Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-19 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-19 06:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $251.52
Margin Used: $145.35 (57.8%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-19 12:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-19 06:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-17 10:00 → 2025-11-19 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $91,566.00
Period Change: -4.27%
Range: $89,379.00 - $95,972.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 04:00: O=$91,990.00 H=$92,040.00 L=$91,275.00 C=$91,275.00 (-0.8%)
11-19 05:00: O=$91,311.00 H=$91,374.00 L=$90,131.00 C=$90,489.00 (-0.9%)
11-19 06:00: O=$90,436.00 H=$91,217.00 L=$90,408.00 C=$91,113.00 (+0.7%)
11-19 07:00: O=$91,093.00 H=$92,302.00 L=$91,076.00 C=$92,040.00 (+1.0%)
11-19 08:00: O=$91,974.00 H=$92,057.00 L=$91,494.00 C=$91,579.00 (-0.4%)
11-19 09:00: O=$91,563.00 H=$91,865.00 L=$91,174.00 C=$91,582.00 (+0.0%)
11-19 10:00: O=$91,666.00 H=$91,797.00 L=$91,356.00 C=$91,456.00 (-0.2%)
11-19 11:00: O=$91,468.00 H=$91,835.00 L=$91,427.00 C=$91,566.00 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 45.1
RSI(14): 44.8
EMA(20): $91,944.86
EMA(50): $92,283.70
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $897.81
ETH:
Current Price: $3,045.40
Period Change: -4.74%
Range: $2,851.70 - $3,220.50
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 04:00: O=$3,053.90 H=$3,060.50 L=$3,019.90 C=$3,046.10 (-0.3%)
11-19 05:00: O=$3,038.40 H=$3,038.40 L=$2,974.90 C=$2,974.90 (-2.1%)
11-19 06:00: O=$2,985.10 H=$3,026.60 L=$2,974.70 C=$3,002.10 (+0.6%)
11-19 07:00: O=$3,006.30 H=$3,067.80 L=$3,004.40 C=$3,036.70 (+1.0%)
11-19 08:00: O=$3,076.40 H=$3,086.50 L=$3,039.70 C=$3,039.70 (-1.2%)
11-19 09:00: O=$3,039.70 H=$3,072.40 L=$3,023.60 C=$3,044.10 (+0.1%)
11-19 10:00: O=$3,050.60 H=$3,098.00 L=$3,047.60 C=$3,051.30 (+0.0%)
11-19 11:00: O=$3,051.50 H=$3,088.30 L=$3,041.60 C=$3,045.40 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 49.8
RSI(14): 49.1
EMA(20): $3,049.82
EMA(50): $3,053.21
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $61.79
SOL:
Current Price: $138.02
Period Change: -2.34%
Range: $128.39 - $142.03
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 04:00: O=$139.25 H=$139.31 L=$137.30 C=$137.76 (-1.1%)
11-19 05:00: O=$137.44 H=$137.82 L=$135.71 C=$136.90 (-0.4%)
11-19 06:00: O=$137.23 H=$138.46 L=$136.79 C=$137.80 (+0.4%)
11-19 07:00: O=$138.87 H=$139.85 L=$137.97 C=$139.80 (+0.7%)
11-19 08:00: O=$140.13 H=$140.43 L=$138.78 C=$138.87 (-0.9%)
11-19 09:00: O=$138.56 H=$139.32 L=$137.86 C=$138.39 (-0.1%)
11-19 10:00: O=$139.22 H=$139.77 L=$138.13 C=$138.99 (-0.2%)
11-19 11:00: O=$139.04 H=$139.13 L=$137.24 C=$138.02 (-0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 45.0
RSI(14): 47.3
EMA(20): $138.53
EMA(50): $136.72
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $2.14
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.46
Period Change: -7.84%
Range: $14.00 - $15.70
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 04:00: O=$14.36 H=$14.36 L=$14.36 C=$14.36 (+0.0%)
11-19 05:00: O=$14.29 H=$14.31 L=$14.14 C=$14.14 (-1.1%)
11-19 06:00: O=$14.00 H=$14.00 L=$14.00 C=$14.00 (+0.0%)
11-19 07:00: O=$14.22 H=$14.22 L=$14.22 C=$14.22 (+0.0%)
11-19 08:00: O=$14.43 H=$14.45 L=$14.43 C=$14.45 (+0.1%)
11-19 09:00: O=$14.45 H=$14.45 L=$14.45 C=$14.45 (+0.0%)
11-19 10:00: O=$14.58 H=$14.58 L=$14.43 C=$14.43 (-1.0%)
11-19 11:00: O=$14.46 H=$14.46 L=$14.46 C=$14.46 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 51.7
RSI(14): 46.2
EMA(20): $14.49
EMA(50): $14.66
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.11
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (LONG): 1.17 @ $137.34 (Current: $138.02, P&L: +0.50%)
TP: $143.50 (+4.5%)
SL: $133.20 (-3.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $143.50 near recent resistance (~5% gain, 2.3:1 R:R). SL at $133.20 below recent swing lows and 1.5x ATR buffer. Exit early if price breaks below EMA20 decisively or if BTC breaks down below $89,000. Monitor for breakout above $138.50 for continuation.
