Change: -0.20%
50h Range: $120.43 - $125.30
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 18: $123.20→$119.74 (-2.8%)
Dec 19: $119.63→$126.41 (+5.7%)
Dec 20: $126.34→$125.96 (-0.3%)
Dec 21: $125.91→$125.90 (-0.0%)
Dec 22: $125.93→$125.58 (-0.3%)
Dec 23: $125.65→$123.72 (-1.5%)
Dec 24: $123.89→$122.24 (-1.3%)
Dec 25: $122.33→$122.92 (+0.5%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-25 10:00: O=$121.95 H=$121.95 L=$121.19 C=$121.37 (-0.5%)
12-25 11:00: O=$121.46 H=$121.66 L=$121.26 C=$121.48 (+0.0%)
12-25 12:00: O=$121.44 H=$121.80 L=$121.41 C=$121.73 (+0.2%)
12-25 13:00: O=$121.81 H=$122.08 L=$121.59 C=$121.89 (+0.1%)
12-25 14:00: O=$121.78 H=$122.05 L=$121.59 C=$121.79 (+0.0%)
12-25 15:00: O=$121.91 H=$123.74 L=$121.63 C=$123.29 (+1.1%)
12-25 16:00: O=$123.61 H=$124.26 L=$123.13 C=$123.38 (-0.2%)
12-25 17:00: O=$123.31 H=$123.43 L=$122.62 C=$122.92 (-0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 61.5
RSI(14): 49.9
EMA(20): $122.35
EMA(50): $122.43
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.78
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.39
50h Change: +3.76%
50h Range: $11.90 - $12.41
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 18: $11.87→$11.41 (-3.8%)
Dec 19: $11.45→$12.24 (+6.8%)
Dec 20: $12.25→$12.20 (-0.5%)
Dec 21: $12.14→$12.09 (-0.4%)
Dec 22: $12.19→$12.37 (+1.5%)
Dec 23: $12.42→$12.27 (-1.2%)
Dec 24: $12.17→$12.10 (-0.6%)
Dec 25: $12.10→$12.39 (+2.5%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-25 09:00: O=$12.25 H=$12.27 L=$12.24 C=$12.27 (+0.2%)
12-25 10:00: O=$12.14 H=$12.15 L=$12.13 C=$12.13 (-0.1%)
12-25 11:00: O=$12.16 H=$12.19 L=$12.16 C=$12.18 (+0.2%)
12-25 12:00: O=$12.18 H=$12.18 L=$12.18 C=$12.18 (+0.0%)
12-25 13:00: O=$12.20 H=$12.26 L=$12.20 C=$12.23 (+0.3%)
12-25 14:00: O=$12.23 H=$12.23 L=$12.15 C=$12.15 (-0.7%)
12-25 15:00: O=$12.19 H=$12.36 L=$12.19 C=$12.35 (+1.3%)
12-25 16:00: O=$12.36 H=$12.41 L=$12.36 C=$12.39 (+0.3%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 2.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 71.5
RSI(14): 67.8
EMA(20): $12.20
ATR(14): $0.06
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 0.78 @ $122.90 (Current: $122.92, P&L: -0.02%)
TP: $119.50 (+2.8%)
SL: $125.50 (-2.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $119.50 (~2.7% move, near Dec 18 low of $119.74). SL at $125.50 (~2.2% risk, above EMA50 and recent consolidation). Exit early if: 1) Strong reversal above EMA20 with volume, 2) BTC breaks above $89,000 decisively, 3) RSI divergence forms. R:R = 1.23:1. Conservative sizing due to recent whipsaw history.
