Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-22 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-22 00:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $230.17
Margin Used: $66.70 (29.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-22 06:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-22 00:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-20 04:00 → 2025-11-22 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $85,153.00
Period Change: -7.92%
Range: $80,424.00 - $93,051.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-21 22:00: O=$85,703.00 H=$86,481.00 L=$84,825.00 C=$84,910.00 (-0.9%)
11-21 23:00: O=$84,994.00 H=$86,309.00 L=$84,523.00 C=$85,856.00 (+1.0%)
11-22 00:00: O=$85,744.00 H=$86,131.00 L=$84,906.00 C=$85,064.00 (-0.8%)
11-22 01:00: O=$85,064.00 H=$85,715.00 L=$84,872.00 C=$85,588.00 (+0.6%)
11-22 02:00: O=$85,503.00 H=$87,000.00 L=$84,604.00 C=$85,062.00 (-0.5%)
11-22 03:00: O=$85,062.00 H=$86,188.00 L=$84,581.00 C=$85,095.00 (+0.0%)
11-22 04:00: O=$85,344.00 H=$85,727.00 L=$84,263.00 C=$85,677.00 (+0.4%)
11-22 05:00: O=$85,000.00 H=$85,776.00 L=$84,263.00 C=$85,153.00 (+0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 49.1
RSI(14): 46.8
EMA(20): $85,374.98
EMA(50): $87,128.76
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1649.75
ETH:
Current Price: $2,739.80
Period Change: -9.87%
Range: $2,601.50 - $3,060.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-21 22:00: O=$2,771.60 H=$2,777.90 L=$2,728.60 C=$2,730.10 (-1.5%)
11-21 23:00: O=$2,727.90 H=$2,775.20 L=$2,719.00 C=$2,773.30 (+1.7%)
11-22 00:00: O=$2,771.10 H=$2,781.70 L=$2,763.80 C=$2,771.60 (+0.0%)
11-22 01:00: O=$2,768.30 H=$2,786.40 L=$2,765.80 C=$2,778.50 (+0.4%)
11-22 02:00: O=$2,777.50 H=$2,779.80 L=$2,645.80 C=$2,749.00 (-1.0%)
11-22 03:00: O=$2,749.90 H=$2,754.80 L=$2,740.30 C=$2,749.20 (-0.0%)
11-22 04:00: O=$2,750.20 H=$2,750.90 L=$2,725.30 C=$2,741.60 (-0.3%)
11-22 05:00: O=$2,744.10 H=$2,745.90 L=$2,724.40 C=$2,739.80 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 42.6
RSI(14): 42.3
EMA(20): $2,764.99
EMA(50): $2,838.78
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $50.71
SOL:
Current Price: $126.38
Period Change: -11.51%
Range: $112.56 - $143.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-21 22:00: O=$129.14 H=$129.56 L=$125.92 C=$125.94 (-2.5%)
11-21 23:00: O=$125.87 H=$129.19 L=$125.37 C=$128.98 (+2.5%)
11-22 00:00: O=$128.94 H=$129.48 L=$128.17 C=$128.75 (-0.1%)
11-22 01:00: O=$128.75 H=$130.13 L=$128.72 C=$129.59 (+0.7%)
11-22 02:00: O=$129.79 H=$129.79 L=$127.55 C=$128.17 (-1.2%)
11-22 03:00: O=$128.22 H=$128.41 L=$127.11 C=$127.37 (-0.7%)
11-22 04:00: O=$127.40 H=$127.61 L=$126.00 C=$127.13 (-0.2%)
11-22 05:00: O=$127.20 H=$127.44 L=$125.68 C=$126.38 (-0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 39.2
RSI(14): 41.1
EMA(20): $128.54
EMA(50): $132.52
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2.78
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.27
Period Change: -7.50%
Range: $12.67 - $14.43
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-21 20:00: O=$13.26 H=$13.26 L=$13.26 C=$13.26 (+0.0%)
11-21 21:00: O=$13.34 H=$13.34 L=$13.30 C=$13.33 (-0.0%)
11-21 22:00: O=$13.34 H=$13.34 L=$13.30 C=$13.30 (-0.3%)
11-21 23:00: O=$13.30 H=$13.30 L=$13.30 C=$13.30 (+0.0%)
11-22 00:00: O=$13.30 H=$13.30 L=$13.30 C=$13.30 (+0.0%)
11-22 01:00: O=$13.30 H=$13.30 L=$13.30 C=$13.30 (+0.0%)
11-22 02:00: O=$13.30 H=$13.30 L=$13.30 C=$13.30 (+0.0%)
11-22 03:00: O=$13.27 H=$13.27 L=$13.27 C=$13.27 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 3.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 45.7
RSI(14): 43.1
EMA(20): $13.33
ATR(14): $0.08
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 1.5 @ $127.93 (Current: $126.38, P&L: +1.21%)
TP: $115.00 (+10.1%)
