Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-19 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-19 12:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $246.85
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-19 18:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-19 12:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-17 16:00 → 2025-11-19 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $89,546.00
Period Change: -4.67%
Range: $89,100.00 - $94,500.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 10:00: O=$91,666.00 H=$91,797.00 L=$91,356.00 C=$91,456.00 (-0.2%)
11-19 11:00: O=$91,468.00 H=$91,835.00 L=$91,427.00 C=$91,566.00 (+0.1%)
11-19 12:00: O=$91,559.00 H=$92,003.00 L=$91,334.00 C=$92,003.00 (+0.5%)
11-19 13:00: O=$91,920.00 H=$91,994.00 L=$91,447.00 C=$91,513.00 (-0.4%)
11-19 14:00: O=$91,515.00 H=$91,962.00 L=$91,190.00 C=$91,894.00 (+0.4%)
11-19 15:00: O=$91,800.00 H=$92,495.00 L=$90,026.00 C=$90,057.00 (-1.9%)
11-19 16:00: O=$90,000.00 H=$90,284.00 L=$89,571.00 C=$89,933.00 (-0.1%)
11-19 17:00: O=$89,936.00 H=$90,188.00 L=$89,100.00 C=$89,546.00 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 25.3
RSI(14): 30.6
EMA(20): $91,347.38
EMA(50): $91,804.24
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $957.11
ETH:
Current Price: $2,925.30
Period Change: -5.76%
Range: $2,843.10 - $3,150.20
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 10:00: O=$3,050.60 H=$3,098.00 L=$3,047.60 C=$3,051.30 (+0.0%)
11-19 11:00: O=$3,051.50 H=$3,088.30 L=$3,041.60 C=$3,045.40 (-0.2%)
11-19 12:00: O=$3,058.00 H=$3,093.70 L=$3,021.70 C=$3,076.70 (+0.6%)
11-19 13:00: O=$3,069.20 H=$3,085.30 L=$2,941.40 C=$3,054.00 (-0.5%)
11-19 14:00: O=$3,020.40 H=$3,049.80 L=$2,978.20 C=$3,014.10 (-0.2%)
11-19 15:00: O=$3,030.00 H=$3,030.00 L=$2,919.60 C=$2,936.80 (-3.1%)
11-19 16:00: O=$2,936.80 H=$2,976.90 L=$2,903.70 C=$2,917.20 (-0.7%)
11-19 17:00: O=$2,918.50 H=$3,042.40 L=$2,843.10 C=$2,925.30 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 25.8
RSI(14): 32.2
EMA(20): $3,015.69
EMA(50): $3,032.20
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $81.73
SOL:
Current Price: $131.74
Period Change: -3.35%
Range: $128.39 - $142.01
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 10:00: O=$139.22 H=$139.77 L=$138.13 C=$138.99 (-0.2%)
11-19 11:00: O=$139.04 H=$139.13 L=$137.24 C=$138.02 (-0.7%)
11-19 12:00: O=$138.05 H=$138.45 L=$137.24 C=$138.33 (+0.2%)
11-19 13:00: O=$138.29 H=$138.29 L=$135.61 C=$136.26 (-1.5%)
11-19 14:00: O=$135.85 H=$136.74 L=$135.00 C=$136.14 (+0.2%)
11-19 15:00: O=$137.53 H=$137.85 L=$133.53 C=$133.88 (-2.7%)
11-19 16:00: O=$133.95 H=$134.58 L=$132.17 C=$132.84 (-0.8%)
11-19 17:00: O=$133.01 H=$133.24 L=$131.07 C=$131.74 (-1.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 18.8
RSI(14): 29.8
EMA(20): $136.61
EMA(50): $136.18
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $2.22
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.87
Period Change: -8.06%
Range: $13.82 - $15.32
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 10:00: O=$14.58 H=$14.58 L=$14.43 C=$14.43 (-1.0%)
11-19 11:00: O=$14.46 H=$14.46 L=$14.46 C=$14.46 (+0.0%)
11-19 12:00: O=$14.43 H=$14.43 L=$14.43 C=$14.43 (+0.0%)
11-19 13:00: O=$14.49 H=$14.49 L=$14.42 C=$14.42 (-0.5%)
11-19 14:00: O=$14.23 H=$14.23 L=$14.16 C=$14.22 (-0.1%)
11-19 15:00: O=$14.22 H=$14.22 L=$14.22 C=$14.22 (+0.0%)
11-19 16:00: O=$14.22 H=$14.22 L=$14.22 C=$14.22 (+0.0%)
11-19 17:00: O=$13.85 H=$13.87 L=$13.82 C=$13.87 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 17.1
RSI(14): 24.1
EMA(20): $14.35
EMA(50): $14.51
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.12
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
BTC LONG: 11-16 18:00 → 11-17 17:45 (23.7h)
Entry: $94,428.00, Exit: $92,746.85 P&L: -1.78% ($-2.71) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $3,060.00, Exit: $2,988.50 P&L: -2.34% ($-3.86) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $14.75, Exit: $14.45 P&L: -2.04% ($-2.04) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 20:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $92,792.00, Exit: $91,431.00 P&L: -1.47% ($-2.76) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-18 00:00 → 11-18 02:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $14.50, Exit: $14.09 P&L: -2.83% ($-2.74) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-18 10:45 (16.7h)
Entry: $131.62, Exit: $137.57 P&L: +4.52% ($+4.11) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 08:00 (2.0h)
Entry: $2,985.10, Exit: $3,045.70 P&L: +2.03% ($+1.79) [TP_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $14.00, Exit: $14.43 P&L: +3.11% ($+2.25) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
BTC LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 15:15 (9.2h)
Entry: $90,436.00, Exit: $92,206.00 P&L: +1.96% ($+2.87) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-18 12:00 → 11-19 16:45 (28.7h)
Entry: $137.34, Exit: $133.02 P&L: -3.15% ($-5.05) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ LONG
