Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-12 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-12 08:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $458.60
Margin Used: $392.51 (85.6%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-12 12:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-12 08:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-10 10:00 → 2025-11-12 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $107,167.00
Period Change: -0.16%
Range: $102,948.00 - $109,315.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-12 04:00: O=$103,963.00 H=$105,332.00 L=$103,642.00 C=$104,581.00 (+0.6%)
11-12 05:00: O=$104,255.00 H=$105,569.00 L=$103,658.00 C=$104,461.00 (+0.2%)
11-12 06:00: O=$103,930.00 H=$105,745.00 L=$103,879.00 C=$105,398.00 (+1.4%)
11-12 07:00: O=$105,589.00 H=$105,989.00 L=$103,625.00 C=$103,625.00 (-1.9%)
11-12 08:00: O=$104,005.00 H=$106,409.00 L=$103,414.00 C=$106,071.00 (+2.0%)
11-12 09:00: O=$106,086.00 H=$107,468.00 L=$104,670.00 C=$106,360.00 (+0.3%)
11-12 10:00: O=$106,490.00 H=$107,468.00 L=$104,975.00 C=$106,958.00 (+0.4%)
11-12 11:00: O=$107,279.00 H=$107,582.00 L=$105,248.00 C=$107,167.00 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 67.0
RSI(14): 58.7
EMA(20): $105,348.85
EMA(50): $105,986.12
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2160.92
ETH:
Current Price: $3,598.30
Period Change: -2.20%
Range: $3,421.70 - $3,715.50
Recent 8h candles:
11-12 05:00: O=$3,460.80 H=$3,489.70 L=$3,459.10 C=$3,463.60 (+0.1%)
11-12 06:00: O=$3,462.40 H=$3,487.20 L=$3,456.50 C=$3,456.50 (-0.2%)
11-12 07:00: O=$3,458.30 H=$3,485.10 L=$3,448.40 C=$3,448.40 (-0.3%)
11-12 08:00: O=$3,454.40 H=$3,509.80 L=$3,438.90 C=$3,498.40 (+1.3%)
11-12 09:00: O=$3,498.40 H=$3,522.70 L=$3,478.00 C=$3,494.20 (-0.1%)
11-12 10:00: O=$3,495.40 H=$3,581.10 L=$3,495.40 C=$3,544.80 (+1.4%)
11-12 11:00: O=$3,553.00 H=$3,619.90 L=$3,546.40 C=$3,560.80 (+0.2%)
11-12 12:00: O=$3,598.30 H=$3,598.30 L=$3,598.30 C=$3,598.30 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 82.8
RSI(14): 66.4
EMA(20): $3,508.74
EMA(50): $3,555.26
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $57.68
SOL:
Current Price: $160.57
Period Change: -5.48%
Range: $154.13 - $173.84
Recent 8h candles:
11-12 04:00: O=$154.94 H=$155.34 L=$154.69 C=$155.22 (+0.2%)
11-12 05:00: O=$155.60 H=$156.56 L=$155.38 C=$155.90 (+0.2%)
11-12 06:00: O=$155.93 H=$157.07 L=$155.86 C=$156.58 (+0.4%)
11-12 07:00: O=$156.24 H=$157.06 L=$155.46 C=$155.57 (-0.4%)
11-12 08:00: O=$155.33 H=$158.52 L=$155.33 C=$158.52 (+2.1%)
11-12 09:00: O=$158.31 H=$159.25 L=$158.17 C=$158.48 (+0.1%)
11-12 10:00: O=$158.58 H=$160.72 L=$158.58 C=$160.61 (+1.3%)
11-12 11:00: O=$160.70 H=$161.45 L=$159.98 C=$160.57 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 71.0
RSI(14): 54.9
EMA(20): $158.55
EMA(50): $162.94
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.68
AVAX:
Current Price: $17.50
Period Change: -3.86%
Range: $16.95 - $18.48
Recent 8h candles:
11-12 04:00: O=$17.03 H=$17.03 L=$17.03 C=$17.03 (+0.0%)
11-12 05:00: O=$17.17 H=$17.21 L=$17.17 C=$17.21 (+0.2%)
11-12 06:00: O=$17.34 H=$17.34 L=$17.31 C=$17.31 (-0.2%)
11-12 07:00: O=$17.25 H=$17.30 L=$17.14 C=$17.14 (-0.6%)
11-12 08:00: O=$17.16 H=$17.33 L=$17.16 C=$17.33 (+1.0%)
11-12 09:00: O=$17.48 H=$17.48 L=$17.48 C=$17.48 (+0.0%)
11-12 10:00: O=$17.48 H=$17.48 L=$17.48 C=$17.48 (+0.0%)
11-12 11:00: O=$17.60 H=$17.63 L=$17.50 C=$17.50 (-0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 66.6
RSI(14): 56.0
EMA(20): $17.35
EMA(50): $17.66
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.12
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (LONG): 1.57 @ $155.48 (Current: $160.57, P&L: +3.27%)
TP: $164.50 (+5.8%)
SL: $152.50 (-1.9%)
Exit Plan: TP at $164.50 targets mean reversion toward EMA(20) at $158.02 with extension (+5.7% move, 3:1 R:R). SL at $152.50 (-2.0%) just below recent low of $154.13 protects against breakdown. Oversold RSI suggests bounce probability is high. Will let TP/SL manage automatically.
