Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-18 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-18 12:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $245.95
Margin Used: $56.41 (22.9%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-18 18:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-18 12:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-16 16:00 → 2025-11-18 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $93,346.00
Period Change: -1.24%
Range: $89,379.00 - $95,981.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-18 10:00: O=$91,388.00 H=$91,604.00 L=$91,250.00 C=$91,604.00 (+0.2%)
11-18 11:00: O=$91,552.00 H=$91,624.00 L=$91,243.00 C=$91,500.00 (-0.1%)
11-18 12:00: O=$91,508.00 H=$91,873.00 L=$91,139.00 C=$91,507.00 (-0.0%)
11-18 13:00: O=$91,479.00 H=$92,298.00 L=$89,379.00 C=$91,527.00 (+0.1%)
11-18 14:00: O=$91,486.00 H=$92,912.00 L=$91,256.00 C=$91,500.00 (+0.0%)
11-18 15:00: O=$91,500.00 H=$93,049.00 L=$91,126.00 C=$92,932.00 (+1.6%)
11-18 16:00: O=$92,916.00 H=$93,840.00 L=$92,638.00 C=$93,483.00 (+0.6%)
11-18 17:00: O=$93,501.00 H=$93,656.00 L=$92,869.00 C=$93,346.00 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 76.5
RSI(14): 61.5
EMA(20): $92,081.53
EMA(50): $93,188.24
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1075.75
ETH:
Current Price: $3,088.20
Period Change: -0.64%
Range: $2,851.70 - $3,220.50
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-18 10:00: O=$3,051.00 H=$3,060.10 L=$3,015.20 C=$3,029.60 (-0.7%)
11-18 11:00: O=$3,023.90 H=$3,056.50 L=$3,015.40 C=$3,018.80 (-0.2%)
11-18 12:00: O=$3,012.50 H=$3,045.30 L=$3,004.90 C=$3,033.40 (+0.7%)
11-18 13:00: O=$3,027.90 H=$3,035.70 L=$2,983.20 C=$3,028.10 (+0.0%)
11-18 14:00: O=$3,028.10 H=$3,066.40 L=$2,995.10 C=$3,033.40 (+0.2%)
11-18 15:00: O=$3,048.80 H=$3,105.90 L=$3,017.00 C=$3,058.90 (+0.3%)
11-18 16:00: O=$3,092.00 H=$3,149.00 L=$3,070.20 C=$3,141.00 (+1.6%)
11-18 17:00: O=$3,119.60 H=$3,144.60 L=$3,072.00 C=$3,088.20 (-1.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 60.0
RSI(14): 55.7
EMA(20): $3,045.61
EMA(50): $3,079.13
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $69.70
SOL:
Current Price: $139.04
Period Change: +1.67%
Range: $128.35 - $142.03
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-18 10:00: O=$137.44 H=$138.48 L=$136.46 C=$137.43 (-0.0%)
11-18 11:00: O=$137.06 H=$137.53 L=$136.37 C=$136.71 (-0.3%)
11-18 12:00: O=$137.34 H=$137.91 L=$136.18 C=$137.48 (+0.1%)
11-18 13:00: O=$137.60 H=$137.60 L=$135.97 C=$137.57 (-0.0%)
11-18 14:00: O=$137.06 H=$138.79 L=$136.74 C=$136.81 (-0.2%)
11-18 15:00: O=$136.59 H=$141.13 L=$136.59 C=$138.40 (+1.3%)
11-18 16:00: O=$139.43 H=$141.43 L=$138.09 C=$139.92 (+0.4%)
11-18 17:00: O=$140.59 H=$140.59 L=$138.35 C=$139.04 (-1.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 66.6
RSI(14): 62.0
EMA(20): $136.56
EMA(50): $136.32
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $2.41
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.71
Period Change: -3.13%
Range: $14.09 - $15.70
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-18 10:00: O=$14.58 H=$14.58 L=$14.58 C=$14.58 (+0.0%)
11-18 11:00: O=$14.58 H=$14.58 L=$14.58 C=$14.58 (+0.0%)
11-18 12:00: O=$14.58 H=$14.58 L=$14.58 C=$14.58 (+0.0%)
11-18 13:00: O=$14.58 H=$14.58 L=$14.58 C=$14.58 (+0.0%)
11-18 14:00: O=$14.67 H=$14.69 L=$14.63 C=$14.63 (-0.2%)
11-18 15:00: O=$14.72 H=$14.72 L=$14.72 C=$14.72 (+0.0%)
11-18 16:00: O=$14.69 H=$14.90 L=$14.69 C=$14.90 (+1.5%)
11-18 17:00: O=$14.72 H=$14.72 L=$14.71 C=$14.71 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 53.8
RSI(14): 46.6
EMA(20): $14.66
EMA(50): $14.93
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.15
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (LONG): 1.17 @ $137.34 (Current: $139.04, P&L: +1.24%)
TP: $143.50 (+4.5%)
SL: $133.20 (-3.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $143.50 near recent resistance (~5% gain, 2.3:1 R:R). SL at $133.20 below recent swing lows and 1.5x ATR buffer. Exit early if price breaks below EMA20 decisively or if BTC breaks down below $89,000. Monitor for breakout above $138.50 for continuation.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-17 07:30 (13.5h)
