Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-28 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-27 18:00:08
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $139.84
Margin Used: $42.54 (30.4%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-28 00:00:09 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-27 18:00:08 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-12-25 22:00 → 2025-12-28 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $88,125.00
50h Change: -0.24%
50h Range: $86,829.00 - $89,766.00
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 21: $88,664.00→$88,853.00 (+0.2%)
Dec 22: $88,853.00→$88,759.00 (-0.1%)
Dec 23: $88,690.00→$87,633.00 (-1.2%)
Dec 24: $87,699.00→$88,000.00 (+0.3%)
Dec 25: $88,159.00→$87,657.00 (-0.6%)
Dec 26: $87,685.00→$87,573.00 (-0.1%)
Dec 27: $87,545.00→$88,125.00 (+0.7%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-27 16:00: O=$87,788.00 H=$87,902.00 L=$87,556.00 C=$87,703.00 (-0.1%)
12-27 17:00: O=$87,668.00 H=$87,789.00 L=$87,622.00 C=$87,774.00 (+0.1%)
12-27 18:00: O=$87,747.00 H=$87,778.00 L=$87,629.00 C=$87,701.00 (-0.1%)
12-27 19:00: O=$87,691.00 H=$87,788.00 L=$87,672.00 C=$87,775.00 (+0.1%)
12-27 20:00: O=$87,775.00 H=$87,810.00 L=$87,716.00 C=$87,772.00 (-0.0%)
12-27 21:00: O=$87,772.00 H=$87,909.00 L=$87,761.00 C=$87,909.00 (+0.2%)
12-27 22:00: O=$87,894.00 H=$88,203.00 L=$87,756.00 C=$87,879.00 (-0.0%)
12-27 23:00: O=$87,892.00 H=$88,265.00 L=$87,823.00 C=$88,125.00 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 76.2
RSI(14): 55.9
EMA(20): $87,823.24
EMA(50): $88,000.46
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $320.04
ETH:
Current Price: $2,991.20
50h Change: +0.37%
50h Range: $2,911.90 - $3,106.80
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 21: $2,978.80→$3,001.30 (+0.8%)
Dec 22: $3,002.30→$3,005.70 (+0.1%)
Dec 23: $3,007.10→$2,966.10 (-1.4%)
Dec 24: $2,964.50→$2,988.20 (+0.8%)
Dec 25: $2,995.50→$2,969.60 (-0.9%)
Dec 26: $2,950.90→$2,955.70 (+0.2%)
Dec 27: $2,960.50→$2,991.20 (+1.0%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-27 16:00: O=$2,981.50 H=$2,995.00 L=$2,925.40 C=$2,949.30 (-1.1%)
12-27 17:00: O=$2,944.40 H=$2,994.20 L=$2,929.20 C=$2,953.00 (+0.3%)
12-27 18:00: O=$2,953.50 H=$2,994.20 L=$2,933.10 C=$2,971.10 (+0.6%)
12-27 19:00: O=$2,971.00 H=$2,985.70 L=$2,954.60 C=$2,977.70 (+0.2%)
12-27 20:00: O=$2,981.00 H=$3,041.30 L=$2,941.20 C=$2,968.90 (-0.4%)
12-27 21:00: O=$2,966.00 H=$3,016.30 L=$2,941.90 C=$2,988.40 (+0.8%)
12-27 22:00: O=$2,986.00 H=$3,011.10 L=$2,948.00 C=$2,975.00 (-0.4%)
12-27 23:00: O=$2,975.70 H=$3,023.40 L=$2,962.20 C=$2,991.20 (+0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 56.3
RSI(14): 49.6
EMA(20): $2,983.10
EMA(50): $2,992.38
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $48.55
SOL:
Current Price: $124.51
50h Change: +1.21%
50h Range: $119.10 - $124.89
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 21: $125.91→$125.90 (-0.0%)
Dec 22: $125.93→$125.58 (-0.3%)
Dec 23: $125.65→$123.72 (-1.5%)
Dec 24: $123.89→$122.24 (-1.3%)
Dec 25: $122.33→$119.74 (-2.1%)
Dec 26: $119.77→$121.99 (+1.9%)
Dec 27: $122.14→$124.51 (+1.9%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-27 16:00: O=$123.22 H=$123.30 L=$122.67 C=$122.76 (-0.4%)
12-27 17:00: O=$122.80 H=$123.26 L=$122.63 C=$123.18 (+0.3%)
12-27 18:00: O=$123.27 H=$123.31 L=$122.85 C=$122.97 (-0.2%)
12-27 19:00: O=$123.09 H=$123.26 L=$122.87 C=$123.03 (-0.0%)
12-27 20:00: O=$123.17 H=$123.58 L=$123.12 C=$123.42 (+0.2%)
12-27 21:00: O=$123.42 H=$124.29 L=$123.35 C=$124.28 (+0.7%)
12-27 22:00: O=$124.28 H=$124.69 L=$123.55 C=$123.73 (-0.4%)
12-27 23:00: O=$123.76 H=$124.64 L=$123.76 C=$124.51 (+0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 72.0
RSI(14): 57.7
EMA(20): $123.18
EMA(50): $122.61
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.69
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.78
50h Change: +2.81%
50h Range: $12.05 - $12.78
Last 7 days (oldest→newest):
Dec 21: $12.14→$12.09 (-0.4%)
Dec 22: $12.19→$12.37 (+1.5%)
Dec 23: $12.42→$12.27 (-1.2%)
Dec 24: $12.17→$12.10 (-0.6%)
Dec 25: $12.10→$12.08 (-0.1%)
Dec 26: $12.07→$12.37 (+2.5%)
Dec 27: $12.35→$12.78 (+3.5%)
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-27 16:00: O=$12.59 H=$12.60 L=$12.57 C=$12.57 (-0.2%)
12-27 17:00: O=$12.55 H=$12.57 L=$12.55 C=$12.57 (+0.1%)
12-27 18:00: O=$12.57 H=$12.57 L=$12.57 C=$12.57 (+0.0%)
12-27 19:00: O=$12.53 H=$12.53 L=$12.51 C=$12.51 (-0.2%)
12-27 20:00: O=$12.54 H=$12.54 L=$12.54 C=$12.54 (+0.0%)
12-27 21:00: O=$12.65 H=$12.67 L=$12.59 C=$12.59 (-0.5%)
12-27 22:00: O=$12.57 H=$12.58 L=$12.57 C=$12.58 (+0.0%)
12-27 23:00: O=$12.62 H=$12.78 L=$12.62 C=$12.78 (+1.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 84.5
RSI(14): 62.6
EMA(20): $12.52
EMA(50): $12.43
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.05
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
