Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-14 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-14 08:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $251.04
Margin Used: $61.04 (24.3%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-14 12:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-14 08:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-12 10:00 → 2025-11-14 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $96,847.00
Period Change: -9.06%
Range: $96,353.00 - $107,742.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-14 04:00: O=$99,914.00 H=$100,333.00 L=$98,157.00 C=$98,365.00 (-1.6%)
11-14 05:00: O=$98,365.00 H=$98,474.00 L=$97,745.00 C=$97,859.00 (-0.5%)
11-14 06:00: O=$97,892.00 H=$98,111.00 L=$96,904.00 C=$97,753.00 (-0.1%)
11-14 07:00: O=$97,753.00 H=$98,200.00 L=$97,549.00 C=$97,695.00 (-0.1%)
11-14 08:00: O=$97,770.00 H=$98,262.00 L=$97,132.00 C=$97,935.00 (+0.2%)
11-14 09:00: O=$97,897.00 H=$99,220.00 L=$97,058.00 C=$98,000.00 (+0.1%)
11-14 10:00: O=$98,000.00 H=$99,629.00 L=$97,250.00 C=$99,280.00 (+1.3%)
11-14 11:00: O=$99,280.00 H=$99,281.00 L=$96,353.00 C=$96,847.00 (-2.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 30.9
RSI(14): 32.9
EMA(20): $99,432.48
EMA(50): $102,291.06
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1968.06
ETH:
Current Price: $3,152.30
Period Change: -9.82%
Range: $3,124.40 - $3,672.30
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-14 04:00: O=$3,237.30 H=$3,289.60 L=$3,162.60 C=$3,162.60 (-2.3%)
11-14 05:00: O=$3,171.50 H=$3,212.50 L=$3,171.50 C=$3,205.00 (+1.1%)
11-14 06:00: O=$3,208.40 H=$3,212.60 L=$3,152.60 C=$3,212.60 (+0.1%)
11-14 07:00: O=$3,218.50 H=$3,254.10 L=$3,214.70 C=$3,230.40 (+0.4%)
11-14 08:00: O=$3,225.10 H=$3,227.40 L=$3,199.80 C=$3,217.60 (-0.2%)
11-14 09:00: O=$3,214.80 H=$3,220.90 L=$3,160.50 C=$3,168.40 (-1.4%)
11-14 10:00: O=$3,168.50 H=$3,206.20 L=$3,165.70 C=$3,188.50 (+0.6%)
11-14 11:00: O=$3,185.90 H=$3,191.40 L=$3,129.20 C=$3,152.30 (-1.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 33.1
RSI(14): 35.0
EMA(20): $3,243.89
EMA(50): $3,382.12
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $59.25
SOL:
Current Price: $140.91
Period Change: -11.14%
Range: $136.95 - $164.44
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-14 04:00: O=$144.56 H=$144.84 L=$141.06 C=$141.96 (-1.8%)
11-14 05:00: O=$142.88 H=$143.67 L=$141.85 C=$143.62 (+0.5%)
11-14 06:00: O=$143.65 H=$143.67 L=$140.40 C=$143.67 (+0.0%)
11-14 07:00: O=$143.32 H=$144.82 L=$141.75 C=$143.19 (-0.1%)
11-14 08:00: O=$143.16 H=$143.16 L=$141.73 C=$142.77 (-0.3%)
11-14 09:00: O=$142.61 H=$143.41 L=$140.93 C=$141.29 (-0.9%)
11-14 10:00: O=$141.24 H=$151.76 L=$140.19 C=$140.25 (-0.7%)
11-14 11:00: O=$142.01 H=$142.53 L=$140.25 C=$140.91 (-0.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 31.5
RSI(14): 31.6
EMA(20): $144.74
EMA(50): $151.12
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $3.53
AVAX:
Current Price: $15.32
Period Change: -12.36%
Range: $15.32 - $17.74
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-14 04:00: O=$15.83 H=$15.83 L=$15.62 C=$15.62 (-1.3%)
11-14 05:00: O=$15.62 H=$15.62 L=$15.62 C=$15.62 (+0.0%)
11-14 06:00: O=$15.62 H=$15.62 L=$15.62 C=$15.62 (+0.0%)
11-14 07:00: O=$15.72 H=$16.00 L=$15.72 C=$15.93 (+1.4%)
11-14 08:00: O=$15.91 H=$15.92 L=$15.74 C=$15.76 (-1.0%)
11-14 09:00: O=$15.75 H=$15.75 L=$15.60 C=$15.60 (-1.0%)
11-14 10:00: O=$15.52 H=$15.60 L=$15.52 C=$15.59 (+0.5%)
11-14 11:00: O=$15.56 H=$15.56 L=$15.32 C=$15.32 (-1.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 23.2
RSI(14): 27.1
EMA(20): $15.97
EMA(50): $16.68
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.16
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (SHORT): 10.48 @ $15.91 (Current: $15.32, P&L: +3.68%)
TP: $15.20 (+4.4%)
SL: $16.35 (-2.8%)
Exit Plan: Target $15.20 (4.6% gain, near recent low support). Stop at $16.35 above EMA20 resistance (2.6% loss), giving 1.75:1 R/R. Exit early if BTC reclaims $100k strongly or if AVAX breaks above $16.50 with volume, invalidating bearish thesis. Conservative sizing due to already high margin usage.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
