Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-15 08:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-14 20:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $259.92
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-15 08:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-14 20:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-13 06:00 → 2025-11-15 08:00
BTC:
Current Price: $96,241.00
Period Change: -8.60%
Range: $91,910.00 - $106,239.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 00:00: O=$94,589.00 H=$95,350.00 L=$94,514.00 C=$95,060.00 (+0.5%)
11-15 01:00: O=$95,118.00 H=$95,609.00 L=$94,710.00 C=$95,587.00 (+0.5%)
11-15 02:00: O=$95,564.00 H=$96,317.00 L=$95,329.00 C=$96,317.00 (+0.8%)
11-15 03:00: O=$96,363.00 H=$96,768.00 L=$96,111.00 C=$96,335.00 (-0.0%)
11-15 04:00: O=$96,353.00 H=$96,454.00 L=$95,925.00 C=$96,038.00 (-0.3%)
11-15 05:00: O=$96,051.00 H=$96,345.00 L=$95,898.00 C=$96,240.00 (+0.2%)
11-15 06:00: O=$96,238.00 H=$96,505.00 L=$95,997.00 C=$96,083.00 (-0.2%)
11-15 07:00: O=$96,074.00 H=$96,289.00 L=$95,934.00 C=$96,241.00 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 49.7
RSI(14): 45.6
EMA(20): $96,668.74
EMA(50): $99,118.70
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1528.79
ETH:
Current Price: $3,171.00
Period Change: -11.15%
Range: $2,981.20 - $3,672.30
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 00:00: O=$3,112.20 H=$3,145.10 L=$3,111.90 C=$3,138.80 (+0.9%)
11-15 01:00: O=$3,138.00 H=$3,175.40 L=$3,124.20 C=$3,170.70 (+1.0%)
11-15 02:00: O=$3,170.30 H=$3,188.00 L=$3,162.00 C=$3,188.00 (+0.6%)
11-15 03:00: O=$3,187.40 H=$3,190.20 L=$3,164.50 C=$3,175.50 (-0.4%)
11-15 04:00: O=$3,175.50 H=$3,187.70 L=$3,158.90 C=$3,167.50 (-0.3%)
11-15 05:00: O=$3,168.60 H=$3,180.00 L=$3,160.10 C=$3,177.30 (+0.3%)
11-15 06:00: O=$3,177.20 H=$3,182.90 L=$3,164.60 C=$3,172.70 (-0.1%)
11-15 07:00: O=$3,171.20 H=$3,180.90 L=$3,166.20 C=$3,171.00 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 49.0
RSI(14): 47.7
EMA(20): $3,184.27
EMA(50): $3,259.01
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $49.88
SOL:
Current Price: $142.17
Period Change: -9.29%
Range: $124.67 - $157.83
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 00:00: O=$138.89 H=$141.11 L=$137.33 C=$140.39 (+1.1%)
11-15 01:00: O=$140.64 H=$142.04 L=$138.99 C=$139.93 (-0.5%)
11-15 02:00: O=$139.93 H=$142.86 L=$139.75 C=$142.70 (+2.0%)
11-15 03:00: O=$142.80 H=$143.03 L=$140.35 C=$140.35 (-1.7%)
11-15 04:00: O=$141.33 H=$142.54 L=$139.91 C=$140.19 (-0.8%)
11-15 05:00: O=$141.10 H=$142.64 L=$140.10 C=$142.61 (+1.1%)
11-15 06:00: O=$142.51 H=$143.13 L=$138.61 C=$140.29 (-1.6%)
11-15 07:00: O=$140.09 H=$142.75 L=$140.02 C=$142.17 (+1.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 54.5
RSI(14): 49.1
EMA(20): $141.57
EMA(50): $145.11
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $4.05
AVAX:
Current Price: $15.59
Period Change: -11.13%
Range: $14.90 - $17.54
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 00:00: O=$15.27 H=$15.29 L=$15.27 C=$15.29 (+0.1%)
11-15 01:00: O=$15.29 H=$15.29 L=$15.29 C=$15.29 (+0.0%)
11-15 02:00: O=$15.46 H=$15.55 L=$15.45 C=$15.55 (+0.6%)
11-15 03:00: O=$15.59 H=$15.59 L=$15.53 C=$15.53 (-0.4%)
11-15 04:00: O=$15.53 H=$15.53 L=$15.53 C=$15.53 (+0.0%)
11-15 05:00: O=$15.53 H=$15.53 L=$15.53 C=$15.53 (+0.0%)
11-15 06:00: O=$15.65 H=$15.65 L=$15.65 C=$15.65 (+0.0%)
11-15 07:00: O=$15.60 H=$15.60 L=$15.59 C=$15.59 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 58.0
RSI(14): 49.1
EMA(20): $15.54
EMA(50): $16.00
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.15
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 06:30 (10.5h)
Entry: $3,430.24, Exit: $3,556.90 P&L: +3.69% ($+13.08) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-13 12:00 → 11-13 14:45 (2.7h)
Entry: $3,541.66, Exit: $3,429.00 P&L: -3.18% ($-11.12) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 17:15 (21.2h)
Entry: $153.42, Exit: $150.47 P&L: -1.92% ($-4.63) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 18:00 (22.0h)
Entry: $102,929.30, Exit: $100,166.00 P&L: -2.68% ($-13.46) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 04:45 (8.7h)
Entry: $15.94, Exit: $15.62 P&L: -2.02% ($-6.23) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 06:15 (10.2h)
Entry: $99,813.80, Exit: $97,799.00 P&L: -2.02% ($-9.81) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 10:30 (14.5h)
Entry: $142.61, Exit: $119.24 P&L: -16.39% ($-102.83) [LIQUIDATION]
ETH LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 11:45 (15.7h)