BTC (SHORT): 0.00134 @ $87,877.00 (Current: $88,456.00, P&L: -0.66%)
TP: $86,500.00 (+1.6%)
SL: $89,300.00 (-1.6%)
Exit Plan: TP at $86,500 (below Dec 17 low of $85,874, ~1.7% move). SL at $89,300 (above recent rejection high of $89,158 + buffer, ~1.5% risk). Exit early if: 1) Price reclaims and holds above EMA20 with volume, 2) RSI divergence forms showing momentum shift, 3) Strong bounce above $89,000 with conviction. R:R = 1.13:1 but high probability in bear structure.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 12-19 00:00 → 12-19 05:05 (5.1h)
Entry: $119.59, Exit: $122.80 P&L: -2.68% ($-2.82) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 06:00 (12.0h)
Entry: $2,789.30, Exit: $2,906.90 P&L: -4.22% ($-5.20) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-18 18:00 → 12-19 07:20 (13.3h)
Entry: $11.63, Exit: $12.08 P&L: -3.86% ($-6.43) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 12-19 06:00 → 12-19 09:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $122.63, Exit: $125.61 P&L: -2.43% ($-3.01) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 12-19 12:00 → 12-23 12:00 (96.0h)
Entry: $11.99, Exit: $12.27 P&L: +2.33% ($+2.17) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-23 06:00 → 12-23 15:05 (9.1h)
Entry: $124.67, Exit: $122.52 P&L: +1.72% ($+1.63) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-23 18:00 → 12-23 20:50 (2.8h)
Entry: $2,912.10, Exit: $2,977.80 P&L: -2.26% ($-2.69) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-24 00:00 → 12-24 14:50 (14.8h)
Entry: $12.17, Exit: $11.91 P&L: +2.13% ($+1.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-24 12:00 → 12-24 18:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $3,031.80, Exit: $3,021.10 P&L: +0.35% ($+0.30) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-24 18:00 → 12-25 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $11.91, Exit: $12.10 P&L: -1.56% ($-1.12) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: Closing SHORT position. BTC has reclaimed and held above EMA20 ($88,301) with price at $88,456. Recent 8h candles show consolidation above EMA20 with attempted breakout to $89,195 (15:00 candle). RSI(14) at 49.4 is neutral, and EMA trend remains bullish (20>50). The bearish thesis is weakening - price is not following through to downside despite multiple opportunities. Currently -0.66% P&L, but risk of squeeze higher into year-end is increasing. Better to exit at small loss than risk SL hit at $89,300.
Confidence: 65%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for BTC (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing similar consolidation pattern to BTC. Price at $3,008 above both EMA20 ($2,998) and EMA50 ($2,982) with bullish structure. RSI(14) at 50.0 is perfectly neutral. Recent candles show high volatility (wicks to $3,082 and down to $2,933) indicating indecision. With 45.4% margin already used and Christmas holiday low-volume conditions, better to wait for clearer directional move. No strong setup for either direction - need breakout above $3,080 for long or breakdown below $2,960 for short.
Confidence: 60%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Maintaining SHORT position. SOL at $122.92 remains in tight consolidation just above entry at $122.90 (essentially flat). Price is below EMA50 ($122.43) but above EMA20 ($122.35) - bearish EMA crossover intact. RSI(7) at 61.5 shows short-term strength but RSI(14) at 49.9 confirms neutral momentum. Recent spike to $124.26 was rejected, validating resistance zone. TP at $119.50 remains valid target (Dec 18 low). Trust the setup - let TP/SL orders work. No reason to manually close a position that's following the plan.
Confidence: 70%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX showing concerning overbought conditions: RSI(7) at 71.5, RSI(14) at 67.8. Price at $12.39 above EMA20 ($12.20) after strong +2.5% daily move. However, data is 2h stale which is risky for new positions. Recent rally from $12.10 to $12.41 looks extended. With margin already at 45.4%, taking new position here would be poor risk management. Wait for either: 1) Pullback to $12.15-12.20 support for long entry, or 2) Clear rejection from $12.40-12.45 resistance with RSI divergence for short. Holiday conditions warrant patience.
Confidence: 55%
💾 Database saved: run_id=192
1 order(s) executed
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