Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-29 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-29 06:00:07
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: BTC showing clear downward momentum with price below both EMAs, RSI(7) at severely oversold 24.6 but RSI(14) at 36.7 suggests room for further downside. Consistent lower lows/highs pattern with elevated volatility (ATR $546). Testing $87,500 support with next support at $87,549. In bearish structure, oversold RSI often signals continuation rather than reversal. Previous BTC short was closed manually too early at small loss - this setup has better entry timing near support retest.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $85,500 targets next major support level (~2.6% move, 2.4:1 R:R). SL at $89,200 above resistance zone and recent consolidation (~1.6% risk, 1.5x ATR). Will hold through volatility as trend is clearly down - no manual exit unless bullish reversal pattern emerges with volume.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $140.73
Allocation: 25.0% ($35.18 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $87,756.00
Size: 0.0012 coins
Notional value: $105.31
📝 Executing SHORT 0.0012 BTC @ 3x with TP: $85,500, SL: $89,200
✅ Market order filled @ $87,740.00
✅ TP order placed (oid: 45756230969)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 45756231920)
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: SOL broke down from $127.50-$128.50 consolidation and testing EMA(50) support at $124.56. RSI(7) oversold at 29.3 but in context of breakdown, this signals continuation potential. Price showing controlled selling (low ATR) with minimal bounce attempts. Recent long hit TP successfully, but subsequent long got stopped out - pattern suggests shorts work better in current regime. Clear resistance at $127.50 provides good risk definition.
Confidence: 60%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $122.00 targets 50-hour low support (~2.3% move, 2:1 R:R). SL at $127.00 just below breakdown level (~1.7% risk, 1.7x ATR). If EMA(50) at $124.56 breaks cleanly, this confirms continuation. Exit manually only if strong bullish reversal candle reclaims $126+ with volume.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $140.73
Allocation: 20.0% ($28.15 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $124.88
Size: 0.6800 coins
Notional value: $84.92
📝 Executing SHORT 0.68 SOL @ 3x with TP: $122, SL: $127
✅ Market order filled @ $124.89
✅ TP order placed (oid: 45756237278)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 45756240066)
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH in volatile ranging regime with whipsaw action between $2,970-$3,144. While recent candle shows bullish engulfing (+2.1%), RSI neutral at 54 and price structure lacks clear directional bias. Multiple failed SL hits in recent history (3 losses) suggest this asset is particularly treacherous in current conditions. High ATR ($89.88) combined with ranging behavior = high risk of stop-outs. Better to wait for clearer breakout above $3,144 or breakdown below $2,970 with confirmation.
Confidence: 55%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX showing data anomalies (consecutive identical prices) followed by extremely tight consolidation at $12.73-$12.74. ATR at only $0.07 indicates minimal volatility and price compression between EMAs. While technically positioned for potential breakdown, the unusual price action and extremely low volatility make this untradeable. Previous AVAX short worked (+0.77%) but was small gain. Need to see resolution of this compression with volume before entering - could break either direction.
Confidence: 45%
💾 Database saved: run_id=207
2 order(s) executed
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