Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-16 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-16 06:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $246.92
Margin Used: $48.41 (19.6%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-16 12:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-16 06:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-14 10:00 → 2025-11-16 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $95,554.00
Period Change: -2.50%
Range: $91,910.00 - $99,629.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 04:00: O=$95,770.00 H=$95,863.00 L=$95,595.00 C=$95,735.00 (-0.0%)
11-16 05:00: O=$95,744.00 H=$96,089.00 L=$95,744.00 C=$95,864.00 (+0.1%)
11-16 06:00: O=$95,852.00 H=$95,960.00 L=$95,713.00 C=$95,760.00 (-0.1%)
11-16 07:00: O=$95,756.00 H=$96,057.00 L=$95,725.00 C=$96,033.00 (+0.3%)
11-16 08:00: O=$96,070.00 H=$96,183.00 L=$95,814.00 C=$96,035.00 (-0.0%)
11-16 09:00: O=$96,085.00 H=$96,531.00 L=$95,919.00 C=$96,500.00 (+0.4%)
11-16 10:00: O=$96,580.00 H=$96,580.00 L=$96,318.00 C=$96,389.00 (-0.2%)
11-16 11:00: O=$96,420.00 H=$96,420.00 L=$95,470.00 C=$95,554.00 (-0.9%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 39.9
RSI(14): 36.3
EMA(20): $95,894.62
EMA(50): $96,116.08
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $687.35
ETH:
Current Price: $3,173.60
Period Change: +0.16%
Range: $2,981.20 - $3,300.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 04:00: O=$3,203.40 H=$3,206.90 L=$3,190.10 C=$3,195.60 (-0.2%)
11-16 05:00: O=$3,195.20 H=$3,216.50 L=$3,195.20 C=$3,207.70 (+0.4%)
11-16 06:00: O=$3,206.60 H=$3,216.60 L=$3,204.10 C=$3,207.00 (+0.0%)
11-16 07:00: O=$3,204.10 H=$3,225.00 L=$3,204.10 C=$3,222.00 (+0.6%)
11-16 08:00: O=$3,225.80 H=$3,227.90 L=$3,209.20 C=$3,221.50 (-0.1%)
11-16 09:00: O=$3,217.00 H=$3,254.10 L=$3,212.20 C=$3,254.10 (+1.2%)
11-16 10:00: O=$3,250.00 H=$3,250.00 L=$3,233.90 C=$3,238.80 (-0.3%)
11-16 11:00: O=$3,238.50 H=$3,240.60 L=$3,166.30 C=$3,173.60 (-2.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 37.7
RSI(14): 43.4
EMA(20): $3,198.33
EMA(50): $3,180.76
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $33.26
SOL:
Current Price: $139.53
Period Change: -1.21%
Range: $124.67 - $151.76
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 04:00: O=$141.10 H=$141.10 L=$140.43 C=$140.87 (-0.2%)
11-16 05:00: O=$140.93 H=$141.64 L=$140.84 C=$141.31 (+0.3%)
11-16 06:00: O=$141.02 H=$141.75 L=$141.02 C=$141.12 (+0.1%)
11-16 07:00: O=$141.07 H=$141.85 L=$140.69 C=$141.81 (+0.5%)
11-16 08:00: O=$141.78 H=$142.22 L=$141.16 C=$141.76 (-0.0%)
11-16 09:00: O=$141.76 H=$142.92 L=$141.14 C=$142.92 (+0.8%)
11-16 10:00: O=$142.97 H=$142.97 L=$142.40 C=$142.52 (-0.3%)
11-16 11:00: O=$142.64 H=$142.69 L=$139.28 C=$139.53 (-2.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 36.8
RSI(14): 45.8
EMA(20): $140.91
EMA(50): $140.69
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $2.02
AVAX:
Current Price: $15.45
Period Change: -0.43%
Range: $14.90 - $15.82
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 04:00: O=$15.69 H=$15.69 L=$15.63 C=$15.63 (-0.4%)
11-16 05:00: O=$15.67 H=$15.74 L=$15.67 C=$15.68 (+0.1%)
11-16 06:00: O=$15.63 H=$15.63 L=$15.63 C=$15.63 (+0.0%)
11-16 07:00: O=$15.65 H=$15.71 L=$15.61 C=$15.71 (+0.4%)
11-16 08:00: O=$15.68 H=$15.68 L=$15.63 C=$15.63 (-0.3%)
11-16 09:00: O=$15.65 H=$15.82 L=$15.65 C=$15.79 (+0.9%)
11-16 10:00: O=$15.79 H=$15.79 L=$15.79 C=$15.79 (+0.0%)
11-16 11:00: O=$15.73 H=$15.73 L=$15.45 C=$15.45 (-1.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 37.6
RSI(14): 42.0
EMA(20): $15.60
EMA(50): $15.51
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.13
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
ETH (LONG): 0.0469 @ $3,206.30 (Current: $3,173.60, P&L: -1.02%)
TP: $3,275.00 (+2.1%)
SL: $3,145.00 (-1.9%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,275 (2.1% gain, near period high resistance). SL at $3,145 (1.95% risk below recent support and EMA20). 2:1 R/R ratio. Exit early if: 1) BTC breaks below $95k dragging alts down, 2) fails to break $3,220 after 6 hours suggesting resistance, 3) RSI divergence forms at highs. Move SL to breakeven if reaches $3,240.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
BTC LONG: 11-12 20:00 → 11-13 18:00 (22.0h)
Entry: $102,929.30, Exit: $100,166.00 P&L: -2.68% ($-13.46) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 04:45 (8.7h)
Entry: $15.94, Exit: $15.62 P&L: -2.02% ($-6.23) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 06:15 (10.2h)
Entry: $99,813.80, Exit: $97,799.00 P&L: -2.02% ($-9.81) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 10:30 (14.5h)
Entry: $142.61, Exit: $119.24 P&L: -16.39% ($-102.83) [LIQUIDATION]
ETH LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 11:45 (15.7h)
Entry: $3,203.00, Exit: $3,129.20 P&L: -2.30% ($-15.00) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-14 08:00 → 11-14 12:45 (4.7h)
