Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-06 12:00:00
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-06 08:00:07
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $593.10
Margin Used: $316.65 (53.4%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-06 12:00:06
Last run: 2025-11-06 08:00:07
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-04 10:00 → 2025-11-06 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $102,950.00
Period Change: -0.61%
Range: $97,767.00 - $106,177.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-06 04:00: O=$103,410.00 H=$103,879.00 L=$103,321.00 C=$103,717.00 (+0.3%)
11-06 05:00: O=$103,774.00 H=$103,774.00 L=$102,807.00 C=$102,834.00 (-0.9%)
11-06 06:00: O=$102,876.00 H=$103,318.00 L=$102,816.00 C=$103,118.00 (+0.2%)
11-06 07:00: O=$103,095.00 H=$103,279.00 L=$102,560.00 C=$102,871.00 (-0.2%)
11-06 08:00: O=$103,010.00 H=$103,249.00 L=$102,829.00 C=$102,937.00 (-0.1%)
11-06 09:00: O=$102,989.00 H=$103,024.00 L=$102,607.00 C=$102,649.00 (-0.3%)
11-06 10:00: O=$102,625.00 H=$103,077.00 L=$102,425.00 C=$102,922.00 (+0.3%)
11-06 11:00: O=$102,885.00 H=$103,042.00 L=$102,516.00 C=$102,950.00 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 47.3
RSI(14): 53.6
EMA(20): $102,998.05
EMA(50): $102,445.04
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $803.15
ETH:
Current Price: $3,415.80
Period Change: -2.90%
Range: $3,000.00 - $3,698.20
Recent 8h candles:
11-06 04:00: O=$3,448.10 H=$3,467.60 L=$3,443.60 C=$3,465.40 (+0.5%)
11-06 05:00: O=$3,460.90 H=$3,479.50 L=$3,397.70 C=$3,401.20 (-1.7%)
11-06 06:00: O=$3,400.20 H=$3,416.40 L=$3,400.20 C=$3,406.70 (+0.2%)
11-06 07:00: O=$3,406.50 H=$3,416.00 L=$3,386.90 C=$3,397.40 (-0.3%)
11-06 08:00: O=$3,397.40 H=$3,403.20 L=$3,385.50 C=$3,395.00 (-0.1%)
11-06 09:00: O=$3,389.30 H=$3,405.10 L=$3,389.10 C=$3,404.00 (+0.4%)
11-06 10:00: O=$3,400.20 H=$3,440.30 L=$3,381.40 C=$3,411.20 (+0.3%)
11-06 11:00: O=$3,413.20 H=$3,422.20 L=$3,410.80 C=$3,415.80 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 50.3
RSI(14): 54.9
EMA(20): $3,414.53
EMA(50): $3,391.52
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $42.70
SOL:
Current Price: $159.22
Period Change: -0.98%
Range: $135.32 - $180.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-06 04:00: O=$162.86 H=$163.14 L=$162.24 C=$162.46 (-0.2%)
11-06 05:00: O=$161.96 H=$161.96 L=$159.66 C=$159.72 (-1.4%)
11-06 06:00: O=$159.92 H=$160.24 L=$159.42 C=$159.44 (-0.3%)
11-06 07:00: O=$159.29 H=$160.13 L=$158.93 C=$159.50 (+0.1%)
11-06 08:00: O=$159.05 H=$159.70 L=$159.03 C=$159.58 (+0.3%)
11-06 09:00: O=$159.73 H=$160.25 L=$159.29 C=$159.61 (-0.1%)
11-06 10:00: O=$159.18 H=$160.14 L=$158.19 C=$159.53 (+0.2%)
11-06 11:00: O=$158.67 H=$159.81 L=$158.67 C=$159.22 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 31.2
RSI(14): 45.8
EMA(20): $160.42
EMA(50): $159.25
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $2.17
AVAX:
Current Price: $16.30
Period Change: -1.58%
Range: $15.24 - $16.88
Recent 8h candles:
11-06 04:00: O=$16.64 H=$16.68 L=$16.63 C=$16.63 (-0.1%)
11-06 05:00: O=$16.64 H=$16.65 L=$16.34 C=$16.34 (-1.8%)
11-06 06:00: O=$16.38 H=$16.38 L=$16.35 C=$16.35 (-0.1%)
11-06 07:00: O=$16.26 H=$16.26 L=$16.26 C=$16.26 (+0.0%)
11-06 08:00: O=$16.26 H=$16.26 L=$16.26 C=$16.26 (+0.0%)
11-06 09:00: O=$16.31 H=$16.31 L=$16.31 C=$16.31 (+0.0%)
11-06 10:00: O=$16.31 H=$16.31 L=$16.31 C=$16.31 (+0.0%)
11-06 11:00: O=$16.30 H=$16.30 L=$16.30 C=$16.30 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 34.6
RSI(14): 45.8
EMA(20): $16.44
EMA(50): $16.37
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.10
=== POSITIONS ===
BTC (LONG): 0.01036 @ $103,782.00 (Current: $102,950.00, P&L: -0.80%)
TP: $108,000.00 (+4.1%)
SL: $101,500.00 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $108k (psychological resistance, +4.1% move). SL at $101.5k just below recent consolidation support and EMA(20). This gives 2:1 R/R. Will trust automated orders - only manual close if we see major breakdown below $100k or macro event invalidates bullish thesis.
