Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-27 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-27 00:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $141.25
Margin Used: $105.55 (74.7%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-27 06:00:08 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-27 00:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-25 04:00 → 2025-12-27 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $87,706.00
50h Change: -0.83%
50h Range: $86,829.00 - $89,766.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 20: $88,372.00→$88,661.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 21: $88,664.00→$88,853.00 (+0.2%)
Dec 22: $88,853.00→$88,759.00 (-0.1%)
Dec 23: $88,690.00→$87,633.00 (-1.2%)
Dec 24: $87,699.00→$88,000.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 25: $88,159.00→$87,657.00 (-0.6%)
Dec 26: $87,685.00→$87,573.00 (-0.1%)
Dec 27: $87,545.00→$87,706.00 (+0.2%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-26 22:00: O=$87,656.00 H=$87,787.00 L=$87,500.00 C=$87,721.00 (+0.1%)
12-26 23:00: O=$87,697.00 H=$87,730.00 L=$87,519.00 C=$87,573.00 (-0.1%)
12-27 00:00: O=$87,545.00 H=$87,612.00 L=$87,389.00 C=$87,567.00 (+0.0%)
12-27 01:00: O=$87,530.00 H=$87,640.00 L=$87,469.00 C=$87,640.00 (+0.1%)
12-27 02:00: O=$87,617.00 H=$87,685.00 L=$87,524.00 C=$87,579.00 (-0.0%)
12-27 03:00: O=$87,568.00 H=$87,697.00 L=$87,532.00 C=$87,697.00 (+0.1%)
12-27 04:00: O=$87,697.00 H=$88,052.00 L=$87,603.00 C=$87,660.00 (-0.0%)
12-27 05:00: O=$87,652.00 H=$87,738.00 L=$87,610.00 C=$87,706.00 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 48.6
RSI(14): 49.1
EMA(20): $87,839.55
EMA(50): $88,218.08
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $419.52
ETH:
Current Price: $3,001.70
50h Change: -0.54%
50h Range: $2,911.90 - $3,106.80
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 20: $3,010.20→$2,978.50 (-1.1%)
Dec 21: $2,978.80→$3,001.30 (+0.8%)
Dec 22: $3,002.30→$3,005.70 (+0.1%)
Dec 23: $3,007.10→$2,966.10 (-1.4%)
Dec 24: $2,964.50→$2,988.20 (+0.8%)
Dec 25: $2,995.50→$2,969.60 (-0.9%)
Dec 26: $2,950.90→$2,955.70 (+0.2%)
Dec 27: $2,960.50→$3,001.70 (+1.4%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-26 22:00: O=$2,956.20 H=$2,965.00 L=$2,939.70 C=$2,964.70 (+0.3%)
12-26 23:00: O=$2,964.70 H=$2,965.00 L=$2,941.60 C=$2,955.70 (-0.3%)
12-27 00:00: O=$2,960.50 H=$2,997.80 L=$2,952.70 C=$2,997.50 (+1.2%)
12-27 01:00: O=$2,997.50 H=$3,000.00 L=$2,985.60 C=$2,992.90 (-0.2%)
12-27 02:00: O=$2,993.40 H=$3,000.40 L=$2,988.50 C=$3,000.40 (+0.2%)
12-27 03:00: O=$2,998.10 H=$3,011.80 L=$2,993.00 C=$3,011.40 (+0.4%)
12-27 04:00: O=$3,011.90 H=$3,014.20 L=$2,997.30 C=$3,000.90 (-0.4%)
