Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-26 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-26 06:00:07
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $151.14
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-26 12:00:07 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-26 06:00:07 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-24 10:00 → 2025-12-26 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $88,760.00
50h Change: +2.11%
50h Range: $86,618.00 - $89,881.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 19: $85,064.00→$88,372.00 (+3.9%)
Dec 20: $88,372.00→$88,661.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 21: $88,664.00→$88,853.00 (+0.2%)
Dec 22: $88,853.00→$88,759.00 (-0.1%)
Dec 23: $88,690.00→$87,633.00 (-1.2%)
Dec 24: $87,699.00→$88,000.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 25: $88,159.00→$87,657.00 (-0.6%)
Dec 26: $87,685.00→$88,735.00 (+1.2%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-26 04:00: O=$88,965.00 H=$89,272.00 L=$88,675.00 C=$89,177.00 (+0.2%)
12-26 05:00: O=$89,161.00 H=$89,254.00 L=$88,954.00 C=$89,193.00 (+0.0%)
12-26 06:00: O=$89,219.00 H=$89,443.00 L=$89,173.00 C=$89,334.00 (+0.1%)
12-26 07:00: O=$89,332.00 H=$89,766.00 L=$88,581.00 C=$88,635.00 (-0.8%)
12-26 08:00: O=$88,645.00 H=$88,944.00 L=$88,613.00 C=$88,935.00 (+0.3%)
12-26 09:00: O=$88,929.00 H=$89,070.00 L=$88,777.00 C=$88,978.00 (+0.1%)
12-26 10:00: O=$88,977.00 H=$89,068.00 L=$88,835.00 C=$88,938.00 (-0.0%)
12-26 11:00: O=$88,878.00 H=$88,926.00 L=$88,709.00 C=$88,760.00 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 49.6
RSI(14): 53.2
EMA(20): $88,659.11
EMA(50): $88,245.68
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $595.28
ETH:
Current Price: $3,051.00
50h Change: +2.22%
50h Range: $2,911.90 - $3,106.80
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 19: $2,812.90→$2,982.80 (+6.0%)
Dec 20: $3,010.20→$2,978.50 (-1.1%)
Dec 21: $2,978.80→$3,001.30 (+0.8%)
Dec 22: $3,002.30→$3,005.70 (+0.1%)
Dec 23: $3,007.10→$2,966.10 (-1.4%)
Dec 24: $2,964.50→$2,988.20 (+0.8%)
Dec 25: $2,995.50→$2,969.60 (-0.9%)
Dec 26: $2,950.90→$3,051.00 (+3.4%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-26 04:00: O=$2,990.50 H=$3,000.70 L=$2,978.90 C=$2,986.60 (-0.1%)
12-26 05:00: O=$2,994.70 H=$2,998.00 L=$2,980.70 C=$2,996.50 (+0.1%)
12-26 06:00: O=$2,998.00 H=$2,998.00 L=$2,989.20 C=$2,993.10 (-0.2%)
12-26 07:00: O=$2,996.70 H=$3,106.80 L=$2,992.70 C=$3,046.00 (+1.6%)
12-26 08:00: O=$3,045.50 H=$3,063.50 L=$3,007.50 C=$3,007.50 (-1.2%)
12-26 09:00: O=$3,013.10 H=$3,091.10 L=$2,993.80 C=$3,088.50 (+2.5%)
12-26 10:00: O=$3,064.30 H=$3,075.70 L=$2,977.90 C=$3,023.80 (-1.3%)
12-26 11:00: O=$3,032.00 H=$3,075.80 L=$2,987.90 C=$3,051.00 (+0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 57.7
RSI(14): 55.8
EMA(20): $3,010.34
EMA(50): $3,000.69
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $80.89
SOL:
Current Price: $123.54
50h Change: +1.91%
50h Range: $119.10 - $124.26
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 19: $119.63→$126.41 (+5.7%)
Dec 20: $126.34→$125.96 (-0.3%)
Dec 21: $125.91→$125.90 (-0.0%)
Dec 22: $125.93→$125.58 (-0.3%)
Dec 23: $125.65→$123.72 (-1.5%)
Dec 24: $123.89→$122.24 (-1.3%)
Dec 25: $122.33→$119.74 (-2.1%)
Dec 26: $119.77→$123.54 (+3.1%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-26 04:00: O=$122.46 H=$122.79 L=$121.59 C=$122.59 (+0.1%)
12-26 05:00: O=$122.59 H=$123.18 L=$122.40 C=$123.12 (+0.4%)
