Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-19 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-19 00:00:28
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $244.34
Margin Used: $54.79 (22.4%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-19 06:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-19 00:00:28 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-17 04:00 → 2025-11-19 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $90,489.00
Period Change: -5.21%
Range: $89,379.00 - $95,981.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-18 22:00: O=$92,623.00 H=$93,516.00 L=$92,623.00 C=$93,320.00 (+0.8%)
11-18 23:00: O=$93,317.00 H=$93,317.00 L=$92,862.00 C=$93,082.00 (-0.3%)
11-19 00:00: O=$93,017.00 H=$93,055.00 L=$92,122.00 C=$92,743.00 (-0.3%)
11-19 01:00: O=$92,560.00 H=$92,604.00 L=$92,009.00 C=$92,584.00 (+0.0%)
11-19 02:00: O=$92,573.00 H=$94,500.00 L=$91,664.00 C=$92,787.00 (+0.2%)
11-19 03:00: O=$92,638.00 H=$92,729.00 L=$91,808.00 C=$91,973.00 (-0.7%)
11-19 04:00: O=$91,990.00 H=$92,040.00 L=$91,275.00 C=$91,275.00 (-0.8%)
11-19 05:00: O=$91,311.00 H=$91,374.00 L=$90,131.00 C=$90,489.00 (-0.9%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 21.1
RSI(14): 33.0
EMA(20): $92,252.38
EMA(50): $92,741.36
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1014.33
ETH:
Current Price: $2,974.90
Period Change: -6.38%
Range: $2,851.70 - $3,220.50
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-18 22:00: O=$3,081.00 H=$3,111.50 L=$3,050.20 C=$3,105.80 (+0.8%)
11-18 23:00: O=$3,110.40 H=$3,110.40 L=$3,059.70 C=$3,067.70 (-1.4%)
11-19 00:00: O=$3,077.50 H=$3,113.90 L=$3,051.20 C=$3,062.00 (-0.5%)
11-19 01:00: O=$3,055.10 H=$3,097.80 L=$3,052.40 C=$3,075.70 (+0.7%)
11-19 02:00: O=$3,075.70 H=$3,112.30 L=$3,054.10 C=$3,084.30 (+0.3%)
11-19 03:00: O=$3,084.30 H=$3,104.90 L=$2,965.50 C=$3,053.90 (-1.0%)
11-19 04:00: O=$3,053.90 H=$3,060.50 L=$3,019.90 C=$3,046.10 (-0.3%)
11-19 05:00: O=$3,038.40 H=$3,038.40 L=$2,974.90 C=$2,974.90 (-2.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 26.1
RSI(14): 37.6
EMA(20): $3,059.47
EMA(50): $3,071.88
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $65.49
SOL:
Current Price: $136.90
Period Change: -2.24%
Range: $128.35 - $142.03
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-18 22:00: O=$138.52 H=$140.97 L=$138.52 C=$140.51 (+1.4%)
11-18 23:00: O=$140.51 H=$140.63 L=$139.33 C=$139.35 (-0.8%)
11-19 00:00: O=$139.14 H=$141.07 L=$138.37 C=$140.62 (+1.1%)
11-19 01:00: O=$140.62 H=$140.64 L=$139.09 C=$139.09 (-1.1%)
11-19 02:00: O=$139.15 H=$142.01 L=$138.72 C=$140.93 (+1.3%)
11-19 03:00: O=$141.65 H=$141.75 L=$138.43 C=$139.14 (-1.8%)
11-19 04:00: O=$139.25 H=$139.31 L=$137.30 C=$137.76 (-1.1%)
11-19 05:00: O=$137.44 H=$137.82 L=$135.71 C=$136.90 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 38.4
RSI(14): 46.4
EMA(20): $138.53
EMA(50): $136.92
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $2.39
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.14
Period Change: -9.20%
Range: $14.09 - $15.70
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-18 22:00: O=$14.78 H=$14.78 L=$14.78 C=$14.78 (+0.0%)
11-18 23:00: O=$14.78 H=$14.78 L=$14.78 C=$14.78 (+0.0%)
11-19 00:00: O=$14.78 H=$14.78 L=$14.78 C=$14.78 (+0.0%)
11-19 01:00: O=$14.51 H=$14.51 L=$14.51 C=$14.51 (+0.0%)
11-19 02:00: O=$14.51 H=$14.51 L=$14.51 C=$14.51 (+0.0%)
11-19 03:00: O=$14.51 H=$14.51 L=$14.51 C=$14.51 (+0.0%)
11-19 04:00: O=$14.36 H=$14.36 L=$14.36 C=$14.36 (+0.0%)
11-19 05:00: O=$14.29 H=$14.31 L=$14.14 C=$14.14 (-1.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 12.1
RSI(14): 28.4
EMA(20): $14.60
EMA(50): $14.82
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.10
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (LONG): 1.17 @ $137.34 (Current: $136.90, P&L: -0.32%)
TP: $143.50 (+4.5%)
SL: $133.20 (-3.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $143.50 near recent resistance (~5% gain, 2.3:1 R:R). SL at $133.20 below recent swing lows and 1.5x ATR buffer. Exit early if price breaks below EMA20 decisively or if BTC breaks down below $89,000. Monitor for breakout above $138.50 for continuation.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-17 07:30 (13.5h)
Entry: $135.87, Exit: $140.54 P&L: +3.44% ($+6.54) [TP_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-17 06:00 → 11-17 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $15.59, Exit: $15.62 P&L: -0.15% ($-0.17) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-17 06:00 → 11-17 13:45 (7.7h)
Entry: $3,189.70, Exit: $3,125.10 P&L: -2.03% ($-3.19) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-17 12:00 → 11-17 14:00 (2.0h)
Entry: $141.37, Exit: $136.49 P&L: -3.45% ($-5.51) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-17 17:45 (23.7h)
