Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-16 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
✅ Detected and recorded 1 closed position(s)
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-16 12:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $252.64
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-16 18:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-16 12:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-14 16:00 → 2025-11-16 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $94,319.00
Period Change: -3.87%
Range: $91,910.00 - $99,155.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 10:00: O=$96,580.00 H=$96,580.00 L=$96,318.00 C=$96,389.00 (-0.2%)
11-16 11:00: O=$96,420.00 H=$96,420.00 L=$95,470.00 C=$95,554.00 (-0.9%)
11-16 12:00: O=$95,574.00 H=$95,852.00 L=$95,441.00 C=$95,666.00 (+0.1%)
11-16 13:00: O=$95,666.00 H=$95,797.00 L=$95,041.00 C=$95,333.00 (-0.3%)
11-16 14:00: O=$95,368.00 H=$95,591.00 L=$95,286.00 C=$95,460.00 (+0.1%)
11-16 15:00: O=$95,486.00 H=$95,496.00 L=$94,398.00 C=$94,522.00 (-1.0%)
11-16 16:00: O=$94,520.00 H=$94,893.00 L=$93,998.00 C=$94,179.00 (-0.4%)
11-16 17:00: O=$94,185.00 H=$94,473.00 L=$93,785.00 C=$94,319.00 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 26.5
RSI(14): 31.9
EMA(20): $95,407.14
EMA(50): $95,850.28
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $687.96
ETH:
Current Price: $3,070.70
Period Change: -4.12%
Range: $2,981.20 - $3,300.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 10:00: O=$3,250.00 H=$3,250.00 L=$3,233.90 C=$3,238.80 (-0.3%)
11-16 11:00: O=$3,238.50 H=$3,240.60 L=$3,166.30 C=$3,173.60 (-2.0%)
11-16 12:00: O=$3,169.90 H=$3,184.50 L=$3,160.70 C=$3,170.20 (+0.0%)
11-16 13:00: O=$3,175.10 H=$3,176.80 L=$3,144.00 C=$3,155.60 (-0.6%)
11-16 14:00: O=$3,159.40 H=$3,182.60 L=$3,152.20 C=$3,177.70 (+0.6%)
11-16 15:00: O=$3,176.90 H=$3,182.80 L=$3,105.20 C=$3,105.20 (-2.3%)
11-16 16:00: O=$3,108.20 H=$3,127.70 L=$3,064.60 C=$3,066.20 (-1.4%)
11-16 17:00: O=$3,063.60 H=$3,087.80 L=$3,032.60 C=$3,070.70 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 23.4
RSI(14): 29.9
EMA(20): $3,161.90
EMA(50): $3,174.77
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $38.96
SOL:
Current Price: $135.68
Period Change: -4.87%
Range: $124.67 - $145.66
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 10:00: O=$142.97 H=$142.97 L=$142.40 C=$142.52 (-0.3%)
11-16 11:00: O=$142.64 H=$142.69 L=$139.28 C=$139.53 (-2.2%)
11-16 12:00: O=$139.59 H=$140.17 L=$138.84 C=$139.69 (+0.1%)
11-16 13:00: O=$139.76 H=$140.18 L=$138.62 C=$139.11 (-0.5%)
11-16 14:00: O=$139.25 H=$140.45 L=$139.13 C=$140.03 (+0.6%)
11-16 15:00: O=$139.67 H=$139.96 L=$136.62 C=$137.16 (-1.8%)
11-16 16:00: O=$136.76 H=$137.83 L=$135.19 C=$135.26 (-1.1%)
11-16 17:00: O=$135.44 H=$135.91 L=$134.43 C=$135.68 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 26.3
RSI(14): 32.7
EMA(20): $139.40
EMA(50): $140.39
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.93
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.64
Period Change: -6.33%
Range: $14.64 - $15.82
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 10:00: O=$15.79 H=$15.79 L=$15.79 C=$15.79 (+0.0%)
11-16 11:00: O=$15.73 H=$15.73 L=$15.45 C=$15.45 (-1.8%)
11-16 12:00: O=$15.43 H=$15.51 L=$15.43 C=$15.51 (+0.5%)
11-16 13:00: O=$15.37 H=$15.37 L=$15.29 C=$15.29 (-0.5%)
11-16 14:00: O=$15.25 H=$15.25 L=$15.25 C=$15.25 (+0.0%)
11-16 15:00: O=$15.18 H=$15.18 L=$15.11 C=$15.11 (-0.4%)
11-16 16:00: O=$15.18 H=$15.18 L=$14.95 C=$14.95 (-1.5%)
11-16 17:00: O=$14.84 H=$14.84 L=$14.64 C=$14.64 (-1.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 14.0
RSI(14): 24.4
EMA(20): $15.37
EMA(50): $15.47
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.15
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 10:30 (14.5h)
Entry: $142.61, Exit: $119.24 P&L: -16.39% ($-102.83) [LIQUIDATION]
ETH LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 11:45 (15.7h)
Entry: $3,203.00, Exit: $3,129.20 P&L: -2.30% ($-15.00) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-14 08:00 → 11-14 12:45 (4.7h)
Entry: $15.91, Exit: $15.21 P&L: +4.39% ($+7.32) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-14 20:00 → 11-14 23:15 (3.2h)
Entry: $143.31, Exit: $138.46 P&L: +3.38% ($+7.18) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-15 08:00 → 11-15 17:30 (9.5h)
Entry: $141.14, Exit: $144.17 P&L: -2.15% ($-4.67) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-15 19:06 → 11-16 00:30 (5.4h)
Entry: $3,209.80, Exit: $3,149.00 P&L: -1.89% ($-2.88) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-15 08:00 → 11-16 10:00 (26.0h)
Entry: $15.62, Exit: $15.82 P&L: -1.29% ($-2.52) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-16 06:00 → 11-16 14:00 (8.0h)
