Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-21 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-21 06:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $255.23
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-21 12:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-21 06:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-19 10:00 → 2025-11-21 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $82,588.00
Period Change: -9.90%
Range: $80,424.00 - $93,051.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-21 04:00: O=$86,024.00 H=$86,300.00 L=$85,662.00 C=$86,215.00 (+0.2%)
11-21 05:00: O=$86,307.00 H=$86,599.00 L=$86,070.00 C=$86,467.00 (+0.2%)
11-21 06:00: O=$86,411.00 H=$86,483.00 L=$86,133.00 C=$86,227.00 (-0.2%)
11-21 07:00: O=$86,227.00 H=$86,587.00 L=$86,157.00 C=$86,157.00 (-0.1%)
11-21 08:00: O=$86,157.00 H=$86,590.00 L=$86,157.00 C=$86,157.00 (+0.0%)
11-21 09:00: O=$86,157.00 H=$86,157.00 L=$80,424.00 C=$81,310.00 (-5.6%)
11-21 10:00: O=$82,404.00 H=$83,867.00 L=$82,020.00 C=$83,113.00 (+0.9%)
11-21 11:00: O=$82,876.00 H=$84,018.00 L=$82,502.00 C=$82,588.00 (-0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 29.2
RSI(14): 30.7
EMA(20): $86,194.56
EMA(50): $89,294.40
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1409.00
ETH:
Current Price: $2,691.60
Period Change: -11.77%
Range: $2,601.50 - $3,098.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-21 04:00: O=$2,811.50 H=$2,826.70 L=$2,788.20 C=$2,821.10 (+0.3%)
11-21 05:00: O=$2,821.10 H=$2,836.20 L=$2,807.00 C=$2,811.50 (-0.3%)
11-21 06:00: O=$2,814.80 H=$2,815.70 L=$2,787.40 C=$2,798.50 (-0.6%)
11-21 07:00: O=$2,796.70 H=$2,798.60 L=$2,601.50 C=$2,724.80 (-2.6%)
11-21 08:00: O=$2,723.40 H=$2,753.90 L=$2,713.30 C=$2,743.90 (+0.8%)
11-21 09:00: O=$2,742.40 H=$2,750.00 L=$2,685.00 C=$2,691.50 (-1.9%)
11-21 10:00: O=$2,687.90 H=$2,721.30 L=$2,671.70 C=$2,704.30 (+0.6%)
11-21 11:00: O=$2,705.00 H=$2,726.80 L=$2,682.10 C=$2,691.60 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 25.2
RSI(14): 28.5
EMA(20): $2,806.69
EMA(50): $2,924.30
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $56.94
SOL:
Current Price: $124.51
Period Change: -10.57%
Range: $112.56 - $143.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-21 04:00: O=$132.84 H=$132.97 L=$130.82 C=$132.84 (+0.0%)
11-21 05:00: O=$132.72 H=$133.15 L=$131.86 C=$132.18 (-0.4%)
11-21 06:00: O=$131.90 H=$132.04 L=$130.78 C=$131.11 (-0.6%)
11-21 07:00: O=$131.25 H=$131.32 L=$112.56 C=$127.78 (-2.6%)
11-21 08:00: O=$127.45 H=$129.27 L=$127.24 C=$128.39 (+0.7%)
11-21 09:00: O=$128.41 H=$128.88 L=$125.83 C=$125.95 (-1.9%)
11-21 10:00: O=$125.81 H=$126.48 L=$125.19 C=$125.40 (-0.3%)
11-21 11:00: O=$125.16 H=$126.43 L=$124.10 C=$124.51 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 17.9
RSI(14): 27.0
EMA(20): $131.12
EMA(50): $135.26
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $3.73
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.91
Period Change: -11.42%
Range: $12.90 - $14.58
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-21 04:00: O=$13.63 H=$13.63 L=$13.63 C=$13.63 (+0.0%)
11-21 05:00: O=$13.63 H=$13.63 L=$13.63 C=$13.63 (+0.0%)
11-21 06:00: O=$13.63 H=$13.63 L=$13.63 C=$13.63 (+0.0%)
11-21 07:00: O=$13.60 H=$13.60 L=$13.15 C=$13.15 (-3.3%)
11-21 08:00: O=$13.11 H=$13.24 L=$13.11 C=$13.24 (+1.0%)
11-21 09:00: O=$13.40 H=$13.40 L=$12.98 C=$12.98 (-3.1%)
11-21 10:00: O=$13.00 H=$13.00 L=$13.00 C=$13.00 (+0.0%)
11-21 11:00: O=$12.97 H=$13.02 L=$12.90 C=$12.91 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 15.4
RSI(14): 20.5
EMA(20): $13.51
EMA(50): $13.96
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.12
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
BTC LONG: 11-19 06:00 → 11-19 15:15 (9.2h)
Entry: $90,436.00, Exit: $92,206.00 P&L: +1.96% ($+2.87) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-18 12:00 → 11-19 16:45 (28.7h)
Entry: $137.34, Exit: $133.02 P&L: -3.15% ($-5.05) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-19 19:45 (1.7h)
Entry: $131.69, Exit: $128.13 P&L: -2.70% ($-5.59) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 00:30 (6.5h)
Entry: $89,551.00, Exit: $91,804.00 P&L: +2.52% ($+4.66) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 02:15 (8.2h)
Entry: $2,920.20, Exit: $3,048.90 P&L: +4.41% ($+7.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-20 06:00 → 11-20 16:00 (10.0h)
Entry: $142.33, Exit: $138.34 P&L: +2.80% ($+8.66) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $86,981.00, Exit: $86,772.00 P&L: -0.24% ($-0.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $2,820.90, Exit: $2,839.20 P&L: +0.65% ($+1.65) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (30.0h)
Entry: $13.92, Exit: $13.81 P&L: -0.78% ($-1.92) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 07:45 (13.7h)
Entry: $132.11, Exit: $129.21 P&L: -2.20% ($-2.52) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Strong bearish structure: price broke down -5.6% in 1 hour (11-21 09:00), now trading well below both EMA20 ($86,194) and EMA50 ($89,294). RSI(14) at 30.7 shows oversold but in a downtrend this signals SHORT continuation, not reversal. Recent candles show failed bounce attempts with lower highs. Market dumped from $93k to $80k range (-13.6% from high). No reversal confirmation - this is trend continuation.
