Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-20 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-20 00:00:06
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $259.18
Margin Used: $68.31 (26.4%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-20 06:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-20 00:00:06 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-18 04:00 → 2025-11-20 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $92,589.00
Period Change: +1.97%
Range: $88,549.00 - $94,500.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 22:00: O=$90,638.00 H=$90,693.00 L=$90,180.00 C=$90,555.00 (-0.1%)
11-19 23:00: O=$90,578.00 H=$91,658.00 L=$90,578.00 C=$91,588.00 (+1.1%)
11-20 00:00: O=$91,575.00 H=$92,274.00 L=$91,239.00 C=$91,875.00 (+0.3%)
11-20 01:00: O=$91,890.00 H=$92,712.00 L=$91,850.00 C=$92,513.00 (+0.7%)
11-20 02:00: O=$92,576.00 H=$92,809.00 L=$92,356.00 C=$92,602.00 (+0.0%)
11-20 03:00: O=$92,620.00 H=$92,706.00 L=$92,422.00 C=$92,575.00 (-0.0%)
11-20 04:00: O=$92,482.00 H=$92,867.00 L=$92,117.00 C=$92,856.00 (+0.4%)
11-20 05:00: O=$92,999.00 H=$93,051.00 L=$92,553.00 C=$92,589.00 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 67.4
RSI(14): 60.1
EMA(20): $91,593.16
EMA(50): $91,621.08
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $836.97
ETH:
Current Price: $3,033.80
Period Change: +0.80%
Range: $2,843.10 - $3,150.20
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 22:00: O=$2,989.50 H=$2,989.50 L=$2,960.90 C=$2,983.00 (-0.2%)
11-19 23:00: O=$2,985.70 H=$3,025.60 L=$2,985.10 C=$3,024.10 (+1.3%)
11-20 00:00: O=$3,024.10 H=$3,047.30 L=$3,007.20 C=$3,018.90 (-0.2%)
11-20 01:00: O=$3,018.80 H=$3,047.70 L=$3,018.80 C=$3,043.80 (+0.8%)
11-20 02:00: O=$3,046.10 H=$3,054.80 L=$3,030.80 C=$3,042.30 (-0.1%)
11-20 03:00: O=$3,044.10 H=$3,051.80 L=$3,036.50 C=$3,038.90 (-0.2%)
11-20 04:00: O=$3,040.00 H=$3,053.50 L=$3,018.30 C=$3,053.50 (+0.4%)
11-20 05:00: O=$3,050.30 H=$3,060.00 L=$3,032.70 C=$3,033.80 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 57.7
RSI(14): 52.3
EMA(20): $3,012.13
EMA(50): $3,027.72
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $54.00
SOL:
Current Price: $143.26
Period Change: +6.80%
Range: $119.48 - $143.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 22:00: O=$133.30 H=$134.82 L=$130.05 C=$134.66 (+1.0%)
11-19 23:00: O=$131.53 H=$136.13 L=$130.60 C=$135.89 (+3.3%)
11-20 00:00: O=$136.12 H=$136.65 L=$132.66 C=$134.99 (-0.8%)
11-20 01:00: O=$134.19 H=$139.18 L=$133.59 C=$135.47 (+1.0%)
11-20 02:00: O=$135.75 H=$143.62 L=$135.75 C=$142.99 (+5.3%)
11-20 03:00: O=$140.42 H=$143.84 L=$139.34 C=$142.55 (+1.5%)
11-20 04:00: O=$142.82 H=$143.84 L=$138.92 C=$143.84 (+0.7%)
11-20 05:00: O=$143.90 H=$143.90 L=$140.20 C=$143.26 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 74.5
RSI(14): 65.8
EMA(20): $137.85
EMA(50): $137.51
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $4.81
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.34
Period Change: -0.37%
Range: $13.82 - $14.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-19 20:00: O=$13.92 H=$13.92 L=$13.92 C=$13.92 (+0.0%)
11-19 21:00: O=$13.92 H=$13.92 L=$13.92 C=$13.92 (+0.0%)
11-19 22:00: O=$14.21 H=$14.21 L=$14.21 C=$14.21 (+0.0%)
11-19 23:00: O=$14.28 H=$14.28 L=$14.28 C=$14.28 (+0.0%)
11-20 00:00: O=$14.28 H=$14.28 L=$14.28 C=$14.28 (+0.0%)
11-20 01:00: O=$14.30 H=$14.30 L=$14.30 C=$14.30 (+0.0%)
11-20 02:00: O=$14.30 H=$14.30 L=$14.30 C=$14.30 (+0.0%)
11-20 03:00: O=$14.37 H=$14.37 L=$14.34 C=$14.34 (-0.2%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 3.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 67.3
RSI(14): 57.4
EMA(20): $14.24
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (LONG): 17.74 @ $13.92 (Current: $14.34, P&L: +3.05%)
TP: $14.60 (+4.9%)
SL: $13.50 (-3.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $14.60 (5.3% gain, near EMA levels and previous support). SL at $13.50 (2.7% risk, below period low with buffer). 2:1 R/R justified by extreme oversold conditions. Exit early if AVAX fails to reclaim $14.00 within 6 hours or if crypto market shows systemic breakdown. Highest conviction trade due to RSI extremes.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
