Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-17 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-17 06:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $264.75
Margin Used: $144.73 (54.7%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-17 12:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-17 06:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-15 10:00 → 2025-11-17 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $95,514.00
Period Change: -0.18%
Range: $92,856.00 - $98,207.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-17 04:00: O=$95,463.00 H=$95,580.00 L=$94,895.00 C=$95,060.00 (-0.4%)
11-17 05:00: O=$95,092.00 H=$95,210.00 L=$94,860.00 C=$95,087.00 (-0.0%)
11-17 06:00: O=$95,095.00 H=$95,263.00 L=$94,845.00 C=$95,240.00 (+0.2%)
11-17 07:00: O=$95,236.00 H=$95,810.00 L=$95,176.00 C=$95,660.00 (+0.4%)
11-17 08:00: O=$95,674.00 H=$95,981.00 L=$95,500.00 C=$95,562.00 (-0.1%)
11-17 09:00: O=$95,562.00 H=$95,815.00 L=$95,035.00 C=$95,610.00 (+0.1%)
11-17 10:00: O=$95,646.00 H=$95,840.00 L=$95,529.00 C=$95,609.00 (-0.0%)
11-17 11:00: O=$95,633.00 H=$95,859.00 L=$95,379.00 C=$95,514.00 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 59.4
RSI(14): 53.0
EMA(20): $95,196.42
EMA(50): $95,358.50
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $696.18
ETH:
Current Price: $3,203.90
Period Change: +1.85%
Range: $3,005.50 - $3,300.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-17 04:00: O=$3,177.80 H=$3,192.40 L=$3,168.60 C=$3,184.50 (+0.2%)
11-17 05:00: O=$3,187.50 H=$3,190.90 L=$3,179.30 C=$3,188.00 (+0.0%)
11-17 06:00: O=$3,187.60 H=$3,196.40 L=$3,175.10 C=$3,194.10 (+0.2%)
11-17 07:00: O=$3,194.90 H=$3,206.40 L=$3,189.50 C=$3,202.40 (+0.2%)
11-17 08:00: O=$3,200.30 H=$3,204.50 L=$3,188.00 C=$3,190.80 (-0.3%)
11-17 09:00: O=$3,192.40 H=$3,213.80 L=$3,181.30 C=$3,193.20 (+0.0%)
11-17 10:00: O=$3,196.80 H=$3,206.40 L=$3,192.80 C=$3,197.20 (+0.0%)
11-17 11:00: O=$3,196.20 H=$3,220.50 L=$3,193.70 C=$3,203.90 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 70.5
RSI(14): 58.6
EMA(20): $3,167.94
EMA(50): $3,166.25
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $33.37
SOL:
Current Price: $140.41
Period Change: +0.82%
Range: $128.35 - $145.66
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-17 04:00: O=$140.04 H=$140.38 L=$128.35 C=$139.15 (-0.6%)
11-17 05:00: O=$139.41 H=$140.32 L=$138.93 C=$139.44 (+0.0%)
11-17 06:00: O=$139.39 H=$140.70 L=$136.15 C=$140.03 (+0.5%)
11-17 07:00: O=$140.21 H=$141.11 L=$139.68 C=$140.73 (+0.4%)
11-17 08:00: O=$141.11 H=$141.40 L=$139.80 C=$140.85 (-0.2%)
11-17 09:00: O=$140.08 H=$142.01 L=$138.84 C=$141.68 (+1.1%)
11-17 10:00: O=$141.33 H=$142.03 L=$137.33 C=$141.77 (+0.3%)
11-17 11:00: O=$141.87 H=$142.00 L=$139.00 C=$140.41 (-1.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 55.3
RSI(14): 54.4
EMA(20): $139.59
EMA(50): $139.62
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2.74
AVAX:
Current Price: $15.67
Period Change: +1.95%
Range: $14.64 - $15.82
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-17 04:00: O=$15.57 H=$15.66 L=$15.57 C=$15.57 (-0.0%)
11-17 05:00: O=$15.54 H=$15.60 L=$15.54 C=$15.60 (+0.4%)
11-17 06:00: O=$15.59 H=$15.59 L=$15.59 C=$15.59 (+0.0%)
11-17 07:00: O=$15.69 H=$15.69 L=$15.69 C=$15.69 (+0.0%)
11-17 08:00: O=$15.69 H=$15.69 L=$15.69 C=$15.69 (+0.0%)
11-17 09:00: O=$15.69 H=$15.69 L=$15.69 C=$15.69 (+0.0%)
11-17 10:00: O=$15.69 H=$15.69 L=$15.69 C=$15.69 (+0.0%)
11-17 11:00: O=$15.65 H=$15.67 L=$15.65 C=$15.67 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 73.4
RSI(14): 62.1
EMA(20): $15.47
EMA(50): $15.45
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.10
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
BTC (LONG): 0.00161 @ $94,428.00 (Current: $95,514.00, P&L: +1.15%)
TP: $96,500.00 (+2.2%)
SL: $92,800.00 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $96,500 targets the EMA(20) resistance and provides 2.3% gain (2.3:1 R:R). SL at $92,800 is 1.6% below entry, approximately 2x ATR for safety. Will close early if price fails to reclaim $95k within 12 hours or if broader market weakness intensifies.
