Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-17 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-17 12:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $250.58
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-17 18:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-17 12:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-15 16:00 → 2025-11-17 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $92,763.00
Period Change: -3.46%
Range: $92,661.00 - $98,207.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-17 11:00: O=$95,633.00 H=$95,859.00 L=$95,379.00 C=$95,514.00 (-0.1%)
11-17 12:00: O=$95,548.00 H=$95,548.00 L=$95,265.00 C=$95,293.00 (-0.3%)
11-17 13:00: O=$95,263.00 H=$95,336.00 L=$93,547.00 C=$93,837.00 (-1.5%)
11-17 14:00: O=$93,816.00 H=$95,972.00 L=$93,816.00 C=$94,699.00 (+0.9%)
11-17 15:00: O=$94,805.00 H=$94,942.00 L=$93,801.00 C=$93,967.00 (-0.9%)
11-17 16:00: O=$93,937.00 H=$94,318.00 L=$93,062.00 C=$94,267.00 (+0.4%)
11-17 17:00: O=$94,296.00 H=$94,296.00 L=$92,661.00 C=$92,742.00 (-1.6%)
11-17 18:00: O=$92,763.00 H=$92,763.00 L=$92,763.00 C=$92,763.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 27.0
RSI(14): 33.9
EMA(20): $94,484.51
EMA(50): $95,054.76
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $891.49
ETH:
Current Price: $3,063.60
Period Change: -3.70%
Range: $3,005.50 - $3,300.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-17 10:00: O=$3,196.80 H=$3,206.40 L=$3,192.80 C=$3,197.20 (+0.0%)
11-17 11:00: O=$3,196.20 H=$3,220.50 L=$3,193.70 C=$3,203.90 (+0.2%)
11-17 12:00: O=$3,199.30 H=$3,201.80 L=$3,183.70 C=$3,186.10 (-0.4%)
11-17 13:00: O=$3,186.50 H=$3,187.50 L=$3,097.00 C=$3,114.20 (-2.3%)
11-17 14:00: O=$3,114.50 H=$3,213.40 L=$3,105.20 C=$3,151.60 (+1.2%)
11-17 15:00: O=$3,158.80 H=$3,164.30 L=$3,110.20 C=$3,121.50 (-1.2%)
11-17 16:00: O=$3,104.00 H=$3,137.00 L=$3,066.00 C=$3,134.80 (+1.0%)
11-17 17:00: O=$3,136.20 H=$3,136.20 L=$3,054.40 C=$3,063.60 (-2.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 27.6
RSI(14): 37.8
EMA(20): $3,147.92
EMA(50): $3,161.78
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $47.52
SOL:
Current Price: $131.68
Period Change: -6.39%
Range: $128.35 - $145.66
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-17 10:00: O=$141.33 H=$142.03 L=$137.33 C=$141.77 (+0.3%)
11-17 11:00: O=$141.87 H=$142.00 L=$139.00 C=$140.41 (-1.0%)
11-17 12:00: O=$140.37 H=$141.77 L=$140.36 C=$141.18 (+0.6%)
11-17 13:00: O=$140.79 H=$141.29 L=$136.48 C=$136.78 (-2.8%)
11-17 14:00: O=$136.73 H=$141.25 L=$136.18 C=$139.73 (+2.2%)
11-17 15:00: O=$139.68 H=$139.68 L=$135.88 C=$136.19 (-2.5%)
11-17 16:00: O=$136.30 H=$136.30 L=$133.33 C=$135.10 (-0.9%)
11-17 17:00: O=$135.48 H=$135.48 L=$131.28 C=$131.68 (-2.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 24.6
RSI(14): 32.9
EMA(20): $138.11
EMA(50): $139.23
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $3.11
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.77
Period Change: -4.96%
Range: $14.64 - $15.82
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-17 10:00: O=$15.69 H=$15.69 L=$15.69 C=$15.69 (+0.0%)
11-17 11:00: O=$15.65 H=$15.67 L=$15.65 C=$15.67 (+0.1%)
11-17 12:00: O=$15.62 H=$15.63 L=$15.55 C=$15.63 (+0.1%)
11-17 13:00: O=$15.55 H=$15.55 L=$15.17 C=$15.17 (-2.5%)
11-17 14:00: O=$15.28 H=$15.70 L=$15.22 C=$15.70 (+2.7%)
11-17 15:00: O=$15.25 H=$15.30 L=$15.23 C=$15.24 (-0.1%)
11-17 16:00: O=$15.09 H=$15.32 L=$15.00 C=$15.29 (+1.4%)
11-17 17:00: O=$15.30 H=$15.30 L=$14.77 C=$14.77 (-3.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 29.4
RSI(14): 38.4
EMA(20): $15.38
EMA(50): $15.42
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.21
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 11-16 06:00 → 11-16 14:00 (8.0h)
Entry: $3,206.30, Exit: $3,144.20 P&L: -1.94% ($-2.91) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-16 12:00 → 11-16 16:00 (4.0h)
Entry: $15.43, Exit: $15.11 P&L: +2.08% ($+2.77) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-16 12:00 → 11-16 18:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $139.64, Exit: $135.17 P&L: +3.20% ($+4.74) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-16 23:15 (5.2h)
Entry: $3,082.48, Exit: $3,005.50 P&L: -2.50% ($-4.18) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-17 03:00 (9.0h)
Entry: $14.80, Exit: $15.39 P&L: +4.04% ($+7.74) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-17 07:30 (13.5h)
Entry: $135.87, Exit: $140.54 P&L: +3.44% ($+6.54) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-17 06:00 → 11-17 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $15.59, Exit: $15.62 P&L: -0.15% ($-0.17) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-17 06:00 → 11-17 13:45 (7.7h)
Entry: $3,189.70, Exit: $3,125.10 P&L: -2.03% ($-3.19) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-17 12:00 → 11-17 14:00 (2.0h)
Entry: $141.37, Exit: $119.24 P&L: -15.65% ($-25.00) [LIQUIDATION]