BTC (LONG): 0.00547 @ $104,466.40 (Current: $107,167.00, P&L: +2.59%)
TP: $110,500.00 (+5.8%)
SL: $101,500.00 (-2.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $110,500 targets 6.5% move to recent highs with 3:1 R:R. SL at $101,500 (2.2% below entry) protects against breakdown below recent support zone. Will hold through volatility as TP/SL manage risk automatically.
ETH (LONG): 0.2199 @ $3,487.55 (Current: $3,598.30, P&L: +3.18%)
TP: $3,680.00 (+5.5%)
SL: $3,380.00 (-3.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,680 targets 6.1% move back toward EMA(20) with strong 2.4:1 R:R. SL at $3,380 (2.5% below entry) below recent support. Extreme RSI oversold readings justify higher conviction despite recent losses.
AVAX (LONG): 8.53 @ $17.16 (Current: $17.50, P&L: +2.01%)
TP: $18.00 (+4.9%)
SL: $16.70 (-2.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $18.00 targets +5.0% move back toward EMA(20) at $17.30 with momentum (2.5:1 R:R). SL at $16.70 (-2.6%) below period low of $16.95 protects capital. Lower leverage (3x) due to portfolio already having 56.6% margin committed. Relative strength vs other alts suggests better risk/reward here.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS ===
AVAX LONG: 11-11 20:00 → 11-12 00:15 (4.2h)
Entry: $17.27, Exit: $16.95 P&L: -1.88% ($-5.22) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-11 20:00 → 11-12 00:15 (4.2h)
Entry: $158.11, Exit: $154.44 P&L: -2.32% ($-22.13) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-11 08:00 → 11-11 15:45 (7.7h)
Entry: $164.58, Exit: $161.88 P&L: -1.64% ($-11.48) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-10 20:00 → 11-11 15:00 (19.0h)
Entry: $3,607.10, Exit: $3,511.10 P&L: -2.66% ($-12.20) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-09 20:00 → 11-11 12:00 (40.0h)
Entry: $17.89, Exit: $17.77 P&L: -0.72% ($-6.65) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-10 12:00 → 11-11 06:15 (18.2h)
Entry: $168.89, Exit: $165.44 P&L: -2.04% ($-15.04) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-10 12:00 → 11-10 15:15 (3.2h)
Entry: $3,677.53, Exit: $3,559.60 P&L: -3.21% ($-35.08) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-08 20:00 → 11-09 15:45 (19.7h)
Entry: $157.84, Exit: $164.33 P&L: +4.11% ($+15.32) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-07 12:00 → 11-09 15:30 (51.5h)
Entry: $100,269.00, Exit: $104,467.00 P&L: +4.19% ($+27.54) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-09 08:00 → 11-09 14:30 (6.5h)
Entry: $3,454.00, Exit: $3,618.30 P&L: +4.76% ($+17.66) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
ETH:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: RSI(7) at 82.8 is extremely overbought - highest of all assets. Position up +3.18% but this spike often precedes pullbacks. Price at $3,598 vs TP at $3,680 - only $82 away. With 85.6% margin used and extreme RSI, taking profit now reduces risk of reversal. This is a technical signal invalidating the thesis, not just profit-taking.
Confidence: 70%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for ETH (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position up +2.59% and showing strong momentum. Price at $107,167 pushing toward TP at $110,500. RSI(7) at 67 shows strength without extreme overbought. Recent 8h shows consolidation after bounce from $103,625. TP/SL orders managing risk effectively - no reason to interfere.
Confidence: 75%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position up +3.27% with price at $160.57 approaching TP at $164.50. RSI(7) at 71 shows strength but not extreme. Price above EMA(20) at $158.55 confirms momentum. Recent bounce from $154.13 holding well. Let TP/SL manage - thesis intact.
Confidence: 72%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position up +2.01% showing relative strength vs other alts. Price at $17.50 above EMA(20) at $17.35. RSI(7) at 66.6 healthy, not overbought. TP at $18.00 still reasonable target. With 85.6% margin used, holding existing position is prudent. TP/SL managing risk appropriately.
Confidence: 68%
💾 Database saved: run_id=21
1 order(s) executed
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