Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-14 20:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-14 12:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $252.81
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-14 20:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-14 12:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-12 18:00 → 2025-11-14 20:00
BTC:
Current Price: $97,230.00
Period Change: -5.35%
Range: $95,120.00 - $106,239.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-14 12:00: O=$97,273.00 H=$98,242.00 L=$95,343.00 C=$95,343.00 (-2.0%)
11-14 13:00: O=$96,000.00 H=$97,675.00 L=$95,120.00 C=$95,882.00 (-0.1%)
11-14 14:00: O=$95,688.00 H=$97,814.00 L=$95,688.00 C=$97,098.00 (+1.5%)
11-14 15:00: O=$96,983.00 H=$98,421.00 L=$96,895.00 C=$98,319.00 (+1.4%)
11-14 16:00: O=$98,115.00 H=$99,107.00 L=$96,895.00 C=$98,351.00 (+0.2%)
11-14 17:00: O=$98,056.00 H=$99,155.00 L=$96,895.00 C=$97,708.00 (-0.4%)
11-14 18:00: O=$97,481.00 H=$98,120.00 L=$96,895.00 C=$96,895.00 (-0.6%)
11-14 19:00: O=$96,895.00 H=$98,250.00 L=$95,967.00 C=$97,230.00 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 44.9
RSI(14): 41.6
EMA(20): $98,180.95
EMA(50): $100,961.82
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2016.57
ETH:
Current Price: $3,219.50
Period Change: -6.47%
Range: $3,088.50 - $3,672.30
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-14 12:00: O=$3,151.60 H=$3,151.60 L=$3,101.30 C=$3,131.80 (-0.6%)
11-14 13:00: O=$3,139.50 H=$3,150.30 L=$3,088.50 C=$3,135.50 (-0.1%)
11-14 14:00: O=$3,136.60 H=$3,234.90 L=$3,133.70 C=$3,224.90 (+2.8%)
11-14 15:00: O=$3,221.90 H=$3,245.30 L=$3,191.80 C=$3,212.00 (-0.3%)
11-14 16:00: O=$3,202.80 H=$3,267.40 L=$3,193.00 C=$3,243.70 (+1.3%)
11-14 17:00: O=$3,238.70 H=$3,251.20 L=$3,180.00 C=$3,187.80 (-1.6%)
11-14 18:00: O=$3,185.50 H=$3,216.00 L=$3,167.90 C=$3,175.90 (-0.3%)
11-14 19:00: O=$3,178.50 H=$3,229.40 L=$3,173.30 C=$3,219.50 (+1.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 54.4
RSI(14): 46.9
EMA(20): $3,216.40
EMA(50): $3,330.03
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $60.63
SOL:
Current Price: $143.27
Period Change: -6.82%
Range: $125.00 - $157.83
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-14 12:00: O=$140.85 H=$147.98 L=$125.00 C=$136.34 (-3.2%)
11-14 13:00: O=$136.34 H=$139.83 L=$135.73 C=$139.18 (+2.1%)
11-14 14:00: O=$139.18 H=$143.18 L=$138.05 C=$142.52 (+2.4%)
11-14 15:00: O=$142.55 H=$144.00 L=$141.03 C=$142.67 (+0.1%)
11-14 16:00: O=$142.63 H=$144.30 L=$141.88 C=$143.83 (+0.8%)
11-14 17:00: O=$143.57 H=$144.04 L=$141.00 C=$141.62 (-1.4%)
11-14 18:00: O=$141.59 H=$143.12 L=$141.05 C=$141.73 (+0.1%)
11-14 19:00: O=$141.54 H=$143.78 L=$141.40 C=$143.27 (+1.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 55.6
RSI(14): 48.5
EMA(20): $143.04
EMA(50): $148.40
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $4.13
AVAX:
Current Price: $15.63
Period Change: -7.05%
Range: $15.10 - $17.60
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-14 12:00: O=$15.35 H=$15.36 L=$15.10 C=$15.35 (+0.0%)
11-14 13:00: O=$15.43 H=$15.43 L=$15.20 C=$15.22 (-1.4%)
11-14 14:00: O=$15.28 H=$15.53 L=$15.26 C=$15.53 (+1.6%)
11-14 15:00: O=$15.41 H=$15.63 L=$15.41 C=$15.63 (+1.4%)
11-14 16:00: O=$15.63 H=$15.63 L=$15.63 C=$15.63 (+0.0%)
11-14 17:00: O=$15.65 H=$15.65 L=$15.34 C=$15.38 (-1.7%)
11-14 18:00: O=$15.52 H=$15.54 L=$15.36 C=$15.39 (-0.8%)
11-14 19:00: O=$15.64 H=$15.66 L=$15.61 C=$15.63 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 53.3
RSI(14): 44.4
EMA(20): $15.70
EMA(50): $16.39
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.18
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
AVAX LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 04:00 (8.0h)
Entry: $16.77, Exit: $17.60 P&L: +4.97% ($+10.76) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 06:30 (10.5h)
Entry: $3,430.24, Exit: $3,556.90 P&L: +3.69% ($+13.08) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-13 12:00 → 11-13 14:45 (2.7h)
Entry: $3,541.66, Exit: $3,429.00 P&L: -3.18% ($-11.12) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 17:15 (21.2h)
