Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-26 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-26 12:00:07
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $143.74
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-26 18:00:09 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-26 12:00:07 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-24 16:00 → 2025-12-26 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $87,482.00
50h Change: +0.43%
50h Range: $86,829.00 - $89,881.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 19: $85,064.00→$88,372.00 (+3.9%)
Dec 20: $88,372.00→$88,661.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 21: $88,664.00→$88,853.00 (+0.2%)
Dec 22: $88,853.00→$88,759.00 (-0.1%)
Dec 23: $88,690.00→$87,633.00 (-1.2%)
Dec 24: $87,699.00→$88,000.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 25: $88,159.00→$87,657.00 (-0.6%)
Dec 26: $87,685.00→$87,482.00 (-0.2%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-26 10:00: O=$88,977.00 H=$89,068.00 L=$88,835.00 C=$88,938.00 (-0.0%)
12-26 11:00: O=$88,878.00 H=$88,926.00 L=$88,709.00 C=$88,760.00 (-0.1%)
12-26 12:00: O=$88,735.00 H=$88,974.00 L=$88,696.00 C=$88,890.00 (+0.2%)
12-26 13:00: O=$88,887.00 H=$89,257.00 L=$88,814.00 C=$89,200.00 (+0.4%)
12-26 14:00: O=$89,190.00 H=$89,262.00 L=$87,542.00 C=$87,601.00 (-1.8%)
12-26 15:00: O=$87,500.00 H=$87,553.00 L=$86,829.00 C=$87,273.00 (-0.3%)
12-26 16:00: O=$87,243.00 H=$87,500.00 L=$87,001.00 C=$87,038.00 (-0.2%)
12-26 17:00: O=$87,043.00 H=$87,581.00 L=$86,944.00 C=$87,482.00 (+0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 36.2
RSI(14): 41.1
EMA(20): $88,277.63
EMA(50): $88,315.90
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $648.91
ETH:
Current Price: $2,979.80
50h Change: -0.18%
50h Range: $2,911.90 - $3,106.80
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 19: $2,812.90→$2,982.80 (+6.0%)
Dec 20: $3,010.20→$2,978.50 (-1.1%)
Dec 21: $2,978.80→$3,001.30 (+0.8%)
Dec 22: $3,002.30→$3,005.70 (+0.1%)
Dec 23: $3,007.10→$2,966.10 (-1.4%)
Dec 24: $2,964.50→$2,988.20 (+0.8%)
Dec 25: $2,995.50→$2,969.60 (-0.9%)
Dec 26: $2,950.90→$2,979.80 (+1.0%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-26 10:00: O=$3,064.30 H=$3,075.70 L=$2,977.90 C=$3,023.80 (-1.3%)
12-26 11:00: O=$3,032.00 H=$3,075.80 L=$2,987.90 C=$3,051.00 (+0.6%)
12-26 12:00: O=$3,049.00 H=$3,090.00 L=$2,979.00 C=$3,082.70 (+1.1%)
12-26 13:00: O=$3,084.50 H=$3,089.60 L=$2,984.60 C=$3,078.90 (-0.2%)
12-26 14:00: O=$3,078.00 H=$3,099.00 L=$2,994.70 C=$3,009.50 (-2.2%)
12-26 15:00: O=$3,009.30 H=$3,017.20 L=$2,918.10 C=$2,959.20 (-1.7%)
12-26 16:00: O=$2,958.30 H=$2,972.00 L=$2,916.00 C=$2,960.10 (+0.1%)
12-26 17:00: O=$2,971.50 H=$2,996.70 L=$2,937.30 C=$2,979.80 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 42.7
RSI(14): 49.6
EMA(20): $3,007.73
EMA(50): $3,001.92
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $83.20
SOL:
Current Price: $121.73
50h Change: -0.75%
50h Range: $119.10 - $124.89
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 19: $119.63→$126.41 (+5.7%)
Dec 20: $126.34→$125.96 (-0.3%)
Dec 21: $125.91→$125.90 (-0.0%)
Dec 22: $125.93→$125.58 (-0.3%)
Dec 23: $125.65→$123.72 (-1.5%)
Dec 24: $123.89→$122.24 (-1.3%)
Dec 25: $122.33→$119.74 (-2.1%)
Dec 26: $119.77→$121.73 (+1.6%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-26 11:00: O=$123.58 H=$123.72 L=$123.13 C=$123.54 (-0.0%)
12-26 12:00: O=$123.73 H=$123.92 L=$123.57 C=$123.84 (+0.1%)
12-26 13:00: O=$123.75 H=$124.89 L=$123.75 C=$124.70 (+0.8%)
12-26 14:00: O=$124.73 H=$124.73 L=$122.00 C=$122.12 (-2.1%)
12-26 15:00: O=$121.65 H=$121.88 L=$120.44 C=$121.44 (-0.2%)
12-26 16:00: O=$121.54 H=$122.07 L=$120.99 C=$121.13 (-0.3%)
12-26 17:00: O=$121.17 H=$122.16 L=$121.17 C=$121.62 (+0.4%)
12-26 18:00: O=$121.73 H=$121.73 L=$121.73 C=$121.73 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 41.5
RSI(14): 44.3
EMA(20): $122.43
EMA(50): $122.38
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.06
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.28
50h Change: +2.80%
50h Range: $11.91 - $12.53
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 19: $11.45→$12.24 (+6.8%)
Dec 20: $12.25→$12.20 (-0.5%)
Dec 21: $12.14→$12.09 (-0.4%)
Dec 22: $12.19→$12.37 (+1.5%)
Dec 23: $12.42→$12.27 (-1.2%)
Dec 24: $12.17→$12.10 (-0.6%)
Dec 25: $12.10→$12.08 (-0.1%)
Dec 26: $12.07→$12.28 (+1.8%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-26 09:00: O=$12.44 H=$12.44 L=$12.42 C=$12.42 (-0.1%)
12-26 10:00: O=$12.42 H=$12.42 L=$12.42 C=$12.42 (+0.0%)
12-26 11:00: O=$12.47 H=$12.48 L=$12.47 C=$12.48 (+0.0%)
12-26 12:00: O=$12.48 H=$12.48 L=$12.48 C=$12.48 (+0.0%)
12-26 13:00: O=$12.45 H=$12.48 L=$12.45 C=$12.48 (+0.2%)
12-26 14:00: O=$12.41 H=$12.41 L=$12.40 C=$12.40 (-0.1%)
12-26 15:00: O=$12.17 H=$12.22 L=$12.15 C=$12.22 (+0.4%)
12-26 16:00: O=$12.27 H=$12.28 L=$12.27 C=$12.28 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 2.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 34.9
RSI(14): 45.4
EMA(20): $12.38
ATR(14): $0.07
