Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-21 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-21 00:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $257.90
Margin Used: $38.36 (14.9%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-21 06:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-21 00:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-19 04:00 → 2025-11-21 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $86,467.00
Period Change: -6.00%
Range: $85,662.00 - $93,051.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 22:00: O=$87,401.00 H=$88,391.00 L=$87,343.00 C=$88,287.00 (+1.0%)
11-20 23:00: O=$88,230.00 H=$88,346.00 L=$86,883.00 C=$86,883.00 (-1.5%)
11-21 00:00: O=$86,883.00 H=$87,638.00 L=$86,751.00 C=$87,493.00 (+0.7%)
11-21 01:00: O=$87,430.00 H=$87,609.00 L=$86,995.00 C=$87,257.00 (-0.2%)
11-21 02:00: O=$87,175.00 H=$87,201.00 L=$85,939.00 C=$85,939.00 (-1.4%)
11-21 03:00: O=$85,947.00 H=$86,275.00 L=$85,727.00 C=$86,069.00 (+0.1%)
11-21 04:00: O=$86,024.00 H=$86,300.00 L=$85,662.00 C=$86,215.00 (+0.2%)
11-21 05:00: O=$86,307.00 H=$86,599.00 L=$86,070.00 C=$86,467.00 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 37.7
RSI(14): 35.6
EMA(20): $88,042.74
EMA(50): $90,144.92
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1112.24
ETH:
Current Price: $2,811.50
Period Change: -7.94%
Range: $2,785.70 - $3,098.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 22:00: O=$2,880.30 H=$2,939.10 L=$2,879.20 C=$2,888.50 (+0.3%)
11-20 23:00: O=$2,889.30 H=$2,893.30 L=$2,833.20 C=$2,837.00 (-1.8%)
11-21 00:00: O=$2,839.20 H=$2,871.10 L=$2,839.20 C=$2,865.30 (+0.9%)
11-21 01:00: O=$2,865.10 H=$2,886.70 L=$2,855.30 C=$2,866.50 (+0.0%)
11-21 02:00: O=$2,864.70 H=$2,865.10 L=$2,785.70 C=$2,792.90 (-2.5%)
11-21 03:00: O=$2,789.40 H=$2,827.60 L=$2,787.90 C=$2,813.80 (+0.9%)
11-21 04:00: O=$2,811.50 H=$2,826.70 L=$2,788.20 C=$2,821.10 (+0.3%)
11-21 05:00: O=$2,821.10 H=$2,836.20 L=$2,807.00 C=$2,811.50 (-0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 35.7
RSI(14): 33.5
EMA(20): $2,879.05
EMA(50): $2,960.08
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $49.49
SOL:
Current Price: $132.18
Period Change: -5.08%
Range: $119.48 - $143.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 22:00: O=$133.94 H=$136.61 L=$133.94 C=$136.19 (+1.7%)
11-20 23:00: O=$136.41 H=$136.46 L=$133.56 C=$133.56 (-2.1%)
11-21 00:00: O=$134.50 H=$134.88 L=$133.81 C=$134.11 (-0.3%)
11-21 01:00: O=$134.23 H=$134.96 L=$134.11 C=$134.23 (+0.0%)
11-21 02:00: O=$134.26 H=$134.56 L=$131.50 C=$131.61 (-2.0%)
11-21 03:00: O=$131.83 H=$133.55 L=$131.74 C=$133.15 (+1.0%)
11-21 04:00: O=$132.84 H=$132.97 L=$130.82 C=$132.84 (+0.0%)
11-21 05:00: O=$132.72 H=$133.15 L=$131.86 C=$132.18 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 37.7
RSI(14): 40.0
EMA(20): $134.79
EMA(50): $136.59
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $3.21
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.63
Period Change: -5.07%
Range: $13.58 - $14.58
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-20 21:00: O=$13.61 H=$13.61 L=$13.61 C=$13.61 (+0.0%)
11-20 22:00: O=$13.61 H=$13.61 L=$13.61 C=$13.61 (+0.0%)
11-20 23:00: O=$13.61 H=$13.61 L=$13.61 C=$13.61 (+0.0%)
11-21 00:00: O=$13.81 H=$13.81 L=$13.81 C=$13.81 (+0.0%)
11-21 01:00: O=$13.81 H=$13.81 L=$13.81 C=$13.81 (+0.0%)
11-21 02:00: O=$13.81 H=$13.81 L=$13.81 C=$13.81 (+0.0%)
11-21 03:00: O=$13.72 H=$13.79 L=$13.72 C=$13.79 (+0.5%)
11-21 04:00: O=$13.63 H=$13.63 L=$13.63 C=$13.63 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 2.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 29.4
RSI(14): 29.7
EMA(20): $13.87
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (LONG): 0.87 @ $132.11 (Current: $132.18, P&L: +0.05%)
TP: $138.00 (+4.5%)
SL: $129.00 (-2.4%)
