Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-15 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-15 08:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $264.22
Margin Used: $143.94 (54.5%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-15 12:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-15 08:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-13 10:00 → 2025-11-15 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $95,548.00
Period Change: -8.97%
Range: $91,910.00 - $105,760.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 05:00: O=$96,051.00 H=$96,345.00 L=$95,898.00 C=$96,240.00 (+0.2%)
11-15 06:00: O=$96,238.00 H=$96,505.00 L=$95,997.00 C=$96,083.00 (-0.2%)
11-15 07:00: O=$96,074.00 H=$96,289.00 L=$95,934.00 C=$96,241.00 (+0.2%)
11-15 08:00: O=$96,294.00 H=$96,315.00 L=$95,649.00 C=$95,826.00 (-0.5%)
11-15 09:00: O=$95,859.00 H=$96,089.00 L=$95,617.00 C=$95,739.00 (-0.1%)
11-15 10:00: O=$95,684.00 H=$95,907.00 L=$95,649.00 C=$95,895.00 (+0.2%)
11-15 11:00: O=$95,889.00 H=$95,889.00 L=$95,499.00 C=$95,566.00 (-0.3%)
11-15 12:00: O=$95,548.00 H=$95,548.00 L=$95,548.00 C=$95,548.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 40.0
RSI(14): 40.8
EMA(20): $96,283.74
EMA(50): $98,281.16
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1155.54
ETH:
Current Price: $3,145.40
Period Change: -10.43%
Range: $2,981.20 - $3,558.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 04:00: O=$3,175.50 H=$3,187.70 L=$3,158.90 C=$3,167.50 (-0.3%)
11-15 05:00: O=$3,168.60 H=$3,180.00 L=$3,160.10 C=$3,177.30 (+0.3%)
11-15 06:00: O=$3,177.20 H=$3,182.90 L=$3,164.60 C=$3,172.70 (-0.1%)
11-15 07:00: O=$3,171.20 H=$3,180.90 L=$3,166.20 C=$3,171.00 (-0.0%)
11-15 08:00: O=$3,169.10 H=$3,169.10 L=$3,131.30 C=$3,139.00 (-0.9%)
11-15 09:00: O=$3,138.40 H=$3,161.00 L=$3,136.20 C=$3,147.60 (+0.3%)
11-15 10:00: O=$3,145.60 H=$3,165.40 L=$3,141.80 C=$3,163.90 (+0.6%)
11-15 11:00: O=$3,165.10 H=$3,167.70 L=$3,143.50 C=$3,145.40 (-0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 42.4
RSI(14): 43.4
EMA(20): $3,172.06
EMA(50): $3,227.14
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $44.00
SOL:
Current Price: $139.48
Period Change: -10.32%
Range: $124.67 - $157.41
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 04:00: O=$141.33 H=$142.54 L=$139.91 C=$140.19 (-0.8%)
11-15 05:00: O=$141.10 H=$142.64 L=$140.10 C=$142.61 (+1.1%)
11-15 06:00: O=$142.51 H=$143.13 L=$138.61 C=$140.29 (-1.6%)
11-15 07:00: O=$140.09 H=$142.75 L=$140.02 C=$142.17 (+1.5%)
11-15 08:00: O=$141.14 H=$141.95 L=$139.26 C=$139.46 (-1.2%)
11-15 09:00: O=$139.86 H=$141.26 L=$134.58 C=$139.27 (-0.4%)
11-15 10:00: O=$139.27 H=$140.84 L=$138.15 C=$139.68 (+0.3%)
11-15 11:00: O=$139.33 H=$140.61 L=$138.52 C=$139.48 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 44.6
RSI(14): 46.0
EMA(20): $140.87
EMA(50): $143.76
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $3.97
AVAX:
Current Price: $15.41
Period Change: -10.82%
Range: $14.90 - $17.36
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 04:00: O=$15.53 H=$15.53 L=$15.53 C=$15.53 (+0.0%)
11-15 05:00: O=$15.53 H=$15.53 L=$15.53 C=$15.53 (+0.0%)
11-15 06:00: O=$15.65 H=$15.65 L=$15.65 C=$15.65 (+0.0%)
11-15 07:00: O=$15.60 H=$15.60 L=$15.59 C=$15.59 (-0.1%)
11-15 08:00: O=$15.62 H=$15.62 L=$15.32 C=$15.32 (-1.9%)
11-15 09:00: O=$15.40 H=$15.48 L=$15.38 C=$15.47 (+0.4%)
11-15 10:00: O=$15.37 H=$15.39 L=$15.37 C=$15.39 (+0.1%)
11-15 11:00: O=$15.48 H=$15.48 L=$15.41 C=$15.41 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 46.7
RSI(14): 46.2
EMA(20): $15.49
EMA(50): $15.83
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.15
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 1.54 @ $141.14 (Current: $139.48, P&L: +1.18%)
TP: $135.00 (+4.4%)
SL: $144.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $135 (prior support level, ~5% move). SL at $144 (above recent high of $143.13 + 1.5x ATR buffer). Will close early if: 1) price breaks above EMA20 with strong volume, 2) BTC shows strong reversal that could lift all alts, or 3) RSI divergence forms suggesting momentum shift. Trailing stop to breakeven if price drops below $140.
