Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-20 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-19 18:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $257.29
Margin Used: $194.01 (75.4%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-20 00:00:06 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-19 18:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-17 22:00 → 2025-11-20 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $91,588.00
Period Change: -0.31%
Range: $88,549.00 - $94,500.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 16:00: O=$90,000.00 H=$90,284.00 L=$89,571.00 C=$89,933.00 (-0.1%)
11-19 17:00: O=$89,936.00 H=$90,188.00 L=$89,100.00 C=$89,546.00 (-0.4%)
11-19 18:00: O=$89,512.00 H=$89,792.00 L=$88,941.00 C=$89,314.00 (-0.2%)
11-19 19:00: O=$89,283.00 H=$89,464.00 L=$88,822.00 C=$89,024.00 (-0.3%)
11-19 20:00: O=$88,990.00 H=$89,715.00 L=$88,549.00 C=$89,580.00 (+0.7%)
11-19 21:00: O=$89,552.00 H=$90,797.00 L=$89,526.00 C=$90,735.00 (+1.3%)
11-19 22:00: O=$90,638.00 H=$90,693.00 L=$90,180.00 C=$90,555.00 (-0.1%)
11-19 23:00: O=$90,578.00 H=$91,658.00 L=$90,578.00 C=$91,588.00 (+1.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 63.7
RSI(14): 54.0
EMA(20): $90,840.54
EMA(50): $91,519.10
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $946.80
ETH:
Current Price: $3,024.10
Period Change: +1.93%
Range: $2,843.10 - $3,150.20
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 16:00: O=$2,936.80 H=$2,976.90 L=$2,903.70 C=$2,917.20 (-0.7%)
11-19 17:00: O=$2,918.50 H=$3,042.40 L=$2,843.10 C=$2,925.30 (+0.2%)
11-19 18:00: O=$2,919.00 H=$2,927.00 L=$2,879.90 C=$2,897.20 (-0.7%)
11-19 19:00: O=$2,893.00 H=$2,903.00 L=$2,873.50 C=$2,879.00 (-0.5%)
11-19 20:00: O=$2,881.20 H=$2,945.10 L=$2,874.40 C=$2,943.70 (+2.2%)
11-19 21:00: O=$2,946.40 H=$2,999.90 L=$2,940.60 C=$2,989.00 (+1.4%)
11-19 22:00: O=$2,989.50 H=$2,989.50 L=$2,960.90 C=$2,983.00 (-0.2%)
11-19 23:00: O=$2,985.70 H=$3,025.60 L=$2,985.10 C=$3,024.10 (+1.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 62.1
RSI(14): 54.3
EMA(20): $2,990.12
EMA(50): $3,022.80
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $68.30
SOL:
Current Price: $135.89
Period Change: +4.63%
Range: $119.48 - $142.07
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 16:00: O=$133.95 H=$134.58 L=$132.17 C=$132.84 (-0.8%)
11-19 17:00: O=$133.01 H=$133.24 L=$131.07 C=$131.74 (-1.0%)
11-19 18:00: O=$131.61 H=$142.07 L=$119.48 C=$129.88 (-1.3%)
11-19 19:00: O=$129.88 H=$131.43 L=$127.29 C=$131.22 (+1.0%)
11-19 20:00: O=$130.15 H=$132.04 L=$120.17 C=$132.04 (+1.5%)
11-19 21:00: O=$130.02 H=$134.98 L=$126.98 C=$134.98 (+3.8%)
11-19 22:00: O=$133.30 H=$134.82 L=$130.05 C=$134.66 (+1.0%)
11-19 23:00: O=$131.53 H=$136.13 L=$130.60 C=$135.89 (+3.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 58.4
RSI(14): 50.5
EMA(20): $135.18
EMA(50): $136.44
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $4.65
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.28
Period Change: -2.33%
Range: $13.82 - $14.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 16:00: O=$14.22 H=$14.22 L=$14.22 C=$14.22 (+0.0%)
11-19 17:00: O=$13.85 H=$13.87 L=$13.82 C=$13.87 (+0.2%)
11-19 18:00: O=$13.92 H=$13.92 L=$13.89 C=$13.92 (+0.0%)
11-19 19:00: O=$13.92 H=$13.92 L=$13.92 C=$13.92 (+0.0%)
11-19 20:00: O=$13.92 H=$13.92 L=$13.92 C=$13.92 (+0.0%)
11-19 21:00: O=$13.92 H=$13.92 L=$13.92 C=$13.92 (+0.0%)
11-19 22:00: O=$14.21 H=$14.21 L=$14.21 C=$14.21 (+0.0%)
11-19 23:00: O=$14.28 H=$14.28 L=$14.28 C=$14.28 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 61.6
RSI(14): 48.1
EMA(20): $14.21
EMA(50): $14.44
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.10
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
BTC (LONG): 0.00207 @ $89,551.00 (Current: $91,588.00, P&L: +2.27%)
TP: $91,800.00 (+2.5%)
SL: $88,100.00 (-1.6%)
Exit Plan: TP at $91,800 (just above EMA20 and recent resistance). SL at $88,100 (1.6% below entry, ~1.5x ATR protection). Exit early if price fails to hold $89K support on retest or if we see continued selling pressure with volume spike below $88.5K.
