Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-13 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-13 08:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $433.68
Margin Used: $192.06 (44.3%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-13 12:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-13 08:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-11 10:00 → 2025-11-13 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $104,827.00
Period Change: -2.05%
Range: $101,330.00 - $107,903.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-13 04:00: O=$104,213.00 H=$104,639.00 L=$102,207.00 C=$104,492.00 (+0.3%)
11-13 05:00: O=$104,435.00 H=$105,652.00 L=$102,300.00 C=$105,300.00 (+0.8%)
11-13 06:00: O=$105,300.00 H=$105,997.00 L=$103,392.00 C=$104,430.00 (-0.8%)
11-13 07:00: O=$104,410.00 H=$106,109.00 L=$103,968.00 C=$104,746.00 (+0.3%)
11-13 08:00: O=$105,060.00 H=$106,239.00 L=$103,604.00 C=$105,089.00 (+0.0%)
11-13 09:00: O=$104,774.00 H=$106,035.00 L=$102,953.00 C=$105,060.00 (+0.3%)
11-13 10:00: O=$104,965.00 H=$105,691.00 L=$104,785.00 C=$105,095.00 (+0.1%)
11-13 11:00: O=$105,095.00 H=$105,474.00 L=$103,218.00 C=$104,827.00 (-0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 55.1
RSI(14): 50.0
EMA(20): $104,462.44
EMA(50): $104,588.88
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2400.87
ETH:
Current Price: $3,515.40
Period Change: -1.53%
Range: $3,388.40 - $3,672.30
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-13 04:00: O=$3,491.50 H=$3,528.30 L=$3,471.70 C=$3,524.30 (+0.9%)
11-13 05:00: O=$3,524.30 H=$3,580.60 L=$3,481.00 C=$3,545.50 (+0.6%)
11-13 06:00: O=$3,569.10 H=$3,598.90 L=$3,546.70 C=$3,556.90 (-0.3%)
11-13 07:00: O=$3,576.40 H=$3,617.10 L=$3,553.50 C=$3,590.00 (+0.4%)
11-13 08:00: O=$3,553.20 H=$3,672.30 L=$3,545.00 C=$3,545.00 (-0.2%)
11-13 09:00: O=$3,563.90 H=$3,563.90 L=$3,493.20 C=$3,497.90 (-1.9%)
11-13 10:00: O=$3,511.70 H=$3,552.00 L=$3,500.70 C=$3,516.30 (+0.1%)
11-13 11:00: O=$3,543.90 H=$3,558.00 L=$3,507.70 C=$3,515.40 (-0.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 51.7
RSI(14): 53.2
EMA(20): $3,503.55
EMA(50): $3,495.41
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $71.13
SOL:
Current Price: $156.95
Period Change: -4.47%
Range: $151.69 - $165.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-13 04:00: O=$155.54 H=$155.54 L=$153.89 C=$154.81 (-0.5%)
11-13 05:00: O=$154.57 H=$157.38 L=$154.36 C=$156.95 (+1.5%)
11-13 06:00: O=$156.73 H=$157.64 L=$156.39 C=$157.31 (+0.4%)
11-13 07:00: O=$157.40 H=$157.83 L=$155.59 C=$156.07 (-0.8%)
11-13 08:00: O=$156.02 H=$156.84 L=$155.37 C=$156.36 (+0.2%)
11-13 09:00: O=$156.42 H=$156.44 L=$154.27 C=$155.38 (-0.7%)
11-13 10:00: O=$155.53 H=$156.62 L=$155.32 C=$155.94 (+0.3%)
11-13 11:00: O=$155.84 H=$157.01 L=$155.80 C=$156.95 (+0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 61.0
RSI(14): 54.2
EMA(20): $155.91
EMA(50): $157.25
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.86
AVAX:
Current Price: $17.29
Period Change: -1.25%
Range: $16.65 - $17.85
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-13 04:00: O=$17.38 H=$17.38 L=$17.38 C=$17.38 (+0.0%)
11-13 05:00: O=$17.38 H=$17.38 L=$17.38 C=$17.38 (+0.0%)
11-13 06:00: O=$17.54 H=$17.54 L=$17.54 C=$17.54 (+0.0%)
11-13 07:00: O=$17.54 H=$17.54 L=$17.54 C=$17.54 (+0.0%)
11-13 08:00: O=$17.48 H=$17.48 L=$17.47 C=$17.47 (-0.1%)
11-13 09:00: O=$17.33 H=$17.33 L=$17.28 C=$17.28 (-0.3%)
11-13 10:00: O=$17.28 H=$17.28 L=$17.22 C=$17.22 (-0.4%)
11-13 11:00: O=$17.29 H=$17.30 L=$17.29 C=$17.29 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 51.1
RSI(14): 54.2
EMA(20): $17.25
EMA(50): $17.26
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.13
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (LONG): 1.57 @ $153.42 (Current: $156.95, P&L: +2.30%)
TP: $162.00 (+5.6%)
SL: $150.50 (-1.9%)
Exit Plan: TP at $162 targets EMA20 with 5.3% gain (2.4:1 R/R). Conservative 3x leverage due to recent whipsaws. SL at $150.5 below key support. Will exit if breaks below $151 or if BTC/ETH show weakness.