BTC LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-17 17:45 (23.7h)
Entry: $94,428.00, Exit: $92,746.85 P&L: -1.78% ($-2.71) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ LONG
Reasoning: Strong oversold conditions with RSI(7)=27.0 and RSI(14)=33.9. Price has dropped -3.46% to $92,763, creating a capitulation-style move. Last hour showed a sharp -1.6% drop to $92,661 low, suggesting selling exhaustion. Price is now ~$1,700 below EMA(20) at $94,485, indicating mean reversion potential. Recent liquidation on SOL suggests overleveraged longs have been flushed. This is a counter-trend bounce play with tight risk management.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: Target $95,500 (near EMA20 resistance) for 2.9% gain vs 1.5% risk = 1.9:1 R/R. Stop at $91,400 is 1.5x ATR ($891) below entry. Exit early if RSI fails to reclaim 40 or if we see another cascade below $92,000. This is a short-term mean reversion trade, not a trend reversal bet.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $250.58
Allocation: 25.0% ($62.64 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $92,763.00
Size: 0.0020 coins
Notional value: $188.31
📝 Executing LONG 0.00203 BTC @ 3x with TP: $95,500, SL: $91,400
✅ Market order filled @ $92,792.00
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43326627705)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43326629578)
ETH:
→ LONG
Reasoning: RSI(7)=27.6 shows extreme oversold, matching BTC's capitulation signal. Price at $3,063 is $84 below EMA(20) at $3,148. Last hour dropped -2.3% to $3,054 low. ETH typically follows BTC with higher beta, so if BTC bounces, ETH should amplify. Recent history shows 3 stopped-out longs, but those were during downtrend continuation - now we have genuine oversold readings. ATR=$47.52 allows for reasonable stop placement.
Confidence: 62%
Allocation: 22.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: Target $3,180 (above EMA20) for 3.8% gain vs 2.4% risk = 1.6:1 R/R. Stop at $2,990 is 1.5x ATR below entry. Will close if BTC fails to hold $92,000 or if ETH can't reclaim $3,100 within 12 hours. Watching for correlation breakdown with BTC.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $250.58
Allocation: 22.0% ($55.13 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $3,063.60
Size: 0.0540 coins
Notional value: $165.43
📝 Executing LONG 0.054 ETH @ 3x with TP: $3,180, SL: $2,990
✅ Market order filled @ $3,060.00
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43326634573)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43326635742)
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: Most oversold of all assets with RSI(7)=24.6 and RSI(14)=32.9. Down -6.39% in period with last hour showing -2.8% drop to $131.28. Price is $6.43 below EMA(20) at $138.11 - significant deviation. CRITICAL: Recent liquidation at $119.24 suggests we're past the worst of the cascade. SOL has highest beta and should bounce hardest if market recovers. However, the liquidation history demands conservative sizing.
Confidence: 58%
Allocation: 18.0%
Leverage: 2x
Exit Plan: Target $138 (EMA20) for 4.8% gain vs 3.6% risk = 1.3:1 R/R. Conservative 2x leverage due to recent liquidation trauma. Stop at $127 is 1.5x ATR ($3.11) below entry. Will exit immediately if we break below $130 or if BTC fails to hold support. This is the riskiest trade but highest potential reward.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $250.58
Allocation: 18.0% ($45.10 margin)
Leverage: 2x
Current price: $131.68
Size: 0.6900 coins
Notional value: $90.86
📝 Executing LONG 0.69 SOL @ 2x with TP: $138, SL: $127
✅ Market order filled @ $131.62
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43326640224)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43326641042)
AVAX:
→ LONG
Reasoning: RSI(7)=29.4 shows oversold conditions. Price at $14.77 is $0.61 below EMA(20) at $15.38. Last hour dropped -3.5% to match the low at $14.77. AVAX has shown best risk management in recent trades (2 TPs hit, 1 small loss). Less extreme than SOL but still compelling oversold setup. Correlates with broader alt market which should bounce with BTC.
Confidence: 60%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 2x
Exit Plan: Target $15.50 (near EMA20) for 4.9% gain vs 2.2% risk = 2.2:1 R/R. Stop at $14.45 is 1.5x ATR ($0.21) below entry. Conservative 2x leverage for controlled risk. Exit if AVAX breaks below $14.60 or if broader market shows continued weakness. Best R/R ratio of all positions.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $250.58
Allocation: 20.0% ($50.12 margin)
Leverage: 2x
Current price: $14.77
Size: 6.7900 coins
Notional value: $100.29
📝 Executing LONG 6.79 AVAX @ 2x with TP: $16, SL: $14
✅ Market order filled @ $14.75
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43326646185)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43326647194)
💾 Database saved: run_id=39
4 order(s) executed
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