Entry: $135.87, Exit: $140.54 P&L: +3.44% ($+6.54) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-17 06:00 → 11-17 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $15.59, Exit: $15.62 P&L: -0.15% ($-0.17) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-17 06:00 → 11-17 13:45 (7.7h)
Entry: $3,189.70, Exit: $3,125.10 P&L: -2.03% ($-3.19) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-17 12:00 → 11-17 14:00 (2.0h)
Entry: $141.37, Exit: $136.49 P&L: -3.45% ($-5.51) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-17 17:45 (23.7h)
Entry: $94,428.00, Exit: $92,746.85 P&L: -1.78% ($-2.71) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $3,060.00, Exit: $2,988.50 P&L: -2.34% ($-3.86) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $14.75, Exit: $14.45 P&L: -2.04% ($-2.04) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 20:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $92,792.00, Exit: $91,431.00 P&L: -1.47% ($-2.76) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-18 00:00 → 11-18 02:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $14.50, Exit: $14.09 P&L: -2.83% ($-2.74) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-18 10:45 (16.7h)
Entry: $131.62, Exit: $137.57 P&L: +4.52% ($+4.11) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing mixed signals: RSI(7) at 76.5 is overbought after recent rally from $91.5k to $93.3k, but price remains below both EMA20 ($92,081) and EMA50 ($93,188) indicating bearish trend structure. Recent 8h candles show strong volatility with a $2.5k wick down to $89,379 followed by recovery. Price is testing resistance at EMA50 level. With 22.9% margin already deployed and recent string of SL hits showing choppy conditions, prudent to wait for clearer directional confirmation. Need to see either: (1) decisive break above $94k with volume, or (2) rejection and retest of $91k support for short setup.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing relative weakness vs BTC - down 0.64% while BTC only down 1.24% over period. Price at $3,088 is above EMA20 ($3,045) but below EMA50 ($3,079), caught in bearish trend structure. Recent candles show failed breakout attempt: rallied from $3,018 to $3,141 (+4%) but immediately rejected back to $3,088 (-1.7% last hour). RSI(14) at 55.7 is neutral. ATR at $69.70 suggests decent volatility but recent whipsaw action (2 SL hits in last 36h) indicates unreliable follow-through. Market showing risk-off behavior. Wait for either: (1) sustained break above $3,150 with volume confirmation, or (2) clear support formation at $3,000 psychological level.
Confidence: 0%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Currently holding profitable SOL long (+1.24%, entry $137.34, current $139.04). Position has clear TP at $143.50 and SL at $133.20 - trust these levels. SOL showing best relative strength: +1.67% period change, only asset with bullish EMA trend (price above both EMA20 $136.56 and EMA50 $136.32). Recent price action: rallied from $136.59 to $141.43 (+3.5%) before pulling back to $139.04. RSI(14) at 62 shows momentum without extreme overbought. This pullback is healthy profit-taking after strong move. Position is well-structured with 2.3:1 R:R ratio. CRITICAL: Do not manually close just because it's profitable - let TP/SL work. Only exit early if: (1) breaks below EMA20 at $136.56, or (2) BTC crashes below $89k. Current setup remains valid.
Confidence: 75%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX showing concerning data quality issues - 4 consecutive identical candles at $14.58 (10:00-13:00) suggests stale/missing data, making technical analysis unreliable. When data resumes, shows -3.13% period decline with price at $14.71 below both EMAs (bearish structure). RSI(14) at 46.6 is neutral-weak. Recent trading history is disastrous: 3 consecutive SL hits on longs in last 36h (total -7% losses), indicating persistent downtrend and poor entry timing. ATR at $0.15 is relatively low but recent range $14.09-$15.70 shows 11% volatility. Market structure is clearly bearish - price making lower highs. With data quality concerns, weak trend, and recent poor performance, absolutely no edge here. Need to see: (1) data quality improve, (2) clear reversal pattern with volume, and (3) break above $15.20 resistance before considering entry.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=43
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