BTC (LONG): 0.00487 @ $102,929.30 (Current: $104,827.00, P&L: +1.84%)
TP: $108,500.00 (+5.4%)
SL: $100,200.00 (-2.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $108.5k targets previous resistance zone with 5.1% gain (2.5:1 R/R after fees). SL at $100.2k below recent low protects against breakdown. Will monitor for reclaim of EMA20 at $104.7k as confirmation of reversal.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 11-10 20:00 → 11-11 15:00 (19.0h)
Entry: $3,607.10, Exit: $3,511.10 P&L: -2.66% ($-12.20) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-11 08:00 → 11-11 15:45 (7.7h)
Entry: $164.58, Exit: $161.88 P&L: -1.64% ($-11.48) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-11 20:00 → 11-12 00:15 (4.2h)
Entry: $158.11, Exit: $154.44 P&L: -2.32% ($-22.13) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-11 20:00 → 11-12 00:15 (4.2h)
Entry: $17.27, Exit: $16.95 P&L: -1.88% ($-5.22) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-11 20:00 → 11-12 12:00 (16.0h)
Entry: $3,487.55, Exit: $3,561.40 P&L: +2.12% ($+16.24) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX LONG: 11-12 08:00 → 11-12 17:30 (9.5h)
Entry: $17.16, Exit: $16.69 P&L: -2.72% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-12 08:00 → 11-12 19:15 (11.2h)
Entry: $155.48, Exit: $152.37 P&L: -2.00% ($-4.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-11 20:00 → 11-12 19:45 (23.7h)
Entry: $104,466.40, Exit: $101,345.00 P&L: -2.99% ($-17.07) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 04:00 (8.0h)
Entry: $16.77, Exit: $17.60 P&L: +4.97% ($+10.76) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 06:30 (10.5h)
Entry: $3,430.24, Exit: $3,556.90 P&L: +3.69% ($+13.08) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
ETH:
→ LONG
Reasoning: ETH showing relative strength vs BTC - bullish EMA trend (price above both EMAs), RSI neutral at 53.2. Recent bounce from $3,493 support, now consolidating above $3,500. Strong TP hits in recent history show this asset is tradeable. Price rejected $3,672 high but holding structure. Entry at current levels offers good R:R to retest highs.
Confidence: 62%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $3,680 targets recent high with 4.7% gain. SL at $3,430 below recent support provides 2.4% risk (1.95:1 R/R). Conservative 4x leverage given recent volatility. Exit early if BTC breaks below $102k or if fails to hold $3,500 on next pullback.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $433.68
Allocation: 20.0% ($86.74 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $3,515.40
Size: 0.0987 coins
Notional value: $346.97
📝 Executing LONG 0.0987 ETH @ 4x with TP: $3,680, SL: $3,430
✅ Market order filled @ $3,541.66
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position up 1.84% and consolidating near EMA20 ($104,462). Price action shows indecision with wide ranges but holding above $103k support. TP at $108.5k remains valid target. Recent candles show volatility but no clear directional break. Trust the SL at $100.2k to protect downside - no reason to manually exit a working setup.
Confidence: 65%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position up 2.30% and showing strength - price above entry at $153.42, now at $156.95. RSI at 61 shows momentum without being overbought. Recent candles show steady grind higher with good support at $155. TP at $162 is reasonable target. Multiple recent SL hits show importance of letting winners run - this one is working, trust the plan.
Confidence: 68%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX showing suspicious flat candle data (multiple identical OHLC values) suggesting data quality issues or extremely low volatility. Recent history shows high churn with mixed results. Currently at $17.29 near EMAs with neutral RSI 54.2. With 44.3% margin already deployed and data reliability concerns, prudent to stay out and focus capital on clearer setups in BTC/ETH/SOL.
Confidence: 45%
💾 Database saved: run_id=24
1 order(s) executed
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