ETH (LONG): 0.2307 @ $3,468.50 (Current: $3,415.80, P&L: -1.52%)
TP: $3,620.00 (+4.4%)
SL: $3,380.00 (-2.6%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,620 targeting mid-range resistance (+4.4% move). SL at $3,380 below EMA(20) support zone. 1.8:1 R/R ratio. ETH often follows BTC with amplified moves. Trust TP/SL automation - manual exit only if correlation with BTC breaks or volume dries up significantly.
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: SOL showing oversold conditions with RSI(7) at 31.2 - significantly below 35 threshold. Price at $159.22 consolidating after pullback from $180 highs. Trading just below EMA(20) at $160.42 but above EMA(50) at $159.25 - good support zone. Recent 8h candles show stabilization with small bullish moves. Strong risk/reward setup for mean reversion play back toward $165-168 range. Low ATR suggests volatility compression before next move.
Confidence: 62%
Allocation: 18.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $167.50 targeting resistance near prior consolidation (+5.2% move). SL at $156 below EMA(50) and psychological support (-2.0%). This gives 2.6:1 R/R. Using moderate 4x leverage with 18% margin allocation given existing 53% margin usage. Exit early if RSI fails to recover above 40 or BTC breaks below $101k.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $593.10
Allocation: 18.0% ($106.76 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $159.22
Size: 2.6800 coins
Notional value: $426.71
📝 Executing LONG 2.68 SOL @ 4x with TP: $168, SL: $156
✅ Market order filled @ $159.33
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
AVAX:
→ LONG
Reasoning: AVAX showing similar oversold setup with RSI(7) at 34.6. Price at $16.30 pulled back from $16.88 high, now consolidating. Recent 8h candles show complete stall with zero volatility (all flat candles) - classic coiling pattern before breakout. Trading below EMA(20) at $16.44 but near EMA(50) at $16.37. Low ATR at $0.10 suggests compression. Good entry for bounce back to $16.80-17.00 zone. Diversifies portfolio with another oversold alt.
Confidence: 58%
Allocation: 15.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $17.00 targeting prior resistance and psychological level (+4.3% move). SL at $15.90 below recent range low at $15.24 with buffer (-2.5%). This gives 1.75:1 R/R. Conservative 3x leverage with 15% margin allocation to stay under 70% total margin usage. Exit if volume remains dead flat for 12+ hours or if SOL position hits SL (correlated alt weakness).
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $593.10
Allocation: 15.0% ($88.97 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $16.30
Size: 16.3700 coins
Notional value: $266.90
📝 Executing LONG 16.37 AVAX @ 3x with TP: $17, SL: $16
✅ Market order filled @ $16.28
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position is working as planned. Price consolidated near $103k after initial pullback, staying above EMA(20) at $102,998. RSI(14) at 53.6 shows neutral momentum with room to move up. Recent 8h candles show tight range with slight bullish bias. TP at $108k remains valid target, SL at $101.5k protecting downside. No reason to exit - thesis intact, let automated orders work.
Confidence: 65%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH down 1.52% but holding above SL at $3,380. Currently at $3,415.80, just above EMA(20) at $3,414.53 - this is key support. RSI(14) at 54.9 shows neutral/slightly bullish momentum. Recent consolidation after 5am drop shows buyers defending this level. EMA trend still bullish. TP at $3,620 remains achievable. Trust the automated orders - position size appropriate for current drawdown.
Confidence: 60%
💾 Database saved: run_id=3
2 order(s) executed
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