12-26 06:00: O=$123.13 H=$123.56 L=$123.09 C=$123.23 (+0.1%)
12-26 07:00: O=$123.28 H=$123.67 L=$122.41 C=$122.51 (-0.6%)
12-26 08:00: O=$122.60 H=$122.96 L=$122.05 C=$122.45 (-0.1%)
12-26 09:00: O=$122.49 H=$123.82 L=$122.42 C=$123.49 (+0.8%)
12-26 10:00: O=$123.57 H=$123.88 L=$123.32 C=$123.53 (-0.0%)
12-26 11:00: O=$123.58 H=$123.72 L=$123.13 C=$123.54 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 62.5
RSI(14): 58.3
EMA(20): $122.65
EMA(50): $122.34
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.02
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.48
50h Change: +3.34%
50h Range: $11.90 - $12.53
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 19: $11.45→$12.24 (+6.8%)
Dec 20: $12.25→$12.20 (-0.5%)
Dec 21: $12.14→$12.09 (-0.4%)
Dec 22: $12.19→$12.37 (+1.5%)
Dec 23: $12.42→$12.27 (-1.2%)
Dec 24: $12.17→$12.10 (-0.6%)
Dec 25: $12.10→$12.08 (-0.1%)
Dec 26: $12.07→$12.48 (+3.4%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-26 04:00: O=$12.53 H=$12.53 L=$12.53 C=$12.53 (+0.0%)
12-26 05:00: O=$12.53 H=$12.53 L=$12.53 C=$12.53 (+0.0%)
12-26 06:00: O=$12.53 H=$12.53 L=$12.53 C=$12.53 (+0.0%)
12-26 07:00: O=$12.53 H=$12.53 L=$12.53 C=$12.53 (+0.0%)
12-26 08:00: O=$12.53 H=$12.53 L=$12.53 C=$12.53 (+0.0%)
12-26 09:00: O=$12.44 H=$12.44 L=$12.42 C=$12.42 (-0.1%)
12-26 10:00: O=$12.42 H=$12.42 L=$12.42 C=$12.42 (+0.0%)
12-26 11:00: O=$12.47 H=$12.48 L=$12.47 C=$12.48 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 57.1
RSI(14): 58.1
EMA(20): $12.40
EMA(50): $12.24
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.06
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
AVAX LONG: 12-19 12:00 → 12-23 12:00 (96.0h)
Entry: $11.99, Exit: $12.27 P&L: +2.33% ($+2.17) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-23 06:00 → 12-23 15:05 (9.1h)
Entry: $124.67, Exit: $122.52 P&L: +1.72% ($+1.63) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-23 18:00 → 12-23 20:50 (2.8h)
Entry: $2,912.10, Exit: $2,977.80 P&L: -2.26% ($-2.69) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-24 00:00 → 12-24 14:50 (14.8h)
Entry: $12.17, Exit: $11.91 P&L: +2.13% ($+1.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-24 12:00 → 12-24 18:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $3,031.80, Exit: $3,021.10 P&L: +0.35% ($+0.30) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-24 18:00 → 12-25 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $11.91, Exit: $12.10 P&L: -1.56% ($-1.12) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
BTC SHORT: 12-23 06:00 → 12-25 18:00 (60.0h)
Entry: $87,877.00, Exit: $88,464.00 P&L: -0.67% ($-0.79) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-23 18:00 → 12-26 00:20 (54.3h)
Entry: $122.90, Exit: $119.51 P&L: +2.76% ($+2.64) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-26 00:00 → 12-26 02:05 (2.1h)
Entry: $12.07, Exit: $12.36 P&L: -2.44% ($-2.32) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-26 00:00 → 12-26 07:35 (7.6h)
Entry: $2,950.49, Exit: $3,097.64 P&L: -4.99% ($-5.92) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
ETH:
→ LONG
