Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-16 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-15 19:06:17
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $253.39
Margin Used: $114.78 (45.3%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-16 00:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-15 19:06:17 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-13 22:00 → 2025-11-16 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $95,511.00
Period Change: -3.73%
Range: $91,910.00 - $102,247.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 16:00: O=$96,087.00 H=$98,207.00 L=$93,500.00 C=$96,055.00 (-0.0%)
11-15 17:00: O=$96,055.00 H=$96,321.00 L=$95,852.00 C=$96,122.00 (+0.1%)
11-15 18:00: O=$96,183.00 H=$96,262.00 L=$95,912.00 C=$95,953.00 (-0.2%)
11-15 19:00: O=$96,006.00 H=$96,091.00 L=$95,844.00 C=$95,949.00 (-0.1%)
11-15 20:00: O=$95,963.00 H=$95,979.00 L=$95,087.00 C=$95,203.00 (-0.8%)
11-15 21:00: O=$95,235.00 H=$95,601.00 L=$95,064.00 C=$95,200.00 (-0.0%)
11-15 22:00: O=$95,249.00 H=$95,598.00 L=$95,166.00 C=$95,527.00 (+0.3%)
11-15 23:00: O=$95,548.00 H=$95,656.00 L=$95,393.00 C=$95,511.00 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 41.8
RSI(14): 42.6
EMA(20): $95,889.53
EMA(50): $96,874.88
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $940.71
ETH:
Current Price: $3,168.00
Period Change: -0.70%
Range: $2,981.20 - $3,300.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 16:00: O=$3,181.40 H=$3,300.00 L=$3,161.80 C=$3,187.20 (+0.2%)
11-15 17:00: O=$3,187.10 H=$3,215.90 L=$3,184.70 C=$3,215.90 (+0.9%)
11-15 18:00: O=$3,211.90 H=$3,230.10 L=$3,205.10 C=$3,208.80 (-0.1%)
11-15 19:00: O=$3,207.10 H=$3,214.00 L=$3,195.00 C=$3,198.80 (-0.3%)
11-15 20:00: O=$3,197.40 H=$3,201.60 L=$3,168.30 C=$3,174.20 (-0.7%)
11-15 21:00: O=$3,174.60 H=$3,186.50 L=$3,153.20 C=$3,157.60 (-0.5%)
11-15 22:00: O=$3,157.70 H=$3,172.20 L=$3,156.30 C=$3,172.20 (+0.5%)
11-15 23:00: O=$3,170.10 H=$3,177.70 L=$3,167.80 C=$3,168.00 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 45.3
RSI(14): 48.2
EMA(20): $3,176.43
EMA(50): $3,184.21
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $36.09
SOL:
Current Price: $139.11
Period Change: -2.17%
Range: $124.67 - $151.76
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 17:00: O=$142.64 H=$144.24 L=$142.30 C=$143.09 (+0.3%)
11-15 18:00: O=$143.05 H=$143.05 L=$142.01 C=$142.06 (-0.7%)
11-15 19:00: O=$142.13 H=$142.59 L=$141.22 C=$141.22 (-0.6%)
11-15 20:00: O=$141.54 H=$141.62 L=$140.02 C=$140.02 (-1.1%)
11-15 21:00: O=$140.01 H=$140.22 L=$138.50 C=$138.56 (-1.0%)
11-15 22:00: O=$138.50 H=$139.53 L=$138.23 C=$139.50 (+0.7%)
11-15 23:00: O=$139.39 H=$139.70 L=$138.83 C=$138.97 (-0.3%)
11-16 00:00: O=$138.98 H=$139.11 L=$138.98 C=$139.11 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 40.9
RSI(14): 45.4
EMA(20): $140.34
EMA(50): $141.27
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2.44
AVAX:
Current Price: $15.54
Period Change: -2.70%
Range: $14.90 - $16.22
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 16:00: O=$15.54 H=$15.54 L=$15.51 C=$15.52 (-0.1%)
11-15 17:00: O=$15.56 H=$15.74 L=$15.56 C=$15.74 (+1.2%)
11-15 18:00: O=$15.76 H=$15.76 L=$15.68 C=$15.69 (-0.5%)
11-15 19:00: O=$15.70 H=$15.71 L=$15.70 C=$15.71 (+0.1%)
11-15 20:00: O=$15.67 H=$15.69 L=$15.54 C=$15.54 (-0.9%)
11-15 21:00: O=$15.47 H=$15.50 L=$15.47 C=$15.50 (+0.1%)
11-15 22:00: O=$15.50 H=$15.50 L=$15.50 C=$15.50 (+0.0%)
11-15 23:00: O=$15.61 H=$15.61 L=$15.54 C=$15.54 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 48.2
RSI(14): 51.0
EMA(20): $15.55
EMA(50): $15.57
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.12
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
ETH (LONG): 0.0473 @ $3,209.80 (Current: $3,168.00, P&L: -1.30%)
TP: $3,290.00 (+2.5%)
SL: $3,150.00 (-1.9%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,290 (near period high $3,300 and psychological resistance). SL at $3,150 (below EMA20 and 1.5x ATR). Exit early if: 1) BTC breaks below $95k with momentum, 2) fails to hold EMA20 on next pullback, 3) RSI(7) diverges bearish above 70. Move SL to breakeven at $3,250.
