Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-21 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-20 18:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $259.25
Margin Used: $240.32 (92.7%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-21 00:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-20 18:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-18 22:00 → 2025-11-21 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $86,883.00
Period Change: -6.20%
Range: $86,085.00 - $94,500.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 16:00: O=$89,835.00 H=$91,000.00 L=$87,472.00 C=$87,784.00 (-2.3%)
11-20 17:00: O=$87,870.00 H=$88,237.00 L=$86,507.00 C=$87,084.00 (-0.9%)
11-20 18:00: O=$87,105.00 H=$87,735.00 L=$86,293.00 C=$86,452.00 (-0.7%)
11-20 19:00: O=$86,453.00 H=$89,000.00 L=$86,085.00 C=$88,639.00 (+2.5%)
11-20 20:00: O=$88,373.00 H=$89,010.00 L=$86,537.00 C=$87,431.00 (-1.1%)
11-20 21:00: O=$87,274.00 H=$88,589.00 L=$86,587.00 C=$87,526.00 (+0.3%)
11-20 22:00: O=$87,401.00 H=$88,391.00 L=$87,343.00 C=$88,287.00 (+1.0%)
11-20 23:00: O=$88,230.00 H=$88,346.00 L=$86,883.00 C=$86,883.00 (-1.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 33.3
RSI(14): 34.2
EMA(20): $89,319.61
EMA(50): $90,885.90
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1330.78
ETH:
Current Price: $2,837.00
Period Change: -7.92%
Range: $2,793.50 - $3,113.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 16:00: O=$2,953.50 H=$2,959.50 L=$2,848.10 C=$2,859.00 (-3.2%)
11-20 17:00: O=$2,861.10 H=$2,868.80 L=$2,807.90 C=$2,835.10 (-0.9%)
11-20 18:00: O=$2,826.00 H=$2,854.40 L=$2,806.00 C=$2,817.70 (-0.3%)
11-20 19:00: O=$2,812.40 H=$2,922.30 L=$2,793.50 C=$2,849.00 (+1.3%)
11-20 20:00: O=$2,845.30 H=$2,851.20 L=$2,821.30 C=$2,837.00 (-0.3%)
11-20 21:00: O=$2,838.40 H=$2,896.40 L=$2,838.40 C=$2,882.50 (+1.6%)
11-20 22:00: O=$2,880.30 H=$2,939.10 L=$2,879.20 C=$2,888.50 (+0.3%)
11-20 23:00: O=$2,889.30 H=$2,893.30 L=$2,833.20 C=$2,837.00 (-1.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 32.3
RSI(14): 32.9
EMA(20): $2,923.60
EMA(50): $2,989.64
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $53.86
SOL:
Current Price: $133.56
Period Change: -3.58%
Range: $119.48 - $143.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 16:00: O=$136.62 H=$140.28 L=$127.78 C=$132.25 (-3.2%)
11-20 17:00: O=$132.33 H=$132.76 L=$131.00 C=$132.44 (+0.1%)
11-20 18:00: O=$132.08 H=$134.19 L=$131.86 C=$132.07 (-0.0%)
11-20 19:00: O=$132.02 H=$139.00 L=$131.48 C=$134.34 (+1.8%)
11-20 20:00: O=$133.67 H=$134.35 L=$132.68 C=$133.61 (-0.0%)
11-20 21:00: O=$133.73 H=$135.03 L=$133.69 C=$134.75 (+0.8%)
11-20 22:00: O=$133.94 H=$136.61 L=$133.94 C=$136.19 (+1.7%)
11-20 23:00: O=$136.41 H=$136.46 L=$133.56 C=$133.56 (-2.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 39.2
RSI(14): 41.1
EMA(20): $136.35
EMA(50): $137.42
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $4.00
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.61
Period Change: -7.88%
Range: $13.58 - $14.78
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 11:00: O=$14.30 H=$14.30 L=$14.30 C=$14.30 (+0.0%)
11-20 12:00: O=$14.37 H=$14.37 L=$14.36 C=$14.36 (-0.0%)
11-20 13:00: O=$14.43 H=$14.43 L=$14.43 C=$14.43 (+0.1%)
11-20 14:00: O=$14.43 H=$14.43 L=$14.43 C=$14.43 (+0.0%)
11-20 15:00: O=$14.37 H=$14.37 L=$14.34 C=$14.34 (-0.3%)
11-20 16:00: O=$14.19 H=$14.19 L=$13.71 C=$13.71 (-3.4%)
11-20 17:00: O=$13.70 H=$13.70 L=$13.68 C=$13.68 (-0.1%)
11-20 18:00: O=$13.83 H=$13.83 L=$13.58 C=$13.61 (-1.6%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 6.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 14.9
RSI(14): 24.8
EMA(20): $14.15
ATR(14): $0.11
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (LONG): 0.87 @ $132.11 (Current: $133.56, P&L: +1.10%)
TP: $138.00 (+4.5%)
SL: $129.00 (-2.4%)
Exit Plan: TP at $138.00 (4.2% gain) near EMA(20) resistance. SL at $129.00 (2.6% risk) below recent low with buffer. 1.6:1 R/R. Exit early if SOL fails to hold $132 support or if BTC/ETH bounce fails to materialize within 6 hours.