SL: $131.50 (-2.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $115.00 targets near the period low of $112.56 with buffer. SL at $131.50 is above the 17:00 rejection high of $130.71, giving 1.5x ATR protection. This provides 3.3:1 R:R ratio ($12.68 gain vs $3.82 risk). Will monitor for break below $125 support to add conviction. Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above EMA20 ($129.46) with strong volume, indicating trend reversal.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 02:15 (8.2h)
Entry: $2,920.20, Exit: $3,048.90 P&L: +4.41% ($+7.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-20 06:00 → 11-20 16:00 (10.0h)
Entry: $142.33, Exit: $138.34 P&L: +2.80% ($+8.66) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $86,981.00, Exit: $86,772.00 P&L: -0.24% ($-0.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $2,820.90, Exit: $2,839.20 P&L: +0.65% ($+1.65) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (30.0h)
Entry: $13.92, Exit: $13.81 P&L: -0.78% ($-1.92) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 07:45 (13.7h)
Entry: $132.11, Exit: $129.21 P&L: -2.20% ($-2.52) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 12:26 (0.4h)
Entry: $12.91, Exit: $12.78 P&L: +0.95% ($+1.08) [UNKNOWN]
BTC SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 14:35 (2.6h)
Entry: $82,534.00, Exit: $85,000.00 P&L: -2.99% ($-9.15) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $2,691.31, Exit: $2,785.18 P&L: -3.49% ($-10.68) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $124.36, Exit: $129.63 P&L: -4.24% ($-8.12) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in a bearish structure (price below both EMA20 $85,375 and EMA50 $87,129) after a -7.92% period decline. However, price is consolidating in a tight range $84,263-$85,776 over the last 8 hours with neutral RSI(14) at 46.8. Recent candles show indecision with small bodies and overlapping ranges. No clear entry signal - waiting for either a decisive break below $84,000 support for SHORT continuation or reclaim of EMA20 with volume for potential LONG. Current margin usage at 29% leaves room, but market needs to show its hand first.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing similar bearish structure to BTC (below EMA20 $2,765 and EMA50 $2,839) with -9.87% period decline. RSI(14) at 42.3 indicates oversold conditions but in a downtrend this signals continuation risk, not reversal. Recent 8h candles show compression with decreasing range ($2,724-$2,746 in last 3 hours) - classic consolidation before next move. Flash wick to $2,646 at 02:00 shows underlying selling pressure. Need to see either breakdown below $2,720 for SHORT or strong reclaim above $2,780 with volume for LONG. Waiting for clearer directional signal.
Confidence: 55%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT position from $127.93 is performing well (+1.21% unrealized P&L). Position is working as thesis intact: SOL remains in clear downtrend below EMA20 $128.54 and EMA50 $132.52. Recent 8h shows steady grind lower from $129.14 to $126.38 with lower highs. RSI(14) at 41.1 indicates continued weakness. TP at $115.00 targets period low area with buffer - let it run. SL at $131.50 provides 1.5x ATR protection above key rejection level. TRUST THE TP/SL ORDERS - they work 24/7. Manual close only warranted if price reclaims EMA20 with conviction, which hasn't happened. Position has room to reach target.
Confidence: 75%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ⚠️ DATA WARNING: AVAX data is 3.0 hours stale with suspicious flat pricing (all candles at exactly $13.30 for 7 hours, then $13.27). This indicates either exchange data feed issues or extremely low liquidity. Cannot make informed trading decisions on stale/unreliable data. Price below EMA20 $13.33 suggests bearish bias, but RSI(14) at 43.1 is neutral. With 29% margin already deployed on SOL SHORT, prudent to avoid adding exposure to an asset with data quality concerns. Will reassess on next run when fresh data available.
Confidence: 30%
💾 Database saved: run_id=58
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