BTC (LONG): 0.00162 @ $90,436.00 (Current: $91,566.00, P&L: +1.25%)
TP: $92,250.00 (+2.0%)
SL: $89,000.00 (-1.6%)
Exit Plan: TP at $92,250 near EMA20 resistance for ~2% gain (1.9:1 R:R). SL at $89,000 below recent range low and 1.5x ATR buffer. Exit early if price fails to hold $90,000 support or if we see another capitulation candle. This is a counter-trend bounce play, not a trend reversal.
AVAX (LONG): 5.18 @ $14.00 (Current: $14.46, P&L: +3.26%)
TP: $14.60 (+4.3%)
SL: $13.90 (-0.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $14.60 (EMA20) for ~3.3% gain (3:1 R:R). SL at $13.90 below current price with 1.5x ATR buffer ($0.15). Exit immediately if BTC breaks $89,000 or if no bounce materializes within 4 hours. This is purely an oversold bounce play - the trend remains bearish. Small size due to recent poor performance history.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
AVAX SHORT: 11-17 06:00 → 11-17 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $15.59, Exit: $15.62 P&L: -0.15% ($-0.17) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-17 06:00 → 11-17 13:45 (7.7h)
Entry: $3,189.70, Exit: $3,125.10 P&L: -2.03% ($-3.19) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-17 12:00 → 11-17 14:00 (2.0h)
Entry: $141.37, Exit: $136.49 P&L: -3.45% ($-5.51) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-17 17:45 (23.7h)
Entry: $94,428.00, Exit: $92,746.85 P&L: -1.78% ($-2.71) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $3,060.00, Exit: $2,988.50 P&L: -2.34% ($-3.86) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $14.75, Exit: $14.45 P&L: -2.04% ($-2.04) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 20:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $92,792.00, Exit: $91,431.00 P&L: -1.47% ($-2.76) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-18 00:00 → 11-18 02:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $14.50, Exit: $14.09 P&L: -2.83% ($-2.74) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-18 10:45 (16.7h)
Entry: $131.62, Exit: $137.57 P&L: +4.52% ($+4.11) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 08:00 (2.0h)
Entry: $2,985.10, Exit: $3,045.70 P&L: +2.03% ($+1.79) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: Position up +3.26% but thesis is invalidated. AVAX showing extremely low volatility with multiple flat candles (0.0% moves at 05:00, 06:00, 07:00, 09:00, 11:00) - this indicates no real buying interest despite the bounce. Price stalled at $14.46, struggling to reach TP at $14.60 (only $0.14 away but no momentum). EMA trend remains bearish. Recent history shows 3 consecutive SL hits on AVAX longs. The 'oversold bounce' has played out - take the +3.26% profit now rather than risk reversal. This manual close is justified because the low-volume, flat price action suggests the bounce is exhausted.
Confidence: 70%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for AVAX (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position up +1.25% and approaching TP at $92,250. Price is consolidating between $91,000-$92,000 with bearish EMA alignment (price below EMA20/50). RSI neutral at 45. Recent candles show choppy action without clear direction. Trust the TP order - it's only $684 away and will execute automatically. Manual close would realize suboptimal gains and incur unnecessary fees. The counter-trend bounce thesis remains valid.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: No position. Market structure is bearish with price below both EMAs. RSI near 50 shows indecision. Recent price action is choppy consolidation around $3,040-$3,050 with no clear directional bias. We're at 57.8% margin usage already - adding ETH exposure now would push us toward the 80% limit without a compelling setup. ETH has been whipsawing (2 recent SL hits). Wait for clearer signal: either breakout above $3,100 or breakdown below $2,970 with volume confirmation.
Confidence: 50%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position up +0.50% with bullish EMA trend (only asset with price above EMA50). TP at $143.50 is $5.48 away (+4%). Recent candles show consolidation with a slight pullback in last hour to $138.02. RSI at 45 suggests room to move up. The bullish EMA crossover supports continuation. Trust the TP order - SOL has shown strength relative to BTC/ETH and the setup remains valid. Manual close would exit prematurely before the full move plays out. SL at $133.20 provides adequate protection.
Confidence: 65%
💾 Database saved: run_id=46
1 order(s) executed
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