Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-13 20:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-13 12:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $388.01
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-13 20:00:06 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-13 12:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-11 18:00 → 2025-11-13 20:00
BTC:
Current Price: $99,684.00
Period Change: -3.89%
Range: $98,808.00 - $107,742.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-13 12:00: O=$105,141.00 H=$105,760.00 L=$103,550.00 C=$105,440.00 (+0.3%)
11-13 13:00: O=$105,440.00 H=$105,440.00 L=$103,866.00 C=$104,789.00 (-0.6%)
11-13 14:00: O=$104,789.00 H=$105,290.00 L=$102,727.00 C=$104,664.00 (-0.1%)
11-13 15:00: O=$104,978.00 H=$105,437.00 L=$102,550.00 C=$102,550.00 (-2.3%)
11-13 16:00: O=$102,550.00 H=$103,850.00 L=$100,930.00 C=$101,302.00 (-1.2%)
11-13 17:00: O=$100,998.00 H=$102,700.00 L=$100,034.00 C=$100,034.00 (-1.0%)
11-13 18:00: O=$100,034.00 H=$101,235.00 L=$98,817.00 C=$98,956.00 (-1.1%)
11-13 19:00: O=$98,956.00 H=$101,175.00 L=$98,808.00 C=$99,684.00 (+0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 24.2
RSI(14): 30.4
EMA(20): $102,891.30
EMA(50): $104,095.76
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2433.78
ETH:
Current Price: $3,207.80
Period Change: -7.99%
Range: $3,200.00 - $3,672.30
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-13 12:00: O=$3,531.80 H=$3,549.20 L=$3,497.00 C=$3,518.10 (-0.4%)
11-13 13:00: O=$3,532.60 H=$3,539.80 L=$3,452.30 C=$3,469.70 (-1.8%)
11-13 14:00: O=$3,456.40 H=$3,486.50 L=$3,420.70 C=$3,482.60 (+0.8%)
11-13 15:00: O=$3,478.00 H=$3,478.10 L=$3,390.80 C=$3,398.00 (-2.3%)
11-13 16:00: O=$3,399.00 H=$3,416.30 L=$3,336.10 C=$3,343.00 (-1.6%)
11-13 17:00: O=$3,332.20 H=$3,335.30 L=$3,264.30 C=$3,264.30 (-2.0%)
11-13 18:00: O=$3,267.20 H=$3,274.50 L=$3,200.30 C=$3,228.20 (-1.2%)
11-13 19:00: O=$3,223.50 H=$3,248.10 L=$3,200.00 C=$3,207.80 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 12.2
RSI(14): 23.2
EMA(20): $3,410.86
EMA(50): $3,463.41
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $71.44
SOL:
Current Price: $142.99
Period Change: -10.63%
Range: $136.95 - $164.44
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-13 12:00: O=$156.97 H=$157.41 L=$156.31 C=$156.77 (-0.1%)
11-13 13:00: O=$156.88 H=$156.95 L=$154.27 C=$154.31 (-1.6%)
11-13 14:00: O=$154.41 H=$156.10 L=$137.17 C=$155.91 (+1.0%)
11-13 15:00: O=$155.79 H=$156.25 L=$153.16 C=$153.64 (-1.4%)
11-13 16:00: O=$153.38 H=$153.62 L=$151.19 C=$151.45 (-1.3%)
11-13 17:00: O=$151.49 H=$155.82 L=$143.61 C=$147.41 (-2.7%)
11-13 18:00: O=$147.38 H=$147.84 L=$144.98 C=$145.78 (-1.1%)
11-13 19:00: O=$145.74 H=$147.17 L=$136.95 C=$142.99 (-1.9%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 13.6
RSI(14): 22.1
EMA(20): $152.55
EMA(50): $155.37
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $4.11
AVAX:
Current Price: $16.01
Period Change: -8.69%
Range: $16.01 - $17.74
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-13 12:00: O=$17.29 H=$17.29 L=$17.29 C=$17.29 (+0.0%)
11-13 13:00: O=$17.36 H=$17.36 L=$17.17 C=$17.18 (-1.0%)
11-13 14:00: O=$17.07 H=$17.25 L=$16.97 C=$17.25 (+1.1%)
11-13 15:00: O=$17.19 H=$17.27 L=$16.90 C=$16.91 (-1.6%)
11-13 16:00: O=$17.01 H=$17.02 L=$16.69 C=$16.69 (-1.9%)
11-13 17:00: O=$16.69 H=$16.69 L=$16.44 C=$16.44 (-1.5%)
11-13 18:00: O=$16.36 H=$16.36 L=$16.14 C=$16.21 (-0.9%)
11-13 19:00: O=$16.18 H=$16.18 L=$16.01 C=$16.01 (-1.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 12.1
RSI(14): 23.5
EMA(20): $16.91
EMA(50): $17.12
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.18
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
AVAX LONG: 11-11 20:00 → 11-12 00:15 (4.2h)
Entry: $17.27, Exit: $16.95 P&L: -1.88% ($-5.22) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-11 20:00 → 11-12 12:00 (16.0h)
Entry: $3,487.55, Exit: $3,561.40 P&L: +2.12% ($+16.24) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX LONG: 11-12 08:00 → 11-12 17:30 (9.5h)
Entry: $17.16, Exit: $16.69 P&L: -2.72% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-12 08:00 → 11-12 19:15 (11.2h)
Entry: $155.48, Exit: $152.37 P&L: -2.00% ($-4.88) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-11 20:00 → 11-12 19:45 (23.7h)
Entry: $104,466.40, Exit: $101,345.00 P&L: -2.99% ($-17.07) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 04:00 (8.0h)
