Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-20 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-20 12:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $256.09
Margin Used: $58.06 (22.7%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-20 18:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-20 12:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-18 16:00 → 2025-11-20 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $87,084.00
Period Change: -6.28%
Range: $86,507.00 - $94,500.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 10:00: O=$91,933.00 H=$92,044.00 L=$91,610.00 C=$91,784.00 (-0.2%)
11-20 11:00: O=$91,769.00 H=$91,939.00 L=$91,474.00 C=$91,931.00 (+0.2%)
11-20 12:00: O=$91,915.00 H=$91,971.00 L=$91,650.00 C=$91,784.00 (-0.1%)
11-20 13:00: O=$91,784.00 H=$92,324.00 L=$91,471.00 C=$91,491.00 (-0.3%)
11-20 14:00: O=$91,500.00 H=$91,592.00 L=$90,550.00 C=$91,039.00 (-0.5%)
11-20 15:00: O=$91,089.00 H=$91,089.00 L=$89,830.00 C=$89,830.00 (-1.4%)
11-20 16:00: O=$89,835.00 H=$91,000.00 L=$87,472.00 C=$87,784.00 (-2.3%)
11-20 17:00: O=$87,870.00 H=$88,237.00 L=$86,507.00 C=$87,084.00 (-0.9%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 9.3
RSI(14): 21.8
EMA(20): $90,779.36
EMA(50): $91,561.48
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1028.45
ETH:
Current Price: $2,835.10
Period Change: -8.31%
Range: $2,807.90 - $3,150.20
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 10:00: O=$3,008.90 H=$3,019.30 L=$2,996.20 C=$3,012.60 (+0.1%)
11-20 11:00: O=$3,014.60 H=$3,024.10 L=$3,003.10 C=$3,022.10 (+0.2%)
11-20 12:00: O=$3,022.40 H=$3,032.70 L=$3,011.30 C=$3,027.90 (+0.2%)
11-20 13:00: O=$3,028.40 H=$3,040.90 L=$2,997.20 C=$2,998.70 (-1.0%)
11-20 14:00: O=$2,997.00 H=$3,017.50 L=$2,967.70 C=$2,999.40 (+0.1%)
11-20 15:00: O=$3,001.00 H=$3,001.20 L=$2,961.00 C=$2,961.00 (-1.3%)
11-20 16:00: O=$2,953.50 H=$2,959.50 L=$2,848.10 C=$2,859.00 (-3.2%)
11-20 17:00: O=$2,861.10 H=$2,868.80 L=$2,807.90 C=$2,835.10 (-0.9%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 12.5
RSI(14): 23.9
EMA(20): $2,980.54
EMA(50): $3,020.13
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $48.26
SOL:
Current Price: $132.44
Period Change: -5.01%
Range: $119.48 - $143.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 10:00: O=$139.82 H=$141.71 L=$139.38 C=$141.71 (+1.4%)
11-20 11:00: O=$141.76 H=$141.84 L=$134.11 C=$141.55 (-0.1%)
11-20 12:00: O=$141.53 H=$141.55 L=$139.04 C=$140.64 (-0.6%)
11-20 13:00: O=$140.64 H=$141.92 L=$138.68 C=$138.71 (-1.4%)
11-20 14:00: O=$140.02 H=$140.42 L=$136.95 C=$138.54 (-1.1%)
11-20 15:00: O=$139.85 H=$139.85 L=$136.70 C=$138.08 (-1.3%)
11-20 16:00: O=$136.62 H=$140.28 L=$127.78 C=$132.25 (-3.2%)
11-20 17:00: O=$132.33 H=$132.76 L=$131.00 C=$132.44 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 23.4
RSI(14): 35.3
EMA(20): $138.06
EMA(50): $138.10
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $4.56
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.68
Period Change: -6.86%
Range: $13.68 - $14.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 10:00: O=$14.27 H=$14.30 L=$14.25 C=$14.30 (+0.2%)
11-20 11:00: O=$14.30 H=$14.30 L=$14.30 C=$14.30 (+0.0%)
11-20 12:00: O=$14.37 H=$14.37 L=$14.36 C=$14.36 (-0.0%)
11-20 13:00: O=$14.43 H=$14.43 L=$14.43 C=$14.43 (+0.1%)
11-20 14:00: O=$14.43 H=$14.43 L=$14.43 C=$14.43 (+0.0%)
11-20 15:00: O=$14.37 H=$14.37 L=$14.34 C=$14.34 (-0.3%)
11-20 16:00: O=$14.19 H=$14.19 L=$13.71 C=$13.71 (-3.4%)
11-20 17:00: O=$13.70 H=$13.70 L=$13.68 C=$13.68 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 16.3
RSI(14): 24.9
EMA(20): $14.21
EMA(50): $14.35
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.10
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (LONG): 17.74 @ $13.92 (Current: $13.68, P&L: -1.69%)
TP: $14.60 (+4.9%)
SL: $13.50 (-3.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $14.60 (5.3% gain, near EMA levels and previous support). SL at $13.50 (2.7% risk, below period low with buffer). 2:1 R/R justified by extreme oversold conditions. Exit early if AVAX fails to reclaim $14.00 within 6 hours or if crypto market shows systemic breakdown. Highest conviction trade due to RSI extremes.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
AVAX LONG: 11-18 00:00 → 11-18 02:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $14.50, Exit: $14.09 P&L: -2.83% ($-2.74) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-18 10:45 (16.7h)
Entry: $131.62, Exit: $137.57 P&L: +4.52% ($+4.11) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 08:00 (2.0h)
Entry: $2,985.10, Exit: $3,045.70 P&L: +2.03% ($+1.79) [TP_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $14.00, Exit: $14.43 P&L: +3.11% ($+2.25) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
BTC LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 15:15 (9.2h)
