Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-16 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-16 00:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $250.73
Margin Used: $64.51 (25.7%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-16 06:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-16 00:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-14 04:00 → 2025-11-16 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $95,864.00
Period Change: -4.05%
Range: $91,910.00 - $100,333.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 22:00: O=$95,249.00 H=$95,598.00 L=$95,166.00 C=$95,527.00 (+0.3%)
11-15 23:00: O=$95,548.00 H=$95,656.00 L=$95,393.00 C=$95,511.00 (-0.0%)
11-16 00:00: O=$95,522.00 H=$95,657.00 L=$95,137.00 C=$95,349.00 (-0.2%)
11-16 01:00: O=$95,299.00 H=$95,455.00 L=$94,787.00 C=$95,207.00 (-0.1%)
11-16 02:00: O=$95,227.00 H=$95,884.00 L=$95,058.00 C=$95,884.00 (+0.7%)
11-16 03:00: O=$95,922.00 H=$95,922.00 L=$95,619.00 C=$95,692.00 (-0.2%)
11-16 04:00: O=$95,770.00 H=$95,863.00 L=$95,595.00 C=$95,735.00 (-0.0%)
11-16 05:00: O=$95,744.00 H=$96,089.00 L=$95,744.00 C=$95,864.00 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 56.9
RSI(14): 47.4
EMA(20): $95,776.77
EMA(50): $96,342.80
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $773.76
ETH:
Current Price: $3,207.70
Period Change: -0.91%
Range: $2,981.20 - $3,300.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 22:00: O=$3,157.70 H=$3,172.20 L=$3,156.30 C=$3,172.20 (+0.5%)
11-15 23:00: O=$3,170.10 H=$3,177.70 L=$3,167.80 C=$3,168.00 (-0.1%)
11-16 00:00: O=$3,169.60 H=$3,172.50 L=$3,147.10 C=$3,156.10 (-0.4%)
11-16 01:00: O=$3,150.90 H=$3,157.10 L=$3,134.90 C=$3,153.40 (+0.1%)
11-16 02:00: O=$3,150.30 H=$3,204.90 L=$3,143.70 C=$3,201.60 (+1.6%)
11-16 03:00: O=$3,200.90 H=$3,211.90 L=$3,194.60 C=$3,200.60 (-0.0%)
11-16 04:00: O=$3,203.40 H=$3,206.90 L=$3,190.10 C=$3,195.60 (-0.2%)
11-16 05:00: O=$3,195.20 H=$3,216.50 L=$3,195.20 C=$3,207.70 (+0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 64.1
RSI(14): 59.8
EMA(20): $3,181.98
EMA(50): $3,178.35
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $33.10
SOL:
Current Price: $141.31
Period Change: -2.25%
Range: $124.67 - $151.76
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 22:00: O=$138.50 H=$139.53 L=$138.23 C=$139.50 (+0.7%)
11-15 23:00: O=$139.39 H=$139.70 L=$138.83 C=$138.97 (-0.3%)
11-16 00:00: O=$138.98 H=$139.48 L=$138.23 C=$139.00 (+0.0%)
11-16 01:00: O=$138.54 H=$139.23 L=$137.16 C=$138.55 (+0.0%)
11-16 02:00: O=$138.34 H=$140.53 L=$138.26 C=$140.43 (+1.5%)
11-16 03:00: O=$140.30 H=$141.04 L=$140.09 C=$140.98 (+0.5%)
11-16 04:00: O=$141.10 H=$141.10 L=$140.43 C=$140.87 (-0.2%)
11-16 05:00: O=$140.93 H=$141.64 L=$140.84 C=$141.31 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 60.7
RSI(14): 55.6
EMA(20): $140.40
EMA(50): $140.83
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2.20
AVAX:
Current Price: $15.68
Period Change: -0.93%
Range: $14.90 - $16.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-15 22:00: O=$15.50 H=$15.50 L=$15.50 C=$15.50 (+0.0%)
11-15 23:00: O=$15.61 H=$15.61 L=$15.54 C=$15.54 (-0.4%)
11-16 00:00: O=$15.52 H=$15.52 L=$15.37 C=$15.50 (-0.1%)
11-16 01:00: O=$15.35 H=$15.35 L=$15.29 C=$15.34 (-0.0%)
11-16 02:00: O=$15.43 H=$15.55 L=$15.43 C=$15.55 (+0.8%)
11-16 03:00: O=$15.70 H=$15.70 L=$15.67 C=$15.69 (-0.1%)
11-16 04:00: O=$15.69 H=$15.69 L=$15.63 C=$15.63 (-0.4%)
11-16 05:00: O=$15.67 H=$15.74 L=$15.67 C=$15.68 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 59.5
RSI(14): 55.3
EMA(20): $15.56
EMA(50): $15.52
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.13
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (SHORT): 12.5 @ $15.62 (Current: $15.68, P&L: -0.40%)
TP: $15.00 (+3.9%)
SL: $15.80 (-1.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $15.00 (near period low $14.90, psychological support). SL at $15.80 (above EMA20 + 1.7x ATR). Exit early if: 1) breaks above $15.70 with momentum suggesting EMA20 reclaim, 2) broader market shows strong reversal, or 3) consolidation extends beyond 12 hours without breakdown. Move to breakeven if drops to $15.30.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 17:15 (21.2h)