BTC (SHORT): 0.00197 @ $87,476.10 (Current: $88,125.00, P&L: -0.74%)
TP: $85,500.00 (+2.3%)
SL: $89,200.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $85,500 targets next support level (~2.3% move, 2.8:1 R/R). SL above recent rejection high at $89,200 (~1.96% risk = 1.5x ATR). Will monitor for break below $86,800 low to confirm continuation. Exit early if price reclaims $88,300 EMA cluster with volume.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
AVAX SHORT: 12-24 18:00 → 12-25 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $11.91, Exit: $12.10 P&L: -1.56% ($-1.12) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
BTC SHORT: 12-23 06:00 → 12-25 18:00 (60.0h)
Entry: $87,877.00, Exit: $88,464.00 P&L: -0.67% ($-0.79) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-23 18:00 → 12-26 00:20 (54.3h)
Entry: $122.90, Exit: $119.51 P&L: +2.76% ($+2.64) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 12-26 00:00 → 12-26 02:05 (2.1h)
Entry: $12.07, Exit: $12.36 P&L: -2.44% ($-2.32) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-26 00:00 → 12-26 07:35 (7.6h)
Entry: $2,950.49, Exit: $3,097.64 P&L: -4.99% ($-5.92) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 12-26 12:00 → 12-26 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $123.69, Exit: $120.78 P&L: -2.35% ($-2.12) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 12-26 12:00 → 12-26 15:20 (3.3h)
Entry: $3,048.90, Exit: $2,919.30 P&L: -4.25% ($-4.82) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 12-27 00:00 → 12-27 06:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $2,955.70, Exit: $3,002.70 P&L: -1.59% ($-1.37) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL SHORT: 12-26 18:00 → 12-27 18:00 (24.0h)
Entry: $121.73, Exit: $123.27 P&L: -1.27% ($-1.37) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX SHORT: 12-27 12:00 → 12-27 18:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $12.47, Exit: $12.57 P&L: -0.81% ($-0.52) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: BTC short is underwater (-0.74%) and showing strong bullish momentum. RSI(7) at 76.2 indicates overbought conditions with recent 8h candles showing consistent upward pressure. Price broke above EMA(20) at $87,823 and is testing resistance. The short thesis is invalidated by this strength - we're fighting momentum. Better to cut the small loss than risk further upside continuation.
Confidence: 75%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for BTC (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: SOL showing strongest bullish structure: +1.9% Dec 27, bullish EMA trend (20>50), price above both EMAs. RSI(7) at 72 shows momentum but not extreme. Price recovered from $119.74 low and holding gains. Recent 8h candles show steady climb from $122.76 to $124.51 with higher lows. This is trend-following WITH momentum after a successful TP hit on Dec 26. Entry after pullback to $123.50 area provides better R/R than chasing current highs.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $128.50 targets +3.2% move (psychological resistance, 2.5x R/R). SL at $122.50 below recent consolidation and EMA(20) at $123.18 (~1.2% risk = 1.7x ATR). Exit early if price breaks below $123 with volume or if BTC reverses sharply. This respects the bullish trend while managing risk after recent volatility.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $139.84
Allocation: 25.0% ($34.96 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $124.51
Size: 0.8400 coins
Notional value: $104.59
📝 Executing LONG 0.84 SOL @ 3x with TP: $128, SL: $122
✅ Market order filled @ $124.69
✅ TP order placed (oid: 45691794773)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 45691795887)
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing mixed signals in tight consolidation. Price hovering near EMA(20) at $2,983 with bearish EMA trend (20<50) but RSI neutral at 49.6. Recent 8h candles show choppy price action with large wicks indicating indecision. High ATR of $48.55 suggests volatility risk. After multiple failed trades (3 consecutive stop-outs), need clearer directional confirmation before re-entering. Wait for break above $3,040 or below $2,930 with volume.
Confidence: 60%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX showing extreme RSI(7) at 84.5 - severely overbought after +3.5% Dec 27 surge. While bullish EMA trend is positive, the last candle shows +1.2% spike to $12.78 (50h high). This is likely exhaustion after strong 2-day rally from $12.07. Recent trade history shows 3 failed shorts getting stopped out. Need cooling off period - either pullback to $12.40-12.50 support or consolidation to reset RSI before considering long entry. Chasing at these levels risks buying the top.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=201
2 order(s) executed
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