Entry: $153.42, Exit: $150.47 P&L: -1.92% ($-4.63) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 18:00 (22.0h)
Entry: $102,929.30, Exit: $100,166.00 P&L: -2.68% ($-13.46) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 04:45 (8.7h)
Entry: $15.94, Exit: $15.62 P&L: -2.02% ($-6.23) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 06:15 (10.2h)
Entry: $99,813.80, Exit: $97,799.00 P&L: -2.02% ($-9.81) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 10:30 (14.5h)
Entry: $142.61, Exit: $119.24 P&L: -16.39% ($-102.83) [LIQUIDATION]
ETH LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 11:45 (15.7h)
Entry: $3,203.00, Exit: $3,129.20 P&L: -2.30% ($-15.00) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-14 08:00 → 11-14 12:45 (4.7h)
Entry: $15.91, Exit: $15.21 P&L: +4.39% ($+7.32) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: SOL showing critical weakness: -6.82% period decline, devastating liquidation on 11-14 (-16.39%), and flash crash to $125. Currently at $143.27, barely above EMA20 $143.04 but well below EMA50 $148.40. RSI(14) 48.5 and RSI(7) 55.6 show temporary bounce exhaustion. The violent $125 wick indicates fragile market structure and stop-hunting. Price is at resistance confluence (EMA20 + prior support turned resistance). ATR $4.13 suggests volatility remains elevated. High probability of retest of $138-140 support zone. This is a mean reversion short setup with clear risk parameters.
Confidence: 72%
Allocation: 28.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $138.50 (prior support, ~3.3% move, 2.7:1 R:R). SL at $147 above EMA50 and recent highs (~2.6% risk, 1.5x ATR). Exit early if price breaks above $145 with strong volume, indicating failed breakdown. Monitor BTC correlation - if BTC rallies above $99k, consider early exit.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $252.81
Allocation: 28.0% ($70.79 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $143.27
Size: 1.4800 coins
Notional value: $212.04
📝 Executing SHORT 1.48 SOL @ 3x with TP: $138, SL: $147
✅ Market order filled @ $143.31
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43123106438)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43123106864)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in a clear bearish trend (price below both EMA20 $98,180 and EMA50 $100,961). Recent 8h shows recovery attempt from $95,120 low but still trading below key EMAs. RSI(14) at 41.6 suggests oversold but not extreme. The -5.35% period decline and multiple failed bounces indicate weakness. Recent trading history shows 2 consecutive SL hits on longs. Without clear reversal confirmation (price above EMA20 + volume surge), risk of further downside remains high. Need to see sustained break above $98,500 with momentum before considering entry.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing similar bearish structure (below EMA20 $3,216 and EMA50 $3,330). Current price $3,219.50 is barely touching EMA20 resistance. RSI(14) at 46.9 is neutral but RSI(7) at 54.4 shows short-term momentum. However, the -6.47% period decline and recent failed long (SL hit 11-14) suggests caution. The bounce from $3,088.50 low shows some buying interest but lacks conviction. Price needs to clear $3,250 with volume to confirm reversal. In current risk-off environment, waiting for clearer setup is prudent.
Confidence: 55%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX in tight consolidation around $15.63, trapped between EMA20 $15.70 and recent lows $15.10. The -7.05% period decline shows weakness but recent 8h candles show extremely low volatility (tight ranges). RSI(14) 44.4 neutral, RSI(7) 53.3 shows minor bounce. Recent short was profitable (+4.39% TP hit), but current price action is too choppy and range-bound. ATR $0.18 is very low relative to price, making precise entries difficult. Need breakout above $15.80 or breakdown below $15.20 to establish clear direction. Current setup lacks edge - better to wait for volatility expansion.
Confidence: 65%
💾 Database saved: run_id=28
1 order(s) executed
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