Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-07 08:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-06 20:00:06
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $539.46
Margin Used: $97.72 (18.1%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-07 08:00:06 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-06 20:00:06 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-05 06:00 → 2025-11-07 08:00
BTC:
Current Price: $101,841.00
Period Change: +0.38%
Range: $99,371.00 - $104,907.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-07 01:00: O=$101,307.00 H=$101,725.00 L=$100,676.00 C=$101,321.00 (+0.0%)
11-07 02:00: O=$101,290.00 H=$101,721.00 L=$101,070.00 C=$101,704.00 (+0.4%)
11-07 03:00: O=$101,797.00 H=$102,164.00 L=$101,731.00 C=$101,749.00 (-0.0%)
11-07 04:00: O=$101,789.00 H=$101,863.00 L=$101,383.00 C=$101,863.00 (+0.1%)
11-07 05:00: O=$101,860.00 H=$102,308.00 L=$101,857.00 C=$102,236.00 (+0.4%)
11-07 06:00: O=$102,268.00 H=$102,280.00 L=$101,644.00 C=$101,693.00 (-0.6%)
11-07 07:00: O=$101,676.00 H=$101,840.00 L=$101,402.00 C=$101,774.00 (+0.1%)
11-07 08:00: O=$101,841.00 H=$101,841.00 L=$101,841.00 C=$101,841.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 54.2
RSI(14): 49.3
EMA(20): $101,777.52
EMA(50): $102,345.55
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $782.29
ETH:
Current Price: $3,376.60
Period Change: +1.12%
Range: $3,183.60 - $3,501.40
Recent 8h candles:
11-07 01:00: O=$3,335.40 H=$3,337.20 L=$3,300.50 C=$3,337.20 (+0.1%)
11-07 02:00: O=$3,330.10 H=$3,358.60 L=$3,316.30 C=$3,358.60 (+0.9%)
11-07 03:00: O=$3,359.90 H=$3,374.20 L=$3,358.30 C=$3,359.60 (-0.0%)
11-07 04:00: O=$3,363.20 H=$3,368.10 L=$3,338.00 C=$3,347.90 (-0.5%)
11-07 05:00: O=$3,351.10 H=$3,380.60 L=$3,349.50 C=$3,379.80 (+0.9%)
11-07 06:00: O=$3,378.80 H=$3,384.20 L=$3,363.90 C=$3,363.90 (-0.4%)
11-07 07:00: O=$3,364.00 H=$3,384.60 L=$3,352.60 C=$3,374.60 (+0.3%)
11-07 08:00: O=$3,374.00 H=$3,376.60 L=$3,374.00 C=$3,376.60 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 59.9
RSI(14): 52.8
EMA(20): $3,361.90
EMA(50): $3,382.22
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $36.72
SOL:
Current Price: $158.32
Period Change: +0.60%
Range: $154.07 - $170.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-07 00:00: O=$156.00 H=$157.46 L=$155.68 C=$156.97 (+0.6%)
11-07 01:00: O=$157.19 H=$157.61 L=$154.89 C=$157.54 (+0.2%)
11-07 02:00: O=$157.65 H=$158.24 L=$156.59 C=$158.24 (+0.4%)
11-07 03:00: O=$158.36 H=$158.91 L=$157.24 C=$157.24 (-0.7%)
11-07 04:00: O=$157.36 H=$157.39 L=$155.72 C=$156.72 (-0.4%)
11-07 05:00: O=$156.86 H=$158.49 L=$156.86 C=$158.36 (+1.0%)
11-07 06:00: O=$158.55 H=$158.65 L=$157.39 C=$157.44 (-0.7%)
11-07 07:00: O=$157.49 H=$158.32 L=$156.97 C=$158.32 (+0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 56.1
RSI(14): 49.0
EMA(20): $157.77
EMA(50): $159.18
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2.14
AVAX:
Current Price: $16.84
Period Change: +1.96%
Range: $15.70 - $16.88
Recent 8h candles:
11-07 00:00: O=$16.12 H=$16.12 L=$16.12 C=$16.12 (+0.0%)
11-07 01:00: O=$16.08 H=$16.20 L=$16.08 C=$16.20 (+0.8%)
11-07 02:00: O=$16.20 H=$16.20 L=$16.20 C=$16.20 (+0.0%)
11-07 03:00: O=$16.20 H=$16.20 L=$16.20 C=$16.20 (+0.0%)
11-07 04:00: O=$16.20 H=$16.20 L=$16.20 C=$16.20 (+0.0%)
11-07 05:00: O=$16.56 H=$16.56 L=$16.55 C=$16.56 (-0.0%)
11-07 06:00: O=$16.70 H=$16.74 L=$16.70 C=$16.70 (+0.0%)
11-07 07:00: O=$16.70 H=$16.84 L=$16.68 C=$16.84 (+0.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 89.0
RSI(14): 72.1
EMA(20): $16.30
EMA(50): $16.38
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.11
