Output
============================================================
Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-12 08:00:00 UTC
============================================================
Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-11 20:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $406.04
Margin Used: $229.98 (56.6%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-12 08:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-11 20:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-10 06:00 → 2025-11-12 08:00
BTC:
Current Price: $103,625.00
Period Change: -4.53%
Range: $102,948.00 - $109,315.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-12 00:00: O=$104,467.00 H=$104,812.00 L=$103,234.00 C=$104,135.00 (-0.3%)
11-12 01:00: O=$103,823.00 H=$105,535.00 L=$103,163.00 C=$103,568.00 (-0.2%)
11-12 02:00: O=$103,568.00 H=$105,299.00 L=$103,323.00 C=$104,289.00 (+0.7%)
11-12 03:00: O=$104,289.00 H=$105,098.00 L=$103,698.00 C=$103,698.00 (-0.6%)
11-12 04:00: O=$103,963.00 H=$105,332.00 L=$103,642.00 C=$104,581.00 (+0.6%)
11-12 05:00: O=$104,255.00 H=$105,569.00 L=$103,658.00 C=$104,461.00 (+0.2%)
11-12 06:00: O=$103,930.00 H=$105,745.00 L=$103,879.00 C=$105,398.00 (+1.4%)
11-12 07:00: O=$105,589.00 H=$105,989.00 L=$103,625.00 C=$103,625.00 (-1.9%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 42.3
RSI(14): 44.6
EMA(20): $104,697.48
EMA(50): $106,086.96
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1998.07
ETH:
Current Price: $3,448.40
Period Change: -5.81%
Range: $3,421.70 - $3,715.50
Recent 8h candles:
11-12 00:00: O=$3,435.00 H=$3,478.80 L=$3,421.70 C=$3,439.90 (+0.1%)
11-12 01:00: O=$3,431.50 H=$3,478.60 L=$3,426.90 C=$3,459.00 (+0.8%)
11-12 02:00: O=$3,457.00 H=$3,484.90 L=$3,430.00 C=$3,437.40 (-0.6%)
11-12 03:00: O=$3,439.90 H=$3,471.60 L=$3,439.90 C=$3,452.20 (+0.4%)
11-12 04:00: O=$3,448.20 H=$3,469.20 L=$3,446.80 C=$3,455.50 (+0.2%)
11-12 05:00: O=$3,460.80 H=$3,489.70 L=$3,459.10 C=$3,463.60 (+0.1%)
11-12 06:00: O=$3,462.40 H=$3,487.20 L=$3,456.50 C=$3,456.50 (-0.2%)
11-12 07:00: O=$3,458.30 H=$3,485.10 L=$3,448.40 C=$3,448.40 (-0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 36.9
RSI(14): 37.3
EMA(20): $3,485.74
EMA(50): $3,563.28
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $55.58
SOL:
Current Price: $155.57
Period Change: -7.44%
Range: $154.13 - $173.84
Recent 8h candles:
11-12 00:00: O=$155.34 H=$155.34 L=$154.13 C=$154.17 (-0.8%)
11-12 01:00: O=$154.13 H=$155.93 L=$154.13 C=$155.70 (+1.0%)
11-12 02:00: O=$155.71 H=$155.80 L=$154.23 C=$154.71 (-0.6%)
11-12 03:00: O=$154.43 H=$155.44 L=$154.41 C=$155.02 (+0.4%)
11-12 04:00: O=$154.94 H=$155.34 L=$154.69 C=$155.22 (+0.2%)
11-12 05:00: O=$155.60 H=$156.56 L=$155.38 C=$155.90 (+0.2%)
11-12 06:00: O=$155.93 H=$157.07 L=$155.86 C=$156.58 (+0.4%)
11-12 07:00: O=$156.24 H=$157.06 L=$155.46 C=$155.57 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 38.8
RSI(14): 35.3
EMA(20): $158.02
EMA(50): $163.64
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.57
AVAX:
Current Price: $17.14
Period Change: -4.50%
Range: $16.95 - $18.48
Recent 8h candles:
11-12 00:00: O=$16.95 H=$16.96 L=$16.95 C=$16.96 (+0.1%)
11-12 01:00: O=$17.10 H=$17.10 L=$17.10 C=$17.10 (+0.0%)
11-12 02:00: O=$17.12 H=$17.12 L=$17.12 C=$17.12 (+0.0%)
11-12 03:00: O=$17.03 H=$17.03 L=$17.03 C=$17.03 (+0.0%)
11-12 04:00: O=$17.03 H=$17.03 L=$17.03 C=$17.03 (+0.0%)
11-12 05:00: O=$17.17 H=$17.21 L=$17.17 C=$17.21 (+0.2%)
11-12 06:00: O=$17.34 H=$17.34 L=$17.31 C=$17.31 (-0.2%)
11-12 07:00: O=$17.25 H=$17.30 L=$17.14 C=$17.14 (-0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 44.5
RSI(14): 40.6
EMA(20): $17.30
EMA(50): $17.71
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.12
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
BTC (LONG): 0.00547 @ $104,466.40 (Current: $103,625.00, P&L: -0.81%)
TP: $110,500.00 (+5.8%)
SL: $101,500.00 (-2.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $110,500 targets 6.5% move to recent highs with 3:1 R:R. SL at $101,500 (2.2% below entry) protects against breakdown below recent support zone. Will hold through volatility as TP/SL manage risk automatically.