BTC LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 20:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $92,792.00, Exit: $91,431.00 P&L: -1.47% ($-2.76) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-18 00:00 → 11-18 02:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $14.50, Exit: $14.09 P&L: -2.83% ($-2.74) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-18 10:45 (16.7h)
Entry: $131.62, Exit: $137.57 P&L: +4.52% ($+4.11) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 08:00 (2.0h)
Entry: $2,985.10, Exit: $3,045.70 P&L: +2.03% ($+1.79) [TP_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $14.00, Exit: $14.43 P&L: +3.11% ($+2.25) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
BTC LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 15:15 (9.2h)
Entry: $90,436.00, Exit: $92,206.00 P&L: +1.96% ($+2.87) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-18 12:00 → 11-19 16:45 (28.7h)
Entry: $137.34, Exit: $133.02 P&L: -3.15% ($-5.05) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-19 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $131.69, Exit: $128.13 P&L: -2.70% ($-5.59) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 00:30 (6.5h)
Entry: $89,551.00, Exit: $91,804.00 P&L: +2.52% ($+4.66) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 02:15 (8.2h)
Entry: $2,920.20, Exit: $3,048.90 P&L: +4.41% ($+7.17) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: SOL showing extreme overextension after +6.8% period move. RSI(7) at 74.5 and RSI(14) at 65.8 indicating overbought conditions. Price at $143.26 near period high of $143.90 after parabolic move from $119. Recent candles show exhaustion - 05:00 candle rejected from $143.90 high with long upper wick. Despite bullish EMA trend, this is classic blow-off top setup. ATR at $4.81 suggests volatility for mean reversion. 2 recent SOL longs stopped out shows this asset is whippy. High probability pullback to EMA20 at $137.85.
Confidence: 75%
Allocation: 30.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $137.50 targets EMA20 support zone for 4% gain. SL at $146.50 (2.3% above entry) allows for 1 ATR buffer above highs. R:R of 1.7:1 acceptable given high probability mean reversion setup. Exit early if BTC/ETH break out strongly suggesting risk-on continuation, or if SOL reclaims $145 with volume showing breakout rather than exhaustion.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $259.18
Allocation: 30.0% ($77.75 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $143.26
Size: 2.1700 coins
Notional value: $310.87
📝 Executing SHORT 2.17 SOL @ 4x with TP: $138, SL: $146
✅ Market order filled @ $142.33
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43529569232)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43529569690)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing consolidation at $92.5k after recent rally. Price above both EMAs ($91.6k) but EMA trend marked bearish (20 EMA slightly below 50 EMA). RSI(14) at 60.1 is neutral territory. Recent 8h shows choppy action with wicks suggesting indecision. No clear entry setup - need either breakout above $93k with volume or pullback to $91k support. Current margin usage at 26.4% allows room but waiting for clearer signal.
Confidence: 50%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH consolidating around $3,033 with neutral RSI(14) at 52.3. Price oscillating around EMAs ($3,012/$3,027) showing no clear directional bias. Recent 8h candles show rejection at $3,060 resistance. Bearish EMA trend alignment suggests caution. Need confirmation - either break above $3,060 with volume for long, or breakdown below $3,000 for short consideration. Market structure too ambiguous for entry.
Confidence: 40%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing long position at $13.92 now +3.05% and approaching TP at $14.60. Current price $14.34 with TP only 1.8% away. WARNING: Data is 3h stale which creates execution risk. Position has clear TP/SL orders working 24/7. Following trading rules to trust automated orders rather than manual close. RSI(14) at 57.4 is neutral, price above EMA20 at $14.24 shows strength maintained. Let the position work - TP will execute if momentum continues, SL protects if reversal occurs.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=49
1 order(s) executed
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