Entry: $3,203.00, Exit: $3,129.20 P&L: -2.30% ($-15.00) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-14 08:00 → 11-14 12:45 (4.7h)
Entry: $15.91, Exit: $15.21 P&L: +4.39% ($+7.32) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-14 20:00 → 11-14 23:15 (3.2h)
Entry: $143.31, Exit: $152.35 P&L: -6.31% ($-13.38) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: SOL presents the best short setup: 1) Clear bearish trend (below EMA20 $141.57, EMA50 $145.11), 2) Recent 8h shows failed rally - spiked to $142.86 then rejected back, creating lower high pattern, 3) RSI(7) 54.5 shows temporary strength that's likely exhaustion in downtrend, 4) Price at $142.17 is near resistance cluster (EMA20 + prior rejection zone), 5) Recent liquidation event at $119 suggests high volatility and weak hands flushed, but trend remains down. Entry at resistance with tight stop above $144 (recent high + buffer). Target $135 (prior support) for 5% gain vs 1.3% risk = 3.8:1 R:R.
Confidence: 72%
Allocation: 28.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $135 (prior support level, ~5% move). SL at $144 (above recent high of $143.13 + 1.5x ATR buffer). Will close early if: 1) price breaks above EMA20 with strong volume, 2) BTC shows strong reversal that could lift all alts, or 3) RSI divergence forms suggesting momentum shift. Trailing stop to breakeven if price drops below $140.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $259.92
Allocation: 28.0% ($72.78 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $142.17
Size: 1.5400 coins
Notional value: $218.94
📝 Executing SHORT 1.54 SOL @ 3x with TP: $135, SL: $144
✅ Market order filled @ $141.14
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43157206457)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43157207470)
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: AVAX showing compressed consolidation near $15.60 after -11.13% decline, but still in bearish structure (below EMA20 $15.54, EMA50 $16.00). Key observations: 1) Recent 5 hours show extremely tight range with multiple flat candles - compression often precedes breakout, 2) RSI(7) 58 slightly elevated vs trend, suggesting potential exhaustion, 3) Previous short hit TP quickly (+4.39%), indicating responsive price action, 4) Price at resistance (EMA20 overhead), 5) Low ATR $0.15 means tight stops possible. Short here with stop above $15.80 (EMA20 + buffer), target $15.00 (period low area) for 3.8% gain vs 1.3% risk = 2.9:1 R:R.
Confidence: 68%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $15.00 (near period low $14.90, psychological support). SL at $15.80 (above EMA20 + 1.7x ATR). Exit early if: 1) breaks above $15.70 with momentum suggesting EMA20 reclaim, 2) broader market shows strong reversal, or 3) consolidation extends beyond 12 hours without breakdown. Move to breakeven if drops to $15.30.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $259.92
Allocation: 25.0% ($64.98 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $15.59
Size: 12.5000 coins
Notional value: $194.89
📝 Executing SHORT 12.5 AVAX @ 3x with TP: $15, SL: $16
✅ Market order filled @ $15.62
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43157210259)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43157210802)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in a bearish trend (price below EMA20 $96,669 and EMA50 $99,119) after a -8.6% period decline. Recent 8h shows consolidation in tight $95,900-$96,500 range with neutral RSI(7) 49.7 and RSI(14) 45.6. No clear reversal signals - price action is indecisive. Recent trading history shows 2 consecutive SL hits on longs during this downtrend. Need to wait for either: 1) clear break above EMA20 with volume, or 2) deeper pullback to $92k-93k support zone for better risk/reward entry. Current setup lacks conviction in either direction.
Confidence: 50%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing similar bearish structure to BTC - price below both EMAs (EMA20: $3,184, EMA50: $3,259) after -11.15% period decline. Recent 8h candles show tight consolidation $3,165-$3,190 with flat RSI near 49. The asset has triggered 2 SL hits recently in this downtrend. While consolidation could precede a move, there's no bullish confirmation yet. The $3,160-$3,170 level is acting as support but without volume expansion or EMA reclaim, risk of breakdown remains. Need to see either: 1) break and hold above $3,200 with volume, or 2) test of $3,000-$3,050 support for long entry with better R:R.
Confidence: 50%
💾 Database saved: run_id=29
2 order(s) executed
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