Entry: $15.91, Exit: $15.21 P&L: +4.39% ($+7.32) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-14 20:00 → 11-14 23:15 (3.2h)
Entry: $143.31, Exit: $138.46 P&L: +3.38% ($+7.18) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-15 08:00 → 11-15 17:30 (9.5h)
Entry: $141.14, Exit: $144.17 P&L: -2.15% ($-4.67) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-15 19:06 → 11-16 00:30 (5.4h)
Entry: $3,209.80, Exit: $3,149.00 P&L: -1.89% ($-2.88) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-15 08:00 → 11-16 10:00 (26.0h)
Entry: $15.62, Exit: $15.82 P&L: -1.29% ($-2.52) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: SOL showing coordinated weakness with broader market. Price dropped -2.2% in last hour from $142.64 to $139.53, now trading below EMA20 ($140.91). Despite bullish EMA trend, immediate structure is bearish with RSI(7) at 36.8 (oversold) but RSI(14) at 45.8 (neutral). Key technical: SOL failed to hold $140 psychological support. Given the recent liquidation history and current market weakness, a conservative short with tight stops makes sense. Entry at $139.53, targeting retest of $135 support (period low was $124.67), with SL above $142.50 resistance.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $135.00 (3.2% gain, near key support level). SL at $142.50 (2.1% risk above recent resistance and EMA20). 1.5:1 R/R ratio acceptable given high confidence in near-term weakness. Exit early if: 1) BTC reclaims $96.5k suggesting market reversal, 2) SOL reclaims $141 with strong volume, 3) RSI(14) crosses above 55 indicating momentum shift. Conservative 20% allocation due to recent SOL liquidation history.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $246.92
Allocation: 20.0% ($49.38 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $139.53
Size: 1.0600 coins
Notional value: $147.90
📝 Executing SHORT 1.06 SOL @ 3x with TP: $135, SL: $142
✅ Market order filled @ $139.64
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43222417736)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43222419140)
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: AVAX mirroring broader altcoin weakness with -1.8% drop in last hour from $15.73 to $15.45. Price now below EMA20 ($15.60) breaking short-term bullish structure. RSI(14) at 42.0 showing neutral-to-weak momentum. Recent price action shows failure to hold $15.60 support. With BTC leading market lower and altcoins following, AVAX likely to test lower support at $15.20-$15.30 range. ATR at $0.13 suggests moderate volatility. Conservative short with tight stops given the asset's recent whipsaw behavior (last short stopped out at -1.29%).
Confidence: 60%
Allocation: 18.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $15.10 (2.3% gain, near period low support at $14.90). SL at $15.75 (1.9% risk above recent high and EMA20). 1.2:1 R/R ratio with moderate confidence. Exit early if: 1) BTC shows strong reversal above $96.5k, 2) AVAX reclaims $15.65 with volume suggesting false breakdown, 3) broader altcoin market shows strength. Using 18% allocation to keep total margin under 40% (currently 19.6% + 20% SOL + 18% AVAX = 57.6% total, leaving room for ETH position).
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $246.92
Allocation: 18.0% ($44.45 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $15.45
Size: 8.6300 coins
Notional value: $133.36
📝 Executing SHORT 8.63 AVAX @ 3x with TP: $15, SL: $16
✅ Market order filled @ $15.43
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43222421483)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43222422088)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing bearish short-term structure with price below both EMAs (20: $95,894, 50: $96,116) and RSI(14) at 36.3 indicating oversold conditions. However, the last hour saw a sharp $950 drop from $96,420 to $95,554, suggesting potential capitulation. With recent stop losses and current margin at 19.6%, waiting for clearer directional bias is prudent. Need to see if $95k holds as support or if we break lower to $93k range.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Current ETH long position is down -1.02% but within acceptable range. Price at $3,173.60 is still above SL at $3,145 and below entry at $3,206.30. The last hour showed a sharp -2% drop mirroring BTC's weakness, pulling back from $3,238 to $3,173. However, ETH maintains bullish EMA structure (price above EMA50 at $3,180.76) and RSI(14) at 43.4 isn't oversold. Position has proper risk management with 2:1 R/R. Trust the TP/SL orders - no need to manually close on minor drawdown. The thesis (recovery to $3,275) remains valid unless BTC breaks $95k support decisively.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=34
2 order(s) executed
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