Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-28 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-28 06:00:08
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: SHORT position from $12.79 is now -0.36% and thesis is invalidated. AVAX shows strongest performance (+3.29% over 50h) with price consolidating ABOVE entry at $12.83. Both RSI readings at 74-75 show momentum intact despite overbought levels. The 4-hour data staleness adds uncertainty. Position is fighting the trend - cut the loss before it expands. Recent history shows 3 failed AVAX shorts in a row.
Confidence: 70%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for AVAX (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
ETH:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: ETH shows the clearest setup: bearish structure (below both EMAs), RSI(7) at 37.4 oversold BUT in context of downtrend = SHORT continuation opportunity. Recent rejection from $3,004 and close near lows at $2,959 confirms selling pressure. Strong support at $2,945-$2,950 has held multiple tests, providing clear risk level. 2:1 R/R with $2,945 support as target and $3,020 resistance overhead.
Confidence: 72%
Allocation: 30.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $2,945 targets the heavily-tested support zone (-0.47% move, conservative but high probability). SL at $3,020 above recent resistance rejections (+2.06% risk = 1/4.4 R/R). Exit early if BTC breaks above $89,000 strongly or if price reclaims $3,000 with volume. Trading WITH the bearish trend structure.
⚠️ REJECTED: total allocation would be 80.1% (current: 50.1%, new: 30.0%)
Maximum total allocation: 80%
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in tight consolidation after rejection at $88,918. While structure is bullish (above EMAs), RSI(7) at 72.4 shows overbought conditions and price action lacks clear directional conviction. The $300-400 range and diminishing volatility suggest waiting for a clearer setup. No existing position to manage.
Confidence: 60%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing LONG position from $124.69 is currently -0.23% with well-placed TP at $128.50 and SL at $122.50. Current price $124.40 is consolidating tightly with bullish structure intact (above EMAs, RSI 60-64 range). No reason to interfere - let TP/SL orders work. Position is properly sized and thesis remains valid with controlled upward movement.
Confidence: 75%
💾 Database saved: run_id=203
2 order(s) executed
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