Reasoning: Strong oversold signal with RSI(7) at 25.3 and RSI(14) at 30.6. Price dropped sharply from $92K to $89.5K in last 3 hours, creating a capitulation move. Currently below both EMAs but near major support at $89K level. Recent sell-off appears overdone with -4.67% period decline. High ATR ($957) suggests volatility, but the swift drop often precedes mean reversion. Multiple stop-outs suggest weak hands flushed out. Looking for bounce back to EMA(20) at $91.3K.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $91,800 (just above EMA20 and recent resistance). SL at $88,100 (1.6% below entry, ~1.5x ATR protection). Exit early if price fails to hold $89K support on retest or if we see continued selling pressure with volume spike below $88.5K.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $246.85
Allocation: 25.0% ($61.71 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $89,546.00
Size: 0.0021 coins
Notional value: $185.36
📝 Executing LONG 0.00207 BTC @ 3x with TP: $91,800, SL: $88,100
✅ Market order filled @ $89,551.00
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43493376873)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43493377608)
ETH:
→ LONG
Reasoning: Extremely oversold with RSI(7) at 25.8, RSI(14) at 32.2. Severe selloff from $3,076 to $2,843 low, then bouncing to $2,925 - classic V-shaped reversal pattern forming. Price -5.76% for period, below both EMAs indicating bearish trend but oversold conditions often lead to relief rallies. Last candle shows strong wick down to $2,843 with recovery, suggesting buyers stepping in. ATR at $81.73 provides clear risk parameters. Recent TP hit at $3,045 shows this level is achievable.
Confidence: 62%
Allocation: 22.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $3,050 (4.3% gain, previous resistance and recent TP level). SL at $2,800 (4.3% risk, below recent low of $2,843). 1:1 R/R acceptable given oversold bounce setup. Exit early if BTC breaks below $88K or if rejection occurs at $2,950 resistance.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $246.85
Allocation: 22.0% ($54.31 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $2,925.30
Size: 0.0557 coins
Notional value: $162.94
📝 Executing LONG 0.0557 ETH @ 3x with TP: $3,050, SL: $2,800
✅ Market order filled @ $2,920.20
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43493383536)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43493385454)
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: Most oversold of all assets with RSI(7) at 18.8 and RSI(14) at 29.8 - extreme oversold territory. Price declined from $138 to $131.74 (-4.5%) in last few hours. Despite bearish price action, EMA trend still shows 'bullish' with EMA(20) > EMA(50), suggesting underlying strength. Recent position stopped out at $133.02 after profitable TP at $137.57, showing this asset can move quickly. Current price near $131.74 offers good risk/reward for mean reversion play. ATR of $2.22 allows tight stops.
Confidence: 68%
Allocation: 28.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $137 (4% gain, previous support turned resistance and recent profitable level). SL at $128.50 (2.5% risk, below period low of $128.39). 1.6:1 R/R. Exit early if SOL breaks below $130 with volume or if broader market shows continued weakness. Strong candidate due to extreme RSI levels.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $246.85
Allocation: 28.0% ($69.12 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $131.74
Size: 1.5700 coins
Notional value: $206.83
📝 Executing LONG 1.57 SOL @ 3x with TP: $137, SL: $128
✅ Market order filled @ $131.69
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43493389532)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43493390460)
AVAX:
→ LONG
Reasoning: Most extreme oversold reading with RSI(7) at 17.1 and RSI(14) at 24.1 - deeply oversold. Price crashed -8.06% for period, dropping from $14.43 to $13.87. Multiple flat candles followed by gap down to $13.87 suggests capitulation. Price well below both EMAs in bearish trend, but such extreme RSI readings typically mean reversal imminent. Recent manual close at $14.43 (+3.11%) shows quick recovery potential. Current price near period low of $13.82 offers excellent entry for bounce.
Confidence: 70%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $14.60 (5.3% gain, near EMA levels and previous support). SL at $13.50 (2.7% risk, below period low with buffer). 2:1 R/R justified by extreme oversold conditions. Exit early if AVAX fails to reclaim $14.00 within 6 hours or if crypto market shows systemic breakdown. Highest conviction trade due to RSI extremes.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $246.85
Allocation: 25.0% ($61.71 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $13.87
Size: 17.7900 coins
Notional value: $246.82
📝 Executing LONG 17.79 AVAX @ 4x with TP: $15, SL: $14
✅ Market order filled @ $13.92
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43493398944)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43493400570)
💾 Database saved: run_id=47
4 order(s) executed
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