Output
============================================================
Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-17 06:00:00 UTC
============================================================
Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-17 00:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $262.62
Margin Used: $120.93 (46.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-17 06:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-17 00:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-15 04:00 → 2025-11-17 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $95,087.00
Period Change: -1.31%
Range: $92,856.00 - $98,207.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 22:00: O=$93,458.00 H=$94,465.00 L=$92,991.00 C=$94,227.00 (+0.8%)
11-16 23:00: O=$94,067.00 H=$94,485.00 L=$92,856.00 C=$94,228.00 (+0.2%)
11-17 00:00: O=$94,282.00 H=$95,331.00 L=$93,760.00 C=$95,203.00 (+1.0%)
11-17 01:00: O=$95,298.00 H=$95,469.00 L=$94,620.00 C=$94,730.00 (-0.6%)
11-17 02:00: O=$94,807.00 H=$95,389.00 L=$94,696.00 C=$94,926.00 (+0.1%)
11-17 03:00: O=$94,982.00 H=$95,507.00 L=$94,982.00 C=$95,463.00 (+0.5%)
11-17 04:00: O=$95,463.00 H=$95,580.00 L=$94,895.00 C=$95,060.00 (-0.4%)
11-17 05:00: O=$95,092.00 H=$95,210.00 L=$94,860.00 C=$95,087.00 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 55.3
RSI(14): 51.7
EMA(20): $94,915.16
EMA(50): $95,417.94
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $788.33
ETH:
Current Price: $3,187.60
Period Change: +0.38%
Range: $3,005.50 - $3,300.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 23:00: O=$3,078.00 H=$3,105.30 L=$3,005.50 C=$3,096.10 (+0.6%)
11-17 00:00: O=$3,094.10 H=$3,137.20 L=$3,070.90 C=$3,135.50 (+1.3%)
11-17 01:00: O=$3,136.50 H=$3,143.80 L=$3,116.40 C=$3,116.40 (-0.6%)
11-17 02:00: O=$3,117.00 H=$3,155.70 L=$3,115.00 C=$3,147.70 (+1.0%)
11-17 03:00: O=$3,149.70 H=$3,180.60 L=$3,149.70 C=$3,178.80 (+0.9%)
11-17 04:00: O=$3,177.80 H=$3,192.40 L=$3,168.60 C=$3,184.50 (+0.2%)
11-17 05:00: O=$3,187.50 H=$3,190.90 L=$3,179.30 C=$3,188.00 (+0.0%)
11-17 06:00: O=$3,187.60 H=$3,187.60 L=$3,187.60 C=$3,187.60 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 69.4
RSI(14): 59.0
EMA(20): $3,148.00
EMA(50): $3,163.12
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $36.90
SOL:
Current Price: $139.44
Period Change: -1.34%
Range: $128.35 - $145.66
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 22:00: O=$135.83 H=$137.54 L=$134.72 C=$136.91 (+0.8%)
11-16 23:00: O=$136.55 H=$137.56 L=$134.84 C=$136.52 (-0.0%)
11-17 00:00: O=$136.84 H=$139.20 L=$135.83 C=$138.82 (+1.4%)
11-17 01:00: O=$138.88 H=$139.23 L=$137.88 C=$137.88 (-0.7%)
11-17 02:00: O=$138.03 H=$138.92 L=$137.87 C=$138.49 (+0.3%)
11-17 03:00: O=$138.64 H=$140.30 L=$138.64 C=$139.84 (+0.9%)
11-17 04:00: O=$140.04 H=$140.38 L=$128.35 C=$139.15 (-0.6%)
11-17 05:00: O=$139.41 H=$140.32 L=$138.93 C=$139.44 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 60.3
RSI(14): 56.7
EMA(20): $138.48
EMA(50): $139.59
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2.59
AVAX:
Current Price: $15.60
Period Change: +0.47%
Range: $14.64 - $15.82
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-16 22:00: O=$14.98 H=$14.98 L=$14.98 C=$14.98 (+0.0%)
11-16 23:00: O=$15.23 H=$15.23 L=$15.13 C=$15.13 (-0.6%)
11-17 00:00: O=$15.13 H=$15.13 L=$15.13 C=$15.13 (+0.0%)
11-17 01:00: O=$15.18 H=$15.18 L=$15.15 C=$15.15 (-0.1%)
11-17 02:00: O=$15.36 H=$15.50 L=$15.36 C=$15.42 (+0.4%)
11-17 03:00: O=$15.52 H=$15.62 L=$15.50 C=$15.51 (-0.0%)
11-17 04:00: O=$15.57 H=$15.66 L=$15.57 C=$15.57 (-0.0%)
11-17 05:00: O=$15.54 H=$15.60 L=$15.54 C=$15.60 (+0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 73.9
RSI(14): 60.2
EMA(20): $15.31
EMA(50): $15.43
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.15
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (LONG): 1.4 @ $135.87 (Current: $139.44, P&L: +2.63%)
TP: $141.00 (+3.8%)
SL: $132.50 (-2.5%)
Exit Plan: TP at $141 targets EMA(20) at $139.40, providing 3.9% gain (1.7:1 R:R). SL at $132.50 is 2.3% below entry, just over 1.5x ATR. This completes the round-trip from our successful short. Exit early if price can't break $137.50 within 8 hours or if BTC/ETH fail to bounce.
