Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-20 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-20 06:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $261.83
Margin Used: $151.14 (57.7%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-20 12:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-20 06:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-18 10:00 → 2025-11-20 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $91,931.00
Period Change: +0.59%
Range: $88,549.00 - $94,500.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 04:00: O=$92,482.00 H=$92,867.00 L=$92,117.00 C=$92,856.00 (+0.4%)
11-20 05:00: O=$92,999.00 H=$93,051.00 L=$92,553.00 C=$92,589.00 (-0.4%)
11-20 06:00: O=$92,601.00 H=$92,829.00 L=$91,662.00 C=$91,811.00 (-0.9%)
11-20 07:00: O=$91,947.00 H=$92,383.00 L=$91,801.00 C=$92,264.00 (+0.3%)
11-20 08:00: O=$92,274.00 H=$92,386.00 L=$92,020.00 C=$92,084.00 (-0.2%)
11-20 09:00: O=$92,086.00 H=$92,125.00 L=$91,449.00 C=$91,850.00 (-0.3%)
11-20 10:00: O=$91,933.00 H=$92,044.00 L=$91,610.00 C=$91,784.00 (-0.2%)
11-20 11:00: O=$91,769.00 H=$91,939.00 L=$91,474.00 C=$91,931.00 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 51.3
RSI(14): 51.9
EMA(20): $91,776.05
EMA(50): $91,792.64
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $752.12
ETH:
Current Price: $3,022.10
Period Change: -0.95%
Range: $2,843.10 - $3,150.20
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 04:00: O=$3,040.00 H=$3,053.50 L=$3,018.30 C=$3,053.50 (+0.4%)
11-20 05:00: O=$3,050.30 H=$3,060.00 L=$3,032.70 C=$3,033.80 (-0.5%)
11-20 06:00: O=$3,034.40 H=$3,041.00 L=$3,012.30 C=$3,015.20 (-0.6%)
11-20 07:00: O=$3,017.60 H=$3,041.70 L=$3,017.00 C=$3,038.60 (+0.7%)
11-20 08:00: O=$3,038.90 H=$3,042.50 L=$3,023.60 C=$3,029.50 (-0.3%)
11-20 09:00: O=$3,030.50 H=$3,032.60 L=$2,999.00 C=$3,010.30 (-0.7%)
11-20 10:00: O=$3,008.90 H=$3,019.30 L=$2,996.20 C=$3,012.60 (+0.1%)
11-20 11:00: O=$3,014.60 H=$3,024.10 L=$3,003.10 C=$3,022.10 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 51.8
RSI(14): 50.3
EMA(20): $3,016.96
EMA(50): $3,030.55
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $43.17
SOL:
Current Price: $141.55
Period Change: +2.99%
Range: $119.48 - $143.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 04:00: O=$142.82 H=$143.84 L=$138.92 C=$143.84 (+0.7%)
11-20 05:00: O=$143.90 H=$143.90 L=$140.20 C=$143.26 (-0.4%)
11-20 06:00: O=$143.42 H=$143.55 L=$139.44 C=$141.97 (-1.0%)
11-20 07:00: O=$139.79 H=$143.06 L=$139.79 C=$140.60 (+0.6%)
11-20 08:00: O=$142.54 H=$143.50 L=$140.48 C=$142.94 (+0.3%)
11-20 09:00: O=$141.38 H=$142.53 L=$139.59 C=$139.79 (-1.1%)
11-20 10:00: O=$139.82 H=$141.71 L=$139.38 C=$141.71 (+1.4%)
11-20 11:00: O=$141.76 H=$141.84 L=$134.11 C=$141.55 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 56.4
RSI(14): 55.8
EMA(20): $139.49
EMA(50): $138.18
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $4.55
AVAX:
Current Price: $14.30
Period Change: -1.89%
Range: $13.82 - $14.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 03:00: O=$14.37 H=$14.37 L=$14.34 C=$14.34 (-0.2%)
11-20 04:00: O=$14.34 H=$14.34 L=$14.34 C=$14.34 (+0.0%)
11-20 05:00: O=$14.34 H=$14.34 L=$14.34 C=$14.34 (+0.0%)
11-20 06:00: O=$14.25 H=$14.25 L=$14.25 C=$14.25 (+0.0%)
11-20 07:00: O=$14.29 H=$14.37 L=$14.29 C=$14.35 (+0.4%)
11-20 08:00: O=$14.35 H=$14.36 L=$14.34 C=$14.36 (+0.1%)
11-20 09:00: O=$14.26 H=$14.26 L=$14.26 C=$14.26 (-0.0%)
11-20 10:00: O=$14.27 H=$14.30 L=$14.25 C=$14.30 (+0.2%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 2.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 52.8
RSI(14): 50.4
EMA(20): $14.28
ATR(14): $0.07
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 2.17 @ $142.33 (Current: $141.55, P&L: +0.55%)
TP: $137.50 (+3.4%)
SL: $146.50 (-2.9%)
Exit Plan: TP at $137.50 targets EMA20 support zone for 4% gain. SL at $146.50 (2.3% above entry) allows for 1 ATR buffer above highs. R:R of 1.7:1 acceptable given high probability mean reversion setup. Exit early if BTC/ETH break out strongly suggesting risk-on continuation, or if SOL reclaims $145 with volume showing breakout rather than exhaustion.
