Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-22 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-21 18:24:55
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $226.28
Margin Used: $62.81 (27.8%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-22 00:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-21 18:24:55 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-19 22:00 → 2025-11-22 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $85,856.00
Period Change: -5.28%
Range: $80,424.00 - $93,051.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-21 16:00: O=$83,253.00 H=$85,367.00 L=$82,864.00 C=$85,111.00 (+2.2%)
11-21 17:00: O=$85,253.00 H=$87,000.00 L=$84,874.00 C=$85,127.00 (-0.1%)
11-21 18:00: O=$85,526.00 H=$85,747.00 L=$83,564.00 C=$85,208.00 (-0.4%)
11-21 19:00: O=$84,842.00 H=$85,645.00 L=$84,436.00 C=$84,615.00 (-0.3%)
11-21 20:00: O=$84,700.00 H=$85,385.00 L=$83,789.00 C=$85,077.00 (+0.4%)
11-21 21:00: O=$85,028.00 H=$87,197.00 L=$84,823.00 C=$85,809.00 (+0.9%)
11-21 22:00: O=$85,703.00 H=$86,481.00 L=$84,825.00 C=$84,910.00 (-0.9%)
11-21 23:00: O=$84,994.00 H=$86,309.00 L=$84,523.00 C=$85,856.00 (+1.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 57.3
RSI(14): 51.9
EMA(20): $85,416.48
EMA(50): $87,930.14
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1721.25
ETH:
Current Price: $2,773.30
Period Change: -7.23%
Range: $2,601.50 - $3,060.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-21 16:00: O=$2,709.90 H=$2,768.90 L=$2,683.00 C=$2,759.60 (+1.8%)
11-21 17:00: O=$2,762.30 H=$2,808.90 L=$2,757.50 C=$2,785.10 (+0.8%)
11-21 18:00: O=$2,785.70 H=$2,797.10 L=$2,724.10 C=$2,786.30 (+0.0%)
11-21 19:00: O=$2,784.80 H=$2,788.00 L=$2,746.60 C=$2,756.20 (-1.0%)
11-21 20:00: O=$2,757.80 H=$2,759.30 L=$2,715.00 C=$2,741.20 (-0.6%)
11-21 21:00: O=$2,742.80 H=$2,780.00 L=$2,737.00 C=$2,773.90 (+1.1%)
11-21 22:00: O=$2,771.60 H=$2,777.90 L=$2,728.60 C=$2,730.10 (-1.5%)
11-21 23:00: O=$2,727.90 H=$2,775.20 L=$2,719.00 C=$2,773.30 (+1.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 53.4
RSI(14): 49.8
EMA(20): $2,773.70
EMA(50): $2,871.20
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $57.60
SOL:
Current Price: $128.98
Period Change: -3.24%
Range: $112.56 - $143.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-21 16:00: O=$125.60 H=$128.93 L=$123.80 C=$128.93 (+2.7%)
11-21 17:00: O=$128.84 H=$130.71 L=$128.55 C=$129.47 (+0.5%)
11-21 18:00: O=$129.48 H=$130.65 L=$126.81 C=$129.81 (+0.3%)
11-21 19:00: O=$129.73 H=$130.08 L=$127.83 C=$128.35 (-1.1%)
11-21 20:00: O=$128.36 H=$128.62 L=$126.27 C=$127.30 (-0.8%)
11-21 21:00: O=$127.54 H=$129.56 L=$127.08 C=$129.20 (+1.3%)
11-21 22:00: O=$129.14 H=$129.56 L=$125.92 C=$125.94 (-2.5%)
11-21 23:00: O=$125.87 H=$129.19 L=$125.37 C=$128.98 (+2.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 52.7
RSI(14): 49.1
EMA(20): $129.10
EMA(50): $133.71
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $3.48
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.30
Period Change: -6.40%
Range: $12.67 - $14.43
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-21 15:00: O=$13.20 H=$13.20 L=$13.00 C=$13.00 (-1.5%)
11-21 16:00: O=$13.20 H=$13.20 L=$13.20 C=$13.20 (+0.0%)
11-21 17:00: O=$13.40 H=$13.40 L=$13.40 C=$13.40 (+0.0%)
11-21 18:00: O=$13.25 H=$13.31 L=$13.25 C=$13.31 (+0.4%)
11-21 19:00: O=$13.31 H=$13.31 L=$13.31 C=$13.31 (+0.0%)
11-21 20:00: O=$13.26 H=$13.26 L=$13.26 C=$13.26 (+0.0%)
11-21 21:00: O=$13.34 H=$13.34 L=$13.30 C=$13.33 (-0.0%)
11-21 22:00: O=$13.34 H=$13.34 L=$13.30 C=$13.30 (-0.3%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 2.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 51.6
RSI(14): 46.2
EMA(20): $13.35
ATR(14): $0.11