BTC LONG: 11-11 20:00 → 11-12 19:45 (23.7h)
Entry: $104,466.40, Exit: $101,345.00 P&L: -2.99% ($-17.07) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 04:00 (8.0h)
Entry: $16.77, Exit: $17.60 P&L: +4.97% ($+10.76) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 06:30 (10.5h)
Entry: $3,430.24, Exit: $3,556.90 P&L: +3.69% ($+13.08) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-13 12:00 → 11-13 14:45 (2.7h)
Entry: $3,541.66, Exit: $3,429.00 P&L: -3.18% ($-11.12) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 17:15 (21.2h)
Entry: $153.42, Exit: $150.47 P&L: -1.92% ($-4.63) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 18:00 (22.0h)
Entry: $102,929.30, Exit: $100,166.00 P&L: -2.68% ($-13.46) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 04:45 (8.7h)
Entry: $15.94, Exit: $15.62 P&L: -2.02% ($-6.23) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 06:15 (10.2h)
Entry: $99,813.80, Exit: $97,799.00 P&L: -2.02% ($-9.81) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 10:30 (14.5h)
Entry: $142.61, Exit: $150.47 P&L: +5.51% ($+34.58) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 11:45 (15.7h)
Entry: $3,203.00, Exit: $3,129.20 P&L: -2.30% ($-15.00) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC in sharp correction (-9.06% period, -2.5% last hour), now at $96,847 after rejecting $99,629. RSI(14) at 32.9 shows oversold but not extreme. Price below both EMA20 ($99,432) and EMA50 ($102,291) confirms bearish trend. Recent pattern shows failed bounce attempts followed by sharp drops. With 8 of last 10 positions stopped out, this market is whippy and dangerous. Need to see stabilization and reclaim of $98k+ with volume before considering longs. Too risky to short here given RSI oversold - could bounce violently. Waiting for clearer setup.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing similar weakness to BTC (-9.82% period), currently $3,152 near period low of $3,124. RSI(14) at 35.0 slightly oversold but bearish trend intact with price below EMA20 ($3,244) and EMA50 ($3,382). Last two ETH longs both stopped out, showing this market is unforgiving. Recent candles show consistent lower highs and selling pressure. Would need to see reclaim of $3,200+ and hold above it for multiple hours before considering long entry. No short setup either as we're near support. Patience required.
Confidence: 65%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL weakest performer (-11.14% period) but showing slight relative strength vs BTC/ETH in recent hours. Currently $140.91, RSI(14) at 31.6 oversold. Price below both EMAs confirming downtrend. However, last SOL trade was profitable (+5.51%) suggesting some tradability. Still, the 10:00 candle showed a massive wick to $151.76 that failed - sign of weak hands getting trapped. Current price action is choppy consolidation between $140-$143. Need to see either clear break above $144 with volume for long, or breakdown below $139 for short continuation. Current risk/reward unclear.
Confidence: 55%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Currently SHORT 10.48 AVAX at $15.91, now at $15.32 (+3.68% P&L), approaching TP at $15.20. RSI(7) at 23.2 is deeply oversold - most oversold of all assets. RSI(14) at 27.1 also extreme. Price has hit new period low at $15.32. While the short is working, RSI this low often precedes violent bounces, especially in crypto. TP is only $0.12 away and should hit soon given momentum. Risk of holding for that last 0.8% vs getting caught in oversold bounce is unfavorable. HOWEVER, per instructions: 'Trust your TP/SL orders - they execute 24/7 automatically. Manual close should ONLY be used when thesis is invalidated.' Bearish thesis still intact - price below EMAs, downtrend continues. Let the TP work.
Confidence: 75%
💾 Database saved: run_id=27
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