ETH (LONG): 0.2199 @ $3,487.55 (Current: $3,448.40, P&L: -1.12%)
TP: $3,680.00 (+5.5%)
SL: $3,380.00 (-3.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,680 targets 6.1% move back toward EMA(20) with strong 2.4:1 R:R. SL at $3,380 (2.5% below entry) below recent support. Extreme RSI oversold readings justify higher conviction despite recent losses.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS ===
AVAX LONG: 11-11 20:00 → 11-12 00:15 (4.2h)
Entry: $17.27, Exit: $16.95 P&L: -1.88% ($-5.22) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-11 20:00 → 11-12 00:15 (4.2h)
Entry: $158.11, Exit: $154.44 P&L: -2.32% ($-22.13) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-11 08:00 → 11-11 15:45 (7.7h)
Entry: $164.58, Exit: $161.88 P&L: -1.64% ($-11.48) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-10 20:00 → 11-11 15:00 (19.0h)
Entry: $3,607.10, Exit: $3,511.10 P&L: -2.66% ($-12.20) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-09 20:00 → 11-11 12:00 (40.0h)
Entry: $17.89, Exit: $17.77 P&L: -0.72% ($-6.65) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-10 12:00 → 11-11 06:15 (18.2h)
Entry: $168.89, Exit: $165.44 P&L: -2.04% ($-15.04) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-10 12:00 → 11-10 15:15 (3.2h)
Entry: $3,677.53, Exit: $3,559.60 P&L: -3.21% ($-35.08) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-08 20:00 → 11-09 15:45 (19.7h)
Entry: $157.84, Exit: $164.33 P&L: +4.11% ($+15.32) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-07 12:00 → 11-09 15:30 (51.5h)
Entry: $100,269.00, Exit: $104,467.00 P&L: +4.19% ($+27.54) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-09 08:00 → 11-09 14:30 (6.5h)
Entry: $3,454.00, Exit: $3,618.30 P&L: +4.76% ($+17.66) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: Strong oversold setup with RSI(14) at 35.3 and RSI(7) at 38.8 - lowest readings in the dataset. Price stabilized at $154-$156 range after -7.44% period decline, showing support formation. Recent 8h candles show tight consolidation with small wicks indicating reduced selling pressure. Currently 56.6% margin used, so taking conservative 15% allocation. Entry at $155.57 with tight SL below consolidation support.
Confidence: 62%
Allocation: 15.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $164.50 targets mean reversion toward EMA(20) at $158.02 with extension (+5.7% move, 3:1 R:R). SL at $152.50 (-2.0%) just below recent low of $154.13 protects against breakdown. Oversold RSI suggests bounce probability is high. Will let TP/SL manage automatically.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $406.04
Allocation: 15.0% ($60.91 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $155.57
Size: 1.5700 coins
Notional value: $244.24
📝 Executing LONG 1.57 SOL @ 4x with TP: $164, SL: $152
✅ Market order filled @ $155.48
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
AVAX:
→ LONG
Reasoning: Best relative strength among alts - only -4.50% period decline vs SOL -7.44%, ETH -5.81%. RSI(14) at 40.6 shows oversold but not extreme. Price action shows tight consolidation at $17.03-$17.31 with minimal volatility (ATR $0.12). Recent candles show controlled descent without panic. Taking small 12% allocation due to existing 56.6% margin usage and two open positions. Conservative play on relative strength.
Confidence: 55%
Allocation: 12.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $18.00 targets +5.0% move back toward EMA(20) at $17.30 with momentum (2.5:1 R:R). SL at $16.70 (-2.6%) below period low of $16.95 protects capital. Lower leverage (3x) due to portfolio already having 56.6% margin committed. Relative strength vs other alts suggests better risk/reward here.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $406.04
Allocation: 12.0% ($48.72 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $17.14
Size: 8.5300 coins
Notional value: $146.25
📝 Executing LONG 8.53 AVAX @ 3x with TP: $18, SL: $17
✅ Market order filled @ $17.16
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position at -0.81% P&L with well-placed TP/SL orders. Price consolidated in $103k-$105k range overnight showing support. RSI(7) at 42.3 indicates oversold conditions without capitulation. Recent 7h candle drop to $103,625 tested but held above SL at $101,500. Thesis remains valid - trust the TP/SL orders to manage the position through volatility rather than churning for small losses.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position at -1.12% P&L but showing stabilization. Price consolidated tightly in $3,440-$3,480 range for 8 hours, finding support. RSI(7) at 36.9 and RSI(14) at 37.3 are extremely oversold - historically strong reversal signals. SL at $3,380 provides adequate downside protection while TP at $3,680 targets reasonable recovery. Market showing signs of bottoming process. Trust the automatic orders.
Confidence: 65%
💾 Database saved: run_id=20
2 order(s) executed
============================================================