Entry: $153.42, Exit: $150.47 P&L: -1.92% ($-4.63) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 18:00 (22.0h)
Entry: $102,929.30, Exit: $100,166.00 P&L: -2.68% ($-13.46) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 04:45 (8.7h)
Entry: $15.94, Exit: $15.62 P&L: -2.02% ($-6.23) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 06:15 (10.2h)
Entry: $99,813.80, Exit: $97,799.00 P&L: -2.02% ($-9.81) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 10:30 (14.5h)
Entry: $142.61, Exit: $119.24 P&L: -16.39% ($-102.83) [LIQUIDATION]
ETH LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 11:45 (15.7h)
Entry: $3,203.00, Exit: $3,129.20 P&L: -2.30% ($-15.00) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-14 08:00 → 11-14 12:45 (4.7h)
Entry: $15.91, Exit: $15.21 P&L: +4.39% ($+7.32) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-14 20:00 → 11-14 23:15 (3.2h)
Entry: $143.31, Exit: $138.46 P&L: +3.38% ($+7.18) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-15 08:00 → 11-15 17:30 (9.5h)
Entry: $141.14, Exit: $144.17 P&L: -2.15% ($-4.67) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-15 19:06 → 11-16 00:30 (5.4h)
Entry: $3,209.80, Exit: $3,149.00 P&L: -1.89% ($-2.88) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
ETH:
→ LONG
Reasoning: ETH showing relative strength vs BTC. Only -0.91% over period vs BTC's -4%. Bullish EMA structure (20>50) with price at $3,207 above both EMAs. RSI(14) at 59.8 approaching overbought but not extended. Recent bounce from $3,147 to $3,207 (+1.9%) with increasing momentum last 4 candles. Breaking above $3,210 resistance could target $3,260-$3,280. Entry at current levels with tight stop below recent support.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $3,275 (2.1% gain, near period high resistance). SL at $3,145 (1.95% risk below recent support and EMA20). 2:1 R/R ratio. Exit early if: 1) BTC breaks below $95k dragging alts down, 2) fails to break $3,220 after 6 hours suggesting resistance, 3) RSI divergence forms at highs. Move SL to breakeven if reaches $3,240.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $250.73
Allocation: 20.0% ($50.15 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $3,207.70
Size: 0.0469 coins
Notional value: $150.44
📝 Executing LONG 0.0469 ETH @ 3x with TP: $3,275, SL: $3,145
✅ Market order filled @ $3,206.30
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43208700855)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43208701351)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in consolidation after -4% pullback from $100k. Price hovering near EMA20 ($95,776) with bearish EMA structure (20<50). RSI(14) at 47.4 shows neutral momentum. Recent 8h candles show tight range $95k-$96k with no clear directional bias. Need confirmation of either breakdown below $95k or reclaim above $96.5k with volume. With 25.7% margin already deployed and recent string of stop-outs, waiting for clearer setup is prudent.
Confidence: 50%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL showing mixed signals. Bearish EMA structure (20<50) but price recently bounced +2.3% from $138 to $141. RSI(14) at 55.6 neutral. Currently at $141.31 near EMA20 ($140.40) acting as resistance. Recent consolidation between $138-$141 with no clear breakout. After recent failed short (stopped at $144), need confirmation of either breakdown below $138 or breakout above $142 with volume before re-entry.
Confidence: 40%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Holding existing SHORT position from $15.62. Current price $15.68 showing -0.40% unrealized loss but thesis intact. Price remains below $15.70 resistance and showing consolidation. Bullish EMA structure is concern, but price unable to break above $15.74 in last 8h. TP at $15.00 and SL at $15.80 are appropriate. No reason to close prematurely - let the position work with existing risk management. Trust the stop loss to protect if wrong.
Confidence: 60%
💾 Database saved: run_id=33
1 order(s) executed
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