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH SHORT: 12-23 18:00 → 12-23 20:50 (2.8h)
Entry: $2,912.10, Exit: $2,977.80 P&L: -2.26% ($-2.69) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-24 00:00 → 12-24 14:50 (14.8h)
Entry: $12.17, Exit: $11.91 P&L: +2.13% ($+1.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-24 12:00 → 12-24 18:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $3,031.80, Exit: $3,021.10 P&L: +0.35% ($+0.30) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-24 18:00 → 12-25 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $11.91, Exit: $12.10 P&L: -1.56% ($-1.12) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
BTC SHORT: 12-23 06:00 → 12-25 18:00 (60.0h)
Entry: $87,877.00, Exit: $88,464.00 P&L: -0.67% ($-0.79) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-23 18:00 → 12-26 00:20 (54.3h)
Entry: $122.90, Exit: $119.51 P&L: +2.76% ($+2.64) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-26 00:00 → 12-26 02:05 (2.1h)
Entry: $12.07, Exit: $12.36 P&L: -2.44% ($-2.32) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-26 00:00 → 12-26 07:35 (7.6h)
Entry: $2,950.49, Exit: $3,097.64 P&L: -4.99% ($-5.92) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-26 12:00 → 12-26 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $123.69, Exit: $120.78 P&L: -2.35% ($-2.12) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 12-26 12:00 → 12-26 15:20 (3.3h)
Entry: $3,048.90, Exit: $2,919.30 P&L: -4.25% ($-4.82) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: BTC showing clear bearish structure: price below both 20/50 EMA ($88,277/$88,315), sharp -1.8% rejection candle at 14:00 from $89,200 to $87,601, and continued weakness. RSI(14) at 41.1 confirms bearish momentum without being oversold. Recent failed rally to $89,257 followed by violent selloff indicates distribution. Price action shows lower highs pattern over past 3 days. High ATR ($648) warrants wider stops but volatility favors directional moves.
Confidence: 72%
Allocation: 30.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $85,500 targets next support level (~2.3% move, 2.8:1 R/R). SL above recent rejection high at $89,200 (~1.96% risk = 1.5x ATR). Will monitor for break below $86,800 low to confirm continuation. Exit early if price reclaims $88,300 EMA cluster with volume.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $143.74
Allocation: 30.0% ($43.12 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $87,482.00
Size: 0.0020 coins
Notional value: $172.34
📝 Executing SHORT 0.00197 BTC @ 4x with TP: $85,500, SL: $89,200
✅ Market order filled @ $87,476.10
✅ TP order placed (oid: 45642842619)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 45642843633)
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: SOL in clear downtrend: -2.1% yesterday, price below both EMAs ($122.43/$122.38), and showing consistent lower highs. Recent long position stopped out at -2.35% confirms bearish pressure. Sharp rejection from $124.89 at 13:00 followed by -2.1% drop to $122.12. RSI(14) at 44.3 shows bearish momentum with room to fall. Price struggling at current levels after failed bounce attempt. Following BTC's weakness with high correlation.
Confidence: 68%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $118.50 targets recent lows (~2.7% move, 2.5:1 R/R). SL above rejection high at $123.80 (~1.7% risk = 1.6x ATR). Monitor correlation with BTC - if BTC breaks $86,800, SOL likely accelerates lower. Exit if price reclaims $122.40 EMA level with strong volume.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $143.74
Allocation: 25.0% ($35.94 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $121.73
Size: 0.8900 coins
Notional value: $108.34
📝 Executing SHORT 0.89 SOL @ 3x with TP: $118, SL: $124
✅ Market order filled @ $121.73
✅ TP order placed (oid: 45642845587)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 45642846715)
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH presents mixed signals that don't meet entry criteria. While price is below 20 EMA ($3,007), it's still above 50 EMA ($3,001) maintaining weak bullish structure. Recent price action extremely choppy with multiple failed breakouts and SL hits (3 consecutive SL hits in last 24h costing -$13.43 total). RSI(14) at 49.6 is neutral. The 14:00-15:00 selloff from $3,099 to $2,918 (-5.8%) shows volatility but no clear directional conviction. Need clearer trend confirmation before re-entering after recent whipsaws.
Confidence: 65%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX data is 2 hours stale (last update 16:00, now 18:00), making real-time analysis unreliable. Additionally, recent trading history shows whipsaw: profitable short (+2.13%) followed by two consecutive SL hits (-1.56%, -2.44%) totaling -$4.96 net loss on AVAX. Price near EMAs with RSI(14) at 45.4 (neutral). Without current data and after recent poor execution, prudent to wait for fresher data and clearer setup.
Confidence: 55%
💾 Database saved: run_id=196
2 order(s) executed
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