Entry: $3,206.30, Exit: $3,144.20 P&L: -1.94% ($-2.91) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-16 12:00 → 11-16 16:00 (4.0h)
Entry: $15.43, Exit: $15.11 P&L: +2.08% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-16 12:00 → 11-16 18:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $139.64, Exit: $135.17 P&L: +3.20% ($+4.74) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ LONG
Reasoning: BTC showing strong oversold conditions with RSI(7) at 26.5 and RSI(14) at 31.9. Price has dropped 3.87% and is now below both EMAs, but the selling appears exhausted. Recent hourly candles show price stabilizing around $94k after testing $93,785 low. ATR at $687 suggests normal volatility. This is a counter-trend bounce play with tight risk management.
Confidence: 55%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $96,500 targets the EMA(20) resistance and provides 2.3% gain (2.3:1 R:R). SL at $92,800 is 1.6% below entry, approximately 2x ATR for safety. Will close early if price fails to reclaim $95k within 12 hours or if broader market weakness intensifies.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $252.64
Allocation: 20.0% ($50.53 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $94,319.00
Size: 0.0016 coins
Notional value: $151.85
📝 Executing LONG 0.00161 BTC @ 3x with TP: $96,500, SL: $92,800
✅ Market order filled @ $94,428.00
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43243664884)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43243668204)
ETH:
→ LONG
Reasoning: ETH extremely oversold with RSI(7) at 23.4 and RSI(14) at 29.9, showing capitulation-like selling. Price down 4.12% and has found support around $3,070 after testing $3,032. Recent candle shows small recovery (+0.2%). Below both EMAs but oversold conditions suggest bounce potential. Correlates with BTC setup.
Confidence: 58%
Allocation: 22.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $3,180 targets EMA(20) at $3,162 with buffer, providing 3.6% gain (1.8:1 R:R). SL at $3,010 is 2% below entry, 1.5x ATR for protection against further breakdown. Exit early if BTC reverses or if volume doesn't confirm the bounce within 6 hours.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $252.64
Allocation: 22.0% ($55.58 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $3,070.70
Size: 0.0543 coins
Notional value: $166.74
📝 Executing LONG 0.0543 ETH @ 3x with TP: $3,180, SL: $3,010
✅ Market order filled @ $3,082.48
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43243676825)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43243680623)
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: SOL showing extreme oversold RSI(7) at 26.3 and RSI(14) at 32.7. Just closed a profitable short at $135.17, and price has stabilized around $135.68. Down 4.87% over period but recent hourly action shows potential bottoming. High conviction given oversold metrics and prior short success confirming the move completion.
Confidence: 62%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $141 targets EMA(20) at $139.40, providing 3.9% gain (1.7:1 R:R). SL at $132.50 is 2.3% below entry, just over 1.5x ATR. This completes the round-trip from our successful short. Exit early if price can't break $137.50 within 8 hours or if BTC/ETH fail to bounce.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $252.64
Allocation: 25.0% ($63.16 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $135.68
Size: 1.4000 coins
Notional value: $189.95
📝 Executing LONG 1.4 SOL @ 3x with TP: $141, SL: $132
✅ Market order filled @ $135.87
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43243687378)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43243689394)
AVAX:
→ LONG
Reasoning: AVAX most oversold of all assets with RSI(7) at 14.0 and RSI(14) at 24.4 - extreme capitulation levels. Down 6.33% and just closed a profitable short at $15.11. Price at $14.64 appears to be bottoming after consecutive red candles. Mean reversion setup with highest probability given extreme RSI readings.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $15.40 targets EMA(20) at $15.37, providing 5.2% gain (2.2:1 R:R). SL at $14.30 is 2.3% below entry, 1.5x ATR protection. Given extreme oversold conditions, this has highest probability of mean reversion. Exit early if RSI fails to climb above 30 within 12 hours or if broader crypto market continues selling.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $252.64
Allocation: 25.0% ($63.16 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $14.64
Size: 12.9400 coins
Notional value: $189.44
📝 Executing LONG 12.94 AVAX @ 3x with TP: $15, SL: $14
✅ Market order filled @ $14.80
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43243699049)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43243700160)
💾 Database saved: run_id=35
4 order(s) executed
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