BTC (LONG): 0.00353 @ $86,981.00 (Current: $86,883.00, P&L: -0.11%)
TP: $90,500.00 (+4.0%)
SL: $85,500.00 (-1.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $90,500 (3.9% gain) targeting gap fill toward EMA(20). SL at $85,500 (1.8% risk) below session low with 1.5x ATR buffer. 2.2:1 R/R. Close early if price fails to hold $87k or if broader crypto market breaks down further with volume capitulation.
ETH (LONG): 0.0903 @ $2,820.90 (Current: $2,837.00, P&L: +0.57%)
TP: $2,950.00 (+4.6%)
SL: $2,760.00 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $2,950 (4.1% gain) targeting partial EMA(20) recovery. SL at $2,760 (2.6% risk) below session low with 1.5x ATR cushion. 1.5:1 R/R acceptable given extreme oversold. Exit if ETH underperforms BTC recovery or breaks below $2,800 with momentum.
AVAX (LONG): 17.74 @ $13.92 (Current: $13.61, P&L: -2.20%)
TP: $14.60 (+4.9%)
SL: $13.50 (-3.0%)
Exit Plan: TP at $14.60 (5.3% gain, near EMA levels and previous support). SL at $13.50 (2.7% risk, below period low with buffer). 2:1 R/R justified by extreme oversold conditions. Exit early if AVAX fails to reclaim $14.00 within 6 hours or if crypto market shows systemic breakdown. Highest conviction trade due to RSI extremes.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
AVAX LONG: 11-18 00:00 → 11-18 02:15 (2.2h)
Entry: $14.50, Exit: $14.09 P&L: -2.83% ($-2.74) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-17 18:00 → 11-18 10:45 (16.7h)
Entry: $131.62, Exit: $137.57 P&L: +4.52% ($+4.11) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 08:00 (2.0h)
Entry: $2,985.10, Exit: $3,045.70 P&L: +2.03% ($+1.79) [TP_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $14.00, Exit: $14.43 P&L: +3.11% ($+2.25) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
BTC LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 15:15 (9.2h)
Entry: $90,436.00, Exit: $92,206.00 P&L: +1.96% ($+2.87) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-18 12:00 → 11-19 16:45 (28.7h)
Entry: $137.34, Exit: $133.02 P&L: -3.15% ($-5.05) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-19 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $131.69, Exit: $128.13 P&L: -2.70% ($-5.59) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 00:30 (6.5h)
Entry: $89,551.00, Exit: $91,804.00 P&L: +2.52% ($+4.66) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 02:15 (8.2h)
Entry: $2,920.20, Exit: $3,048.90 P&L: +4.41% ($+7.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-20 06:00 → 11-20 16:00 (10.0h)
Entry: $142.33, Exit: $138.34 P&L: +2.80% ($+8.66) [TP_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: CRITICAL MARGIN ALERT: Account at 92.7% margin usage, dangerously close to liquidation risk. BTC position showing minimal gain (+0.11% unrealized) and price failing to hold above entry at $86,981. Market structure remains bearish with price below both EMAs. Latest candle shows -1.5% drop to $86,883, breaking below our entry point. Risk management demands we reduce exposure immediately. The thesis of a bounce is invalidating as BTC can't reclaim $87k support.
Confidence: 85%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for BTC (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
ETH:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: MARGIN EMERGENCY: Must reduce positions to avoid liquidation. ETH showing only +0.57% gain and latest candle dropped -1.8% to $2,837, failing to maintain momentum above $2,850. Price remains well below both EMAs in confirmed bearish trend. With RSI at 32.9 (oversold but no reversal yet), the bounce attempt is stalling. Given critical margin situation (92.7%), we must exit profitable positions to free capital and reduce risk. Better to lock small gain than risk forced liquidation.
Confidence: 80%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for ETH (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
AVAX:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: URGENT: AVAX position down -2.20% and deteriorating. Data is 6h stale (last update 18:00, now 00:00), creating blind spot risk. Price dropped from $13.92 entry to $13.61, dangerously close to SL at $13.50 (only $0.11 buffer). RSI(7) at extreme 14.9 indicates capitulation but no reversal confirmation. With account at 92.7% margin, we cannot afford this position hitting SL and triggering potential cascade. Must close now to reduce margin usage and prevent forced liquidation across portfolio. Stale data makes risk assessment impossible.
Confidence: 90%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for AVAX (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL showing best relative performance at +1.10% and holding above entry at $132.11. Current price $133.56 with SL at $129 provides adequate buffer. Latest candle dropped -2.1% but this is within normal volatility (ATR $4.00). RSI at 39.2 shows oversold conditions improving. However, given CRITICAL margin situation (92.7%), we're holding this position as it's profitable and closest to TP at $138. Will rely on automatic TP/SL execution. If BTC/ETH closes free up margin, this position has room to reach target.
Confidence: 65%
💾 Database saved: run_id=52
3 order(s) executed
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