12-27 05:00: O=$2,999.00 H=$3,006.40 L=$2,993.90 C=$3,001.70 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 54.5
RSI(14): 48.9
EMA(20): $2,994.56
EMA(50): $2,998.25
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $49.62
SOL:
Current Price: $122.94
50h Change: +0.35%
50h Range: $119.10 - $124.89
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 20: $126.34→$125.96 (-0.3%)
Dec 21: $125.91→$125.90 (-0.0%)
Dec 22: $125.93→$125.58 (-0.3%)
Dec 23: $125.65→$123.72 (-1.5%)
Dec 24: $123.89→$122.24 (-1.3%)
Dec 25: $122.33→$119.74 (-2.1%)
Dec 26: $119.77→$121.99 (+1.9%)
Dec 27: $122.14→$122.94 (+0.7%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-26 22:00: O=$121.81 H=$122.21 L=$121.62 C=$122.21 (+0.3%)
12-26 23:00: O=$122.22 H=$122.26 L=$121.93 C=$121.99 (-0.2%)
12-27 00:00: O=$122.14 H=$122.17 L=$121.74 C=$121.95 (-0.2%)
12-27 01:00: O=$122.08 H=$122.08 L=$121.65 C=$122.04 (-0.0%)
12-27 02:00: O=$122.19 H=$122.26 L=$121.98 C=$122.09 (-0.1%)
12-27 03:00: O=$122.16 H=$123.54 L=$122.13 C=$123.39 (+1.0%)
12-27 04:00: O=$123.51 H=$123.51 L=$122.71 C=$122.79 (-0.6%)
12-27 05:00: O=$122.84 H=$123.09 L=$122.79 C=$122.94 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 59.6
RSI(14): 53.0
EMA(20): $122.43
EMA(50): $122.36
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.80
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.43
50h Change: +1.78%
50h Range: $12.05 - $12.53
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 20: $12.25→$12.20 (-0.5%)
Dec 21: $12.14→$12.09 (-0.4%)
Dec 22: $12.19→$12.37 (+1.5%)
Dec 23: $12.42→$12.27 (-1.2%)
Dec 24: $12.17→$12.10 (-0.6%)
Dec 25: $12.10→$12.08 (-0.1%)
Dec 26: $12.07→$12.37 (+2.5%)
Dec 27: $12.35→$12.43 (+0.7%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-26 22:00: O=$12.37 H=$12.37 L=$12.37 C=$12.37 (+0.0%)
12-26 23:00: O=$12.37 H=$12.37 L=$12.37 C=$12.37 (+0.0%)
12-27 00:00: O=$12.37 H=$12.37 L=$12.37 C=$12.37 (+0.0%)
12-27 01:00: O=$12.35 H=$12.35 L=$12.35 C=$12.35 (-0.0%)
12-27 02:00: O=$12.35 H=$12.35 L=$12.35 C=$12.35 (+0.0%)
12-27 03:00: O=$12.35 H=$12.35 L=$12.35 C=$12.35 (+0.0%)
12-27 04:00: O=$12.35 H=$12.35 L=$12.35 C=$12.35 (+0.0%)
12-27 05:00: O=$12.39 H=$12.43 L=$12.39 C=$12.43 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 72.3
RSI(14): 58.6
EMA(20): $12.36
EMA(50): $12.34
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.04
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 0.89 @ $121.73 (Current: $122.94, P&L: -0.99%)
TP: $118.50 (+2.7%)
SL: $123.80 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $118.50 targets recent lows (~2.7% move, 2.5:1 R/R). SL above rejection high at $123.80 (~1.7% risk = 1.6x ATR). Monitor correlation with BTC - if BTC breaks $86,800, SOL likely accelerates lower. Exit if price reclaims $122.40 EMA level with strong volume.