Entry: $90,436.00, Exit: $92,206.00 P&L: +1.96% ($+2.87) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-18 12:00 → 11-19 16:45 (28.7h)
Entry: $137.34, Exit: $133.02 P&L: -3.15% ($-5.05) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-19 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $131.69, Exit: $128.13 P&L: -2.70% ($-5.59) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 00:30 (6.5h)
Entry: $89,551.00, Exit: $91,804.00 P&L: +2.52% ($+4.66) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 02:15 (8.2h)
Entry: $2,920.20, Exit: $3,048.90 P&L: +4.41% ($+7.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-20 06:00 → 11-20 16:00 (10.0h)
Entry: $142.33, Exit: $138.34 P&L: +2.80% ($+8.66) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ LONG
Reasoning: Extreme capitulation with RSI(7) at 9.3 and RSI(14) at 21.8 - most oversold in recent history. Price dropped -6.3% over period with violent -2.3% and -0.9% hourly candles, suggesting panic selling exhaustion. Currently $3,695 below EMA(20) at critical support. Last two BTC longs closed at TP with +1.96% and +2.52%. Market showing signs of bottoming after flush - high probability of mean reversion bounce to EMA levels.
Confidence: 75%
Allocation: 30.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $90,500 (3.9% gain) targeting gap fill toward EMA(20). SL at $85,500 (1.8% risk) below session low with 1.5x ATR buffer. 2.2:1 R/R. Close early if price fails to hold $87k or if broader crypto market breaks down further with volume capitulation.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $256.09
Allocation: 30.0% ($76.83 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $87,084.00
Size: 0.0035 coins
Notional value: $307.41
📝 Executing LONG 0.00353 BTC @ 4x with TP: $90,500, SL: $85,500
✅ Market order filled @ $86,981.00
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43573276573)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43573278833)
ETH:
→ LONG
Reasoning: RSI(7) at 12.5 and RSI(14) at 23.9 showing extreme oversold conditions similar to BTC. Down -8.31% with brutal -3.2% hourly drop followed by stabilization at $2,835. Price $145 below EMA(20). Previous ETH longs successful with +2.03% and +4.41% exits at TP. ETH typically follows BTC bounces with higher beta. Strong mean reversion setup with risk-reward favoring longs at these extremes.
Confidence: 72%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $2,950 (4.1% gain) targeting partial EMA(20) recovery. SL at $2,760 (2.6% risk) below session low with 1.5x ATR cushion. 1.5:1 R/R acceptable given extreme oversold. Exit if ETH underperforms BTC recovery or breaks below $2,800 with momentum.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $256.09
Allocation: 25.0% ($64.02 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $2,835.10
Size: 0.0903 coins
Notional value: $256.01
📝 Executing LONG 0.0903 ETH @ 4x with TP: $2,950, SL: $2,760
✅ Market order filled @ $2,820.90
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43573289997)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43573292097)
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: RSI(7) at 23.4 and RSI(14) at 35.3 showing oversold but less extreme than BTC/ETH. Down -5.01% with -3.2% hourly drop stabilizing at $132.44. Recent SOL short closed at +2.80% TP. Price $5.62 below EMA(20). SOL showing relative strength vs majors (smaller decline). Bounce play with lower conviction due to less extreme oversold readings, but still attractive at 2:1 R/R.
Confidence: 60%
Allocation: 15.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $138.00 (4.2% gain) near EMA(20) resistance. SL at $129.00 (2.6% risk) below recent low with buffer. 1.6:1 R/R. Exit early if SOL fails to hold $132 support or if BTC/ETH bounce fails to materialize within 6 hours.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $256.09
Allocation: 15.0% ($38.41 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $132.44
Size: 0.8700 coins
Notional value: $115.22
📝 Executing LONG 0.87 SOL @ 3x with TP: $138, SL: $129
✅ Market order filled @ $132.11
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43573298114)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43573299821)
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing AVAX long at $13.92 currently -1.69% but thesis remains intact. RSI(7) at 16.3 and RSI(14) at 24.9 are extremely oversold. Current price $13.68 is very near our SL at $13.50, but also represents maximum oversold conditions. TP at $14.60 remains valid target. Given we're already positioned and SL is properly placed, holding is correct - no need to add or close manually as our automated orders will manage the position. Adding would exceed prudent risk limits with total margin at 22.7%.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=51
3 order(s) executed
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