Exit Plan: TP at $138.00 (4.2% gain) near EMA(20) resistance. SL at $129.00 (2.6% risk) below recent low with buffer. 1.6:1 R/R. Exit early if SOL fails to hold $132 support or if BTC/ETH bounce fails to materialize within 6 hours.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
AVAX LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 12:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $14.00, Exit: $14.43 P&L: +3.11% ($+2.25) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
BTC LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 15:15 (9.2h)
Entry: $90,436.00, Exit: $92,206.00 P&L: +1.96% ($+2.87) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-18 12:00 → 11-19 16:45 (28.7h)
Entry: $137.34, Exit: $133.02 P&L: -3.15% ($-5.05) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-19 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $131.69, Exit: $128.13 P&L: -2.70% ($-5.59) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 00:30 (6.5h)
Entry: $89,551.00, Exit: $91,804.00 P&L: +2.52% ($+4.66) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 02:15 (8.2h)
Entry: $2,920.20, Exit: $3,048.90 P&L: +4.41% ($+7.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-20 06:00 → 11-20 16:00 (10.0h)
Entry: $142.33, Exit: $138.34 P&L: +2.80% ($+8.66) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $86,981.00, Exit: $86,772.00 P&L: -0.24% ($-0.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $2,820.90, Exit: $2,839.20 P&L: +0.65% ($+1.65) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (30.0h)
Entry: $13.92, Exit: $13.81 P&L: -0.78% ($-1.92) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in a clear bearish trend (price below EMA20 $88,042 and EMA50 $90,144). While RSI(14) at 35.6 shows oversold conditions, we lack confirmation signals for reversal. Recent price action shows failed bounces and lower lows ($85,662 low). Market is in risk-off mode with -6% period decline. Need to see price reclaim $87,500 and hold above it with volume confirmation before entering. Current setup doesn't meet our 2-signal entry requirement.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing similar bearish structure to BTC with -7.94% period decline. Price below both EMAs (20: $2,879, 50: $2,960) confirming downtrend. RSI(14) at 33.5 is oversold but no reversal pattern yet. Recent candles show consolidation around $2,810-$2,820 after sharp drop to $2,785. While oversold, taking a position against this strong trend without clear reversal signals (like bullish divergence or reclaiming $2,850 with volume) would violate our entry requirements. Waiting for better setup.
Confidence: 55%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Currently holding SOL long from $132.11, now at $132.18 (+0.05%). Position has TP at $138 and SL at $129 already set. Price is consolidating around entry level after testing support at $130.82. While RSI(14) at 40.0 shows some recovery from oversold, the bearish EMA structure (price below EMA20 $134.79) suggests caution. Trust the existing TP/SL orders - they execute 24/7. Position thesis remains valid: oversold bounce play with defined risk. No reason to manually close when TP/SL are properly placed and managing the trade.
Confidence: 65%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX data is stale (2 hours old) and showing suspicious flat candles, indicating potential data feed issues or very low liquidity. RSI(14) at 29.7 is deeply oversold, but we cannot trust this data for trading decisions. Price at $13.63 is below EMA20 $13.87 in bearish trend. With current margin usage at 14.9% and existing SOL position, prudent to wait for: 1) Fresh data confirmation, 2) Clear market structure, 3) Better overall market conditions. Data quality issues make this a no-trade situation regardless of technical indicators.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=53
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