AVAX (LONG): 17.74 @ $13.92 (Current: $14.30, P&L: +2.76%)
TP: $14.60 (+4.9%)
SL: $13.50 (-3.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $14.60 (5.3% gain, near EMA levels and previous support). SL at $13.50 (2.7% risk, below period low with buffer). 2:1 R/R justified by extreme oversold conditions. Exit early if AVAX fails to reclaim $14.00 within 6 hours or if crypto market shows systemic breakdown. Highest conviction trade due to RSI extremes.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
BTC LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-17 20:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $92,792.00, Exit: $91,431.00 P&L: -1.47% ($-2.76) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-18 00:00 → 11-18 02:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $14.50, Exit: $14.09 P&L: -2.83% ($-2.74) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-18 10:45 (16.7h)
Entry: $131.62, Exit: $137.57 P&L: +4.52% ($+4.11) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 08:00 (2.0h)
Entry: $2,985.10, Exit: $3,045.70 P&L: +2.03% ($+1.79) [TP_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $14.00, Exit: $14.43 P&L: +3.11% ($+2.25) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
BTC LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 15:15 (9.2h)
Entry: $90,436.00, Exit: $92,206.00 P&L: +1.96% ($+2.87) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-18 12:00 → 11-19 16:45 (28.7h)
Entry: $137.34, Exit: $133.02 P&L: -3.15% ($-5.05) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-19 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $131.69, Exit: $128.13 P&L: -2.70% ($-5.59) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 00:30 (6.5h)
Entry: $89,551.00, Exit: $91,804.00 P&L: +2.52% ($+4.66) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 02:15 (8.2h)
Entry: $2,920.20, Exit: $3,048.90 P&L: +4.41% ($+7.17) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing choppy consolidation around $92k with no clear directional bias. Price trading near both EMAs (20: $91,776, 50: $91,792) with neutral RSI (51.9). Recent 8h candles show tight range ($91,474-$92,867) with no momentum. EMA trend bearish but price holding above. No entry setup present - need clearer breakout/breakdown confirmation. With 57.7% margin already deployed, preserving capital for better opportunities.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH in similar consolidation pattern to BTC. Trading at $3,022, slightly above EMA20 ($3,017) but below EMA50 ($3,030). Bearish EMA trend but RSI neutral at 50.3. Recent candles showing compression with lower highs and higher lows - waiting for breakout direction. Previous long from $2,920 hit TP at $3,048 (+4.41%) just 10 hours ago, showing we captured the recent move. No fresh setup justifies re-entry at current levels.
Confidence: 55%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Holding existing SHORT from $142.33, currently +0.55% at $141.55. Position thesis intact: SOL showed exhaustion at $143.90 highs after strong rally, now mean-reverting toward EMA20 at $139.49. TP at $137.50 targets this support zone. Recent price action confirms weakness - failed to hold $143 level and showing lower highs. Trust the TP/SL orders to execute automatically. No reason to close manually as bearish setup remains valid and we haven't reached TP target yet.
Confidence: 70%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Holding existing LONG from $13.92, currently +2.76% at $14.30. Position working well - AVAX recovered from extreme oversold conditions and now trading above entry. TP at $14.60 is reasonable target (+4.9% total). WARNING: Data is 2h stale, but last known price action shows steady climb with higher lows. RSI normalized to 50.4 from oversold. Trust the TP order to capture remaining upside. Manual close would forfeit potential gains before thesis fully plays out. SL at $13.50 provides adequate protection.
Confidence: 65%
💾 Database saved: run_id=50
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