Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-31 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
🔄 Syncing positions with Hyperliquid...
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📅 Fetching weekly context...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-31 00:00:08
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: SHORT THESIS INVALIDATED. SOL has broken above resistance at $125.35, trading above both EMAs with RSI(7) at 60.3 showing accelerating momentum. The 'controlled buying' and 'steady measured advance' described in analysis directly contradicts the short thesis. Price has moved from $124.75 to $125.81 in a trending regime with strong bid support. The position is -0.37% underwater and fighting a clear uptrend. Recent trade history shows pattern of premature shorts getting stopped out (3 losing shorts in last 5 days). Exit now to preserve capital rather than wait for $127 SL.
Confidence: 75%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for SOL (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
AVAX:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: SHORT THESIS HIGHLY QUESTIONABLE. Data is 5 hours stale (major red flag), and what's available shows RSI(7) at 74.2 (overbought but in context of uptrend recovery), price above EMA(20) at $12.70 after breaking out from tight consolidation. The 'breakout move' at 01:00 UTC suggests bullish momentum, not bearish breakdown. Position is -0.45% underwater. Given: (1) stale data making current assessment unreliable, (2) price action showing upside breakout not breakdown, (3) RSI overbought in recovery context often continues higher, (4) recent pattern of losing shorts. Exit now - the 5-hour data gap alone makes holding this short irresponsible.
Confidence: 80%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for AVAX (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in tight consolidation ($88,400-$89,000) within a bullish structure (price above both EMAs). RSI at 53.6/52.5 shows neutral momentum with no clear directional bias. The ranging regime after recent rally suggests indecision. No high-probability setup exists - would need either a clear breakout above $89,000 with volume or breakdown below $88,400. Current margin usage at 40.8% also limits new position capacity. Wait for clearer directional signal.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH shows bullish structure (above both EMAs, RSI(14) at 57.1) but has been repeatedly rejected at $3,075-$3,082 resistance. Recent volatility (ATR $73.20) and wide-ranging candles with wicks suggest choppy price action. While the trend is up, the multiple rejections at resistance and sharp intraday swings create unfavorable entry conditions. With 40.8% margin already deployed, adding ETH exposure here lacks sufficient edge. Would prefer a clean breakout above $3,085 or pullback to $3,000-$3,010 support for better risk/reward.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=214
2 order(s) executed
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