AVAX (SHORT): 12.5 @ $15.62 (Current: $15.54, P&L: +0.49%)
TP: $15.00 (+3.9%)
SL: $15.80 (-1.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $15.00 (near period low $14.90, psychological support). SL at $15.80 (above EMA20 + 1.7x ATR). Exit early if: 1) breaks above $15.70 with momentum suggesting EMA20 reclaim, 2) broader market shows strong reversal, or 3) consolidation extends beyond 12 hours without breakdown. Move to breakeven if drops to $15.30.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 11-13 12:00 → 11-13 14:45 (2.7h)
Entry: $3,541.66, Exit: $3,429.00 P&L: -3.18% ($-11.12) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 17:15 (21.2h)
Entry: $153.42, Exit: $150.47 P&L: -1.92% ($-4.63) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 18:00 (22.0h)
Entry: $102,929.30, Exit: $100,166.00 P&L: -2.68% ($-13.46) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 04:45 (8.7h)
Entry: $15.94, Exit: $15.62 P&L: -2.02% ($-6.23) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 06:15 (10.2h)
Entry: $99,813.80, Exit: $97,799.00 P&L: -2.02% ($-9.81) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 10:30 (14.5h)
Entry: $142.61, Exit: $119.24 P&L: -16.39% ($-102.83) [LIQUIDATION]
ETH LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 11:45 (15.7h)
Entry: $3,203.00, Exit: $3,129.20 P&L: -2.30% ($-15.00) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-14 08:00 → 11-14 12:45 (4.7h)
Entry: $15.91, Exit: $15.21 P&L: +4.39% ($+7.32) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-14 20:00 → 11-14 23:15 (3.2h)
Entry: $143.31, Exit: $138.46 P&L: +3.38% ($+7.18) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-15 08:00 → 11-15 17:30 (9.5h)
Entry: $141.14, Exit: $144.17 P&L: -2.15% ($-4.67) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing bearish structure (price below both EMAs, EMA20<EMA50). RSI(14) at 42.6 suggests oversold but no reversal confirmation. Recent consolidation $95k-$96k after drop from $102k. With 45.3% margin already used, waiting for clearer setup. Need to see either: 1) reclaim of EMA20 with volume, or 2) breakdown below $95k for short entry. Current chop is unfavorable risk/reward.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH long position currently -1.3% but thesis remains valid. Price testing SL zone ($3,150) but holding above it. Recent consolidation $3,157-$3,215 after period high $3,300. RSI(14) 48.2 neutral. SL at $3,150 is well-placed below support. Position has 24/7 TP/SL protection - no need to manually close just because it's slightly red. Trust the stop loss. Exit thesis would require breakdown below $3,150 with momentum, which hasn't occurred.
Confidence: 65%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL in clear downtrend (price below both EMAs, -2.17% period). RSI(7) 40.9 and RSI(14) 45.4 show weakness but not extreme oversold. Recent price action: steady decline from $143 to $139 with lower highs/lows. No position currently. Bearish setup exists but after recent short got stopped out at $144.17, waiting for better entry. Need confirmation: either bounce to $141-142 resistance for short, or breakdown below $138 with volume for momentum short.
Confidence: 55%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX short position +0.49% and working well. Price declining from $15.74 to $15.54, respecting bearish structure. All EMAs bearish aligned. RSI(14) 51 neutral but RSI(7) 48.2 shows recent weakness. Current price $15.54 near EMA20 ($15.55) acting as resistance. TP at $15.00 targets period low $14.90. Position has proper TP/SL protection executing 24/7. Trust the setup - no reason to manually close a working trade that's following the thesis. Only exit early if breaks above $15.70 with momentum.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=32
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