Entry: $94,428.00, Exit: $92,746.85 P&L: -1.78% ($-2.71) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $3,060.00, Exit: $2,988.50 P&L: -2.34% ($-3.86) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $14.75, Exit: $14.45 P&L: -2.04% ($-2.04) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 20:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $92,792.00, Exit: $91,431.00 P&L: -1.47% ($-2.76) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-18 00:00 → 11-18 02:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $14.50, Exit: $14.09 P&L: -2.83% ($-2.74) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-18 10:45 (16.7h)
Entry: $131.62, Exit: $137.57 P&L: +4.52% ($+4.11) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ LONG
Reasoning: Strong oversold conditions with RSI(7) at 21.1 and RSI(14) at 33.0. Price has dropped 5.2% to $90,489, creating a potential bounce setup. Recent 8h shows capitulation with last 3 candles down -0.7%, -0.8%, -0.9%. Price is below both EMA20 ($92,252) and EMA50 ($92,741) but oversold conditions often precede short-term bounces. ATR at $1,014 suggests volatility. Entry at current level with tight risk management for a counter-trend scalp to EMA20.
Confidence: 55%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $92,250 near EMA20 resistance for ~2% gain (1.9:1 R:R). SL at $89,000 below recent range low and 1.5x ATR buffer. Exit early if price fails to hold $90,000 support or if we see another capitulation candle. This is a counter-trend bounce play, not a trend reversal.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $244.34
Allocation: 20.0% ($48.87 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $90,489.00
Size: 0.0016 coins
Notional value: $146.59
📝 Executing LONG 0.00162 BTC @ 3x with TP: $92,250, SL: $89,000
✅ Market order filled @ $90,436.00
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43454219489)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43454220301)
ETH:
→ LONG
Reasoning: Extreme oversold with RSI(7) at 26.1, RSI(14) at 37.6. Last candle dropped -2.1% to $2,974.90, showing panic selling. Price down 6.38% in period, below both EMAs (bearish trend). However, oversold conditions at support levels often produce relief bounces. ETH typically follows BTC, so if BTC bounces, ETH should follow with potentially stronger move due to deeper oversold condition. Conservative position for mean reversion to EMA20.
Confidence: 50%
Allocation: 18.0%
Leverage: 2x
Exit Plan: TP at $3,060 near EMA20 for ~2.9% gain (2.1:1 R:R). SL at $2,875 below recent low with 1.5x ATR buffer ($98). Exit if BTC breaks below $89,000 or if price can't reclaim $3,000 psychological level within 6 hours. Counter-trend bounce play requiring quick reaction.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $244.34
Allocation: 18.0% ($43.98 margin)
Leverage: 2x
Current price: $2,974.90
Size: 0.0296 coins
Notional value: $88.06
📝 Executing LONG 0.0296 ETH @ 2x with TP: $3,060, SL: $2,875
✅ Market order filled @ $2,985.10
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43454224350)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43454224797)
AVAX:
→ LONG
Reasoning: Severely oversold with RSI(7) at 12.1 - this is extreme panic territory. RSI(14) at 28.4 also oversold. Price down 9.2% in period to $14.14, below both EMAs (bearish trend). However, RSI(7) at 12.1 is historically rare and typically precedes sharp bounces. Recent candles show flat data (possible feed issues) but last real candle dropped -1.1%. Small position for high-probability mean reversion bounce to EMA20. Note: 6 recent stop-outs show challenging conditions, so using lower leverage and tighter sizing.
Confidence: 45%
Allocation: 15.0%
Leverage: 2x
Exit Plan: TP at $14.60 (EMA20) for ~3.3% gain (3:1 R:R). SL at $13.90 below current price with 1.5x ATR buffer ($0.15). Exit immediately if BTC breaks $89,000 or if no bounce materializes within 4 hours. This is purely an oversold bounce play - the trend remains bearish. Small size due to recent poor performance history.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $244.34
Allocation: 15.0% ($36.65 margin)
Leverage: 2x
Current price: $14.14
Size: 5.1800 coins
Notional value: $73.25
📝 Executing LONG 5.18 AVAX @ 2x with TP: $15, SL: $14
✅ Market order filled @ $14.00
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43454227661)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43454228335)
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Currently holding SOL long from $137.34, now at $136.90 (-0.32%). Position is still valid: RSI(14) at 46.4 is neutral, EMA trend remains bullish (price above EMA50 at $136.92). Recent weakness aligns with broader market selloff. TP at $143.50 and SL at $133.20 remain appropriate. Price is consolidating near EMA50 support - this is expected behavior. No reason to exit as thesis hasn't changed and we're within normal volatility. Trust the TP/SL orders.
Confidence: 65%
💾 Database saved: run_id=45
3 order(s) executed
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