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (LONG): 2.47 @ $157.49 (Current: $158.32, P&L: +0.53%)
TP: $165.00 (+4.8%)
SL: $153.00 (-2.9%)
Exit Plan: TP at $165 targets resistance zone before $170 high. SL at $153 protects below recent $154.80 low with buffer. Exit early if RSI fails to break above 50 or if BTC breaks below $99k support. 4x leverage conservative given recent volatility.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS ===
SOL LONG: 11-06 12:00 → 11-06 16:45 (4.7h)
Entry: $159.33, Exit: $156.02 P&L: -2.08% ($-8.87) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-06 12:00 → 11-06 15:45 (3.7h)
Entry: $16.28, Exit: $15.89 P&L: -2.40% ($-6.38) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-05 20:00 → 11-06 15:15 (19.2h)
Entry: $103,782.00, Exit: $100,000.00 P&L: -3.64% ($-39.18) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-05 20:00 → 11-06 12:45 (16.7h)
Entry: $3,468.50, Exit: $3,378.30 P&L: -2.60% ($-20.81) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-05 20:00 → 11-06 10:15 (14.2h)
Entry: $163.00, Exit: $158.28 P&L: -2.90% ($-20.39) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: AVAX showing extreme overbought conditions with RSI(7) at 89.0 and RSI(14) at 72.1 - highest among all assets. Price at $16.84 has pushed 4% above both EMAs in a sharp move. Recent candles show suspicious flat price action (multiple $16.20 candles) followed by sudden spike. This is classic exhaustion setup. Short from current levels targeting reversion to EMA20 at $16.30, with stop above recent high at $16.90.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 5x
Exit Plan: TP at $16.30 targets mean reversion to EMA20 (3.2% move). SL at $16.92 just above $16.88 recent high with buffer (0.5% risk). Short targeting overbought exhaustion with RSI >89. Exit early if RSI sustains above 80 on next candle or if BTC breaks above $103k showing broader market strength. 5x leverage appropriate for mean reversion trade with tight stop.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $539.46
Allocation: 20.0% ($107.89 margin)
Leverage: 5x
Current price: $16.84
Size: 32.0400 coins
Notional value: $539.39
📝 Executing SHORT 32.04 AVAX @ 5x with TP: $16, SL: $17
✅ Market order filled @ $16.91
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is consolidating in a tight range around $101.8k with neutral RSI (54.2/49.3). Price is below both EMA20 ($101.7k) and EMA50 ($102.3k) in a bearish EMA trend. Recent stop-outs show choppy conditions. No clear directional bias - waiting for a break above $102.3k resistance or below $100.6k support for better risk/reward setup.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing slight strength vs BTC (+1.12% period) with RSI at 59.9/52.8, but still in bearish EMA trend (price below EMA50). Currently at $3,376, just above EMA20 ($3,361). Recent volatility and stop-outs suggest waiting for clearer momentum. Need to see sustained break above $3,385 resistance or wait for pullback to $3,320 support for better entry.
Confidence: 0%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing long position from $157.49 currently +0.53% at $158.32. Position is well-structured with TP at $165 (4.8% gain) and SL at $153 (2.9% risk) providing 1.65:1 R/R. Price is above EMA20 ($157.77) showing relative strength. RSI at 56.1/49.0 is neutral. Trust the TP/SL orders - no reason to exit manually as thesis remains intact and position hasn't approached TP yet.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=5
1 order(s) executed
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