Entry: $16.77, Exit: $17.60 P&L: +4.97% ($+10.76) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 06:30 (10.5h)
Entry: $3,430.24, Exit: $3,556.90 P&L: +3.69% ($+13.08) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-13 12:00 → 11-13 14:45 (2.7h)
Entry: $3,541.66, Exit: $3,429.00 P&L: -3.18% ($-11.12) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 17:15 (21.2h)
Entry: $153.42, Exit: $150.47 P&L: -1.92% ($-4.63) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 18:00 (22.0h)
Entry: $102,929.30, Exit: $100,166.00 P&L: -2.68% ($-13.46) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ LONG
Reasoning: BTC showing extreme oversold conditions with RSI(7) at 24.2 and RSI(14) at 30.4. Price dropped from $107.7k to $98.8k (-8.3%) creating a significant deviation below EMAs. Recent hourly candle shows recovery from $98.8k low to $99.7k (+0.7%), suggesting capitulation bottom. Strong psychological support at $100k level. Risk/reward favorable for mean reversion bounce.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 5x
Exit Plan: Target $104.5k (near EMA20 at $102.9k, providing 4.8% gain). Stop at $97.5k below recent low (2.2% loss), giving 2.2:1 R/R. Exit early if RSI fails to hold above 30 or if price rejects hard at $102k resistance.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $388.01
Allocation: 25.0% ($97.00 margin)
Leverage: 5x
Current price: $99,684.00
Size: 0.0049 coins
Notional value: $485.46
📝 Executing LONG 0.00487 BTC @ 5x with TP: $104,500, SL: $97,500
✅ Market order filled @ $99,813.80
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
ETH:
→ LONG
Reasoning: ETH extremely oversold with RSI(7) at 12.2 and RSI(14) at 23.2 - most oversold of all assets. Down 8% in period with price at $3,207 vs EMA20 at $3,411 (-6% deviation). Multiple failed longs suggest strong selling pressure exhausted. Testing $3,200 psychological support. High probability of relief bounce given extreme conditions.
Confidence: 70%
Allocation: 28.0%
Leverage: 6x
Exit Plan: Target $3,380 (5.4% gain, below EMA20 resistance). Stop at $3,130 below recent low (2.4% loss), giving 2.25:1 R/R. Exit if RSI reaches 50+ without breaking $3,300 or if BTC fails to hold $98k support.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $388.01
Allocation: 28.0% ($108.64 margin)
Leverage: 6x
Current price: $3,207.80
Size: 0.2032 coins
Notional value: $651.82
📝 Executing LONG 0.2032 ETH @ 6x with TP: $3,380, SL: $3,130
✅ Market order filled @ $3,203.00
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: SOL most oversold with RSI(7) at 13.6, down 10.6% in period. Extreme wick to $136.95 in last hour shows panic selling and quick recovery to $143. Price 6.3% below EMA20. High beta asset should bounce harder than BTC/ETH in relief rally. Recent SL hits at $150-152 created support zone.
Confidence: 68%
Allocation: 27.0%
Leverage: 6x
Exit Plan: Target $152 (6.3% gain, near prior support-turned-resistance). Stop at $138.50 below panic wick low (3.1% loss), giving 2:1 R/R. Exit if fails to reclaim $147 on next test or if BTC breaks below $98k.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $388.01
Allocation: 27.0% ($104.76 margin)
Leverage: 6x
Current price: $142.99
Size: 4.4000 coins
Notional value: $629.16
📝 Executing LONG 4.4 SOL @ 6x with TP: $152, SL: $138
✅ Market order filled @ $142.61
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
AVAX:
→ LONG
Reasoning: AVAX RSI(7) at 12.1 - extremely oversold. Down 8.7% with consistent hourly selling pressure to $16.01. Price 5.3% below EMA20. Previous long at $16.77 hit TP at $17.60 (+4.97%), showing this range can bounce. Current price near cycle lows presents good entry for mean reversion.
Confidence: 62%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: Target $17.00 (6.2% gain, near EMA20). Stop at $15.50 below recent low (3.2% loss), giving 1.9:1 R/R. Conservative sizing given multiple SL hits. Exit if breaks below $15.80 on retest or if broader market continues cascade.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $388.01
Allocation: 20.0% ($77.60 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $16.01
Size: 19.3900 coins
Notional value: $310.45
📝 Executing LONG 19.39 AVAX @ 4x with TP: $17, SL: $16
✅ Market order filled @ $15.94
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
💾 Database saved: run_id=25
4 order(s) executed
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