Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-17 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-16 18:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $253.69
Margin Used: $183.49 (72.3%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-17 00:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-16 18:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-14 22:00 → 2025-11-17 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $94,228.00
Period Change: -2.27%
Range: $91,910.00 - $98,207.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 16:00: O=$94,520.00 H=$94,893.00 L=$93,998.00 C=$94,179.00 (-0.4%)
11-16 17:00: O=$94,185.00 H=$94,473.00 L=$93,785.00 C=$94,319.00 (+0.1%)
11-16 18:00: O=$94,323.00 H=$95,432.00 L=$93,710.00 C=$93,950.00 (-0.4%)
11-16 19:00: O=$94,009.00 H=$94,544.00 L=$93,909.00 C=$93,909.00 (-0.1%)
11-16 20:00: O=$94,022.00 H=$94,681.00 L=$93,979.00 C=$94,174.00 (+0.2%)
11-16 21:00: O=$94,058.00 H=$94,159.00 L=$93,411.00 C=$93,457.00 (-0.6%)
11-16 22:00: O=$93,458.00 H=$94,465.00 L=$92,991.00 C=$94,227.00 (+0.8%)
11-16 23:00: O=$94,067.00 H=$94,485.00 L=$92,856.00 C=$94,228.00 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 43.5
RSI(14): 34.7
EMA(20): $94,763.77
EMA(50): $95,493.60
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $847.50
ETH:
Current Price: $3,094.10
Period Change: -2.79%
Range: $2,981.20 - $3,300.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 17:00: O=$3,063.60 H=$3,087.80 L=$3,032.60 C=$3,070.70 (+0.2%)
11-16 18:00: O=$3,075.30 H=$3,125.30 L=$3,051.00 C=$3,065.60 (-0.3%)
11-16 19:00: O=$3,061.60 H=$3,115.00 L=$3,061.60 C=$3,094.20 (+1.1%)
11-16 20:00: O=$3,094.60 H=$3,117.10 L=$3,094.60 C=$3,099.40 (+0.2%)
11-16 21:00: O=$3,093.20 H=$3,093.20 L=$3,065.90 C=$3,074.00 (-0.6%)
11-16 22:00: O=$3,066.00 H=$3,103.00 L=$3,051.00 C=$3,095.30 (+1.0%)
11-16 23:00: O=$3,078.00 H=$3,105.30 L=$3,005.50 C=$3,096.10 (+0.6%)
11-17 00:00: O=$3,094.10 H=$3,094.10 L=$3,094.10 C=$3,094.10 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 41.4
RSI(14): 37.5
EMA(20): $3,125.00
EMA(50): $3,159.46
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $42.01
SOL:
Current Price: $136.52
Period Change: -3.18%
Range: $124.67 - $145.66
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 16:00: O=$136.76 H=$137.83 L=$135.19 C=$135.26 (-1.1%)
11-16 17:00: O=$135.44 H=$135.91 L=$134.43 C=$135.68 (+0.2%)
11-16 18:00: O=$135.52 H=$138.00 L=$135.06 C=$135.47 (-0.0%)
11-16 19:00: O=$135.52 H=$137.52 L=$135.52 C=$136.69 (+0.9%)
11-16 20:00: O=$136.65 H=$137.80 L=$136.49 C=$136.57 (-0.1%)
11-16 21:00: O=$136.41 H=$136.44 L=$135.17 C=$136.00 (-0.3%)
11-16 22:00: O=$135.83 H=$137.54 L=$134.72 C=$136.91 (+0.8%)
11-16 23:00: O=$136.55 H=$137.56 L=$134.84 C=$136.52 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 40.8
RSI(14): 36.5
EMA(20): $138.02
EMA(50): $139.73
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2.07
AVAX:
Current Price: $15.13
Period Change: -0.89%
Range: $14.64 - $15.82
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 16:00: O=$15.18 H=$15.18 L=$14.95 C=$14.95 (-1.5%)
11-16 17:00: O=$14.84 H=$14.84 L=$14.64 C=$14.64 (-1.4%)
11-16 18:00: O=$14.80 H=$15.09 L=$14.80 C=$15.01 (+1.5%)
11-16 19:00: O=$15.01 H=$15.01 L=$15.01 C=$15.01 (+0.0%)
11-16 20:00: O=$15.01 H=$15.01 L=$15.01 C=$15.01 (+0.0%)
11-16 21:00: O=$14.76 H=$14.87 L=$14.76 C=$14.87 (+0.7%)
11-16 22:00: O=$14.98 H=$14.98 L=$14.98 C=$14.98 (+0.0%)
11-16 23:00: O=$15.23 H=$15.23 L=$15.13 C=$15.13 (-0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 51.0
RSI(14): 44.7
EMA(20): $15.20
EMA(50): $15.42
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.15
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (LONG): 1.4 @ $135.87 (Current: $136.52, P&L: +0.48%)
TP: $141.00 (+3.8%)
SL: $132.50 (-2.5%)
Exit Plan: TP at $141 targets EMA(20) at $139.40, providing 3.9% gain (1.7:1 R:R). SL at $132.50 is 2.3% below entry, just over 1.5x ATR. This completes the round-trip from our successful short. Exit early if price can't break $137.50 within 8 hours or if BTC/ETH fail to bounce.