BTC (SHORT): 0.00197 @ $87,476.10 (Current: $87,706.00, P&L: -0.26%)
TP: $85,500.00 (+2.3%)
SL: $89,200.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $85,500 targets next support level (~2.3% move, 2.8:1 R/R). SL above recent rejection high at $89,200 (~1.96% risk = 1.5x ATR). Will monitor for break below $86,800 low to confirm continuation. Exit early if price reclaims $88,300 EMA cluster with volume.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0291 @ $2,955.70 (Current: $3,001.70, P&L: -1.56%)
TP: $2,850.00 (+3.6%)
SL: $3,050.00 (-3.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,850 targets -3.6% move (2:1 R/R, aligns with Dec 23 low zone). SL at $3,050 above EMAs and recent rejection high (+3.2% = 1.4x ATR). Exit early if BTC reclaims $88,300+ with volume or if ETH breaks above $3,000 with strong momentum. Monitor correlation - if BTC breaks $86,800, ETH likely accelerates to $2,900 zone.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH SHORT: 12-23 18:00 → 12-23 20:50 (2.8h)
Entry: $2,912.10, Exit: $2,977.80 P&L: -2.26% ($-2.69) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-24 00:00 → 12-24 14:50 (14.8h)
Entry: $12.17, Exit: $11.91 P&L: +2.13% ($+1.48) [TP_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-24 12:00 → 12-24 18:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $3,031.80, Exit: $3,021.10 P&L: +0.35% ($+0.30) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-24 18:00 → 12-25 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $11.91, Exit: $12.10 P&L: -1.56% ($-1.12) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
BTC SHORT: 12-23 06:00 → 12-25 18:00 (60.0h)
Entry: $87,877.00, Exit: $88,464.00 P&L: -0.67% ($-0.79) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-23 18:00 → 12-26 00:20 (54.3h)
Entry: $122.90, Exit: $119.51 P&L: +2.76% ($+2.64) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-26 00:00 → 12-26 02:05 (2.1h)
Entry: $12.07, Exit: $12.36 P&L: -2.44% ($-2.32) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-26 00:00 → 12-26 07:35 (7.6h)
Entry: $2,950.49, Exit: $3,097.64 P&L: -4.99% ($-5.92) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-26 12:00 → 12-26 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $123.69, Exit: $120.78 P&L: -2.35% ($-2.12) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 12-26 12:00 → 12-26 15:20 (3.3h)
Entry: $3,048.90, Exit: $2,919.30 P&L: -4.25% ($-4.82) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
ETH:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: ETH short is underwater at -1.56% and showing concerning reversal signals. Price broke above $3,000 psychological level and EMA(20) at $2,994, now trading at $3,001.70. The 8h candles show strong bounce from $2,955 low with consistent buying pressure (Dec 27 00:00 candle +1.2%). RSI at 54.5 indicates momentum shift. While still below EMA(50), the reclaim of $3,000 invalidates the bearish thesis. With margin at 74.7%, need to cut this loser to preserve capital and reduce risk exposure.
Confidence: 80%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for ETH (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC short is performing as expected (-0.26% P&L). Price remains below both EMAs ($87,839/$88,218) confirming bearish structure. Recent 8h candles show consolidation around $87,600-$87,700 with no break of key resistance at $88,000. RSI neutral at 48.6. TP at $85,500 and SL at $89,200 remain valid. No reason to exit - let the position work toward TP. Current consolidation is normal before continuation lower.
Confidence: 75%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL short showing minor drawdown (-0.99%) but thesis intact. Despite price above both EMAs (bullish), the position was entered at $121.73 with clear rejection setup. Current price $122.94 is testing resistance near $123.00. RSI(7) at 59.6 shows momentum but not extreme. The spike to $123.54 in 03:00 candle was rejected, confirming resistance. TP at $118.50 targets recent lows with strong R/R. SL at $123.80 protects against breakout. Let position work - correlation with BTC weakness should drive this lower.
Confidence: 65%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: No position currently open. AVAX shows bullish structure (price above EMAs, RSI(7) 72.3 overbought, +1.78% 50h change) but RSI overbought warns against chasing longs. Recent price action shows suspicious flat candles (12.37 for 5 consecutive hours) suggesting data quality issues or low liquidity. With margin already at 74.7% and three open positions, taking new risk is unwise. Market structure still uncertain - BTC/ETH showing mixed signals. Wait for clearer setup or margin reduction from closed positions.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=198
1 order(s) executed
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