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 1.5 @ $127.93 (Current: $128.98, P&L: -0.82%)
TP: $115.00 (+10.1%)
SL: $131.50 (-2.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $115.00 targets near the period low of $112.56 with buffer. SL at $131.50 is above the 17:00 rejection high of $130.71, giving 1.5x ATR protection. This provides 3.3:1 R:R ratio ($12.68 gain vs $3.82 risk). Will monitor for break below $125 support to add conviction. Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above EMA20 ($129.46) with strong volume, indicating trend reversal.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 02:15 (8.2h)
Entry: $2,920.20, Exit: $3,048.90 P&L: +4.41% ($+7.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-20 06:00 → 11-20 16:00 (10.0h)
Entry: $142.33, Exit: $138.34 P&L: +2.80% ($+8.66) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $86,981.00, Exit: $86,772.00 P&L: -0.24% ($-0.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $2,820.90, Exit: $2,839.20 P&L: +0.65% ($+1.65) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (30.0h)
Entry: $13.92, Exit: $13.81 P&L: -0.78% ($-1.92) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 07:45 (13.7h)
Entry: $132.11, Exit: $129.21 P&L: -2.20% ($-2.52) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 12:26 (0.4h)
Entry: $12.91, Exit: $12.78 P&L: +0.95% ($+1.08) [UNKNOWN]
BTC SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 14:35 (2.6h)
Entry: $82,534.00, Exit: $85,000.00 P&L: -2.99% ($-9.15) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $2,691.31, Exit: $2,785.18 P&L: -3.49% ($-10.68) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $124.36, Exit: $129.63 P&L: -4.24% ($-8.12) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in bearish structure (price below EMA50 at $87,930) but showing consolidation around $85k-$86k. RSI neutral at 51.9. Recent 8h candles show choppy price action with no clear directional bias. After getting stopped out on a short yesterday (-2.99%), waiting for clearer setup. Need either break below $84k support or reclaim of $87k resistance with volume confirmation before entering.
Confidence: 30%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH in bearish trend (EMA20 $2,773 < EMA50 $2,871) but price hovering right at EMA20 support. RSI at 49.8 is neutral. Recent candles show whipsaw action - down 1.5% at 22:00, then up 1.7% at 23:00. After yesterday's -3.49% SL hit on short, need clearer signal. Watching for either breakdown below $2,720 or reclaim above $2,800 with conviction. Current consolidation offers poor risk/reward.
Confidence: 30%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Already holding SHORT from $127.93. Position currently -0.82% but within acceptable range. Price action shows volatility: dropped to $125.94 at 22:00 (-2.5%), then bounced back to $128.98 (+2.5%). This whipsaw validates my SL placement at $131.50 above the $130.71 rejection. Trust the TP/SL orders - TP at $115 targets the period low zone with buffer. No reason to manually close; thesis remains valid with bearish EMA structure and price below EMA20. Let the trade work.
Confidence: 65%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ⚠️ Data is 2 hours stale (last update 22:00). Price showing extremely low volatility with multiple candles at identical prices ($13.26-$13.34 range). This suggests either exchange data issues or extremely thin liquidity. ATR only $0.11 means any position would require very tight stops with high slippage risk. Price slightly below EMA20 ($13.35) but RSI neutral at 46.2. Without fresh data and given the liquidity concerns, staying out is prudent. Will reassess when data freshness improves.
Confidence: 20%
💾 Database saved: run_id=57
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