Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-18 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-17 18:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $240.82
Margin Used: $44.74 (18.6%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-18 00:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-17 18:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-15 22:00 → 2025-11-18 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $92,180.00
Period Change: -3.22%
Range: $91,292.00 - $96,580.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-17 16:00: O=$93,937.00 H=$94,318.00 L=$93,062.00 C=$94,267.00 (+0.4%)
11-17 17:00: O=$94,296.00 H=$94,296.00 L=$92,661.00 C=$92,742.00 (-1.6%)
11-17 18:00: O=$92,763.00 H=$93,142.00 L=$92,421.00 C=$92,497.00 (-0.3%)
11-17 19:00: O=$92,501.00 H=$92,623.00 L=$91,570.00 C=$91,691.00 (-0.9%)
11-17 20:00: O=$91,636.00 H=$92,185.00 L=$91,292.00 C=$91,924.00 (+0.3%)
11-17 21:00: O=$92,012.00 H=$92,203.00 L=$91,556.00 C=$91,932.00 (-0.1%)
11-17 22:00: O=$91,877.00 H=$92,364.00 L=$91,825.00 C=$92,231.00 (+0.4%)
11-17 23:00: O=$92,222.00 H=$92,272.00 L=$91,816.00 C=$92,180.00 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 31.7
RSI(14): 34.2
EMA(20): $93,506.59
EMA(50): $94,707.76
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $850.38
ETH:
Current Price: $2,991.90
Period Change: -5.25%
Range: $2,851.70 - $3,254.10
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-17 16:00: O=$3,104.00 H=$3,137.00 L=$3,066.00 C=$3,134.80 (+1.0%)
11-17 17:00: O=$3,136.20 H=$3,136.20 L=$3,054.40 C=$3,063.60 (-2.3%)
11-17 18:00: O=$3,056.70 H=$3,077.90 L=$3,021.30 C=$3,025.10 (-1.0%)
11-17 19:00: O=$3,026.10 H=$3,038.00 L=$2,877.50 C=$2,973.30 (-1.7%)
11-17 20:00: O=$2,967.70 H=$3,009.90 L=$2,851.70 C=$2,986.70 (+0.6%)
11-17 21:00: O=$3,001.40 H=$3,022.30 L=$2,904.00 C=$3,002.40 (+0.0%)
11-17 22:00: O=$2,966.90 H=$3,020.70 L=$2,963.40 C=$2,973.40 (+0.2%)
11-17 23:00: O=$3,013.40 H=$3,014.50 L=$2,968.40 C=$2,991.90 (-0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 31.9
RSI(14): 34.0
EMA(20): $3,077.84
EMA(50): $3,137.99
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $64.75
SOL:
Current Price: $130.23
Period Change: -5.97%
Range: $128.35 - $142.97
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-17 16:00: O=$136.30 H=$136.30 L=$133.33 C=$135.10 (-0.9%)
11-17 17:00: O=$135.48 H=$135.48 L=$131.28 C=$131.68 (-2.8%)
11-17 18:00: O=$131.45 H=$132.22 L=$129.98 C=$129.98 (-1.1%)
11-17 19:00: O=$129.98 H=$130.51 L=$128.93 C=$129.32 (-0.5%)
11-17 20:00: O=$129.17 H=$129.94 L=$128.39 C=$129.69 (+0.4%)
11-17 21:00: O=$129.81 H=$130.32 L=$129.36 C=$130.14 (+0.3%)
11-17 22:00: O=$129.88 H=$131.28 L=$129.70 C=$130.75 (+0.7%)
11-17 23:00: O=$130.45 H=$130.86 L=$129.70 C=$130.23 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 29.6
RSI(14): 32.7
EMA(20): $134.50
EMA(50): $137.88
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2.50
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.47
Period Change: -6.63%
Range: $14.30 - $15.82
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-17 16:00: O=$15.09 H=$15.32 L=$15.00 C=$15.29 (+1.4%)
11-17 17:00: O=$15.30 H=$15.30 L=$14.77 C=$14.77 (-3.5%)
11-17 18:00: O=$14.75 H=$14.84 L=$14.50 C=$14.60 (-1.0%)
11-17 19:00: O=$14.59 H=$14.61 L=$14.36 C=$14.38 (-1.4%)
11-17 20:00: O=$14.31 H=$14.43 L=$14.30 C=$14.31 (-0.0%)
11-17 21:00: O=$14.35 H=$14.35 L=$14.31 C=$14.31 (-0.3%)
11-17 22:00: O=$14.62 H=$14.62 L=$14.62 C=$14.62 (+0.0%)
11-17 23:00: O=$14.47 H=$14.47 L=$14.47 C=$14.47 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 35.0
RSI(14): 37.0
EMA(20): $14.96
EMA(50): $15.28
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.21
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (LONG): 0.69 @ $131.62 (Current: $130.23, P&L: -1.06%)
TP: $138.00 (+4.8%)
SL: $127.00 (-3.5%)
Exit Plan: Target $138 (EMA20) for 4.8% gain vs 3.6% risk = 1.3:1 R/R. Conservative 2x leverage due to recent liquidation trauma. Stop at $127 is 1.5x ATR ($3.11) below entry. Will exit immediately if we break below $130 or if BTC fails to hold support. This is the riskiest trade but highest potential reward.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-16 23:15 (5.2h)
Entry: $3,082.48, Exit: $3,005.50 P&L: -2.50% ($-4.18) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-17 03:00 (9.0h)
Entry: $14.80, Exit: $15.39 P&L: +4.04% ($+7.74) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-17 07:30 (13.5h)