Confidence: 75%
Allocation: 30.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $78,500 targets next support level (~5% move, 2.5:1 R:R). SL at $84,800 (2.7% above entry, ~1.5x ATR) protects against failed breakdown. Will close early if price reclaims $84k with strong volume or if RSI divergence forms at lower lows.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $255.23
Allocation: 30.0% ($76.57 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $82,588.00
Size: 0.0037 coins
Notional value: $306.40
📝 Executing SHORT 0.00371 BTC @ 4x with TP: $78,500, SL: $84,800
✅ Market order filled @ $82,534.00
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43647122677)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43647124240)
ETH:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Severe bearish momentum: ETH flash-crashed from $2,800 to $2,601 (-7% in 1 hour at 07:00), showing weaker structure than BTC. Currently $2,691, well below EMA20 ($2,806) and EMA50 ($2,924). RSI(14) at 28.5 extremely oversold but trend is clearly down. Failed to reclaim $2,720 resistance multiple times. ETH typically follows BTC with amplified moves - if BTC continues down, ETH will bleed harder.
Confidence: 78%
Allocation: 30.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $2,550 targets psychological support and ~5.3% move (2.4:1 R:R). SL at $2,780 (3.3% above entry, ~1.5x ATR) above recent resistance. Exit early if BTC shows strong reversal or if volume dries up indicating capitulation bottom.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $255.23
Allocation: 30.0% ($76.57 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $2,691.60
Size: 0.1138 coins
Notional value: $306.30
📝 Executing SHORT 0.1138 ETH @ 4x with TP: $2,550, SL: $2,780
✅ Market order filled @ $2,691.31
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43647127977)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43647128951)
SOL:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Most oversold but weakest structure: RSI(7) at 17.9 and RSI(14) at 27.0 are extreme, but SOL crashed from $143 to $112 (-21.6% from high) showing panic selling. Currently $124.51, rejected at $126-128 resistance multiple times. Below both EMAs in strong downtrend. Recent trade history shows 3 failed longs with SL hits. In bear markets, extreme oversold = SHORT opportunity, not long. High volatility (dropped to $112.56 low) suggests more downside.
Confidence: 72%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $118 targets 5.2% move near recent panic low of $112.56 (2.1:1 R:R). SL at $129.50 (4% above entry, wider stop due to high volatility/ATR). Close early if RSI divergence forms or if BTC reverses strongly. SOL beta means bigger moves both ways.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $255.23
Allocation: 25.0% ($63.81 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $124.51
Size: 1.5400 coins
Notional value: $191.75
📝 Executing SHORT 1.54 SOL @ 3x with TP: $118, SL: $130
✅ Market order filled @ $124.36
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43647131606)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43647132189)
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Weakest technicals with lowest liquidity: RSI(14) at 20.5 most oversold of all assets. Dropped from $14.58 to $12.90 (-11.5%). Trading below both EMAs in clear downtrend. Recent candles show consistent rejection at $13.00-13.02 resistance. Lower volume/liquidity means follows BTC closely. With entire market in bearish structure, AVAX will continue bleeding. Small position due to lower conviction vs BTC/ETH.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 15.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $12.20 targets 5.5% move below recent low (2.2:1 R:R). SL at $13.35 (3.4% above entry, ~1.5x ATR) above resistance cluster. Smaller position size due to lower liquidity and confidence. Exit if BTC shows clear reversal or if AVAX diverges positively from market.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $255.23
Allocation: 15.0% ($38.28 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $12.91
Size: 8.8900 coins
Notional value: $114.81
📝 Executing SHORT 8.89 AVAX @ 3x with TP: $12, SL: $13
✅ Market order filled @ $12.91
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43647135287)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43647136487)
💾 Database saved: run_id=54
4 order(s) executed
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