AVAX (SHORT): 12.5 @ $15.62 (Current: $15.41, P&L: +1.32%)
TP: $15.00 (+3.9%)
SL: $15.80 (-1.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $15.00 (near period low $14.90, psychological support). SL at $15.80 (above EMA20 + 1.7x ATR). Exit early if: 1) breaks above $15.70 with momentum suggesting EMA20 reclaim, 2) broader market shows strong reversal, or 3) consolidation extends beyond 12 hours without breakdown. Move to breakeven if drops to $15.30.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 06:30 (10.5h)
Entry: $3,430.24, Exit: $3,556.90 P&L: +3.69% ($+13.08) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-13 12:00 → 11-13 14:45 (2.7h)
Entry: $3,541.66, Exit: $3,429.00 P&L: -3.18% ($-11.12) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 17:15 (21.2h)
Entry: $153.42, Exit: $150.47 P&L: -1.92% ($-4.63) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 18:00 (22.0h)
Entry: $102,929.30, Exit: $100,166.00 P&L: -2.68% ($-13.46) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 04:45 (8.7h)
Entry: $15.94, Exit: $15.62 P&L: -2.02% ($-6.23) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 06:15 (10.2h)
Entry: $99,813.80, Exit: $97,799.00 P&L: -2.02% ($-9.81) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 10:30 (14.5h)
Entry: $142.61, Exit: $119.24 P&L: -16.39% ($-102.83) [LIQUIDATION]
ETH LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 11:45 (15.7h)
Entry: $3,203.00, Exit: $3,129.20 P&L: -2.30% ($-15.00) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-14 08:00 → 11-14 12:45 (4.7h)
Entry: $15.91, Exit: $15.21 P&L: +4.39% ($+7.32) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-14 20:00 → 11-14 23:15 (3.2h)
Entry: $143.31, Exit: $138.46 P&L: +3.38% ($+7.18) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing bearish structure with price below both EMA20 ($96,283) and EMA50 ($98,281). RSI(14) at 40.8 suggests oversold but no reversal confirmation yet. Recent 8h shows choppy consolidation around $95,500-$96,300 with lower highs. Given strong downtrend (-9% period), need clear reversal signals before entry. Current margin usage at 54.5% also limits new position capacity.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH in confirmed downtrend, price below EMA20 ($3,172) and EMA50 ($3,227). Recent action shows volatility with $3,130-$3,180 range. RSI(14) at 43.4 shows weakness but no divergence. The whipsaw from previous trades (TP then SL hit within 24h) demonstrates choppy conditions. Need clearer setup - either break above $3,180 with volume or deeper pullback to $3,100 support for risk/reward.
Confidence: 50%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Current SHORT position +1.18% P&L, approaching TP at $135 (needs $4.48 more drop). Position thesis intact: bearish EMA structure, price rejected at $142-143 resistance multiple times. Recent 8h shows consolidation $138-142 with slight downward bias. RSI(14) 46.0 neutral. Trust the TP/SL orders - no reason to manually close as bearish setup remains valid and TP is realistic target at prior support.
Confidence: 70%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Current SHORT position +1.32% P&L, working well. Price consolidating $15.37-$15.48 below EMA20 ($15.49), confirming bearish bias. TP at $15.00 is 41 cents away - achievable given ATR of $0.15 and proximity to period low $14.90. Recent candles show rejection at $15.65 and failure to reclaim EMA20. RSI neutral at 46.2. Position sizing appropriate, let TP/SL work automatically.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=30
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