Entry: $135.87, Exit: $140.54 P&L: +3.44% ($+6.54) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-17 06:00 → 11-17 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $15.59, Exit: $15.62 P&L: -0.15% ($-0.17) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-17 06:00 → 11-17 13:45 (7.7h)
Entry: $3,189.70, Exit: $3,125.10 P&L: -2.03% ($-3.19) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-17 12:00 → 11-17 14:00 (2.0h)
Entry: $141.37, Exit: $119.24 P&L: -15.65% ($-25.00) [LIQUIDATION]
BTC LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-17 17:45 (23.7h)
Entry: $94,428.00, Exit: $92,746.85 P&L: -1.78% ($-2.71) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $3,060.00, Exit: $2,988.50 P&L: -2.34% ($-3.86) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $14.75, Exit: $14.45 P&L: -2.04% ($-2.04) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 20:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $92,792.00, Exit: $91,431.00 P&L: -1.47% ($-2.76) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ LONG
Reasoning: AVAX showing most constructive setup among all assets. Price at $14.47 has formed a clear base around $14.30-$14.47 over last 4 hours after the selloff. RSI(7)=35.0 and RSI(14)=37.0 both oversold but not extreme. Price is only 3.3% below EMA20 ($14.96) vs ETH/SOL which are further from their EMAs. Recent candles show flat consolidation rather than continued selling. ATR=$0.21 allows for tight stop placement. With total margin at 18.6%, we have room for a conservative position. Entry here offers good R/R to test bounce back to EMA20 at $15.00-$15.30 range.
Confidence: 62%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 2x
Exit Plan: Target $15.30 (near EMA20) for 5.7% gain vs 2.6% risk = 2.2:1 R/R. Stop at $14.10 is 1.75x ATR ($0.37) below entry, protecting against breakdown below recent consolidation base. Conservative 2x leverage given recent market chop. Will manually close if BTC breaks below $91k or if we see failed bounce at $14.80 resistance. Position sized at 20% margin to keep total portfolio risk manageable with existing SOL position.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $240.82
Allocation: 20.0% ($48.16 margin)
Leverage: 2x
Current price: $14.47
Size: 6.6600 coins
Notional value: $96.39
📝 Executing LONG 6.66 AVAX @ 2x with TP: $15, SL: $14
✅ Market order filled @ $14.50
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43352184689)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43352185334)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing bearish structure with price below both EMAs (20/50), but RSI(7)=31.7 and RSI(14)=34.2 indicate oversold conditions. Recent 8h shows stabilization around $92k after decline from $94k. However, we've had 3 consecutive stop-outs on BTC longs in last 24h, indicating choppy conditions. With 18.6% margin already deployed on SOL, and BTC showing no clear reversal pattern yet, waiting for stronger confirmation is prudent. Need to see price reclaim $93,500 (EMA20) or a bullish divergence before re-entering.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH in clear downtrend with price at $2,991.90 well below EMA20 ($3,077.84) and EMA50 ($3,137.99). RSI(7)=31.9 shows oversold, but we've been stopped out twice on ETH longs in the last 24h. The recent candles show failed bounce attempts with wicks rejecting higher prices. ATR=$64.75 indicates high volatility. Without bullish divergence or reclaim of $3,020 support-turned-resistance, risk of further downside to $2,850 area remains. Market structure is bearish - need patience.
Confidence: 0%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Currently holding long from $131.62, now at $130.23 (-1.06%). Position is within acceptable drawdown and stop loss at $127 (1.5x ATR protection) remains valid. Recent 8h candles show stabilization around $130 after initial selloff. RSI(7)=29.6 deeply oversold suggests potential bounce. TP at $138 still reasonable target at EMA20. Despite the pain from recent liquidation, this position has proper risk management and thesis intact. Trust the SL to do its job - manual close not warranted as we haven't broken below $127 support and no thesis invalidation has occurred.
Confidence: 55%
💾 Database saved: run_id=40
1 order(s) executed
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