Reasoning: ETH showing strongest momentum of all assets with +3.4% today and bullish spike to $3,106.80 at 07:00. Price now at $3,051, above both EMAs (20: $3,010, 50: $3,001) confirming bullish structure. RSI at 57.7/55.8 shows strength without being overbought. Recent volatility spike (high-low swings in last 4h) suggests increased participation. Two recent SHORT positions hit SL, indicating bearish bias was wrong - market wants to go higher. Entry after pullback from $3,106 high provides better R:R. ATR at $80.89 supports wider stops.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $3,180 targets recent resistance zone with ~4.2% gain. SL at $2,925 (~1.5x ATR below entry) protects against breakdown below consolidation. Exit early if price fails to hold above $3,000 on 4h close or if BTC shows significant weakness. R:R ratio approximately 1:1 due to recent volatility, acceptable given trend strength.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $151.14
Allocation: 25.0% ($37.79 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $3,051.00
Size: 0.0372 coins
Notional value: $113.50
📝 Executing LONG 0.0372 ETH @ 3x with TP: $3,180, SL: $2,925
✅ Market order filled @ $3,048.90
✅ TP order placed (oid: 45627582013)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 45627582510)
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: SOL bounced strongly from $119.74 low (+3.1% today) and now at $123.54, above both EMAs (20: $122.65, 50: $122.34). RSI at 62.5/58.3 shows bullish momentum without extreme readings. Recent SHORT position closed at TP successfully, but current price action shows reversal - bouncing off support. Price consolidating near $123.50 after recovery, forming potential base. ATR relatively low at $1.02 suggests controlled volatility. Two confirmation signals: EMA crossover and price reclaiming previous support zone.
Confidence: 60%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $127 targets Dec 19-22 resistance zone with 2.8% gain. SL at $121 (~2.5x ATR below entry) protects against failed breakout. Exit early if RSI divergence forms or if price closes below $122.50 on 4h timeframe. Monitor BTC correlation - if BTC breaks down, exit immediately regardless of SOL price.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $151.14
Allocation: 20.0% ($30.23 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $123.54
Size: 0.7300 coins
Notional value: $90.18
📝 Executing LONG 0.73 SOL @ 3x with TP: $127, SL: $121
✅ Market order filled @ $123.69
✅ TP order placed (oid: 45627584537)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 45627585227)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is consolidating in a tight range ($88,760) with neutral RSI (49.6/53.2) and price hovering near 20/50 EMA. Recent price action shows indecision with small-bodied candles and no clear directional bias. The 50h range is narrow ($86,618-$89,881), suggesting compression but no breakout yet. After recent failed short attempts (closed at loss), waiting for clearer setup is prudent. Need confirmation of either breakout above $89,500 or breakdown below $88,000 before entering.
Confidence: 0%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX data shows suspicious pattern with 5 consecutive identical candles at $12.53 (04:00-08:00), suggesting data feed issues or extremely low liquidity. Current price $12.48 with recent +3.4% move looks bullish, but the data quality concern is critical. Recent trading history shows 3 positions with 2 losses including fresh SL hit at 02:05 today (-2.44%). Price above EMAs (20: $12.40, 50: $12.24) is bullish, but RSI at 57/58 is neutral. Given data reliability concerns and recent losses, waiting for cleaner setup and confirmed data quality is the prudent approach.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=195
2 order(s) executed
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