BTC (LONG): 0.00161 @ $94,428.00 (Current: $94,228.00, P&L: -0.21%)
TP: $96,500.00 (+2.2%)
SL: $92,800.00 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $96,500 targets the EMA(20) resistance and provides 2.3% gain (2.3:1 R:R). SL at $92,800 is 1.6% below entry, approximately 2x ATR for safety. Will close early if price fails to reclaim $95k within 12 hours or if broader market weakness intensifies.
AVAX (LONG): 12.94 @ $14.80 (Current: $15.13, P&L: +2.28%)
TP: $15.40 (+4.1%)
SL: $14.30 (-3.4%)
Exit Plan: TP at $15.40 targets EMA(20) at $15.37, providing 5.2% gain (2.2:1 R:R). SL at $14.30 is 2.3% below entry, 1.5x ATR protection. Given extreme oversold conditions, this has highest probability of mean reversion. Exit early if RSI fails to climb above 30 within 12 hours or if broader crypto market continues selling.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 11-13 20:00 → 11-14 11:45 (15.7h)
Entry: $3,203.00, Exit: $3,129.20 P&L: -2.30% ($-15.00) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-14 08:00 → 11-14 12:45 (4.7h)
Entry: $15.91, Exit: $15.21 P&L: +4.39% ($+7.32) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-14 20:00 → 11-14 23:15 (3.2h)
Entry: $143.31, Exit: $138.46 P&L: +3.38% ($+7.18) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-15 08:00 → 11-15 17:30 (9.5h)
Entry: $141.14, Exit: $144.17 P&L: -2.15% ($-4.67) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-15 19:06 → 11-16 00:30 (5.4h)
Entry: $3,209.80, Exit: $3,149.00 P&L: -1.89% ($-2.88) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-15 08:00 → 11-16 10:00 (26.0h)
Entry: $15.62, Exit: $15.82 P&L: -1.29% ($-2.52) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-16 06:00 → 11-16 14:00 (8.0h)
Entry: $3,206.30, Exit: $3,144.20 P&L: -1.94% ($-2.91) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-16 12:00 → 11-16 16:00 (4.0h)
Entry: $15.43, Exit: $15.11 P&L: +2.08% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-16 12:00 → 11-16 18:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $139.64, Exit: $135.17 P&L: +3.20% ($+4.74) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-16 23:15 (5.2h)
Entry: $3,082.48, Exit: $3,005.50 P&L: -2.50% ($-4.18) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position currently -0.21% but showing signs of stabilization. Price held above $92,856 low and bounced to $94,228. RSI(14) at 34.7 is oversold but not extreme. Price still below both EMAs ($94,764 and $95,494) indicating bearish structure. Recent candles show volatility but no clear directional bias. TP at $96,500 still valid - only 2.4% away. Trust the stop loss at $92,800 (currently 1.5% cushion). No reason to exit prematurely as thesis remains intact: expecting mean reversion bounce toward EMA(20).
Confidence: 65%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: No position currently. Market showing bearish structure with price at $3,094 below EMA(20) at $3,125 and EMA(50) at $3,159. RSI(14) at 37.5 is oversold but not extreme enough for high-conviction entry. Recent price action choppy with multiple failed longs (4 SL hits in recent history). Last 8 candles show consolidation between $3,005-$3,125 without clear breakout. Margin usage already at 72.3% - adding ETH position would push toward dangerous levels. Wait for clearer setup: either break above $3,125 with volume or deeper capitulation below $3,000 with RSI <30.
Confidence: 55%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position +0.48% and showing positive momentum. Price at $136.52 successfully held above entry at $135.87. Recent candles show stabilization after earlier weakness - bounced from $134.72 low. RSI(14) at 36.5 is oversold, supporting mean reversion thesis. Price still below EMA(20) at $138.02 but attempting to grind higher. TP at $141 is 3.3% away and targets key resistance. SL at $132.50 provides 2.9% cushion. Recent 8h shows consolidation $134.72-$137.56 - needs to break $137.50 to confirm upside. Trust the setup - this was entered after successful short, capturing good entry timing.
Confidence: 70%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position +2.28% and performing best of portfolio. Price at $15.13 well above entry at $14.80. RSI(14) at 44.7 is healthiest of all assets, showing recovery from oversold. RSI(7) at 51.0 indicates short-term momentum turning positive. Price just below EMA(20) at $15.20 - a break above would confirm bullish reversal. Recent candles show strength: bounced from $14.64 low and holding gains. TP at $15.40 only 1.8% away but represents EMA(20) resistance test. SL at $14.30 provides 5.5% cushion. This position has best risk/reward setup currently executing. Let it run toward target - premature exit would sacrifice edge.
Confidence: 75%
💾 Database saved: run_id=36
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