ETH (LONG): 0.0494 @ $3,189.70 (Current: $3,203.90, P&L: +0.45%)
TP: $3,280.00 (+2.8%)
SL: $3,125.00 (-2.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,280 targets recent resistance zone and provides 2.9% gain. SL at $3,125 is just below recent consolidation support and 1.7x ATR below entry, protecting 1.95% downside. This gives 1.5:1 R:R. Close early if price fails to hold $3,170 or if BTC breaks below $94k.
AVAX (SHORT): 7.57 @ $15.59 (Current: $15.67, P&L: -0.48%)
TP: $15.15 (+2.8%)
SL: $15.85 (-1.6%)
Exit Plan: TP at $15.15 targets recent support and EMA(20) at $15.31, providing 2.9% gain. SL at $15.85 is above period high at $15.82 and 1.6x ATR above entry, risking 1.6%. This gives 1.8:1 R:R. Close early if price breaks above $15.70 with volume or if broader market shows strength.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 11-14 20:00 → 11-14 23:15 (3.2h)
Entry: $143.31, Exit: $138.46 P&L: +3.38% ($+7.18) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-15 08:00 → 11-15 17:30 (9.5h)
Entry: $141.14, Exit: $144.17 P&L: -2.15% ($-4.67) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-15 19:06 → 11-16 00:30 (5.4h)
Entry: $3,209.80, Exit: $3,149.00 P&L: -1.89% ($-2.88) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-15 08:00 → 11-16 10:00 (26.0h)
Entry: $15.62, Exit: $15.82 P&L: -1.29% ($-2.52) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-16 06:00 → 11-16 14:00 (8.0h)
Entry: $3,206.30, Exit: $3,144.20 P&L: -1.94% ($-2.91) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-16 12:00 → 11-16 16:00 (4.0h)
Entry: $15.43, Exit: $15.11 P&L: +2.08% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-16 12:00 → 11-16 18:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $139.64, Exit: $135.17 P&L: +3.20% ($+4.74) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-16 23:15 (5.2h)
Entry: $3,082.48, Exit: $3,005.50 P&L: -2.50% ($-4.18) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-17 03:00 (9.0h)
Entry: $14.80, Exit: $15.39 P&L: +4.04% ($+7.74) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-17 07:30 (13.5h)
Entry: $135.87, Exit: $140.54 P&L: +3.44% ($+6.54) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: SHORT position is -0.48% and thesis is invalidated. AVAX showing persistent strength with RSI(7) at 73.4 (overbought), RSI(14) at 62.1, and bullish EMA trend. Price broke above entry at $15.59 and holding $15.67. Recent candles show consistent buying pressure. Period change +1.95% indicates strong momentum. Market environment is risk-on (ETH +1.85%, AVAX +1.95%). Cut losses before SL hit at $15.85.
Confidence: 75%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for AVAX (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: SOL showing strong recovery after wick to $128.35. Price consolidated around $140 level with recent candles showing support. RSI(14) at 54.4 is neutral. Price slightly above EMAs ($140.41 vs $139.59/$139.62). Period change +0.82% shows resilience. Recent closed positions show SOL respects technical levels well (2 successful TPs). Entry at current level with TP targeting $144 resistance and SL below consolidation support provides good R:R.
Confidence: 60%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $144 targets recent resistance zone and period high area, providing 2.6% gain. SL at $137 is below consolidation support and 1.2x ATR below entry, protecting against 2.4% downside (1.1:1 R:R). Close early if BTC breaks below $94,500 or if price fails to hold $139 support level within 6 hours.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $264.75
Allocation: 20.0% ($52.95 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $140.41
Size: 1.1300 coins
Notional value: $158.66
📝 Executing LONG 1.13 SOL @ 3x with TP: $144, SL: $137
✅ Market order filled @ $141.37
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43295979943)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43295980851)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position is +1.15% and approaching TP at $96,500 (currently $95,514). Price is consolidating just below TP level with neutral RSI(14) at 53.0. EMA trend is bearish (20 < 50) but price is holding above EMA(20) at $95,196. Recent 8h candles show choppy price action between $94,860-$95,860. Trust the TP/SL orders to execute - no need to manually close. Position is working as planned.
Confidence: 65%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position is +0.45% with bullish momentum building. RSI(7) at 70.5 shows short-term overbought but RSI(14) at 58.6 is healthy. EMA trend is bullish (20 > 50) and price is above both EMAs. Recent candles show steady upward movement with latest pushing to $3,220.50 high. TP at $3,280 is reasonable target. ETH showing relative strength vs BTC (+1.85% vs -0.18%). Let position run to TP.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=38
2 order(s) executed
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