ETH (LONG): 0.0557 @ $2,920.20 (Current: $3,024.10, P&L: +3.56%)
TP: $3,050.00 (+4.4%)
SL: $2,800.00 (-4.1%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,050 (4.3% gain, previous resistance and recent TP level). SL at $2,800 (4.3% risk, below recent low of $2,843). 1:1 R/R acceptable given oversold bounce setup. Exit early if BTC breaks below $88K or if rejection occurs at $2,950 resistance.
AVAX (LONG): 17.74 @ $13.92 (Current: $14.28, P&L: +2.60%)
TP: $14.60 (+4.9%)
SL: $13.50 (-3.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $14.60 (5.3% gain, near EMA levels and previous support). SL at $13.50 (2.7% risk, below period low with buffer). 2:1 R/R justified by extreme oversold conditions. Exit early if AVAX fails to reclaim $14.00 within 6 hours or if crypto market shows systemic breakdown. Highest conviction trade due to RSI extremes.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $3,060.00, Exit: $2,988.50 P&L: -2.34% ($-3.86) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $14.75, Exit: $14.45 P&L: -2.04% ($-2.04) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 20:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $92,792.00, Exit: $91,431.00 P&L: -1.47% ($-2.76) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-18 00:00 → 11-18 02:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $14.50, Exit: $14.09 P&L: -2.83% ($-2.74) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-18 10:45 (16.7h)
Entry: $131.62, Exit: $137.57 P&L: +4.52% ($+4.11) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 08:00 (2.0h)
Entry: $2,985.10, Exit: $3,045.70 P&L: +2.03% ($+1.79) [TP_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $14.00, Exit: $14.43 P&L: +3.11% ($+2.25) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
BTC LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 15:15 (9.2h)
Entry: $90,436.00, Exit: $92,206.00 P&L: +1.96% ($+2.87) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-18 12:00 → 11-19 16:45 (28.7h)
Entry: $137.34, Exit: $133.02 P&L: -3.15% ($-5.05) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-19 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $131.69, Exit: $128.13 P&L: -2.70% ($-5.59) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: SOL showing exceptional strength: +4.63% period, massive recovery from $119.48 low to $135.89. Last 3 candles all green with strong momentum (+3.8%, +1.0%, +3.3%). Price crossed above EMA20 ($135.18) and approaching EMA50 ($136.44). RSI healthy at 58.4/50.5. Recent position stopped out at -2.70%, but that was during the flash crash to $119. Current setup is different - confirmed bounce with volume. 2 recent SOL SL hits show volatility, so using moderate sizing.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 15.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $142 (4.5% gain, previous high and EMA50 breakout target). SL at $129.50 (4.0% risk, below recent consolidation at $130-132 and 1.2x ATR). 1.1:1 R/R acceptable given strong momentum and reclaimed EMA20. Exit early if SOL fails to hold $133 on any retest or if BTC breaks below $90K.
⚠️ REJECTED: total allocation would be 90.4% (current: 75.4%, new: 15.0%)
Maximum total allocation: 80%
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position is +2.27% and approaching TP at $91,800 (current: $91,588). Price just rallied +1.1% in last hour and is testing resistance. TP is only $212 away - let the automatic TP execute rather than manually closing. Trust the system. Price below both EMAs still indicates bearish trend, so this bounce may be limited. SL at $88,100 provides adequate protection.
Confidence: 70%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position is +3.56% and showing strong momentum (+1.3% last hour, +2.9% last 3 hours). TP at $3,050 is only $26 away. Price has reclaimed EMA20 ($2,990) and is pushing higher with RSI at 62 (not overbought). Let the TP execute - we're 86% of the way there. Manual close would forfeit the final move and incur unnecessary fees. SL at $2,800 remains adequate.
Confidence: 75%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position is +2.60% but showing concerning data quality issues - last 6 hourly candles show identical OHLC values, suggesting stale data or liquidity issues. Price at $14.28 vs TP at $14.60 (only $0.32 away). Given data anomalies and that we're 53% of the way to TP, holding is safest. The automatic TP will execute if price reaches target. Don't manually close a profitable position approaching TP just because data looks weird.
Confidence: 50%
💾 Database saved: run_id=48
1 order(s) executed
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