BTC (LONG): 0.00161 @ $94,428.00 (Current: $95,087.00, P&L: +0.70%)
TP: $96,500.00 (+2.2%)
SL: $92,800.00 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $96,500 targets the EMA(20) resistance and provides 2.3% gain (2.3:1 R:R). SL at $92,800 is 1.6% below entry, approximately 2x ATR for safety. Will close early if price fails to reclaim $95k within 12 hours or if broader market weakness intensifies.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
AVAX SHORT: 11-14 08:00 → 11-14 12:45 (4.7h)
Entry: $15.91, Exit: $15.21 P&L: +4.39% ($+7.32) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-14 20:00 → 11-14 23:15 (3.2h)
Entry: $143.31, Exit: $138.46 P&L: +3.38% ($+7.18) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-15 08:00 → 11-15 17:30 (9.5h)
Entry: $141.14, Exit: $144.17 P&L: -2.15% ($-4.67) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-15 19:06 → 11-16 00:30 (5.4h)
Entry: $3,209.80, Exit: $3,149.00 P&L: -1.89% ($-2.88) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-15 08:00 → 11-16 10:00 (26.0h)
Entry: $15.62, Exit: $15.82 P&L: -1.29% ($-2.52) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-16 06:00 → 11-16 14:00 (8.0h)
Entry: $3,206.30, Exit: $3,144.20 P&L: -1.94% ($-2.91) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-16 12:00 → 11-16 16:00 (4.0h)
Entry: $15.43, Exit: $15.11 P&L: +2.08% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-16 12:00 → 11-16 18:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $139.64, Exit: $135.17 P&L: +3.20% ($+4.74) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-16 23:15 (5.2h)
Entry: $3,082.48, Exit: $3,005.50 P&L: -2.50% ($-4.18) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-17 03:00 (9.0h)
Entry: $14.80, Exit: $15.39 P&L: +4.04% ($+7.74) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
ETH:
→ LONG
Reasoning: Strong recovery momentum: +5.7% from $3,005 low to current $3,187. Price broke above EMA(20) at $3,148 and holding. RSI(7) at 69.4 shows strength (not overbought yet on RSI(14) at 59). Recent candles show consistent buying with higher lows. ETH outperforming BTC (+0.38% vs -1.31%). Volume confirmation on the bounce. 2 prior longs stopped out, but market structure has improved significantly.
Confidence: 70%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $3,280 targets recent resistance zone and provides 2.9% gain. SL at $3,125 is just below recent consolidation support and 1.7x ATR below entry, protecting 1.95% downside. This gives 1.5:1 R:R. Close early if price fails to hold $3,170 or if BTC breaks below $94k.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $262.62
Allocation: 20.0% ($52.52 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $3,187.60
Size: 0.0494 coins
Notional value: $157.47
📝 Executing LONG 0.0494 ETH @ 3x with TP: $3,280, SL: $3,125
✅ Market order filled @ $3,189.70
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43282590403)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43282590865)
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: RSI(7) at 73.9 is overbought and RSI(14) at 60.2 approaching overbought. Price at $15.60 tested resistance near $15.66 (period high $15.82). EMA trend remains bearish with price below EMA(50) at $15.43. Recent rally appears exhausted with diminishing candle sizes. Low volatility (ATR $0.15) suggests coiling for move. 3 recent AVAX trades: 2 wins, 1 loss - good read on this asset. Risk-off if BTC weakens.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 15.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $15.15 targets recent support and EMA(20) at $15.31, providing 2.9% gain. SL at $15.85 is above period high at $15.82 and 1.6x ATR above entry, risking 1.6%. This gives 1.8:1 R:R. Close early if price breaks above $15.70 with volume or if broader market shows strength.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $262.62
Allocation: 15.0% ($39.39 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $15.60
Size: 7.5700 coins
Notional value: $118.11
📝 Executing SHORT 7.57 AVAX @ 3x with TP: $15, SL: $16
✅ Market order filled @ $15.59
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43282593028)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43282594285)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position is +0.70% but still early in development. Price is consolidating above $95k after recovery from $92.8k low. EMA(20) at $94,915 now acting as support. RSI(7) at 55.3 and RSI(14) at 51.7 show neutral momentum. TP at $96,500 remains valid target. No reason to exit - let the position work toward TP as planned. Churning would waste fees.
Confidence: 65%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position is +2.63% and approaching TP at $141 (only $1.56 away). Price holding above EMA(20) at $138.48. Recent candles show consolidation after recovery from $128.35 flash crash. RSI(7) at 60.3 indicates room to run. TP is well-placed just above psychological $140 level. Trust the automated TP order - manual exit would sacrifice final move and waste fees.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=37
2 order(s) executed
============================================================